By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil climbed more than 2% on Wednesday, paring some of the previous day’s losses, as a drop in inventories and concern about Hurricane Francine disrupting U.S. output countered concerns about weak global demand.

U.S. crude stocks fell by 2.793 million barrels, gasoline declined by 513,000 barrels and distillates inventories rose by 191,000 barrels, according to market sources citing the latest week’s American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

futures were up $1.41, or 2.04%, to $70.60 a barrel at 1048 GMT, while U.S. crude futures gained $1.79, or 2.7%, to $67.54.

“The API provided some comfort as it showed a sizable decline in crude oil stocks, a forecast-beating draw in gasoline and a tiny build in distillate inventories,” said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Both oil benchmarks tanked on Tuesday, with Brent falling below $70 to its lowest since December 2021 and U.S. crude dropping to its lowest since May 2023, after OPEC revised down its 2024 oil demand growth forecast for a second time.

Concern about Hurricane Francine disrupting output in the United States, the world’s biggest producer, also lent support, other analysts said.

“The market rebounded autonomously as Tuesday’s drop was substantial,” said Yuki Takashima, economist at Nomura Securities, adding supply disruption fears from Francine also lent support.

About 24% of crude production and 26% of output in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico were offline due to the storm, the U.S. Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) said on Tuesday.

Following Tuesday’s report from the API, an industry group, official inventory figures from the U.S. government are due out at 1430 GMT.

Eleven analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories rose by about 1 million barrels and gasoline stocks fell by 0.1 million barrels.

By Valerie Volcovici

JAL, New Mexico (Reuters) – Flying over the desert landscape of southeastern New Mexico in a four-seat helicopter, Stephen Aldridge could count around a dozen man-made lagoons brimming with toxic wastewater glistening between drill rigs and pumpjacks.

While it is a growing hazardous waste problem from the region’s booming drilling industry, the mayor of the tiny town of Jal – nestled near the border with Texas in the heart of U.S. oil country – viewed the sweeping scene as an opportunity: a source of water in the second-biggest oil producing state suffering from worsening drought.

“Our future is going to depend on the future of that produced water,” he said.

Aldridge is among a growing group of New Mexico politicians who want the state to develop regulations allowing for the millions of gallons of so-called produced water gushing up daily alongside the Permian basin’s prolific oil and gas to be treated and used, instead of discarded, and who are encouraging companies to figure out how to make it happen cheaply, safely and at scale.

In 2022, the oil and gas industry in New Mexico produced enough toxic fracking wastewater to cover 266,000 acres (107,650 hectares) of land a foot (31 cm) deep. While the state’s drillers reuse over 85% of their produced water in new oil and gas operations, the rest is pumped underground.

With injection wells filling up, however, New Mexico has begun restricting deep-underground disposal, which has triggered earthquakes. The state is now expected to export over 3 million barrels of that water per day by the end of 2024 – a strange dynamic in a water-scarce state.

Around 10 wastewater treatment firms in New Mexico are taking up the challenge under a state-supported pilot program that has so far spurred projects to grow crops like hemp and cotton and irrigate rangeland forage grasses.

While completed pilots have shown the technology works, it is currently too expensive for widespread adoption.

The companies and their backers also face a tough political battle. The debate over how this water should be used is one of the most divisive political questions facing New Mexico, with opponents mainly worried about the unintended human health consequences and subsidizing the oil industry’s waste issue.

New Mexico’s Democratic Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham introduced legislation late last year that would have created a strategic water reserve out of treated produced water. The bill was defeated by state lawmakers but will be brought up again in the next legislative session in January.

Neighboring Texas is also dealing with growing problems around wastewater disposal, including an epidemic of exploding orphan wells as subsurface pressure rises, raising worries about a potential crackdown there too. The Permian basin, which straddles Texas and New Mexico, is the top U.S. oilfield.

“It’s getting close to this point of criticality,” said Rob Bruant with energy consultancy B3.

Other states such as Colorado and California already use treated produced water in small amounts for agriculture. But New Mexico’s situation is unique because the volumes are overwhelming and the water itself needs much more intensive treatment because it is unusually briny – three times saltier than the Pacific.

CRYSTAL CLEAR FISH TANKS

Aldridge stands out in dusty New Mexico, with shoulder-length white hair and a bushy beard, often wearing bright West African tunics.

His chopper tour in late-July was part of a site visit to one of the state’s wastewater treatment pilot project run by a company called Aris Water Solutions.

At the mobile trailer field office of the Aris project, Aldridge admired fish tanks on display filled with crystal clear water run through Aris’s treatment technology, and home to around two dozen minnows.

Before it is treated, though, the water is dangerous. Employees on site are required to wear flame retardant clothing and carry portable monitors to detect deadly gases.

The untreated water is trucked in by local drillers and held in two large storage tanks before getting piped through a membrane filter to remove solids, and then distilled.

The process yields clear water, and leaves behind a highly toxic rust-colored mud that is reinjected underground at a registered saltwater disposal site.

The water, Aris says, is free of pollutants or radionuclides, and fit for industrial and agricultural uses. Starting next year, Aris will begin growing non-food crops like cotton as part of a $10 million grant it won this year from the U.S. Department of Energy.

