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Cryptocurrency

Post-FTX Era: Bitcoin Whale Wallets Reclaim Correlation with Market Value

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Bitcoin has declined over the past several days as bears remained vigilant near $70,000. As a result, the premier cryptocurrency has shed more than 4% over the past week and was trading near $66,000 at the time of writing.

Interestingly, wallets with 10 or more BTCs have collectively reached their highest holding level in two years. Data suggests that the absence of FTX’s influence may have potentially allowed the market to reflect demand more accurately.

Whale Wallets Mirror Pre-FTX Collapse Levels

According to the latest findings by Santiment, this period has seen bitcoin’s price surge by approximately 226%. To put it into perspective, this group of wallets collectively held 16.16 million BTC, which is 84.8% of the supply back on June 16, 2022.

Zooming out to June 16, 2024, wallets with 10+ BTC currently hold 16.16 million BTC, which represents 82% of the total bitcoin supply.

Santiment also highlighted the emergence of speculation that former FTX chief and convicted crypto mogul Sam Bankman-Fried was actively suppressing crypto prices in the latter half of 2022. Since its collapse in November 2022, a clear correlation has emerged between the increased holdings of this wallet cohort and the overall market value of BTC.

“But since the exchange’s collapse in November 2022, there has been an undeniable semblance of correlation between 10+ BTC wallet holdings and the coin’s overall market value.”

This could essentially mean that when FTX was operational, there may have been forces acting to decouple or distort the typical correlation between large-holder buying/selling behavior and market prices. But in the post-FTX era, that correlation appears to have reasserted itself, with the holdings of major Bitcoin whales more directly impacting and reflecting the broader market valuation.

As such, Santiment’s data suggests FTX’s activities may have been an anomalous factor influencing crypto prices until its failure, after which whale wallet holdings have reverted to being a stronger indicator of market trajectory.

Rigged

The mass bitcoin selling was first revealed by Caroline Ellison, the former CEO of FTX’s sister hedge fund, in the dramatic FTX trial last year. She claimed that the disgraced FTX founder had conspired with her to manipulate and keep the bitcoin price below $20,000 using customer funds.

Ellison provided evidence in the form of a document that read, “Keep selling BTC if it’s over $20k.”

The testimony led many experts to believe that bitcoin’s failure to hit $100,000 during the 2021 bull market was due to this artificial sell pressure created by FTX execs.

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Cryptocurrency

Is Ripple (XRP) Gearing up for Another Bull Run? (Analysts Weigh in)

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TL;DR

  • XRP’s price has been quite volatile over the past few weeks and some analysts predict an upcoming dip before the asset could head toward new peaks.
  • ETF approval prospects, increased whale accumulation, and RLUSD’s expansion could enhance XRP’s adoption and drive upward momentum.

What Could be Next?

The start of the month has been quite turbulent for Ripple’s native token, with its price briefly tanking below $2 during the crypto crash of February 3. XRP bulls reacted almost imminently to the downside and pushed the valuation to around $2.80 a day later.

However, the asset couldn’t keep the momentum, dropping below $2.50 on February 5. In the following days, the bears continued to prevail, and XRP is currently trading at around $2.42 (per CoinGecko’s data).

XPR Price
XPR Price, Source: CoinGecko

One person paying close attention to XRP’s performance as of late was the popular X user CRYPTOWZRD. They believe the asset closed the weekend “indecisively” but expect a push to the $2.80 resistance level. On the other hand, the analyst outlined $2.05 as a major support zone. 

“I expect to see further upside pressure from this region to get the next long opportunity. A positive Bitcoin will be welcomed,” they added.

Another individual who chipped in is the X user Sjuul, who predicted a short-term rally above $3. However, the analyst warned that the asset might have a bumpy ride before reaching that peak, envisioning a potential plunge to $2.10. 

“A sweep at around $2.10 would be an ideal area to do some business,” Sjuul claimed. 

The Bullish Signals

Besides the optimistic predictions from multiple analysts, there are some factors indicating that XRP could indeed be preparing for another leg up. 

Such an example is the possible approval of spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the USA. Recall that on February 6, Cboe BZX Exchange lodged 19b-4 filings on behalf of Canary Capital, WisdomTree, 21Shares, and Bitwise. The US SEC now must approve or reject the applications within 240 days. 

