Cryptocurrency
20% Crash or Renewed Rally for Ethereum (ETH) in the Short Term? Analysts Chip In
TL;DR
- ETH has dropped 11% over the past month, with analysts warning of a possible further decrease to $1,800 if key support levels fail.
- Others predict a potential rebound, citing a “bear trap” pattern and historical trends.
Further Pain for ETH Bulls?
Ethereum (ETH) has been among the worst-performing cryptocurrencies (from the top 10 list) lately, with its price dipping by 11% on a monthly scale. It is down 4% in the past 24 hours and currently trades at around $2,300 (per CoiGecko’s data).
One popular analyst who thinks ETH’s decline could be far from over is X user Ali Martinez. He outlined the $2,290-$2,360 range as a “key support” level, where 1.9 million addresses hold approximately $52.3 million worth of the asset.
The crypto enthusiast believes ETH could crash by 20% to as low as $1,800 should its price dip below that zone. Recall that its valuation briefly plunged to $2,260 a few hours ago.
Certain on-chain metrics also suggest that Ethereum could experience a further correction in the near future. One example is the “In the Money” indicator, which is down by 0.19% daily. It shows the change in the number of ETH investors currently sitting on paper profits. As of now, 54% are in the green, while 39% are underwater.
The Bullish Scenario
Contrary to Ali Martinez’s assumption, numerous other analysts are optimistic that ETH is poised for a revival. The X user Phoenix thinks the asset’s chart has formed a “bear trap,” signaling a potential resurgence in the following months.
JAVON MARKS claimed that Ethereum’s pattern seems to have mirrored the one from 2023, which led to a 165% price increase.
“2023 looks to have been the blueprint for another massive upside that can soon be transpiring in this crypto market. Target is at $4,723.5, and a break above can welcome $8,100+ into play, projecting another near 2X in price, if not much, much more,” the analyst argued.
Last but not least, ETH’s RSI has recently plummeted to a bullish ratio of around 30. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) helps traders assess overbought or oversold conditions and thus predict possible price reversals. Readings below 30 generally indicate that ETH is oversold, which could be a precursor of a rally. Conversely, a ratio above 70 could be interpreted as bad news for bulls since it can be followed by a correction.
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XRP seems to have found support around 50 cents. Can buyers push the price higher this week?
Key Support levels: $0.50
Key Resistance levels: $0.54, $0.68
1. Price Finds Support
After a sharp fall last week, bulls appear to be back. XRP opened this Monday in green and is keen to return on an uptrend. As long as the key support at 50 cents holds, buyers have a good chance to return on the offensive.
2. Sellers are Retreating
Early October saw a spike in sell volume, but now sentiment across the market is improving, which could see the momentum shift back into the bulls’ favor. If so, buyers can aim to take XRP back above 60 cents. However, once there, sellers could return, as in late September.
3. MACD Momentum Shifting
After a difficult start this month, the momentum on the daily MACD is showing the first signs of a reversal, with a histogram making higher lows. If this trend continues, buyers could soon take over the price action and push XRP to break higher again.
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The price of Bitget’s BGB token unexpectedly dropped by 50% on the morning of October 7 before beginning to recover.
The platform has announced that it will compensate users for any losses resulting from the sudden volatility, which is still under investigation.
Exchange Promises Full Compensation
According to CoinGecko data, the incident saw the token’s value fall from $1.14 to $0.64 before staging a quick recovery. In a post on X, Bitget addressed the situation, saying, “BGB experienced unexpected volatility today due to market conditions, but the price has quickly stabilized.”
The platform reassured its users, promising to fully compensate for any asset losses. It also announced that a detailed compensation plan would be released within 24 hours, with the entire process set to be completed within 72 hours.
Bitget CEO Gracy Chen reiterated this message in a separate X post:
“The incident is still under investigation, but I want to assure everyone affected that we will not let any Bitget users suffer losses.”
Chen emphasized that Bitget’s overall standing remains strong, noting that the platform achieved a global market share of 11% in the third quarter of 2024, making it the fourth-largest exchange globally. Additionally, it boasts an asset reserve exceeding 176% and holds the second-largest protection fund globally, which is designed to compensate users quickly in the event of such incidents.
The Nature of Flash Crashes
Meanwhile, this incident mirrors a past development that occurred earlier this year with OKB, the native cryptocurrency of the OKX exchange. The token faced sudden price collapses, falling from a high of $48 to $25 within hours. The event was reportedly triggered by several large leveraged position liquidations, leading to further sell-offs and price declines.
At the time, OKX responded by reassuring its users that it would compensate them for the losses incurred from the unusual liquidation. While OKB’s crashes were linked to market-wide volatility, Bitget has yet to pinpoint the exact cause behind today’s event.
A cryptocurrency “flash crash” occurs when several holders rapidly sell a specific crypto asset, surpassing buyer demand and causing the price to drop sharply in a short amount of time. Unlike a typical collapse, the price usually recovers quickly, often returning to a level close to where it started.
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[PRESS RELEASE – Dubai, UAE, October 7th, 2024]
On October 22-23, the Blockchain Life 2024 forum will take place in Dubai. Over 10,000 participants from 120 countries will come together for the crypto event to share industry insights on the eve of Bull Run 2025.
Participants will hear from leading voices in the blockchain space, who will share market analysis on market trends and potential future developments.
Confirmed figures include:
- CEO Tether – Paolo Ardoino
- Co-Founder Animoca Brands – Yat Siu
- CEO Ledger – Pascal Gauthier
- CEO Cardano Foundation – Frederik Gregaard
- CEO Dubai Blockchain Center – Dr. Marwan Alzarouni
- Co-Founder Litecoin Foundation – Xinxi Wang
- CEO Vechain – Sunny Lu
- CEO of dYdX Foundation – Charles d’Haussy
- Founder Listing.Help, Jets Capital – Sergei Khitrov
- Founder DWF Labs – Andrei Grachev
- Co-Founder Tezos – Arthur Breitman
- CEO Trust Wallet – Eowyn Chen
- Co-Founder Osmosis Labs – Sunny Aggarwal
- Co-Founder of Sui (Mysten Labs) – Kostas Chalkias
- Head of Investments at Maelstrom Fund – Akshat Vaidya
- Founder Notcoin – Sasha Plotvinov
- Co-Founder, CEO Celestia Labs – Mustafa Al-Bassam
- Google Cloud – Tiago Henriques
- Program Lead MetaMask – Zied Brini
In addition to the lineup of speakers, Blockchain Life 2024 is also set to include behind-the-scenes discussions that will provide an opportunity for networking and exchanging information on the latest advancements in the sector.
The forum is coming soon. Readers can purchase tickets with a 10% discount using promo code chainwire.
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