“We look at the concept of desalinating produced water and creating a new water resource for the Permian region in a similar way to how the water industry was able to demonstrate that municipal wastewater could be safely treated and used for many purposes that society could become comfortable with,” said Lisa Henthorne, chief scientist at Aris.

The main problem for Aris and others is cost. A barrel of Aris’ treated water costs over $2 a barrel, many times higher than what industrial or agricultural water users typically pay. Aris says its goal is to bring costs down to $1 – still representing a big bill for users.

Massachusetts-based Zwitter, which recently finalized a separate water treatment pilot project in New Mexico, said treated water may never be cheap, but could become viable if it becomes cheaper than disposal.

“It is unlikely that agriculture or other water users will be able to pay more than cents per barrel. Therefore, the value of desalination will be driven by saving disposal costs and could be from $2 to $3/BW (per barrel of water) in the future,” it said in the final report on its project.

Disposal currently costs cents per barrel, but that could rise as injection sites fill up and waste needs to be trucked or piped ever further.

Aris has strategic agreements with Permian oil majors including Chevron (NYSE:), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:) and Exxon Mobil (NYSE:) to develop and pilot technologies for treating produced water for potential reuse.

Exxon subsidiary XTO has also partnered with Infinity Water Solutions, another water treatment firm running a pilot project in the Permian.

“I can tell you, the H2O molecule has no value until you run out of it,” Infinity CEO Michael Dyson added.

TERRIFIED OF GETTING IT WRONG

Avner Vengosh, a professor of environmental quality at Duke University, said unknown safety risks are also a key concern.

Under federal law, U.S. producers are not required to disclose all the chemicals they introduce to oil wells while drilling, raising worries that water treatments and testing are missing some dangerous components.

“There are a lot of technologies that can treat the water but the question is how can we evaluate all possible contaminants in produced water? I’m not saying it’s impossible, but I am saying it needs to be done correctly,” he said. 

Infinity’s Dyson agreed the industry needs to tread carefully.

“We know we’re only going to get one real chance of getting this right, and if anything, I think most of us are terrified of getting it wrong,” he said.

The state’s environment department is updating its 2019 Produced Water Act with the aim of firming up water reuse rules and expanding research and development for use outside the oil and gas sector.

During a week of hearings on the effort in early August, divisions were huge, with environmental groups and some scientists questioning how safe the end-product could be.

Daniel Tso, a former Navajo Nation Council member, told Reuters the Navajo had been stung before in New Mexico when decades of uranium mining on their land in the last century led to widespread radioactive pollution.

“Now the industry is trying to make this a public problem and the public has to really scrutinize the effects,” he said of produced water.

James Kenney, New Mexico’s environment secretary, told Reuters that the advances in technology over the last five years give him confidence that treated produced water can be safe, but acknowledged New Mexico’s poor record.

“We have to acknowledge our history of things like uranium mining, the promise of wealth and the failure to protect health. So communities are right to be skeptical,” he said.

For Aldridge, though, the more he learns about wastewater treatment technology, the more willing he is to fight for the state to open up more uses for the water.

“Am I 100% convinced? No, but they’re taking a step to convince me and I need to take those steps with them,” he said.

His own rural town of Jal, he said, could become home to “industries of the future” like data centers or green hydrogen projects, businesses that need ample supplies of water.

Or it could dry up, like the drilling industry will when the Permian empties of oil and gas.

“I just can’t abide by the idea that small rural communities like Jal can just vanish.”

Investing.com– Gold prices fell slightly in Asian trade on Tuesday but remained close to recent peaks as traders awaited key U.S. inflation data for more cues on the Federal Reserve’s plans to begin cutting interest rates.

The yellow metal benefited from safe haven buying following a severe risk-off move across markets last week, which was triggered by concerns over slowing economic growth. 

Spot prices came within spitting distance of a record high on Friday, but then pulled back as the advanced ahead of this week’s inflation reading.

fell 0.1% to $2,502.07 an ounce, while expiring in December fell 0.1% to $2,531.0 an ounce by 00:22 ET (04:22 GMT). 

Gold steady with Inflation, Fed meeting in sight 

Focus this week is squarely on inflation data, due on Wednesday, for more cues on the U.S. economy. 

Any signs of cooling inflation are likely to spur increased bets on lower interest rates in the coming months- a scenario that bodes well for gold. 

Wednesday’s inflation reading comes just a week before a , where the central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points.

Expectations of the September cut were also a key driver of gold’s recent gains, given that the cut is likely to kick off an easing cycle by the Fed.

Lower rates bode well for gold, given that they reduce the opportunity cost of investing in the yellow metal.

Other precious metals fell on Tuesday, having largely lagged gold in recent weeks. fell 0.1% to $945.0 an ounce, while fell 0.2% to $28.590 an ounce. 

Copper edges lower, Chinese trade data brings little cheer 

Among industrial metals, prices retreated on Tuesday, taking little support from data that showed some economic resilience in top importer China. 

China’s unexpectedly grew in August on strength in the country’s . But laggard offset cheer over this trend, given that they signaled sluggish demand in the country.

China’s overall copper imports shrank 12.3% year-on-year in August, although they were still in positive territory for the first eight months of the year. 

The soft import data came following a string of weak readings on China’s economy over the past week, which raised concerns over slowing growth in the world’s biggest copper importer.

The data, coupled with a broader risk-off move in global markets, saw copper nursing steep losses over the past week.