If given the go-ahead, American investors would have more opportunities to invest in Ripple’s native token, which could push its price upward.

Next on the list is the whales’ activity. Ali Martinez recently disclosed that large investors purchased 520 million XRP (worth over $1.2 billion at current rates) during the latest dip. This move decreases the available supply, potentially leading to a rally (assuming demand doesn’t head south).

Last but not least, we will touch upon the advancement of Ripple’s stablecoinRLUSD. The product, pegged 1:1 to the American dollar, officially saw the light of day in mid-December, with many leading cryptocurrency exchanges embracing it.

Its further progress could strengthen Ripple’s ecosystem, boost XRP’s utility and adoption, and potentially lead to upward price pressure.

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Ethereum Tops Bitcoin in Weekly Inflows for the First Time in 2025: CoinShares

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Ethereum took center stage last week as its price dumped toward $2,100, sparking a surge in investor interest. The leading altcoin saw substantial buying during the dip, which resulted in impressive inflows of $793 million.

This was the first time in 2025 that Ethereum surpassed Bitcoin in terms of capital inflows.

According to the latest edition of CoinShares’ “Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report,” Bitcoin followed behind as it attracted inflows of $407 million. Globally, exchange-traded products (ETPs) now account for 7.1% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization, making them the largest single holder. Short-Bitcoin products experienced modest inflows of $0.1 million.

Additionally, XRP and Solana gained traction with inflows of $21 million and $11 million, respectively. Sui and Cardano also saw investor interest, bringing in $4.3 million and $2.6 million. Multi-asset products performed well, accumulating $14.4 million in inflows over the past week.

Zooming out, inflows into digital asset investment products continued for the fifth consecutive week, adding $1.3 billion and raising total inflows for 2024 to $7.3 billion. However, due to recent price declines, total assets under management in ETPs slipped to $163 billion from their late-January peak of $181 billion.

Despite market fluctuations, trading volumes held steady at $20 billion over the past week.

Regional investment trends showed strong inflows across multiple countries, with the United States leading at $1 billion. Next up were Germany, Switzerland, and Canada recorded significant investments of $61 million, $54 million, and $37 million, respectively, over the past week.

Brazil also attracted $23.1 million, followed by Sweden with $18 million and Australia with $4.7 million. However, Hong Kong emerged as an outlier from the trend as it experienced nearly $8 million in outflows.

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Dormant Wallet Awakens: Is Bitcoin at Risk After 14,000 BTC Moves?

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Approximately 14,000 bitcoins that had remained dormant for 7 to 10 years were moved on February 10th. Notably, they were not transferred to any exchanges, indicating that an immediate sale is unlikely.

Previous instances of similar activity did not always result in a drop in Bitcoin’s value, as noted by CryptoQuant’s analysis. It’s also worth noting that the average acquisition cost of these bitcoins is relatively low, which may influence the holders’ future decisions regarding potential sales, as noted by the on-chain crypto analytic platform.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at nearly $97,500, reflecting a minor increase over the past day.

Bitcoin Holder Activity

According to Glassnode’s recent observation, retail Bitcoin investors – holding 1 BTC or less – have significantly increased their accumulation rate since mid-December. This cohort of holders has purchased an average of 10,627 BTC per day, which represents a 72% acceleration compared to last year’s daily average of 6,177 BTC.

On the other hand, large-scale holders, or whales (owning over 1,000 BTC), have been offloading their holdings at a rapid pace since November 24, sending an average of 32,509 BTC per day to exchanges. This is a 9x increase in potential sell-side pressure compared to the yearly average.

Such a shift highlights a divergence in market behavior, as retail investors are accumulating aggressively while whales continue to distribute. Notably, retail investors had previously sold into market strength when Bitcoin surpassed $100,000 in November. The ongoing trends suggest a redistribution of BTC from larger to smaller holders, which could impact the asset’s trajectory in the coming months.

Strategy Resumes Bitcoin Accumulation

Unlike whales, institutions have continued to amass the world’s largest cryptocurrency. For instance, Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, has restarted its Bitcoin accumulation after a brief pause.

Co-founder Michael Saylor announced the latest purchase of 7,633 BTC for $742.4 million at an average price of $97,255. This brings the company’s total holdings to 478,740 BTC, acquired for $31.1 billion. At the current prices, the firm now holds over $46.6 billion in BTC, securing a paper profit of more than $15 billion.

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