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Dollar Consolidates After Strong Gains; Tapering Could Be Speeded Up

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Dollar Consolidates After Strong Gains; Tapering Could Be Speeded Up
© Reuters

By Peter Nurse

Investing.com – The dollar edged lower Thursday, consolidating after hitting 16-month highs after the minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting pointed to the potential of a faster tapering pace.

At 2:55 AM ET (0755 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.1% lower at 96.733, just below Wednesday’s high of 96.938, the strongest level since July 2020.

fell 0.1% to 115.35, not far removed from the overnight high of 115.53, a level not seen since January 2017. edged 0.2% higher to 1.33485, rose 0.2% to 1.1218 after falling below 1.12 on Wednesday  and rose 0.1% to 0.7204.

The from the Fed’s meeting held in early November, when the central bank agreed to start tapering, were released on Wednesday. These showed that a number of policymakers were open to the idea of speeding up the withdrawal of the bank’s bond-buying program if inflation remained at elevated levels. This would likely lead to the quicker introduction of higher interest rates. 

At the same time, data showed that and both rose by more than forecast, while the , widely seen as the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, rose at its fastest rate since April in October, and rose to multi-decade highs on an annual basis. 

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly added to the reasons to be bullish about the dollar, saying on Wednesday that she could see a case being made to speed up asset tapering.

“We find increasing evidence of a new leg of inflationary pressures in the U.S., increasing our conviction of a hawkish shift from the Fed during 2022,” said analysts at Nordea, in a note.

There’s little in the way of news expected from the U.S. to influence the foreign exchange markets Thursday due to the Thanksgiving holiday, but the from the European Central Bank’s meeting at the end of October are due for release.

“Despite the fourth [Covid] wave in Europe, the ECB seems to be sticking to the view that the PEPP [pandemic emergency purchase program] scheme will end in March,” said analysts at ING, in a note.

Elsewhere, fell 0.3% to 12.0497, with the Turkish lira rebounding to an extent after falling to record lows earlier in the week on the back of President Tayyip Erdogan defending the central bank’s recent rate cuts. The pair climbed to a high of 13.45 on Tuesday. 

Additionally, fell 0.1% to 9.1039 ahead of a meeting by the Riksbank, with investors looking to see whether Sweden’s central bank still plans to keep its policy rate at zero into 2024. That comes after Sweden’s Prime Minister was forced to resign after her coalition partner refused to approve her budget bill.

fell 0.1% to 328.67, with the National Bank of Hungary widely expected to hike its one-week deposit rate another 10 basis points to 2.60%.

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Forex

Current yuan to dollar exchange rate has fallen to its lowest since 2008

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current yuan to dollar exchange rate

Current yuan to dollar exchange rate dropped to 7.2256 yuan per dollar. This is the lowest level in 14 years, reports RBC. The offshore yuan-dollar exchange rate has fallen to a record low of 7.2577 yuan per dollar since China began trading the currency in 2010.

The People’s Bank of China sets reference exchange rates for the yuan daily. On Tuesday it set the yuan-dollar exchange rate at 7.0722 yuan. This was the lowest since July 2020. The exchange rate of the yuan, which is traded in mainland China, is controlled by the NBK and can deviate from the reference rate by no more than 2 percent in either direction during the day. In Hong Kong and Macau, the CNH offshore exchange rate to foreign currencies may vary without restrictions.

The Chinese yuan to dollar exchange rate today fell to its weakest level since the 2008 global financial crisis amid persistent dollar appreciation against major currencies and fears that China is weakening support for its currency.

The yuan has fallen more than 4 percent against the dollar this month and may post its worst performance in a year since 1994, the publication estimated. China’s currency is under pressure as the country’s monetary policy diverges from U.S. policy, leading to capital outflows.

Earlier we reported on history low for the pound British.

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History low for the pound British

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history low for the pound british

Today we can observe history low for the British pound. The British pound has fallen in the international forex market by almost 5% against the dollar – to a record low of $1.0384. The pound fell 0.85% against the U.S. dollar to $1.0762.

The British currency depreciated after the Ministry of Finance of the country promised to continue cutting taxes, raising fears that the new policy will lead to a sharp rise in inflation and the national debt, Bloomberg wrote. The pound’s collapse was the biggest intraday drop since March 2020, when markets were panicked by the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the publication estimated.

The sell-off in the currency began on Friday, after the government announced a plan for a massive tax cut in the U.K., which will affect individuals and businesses and increase the budget deficit.

“History low for the British pound shows that markets do not trust the UK,” said Saxo Capital Markets strategist Jessica Amir. – The pound is one step away from parity with the dollar, and things will only get worse from here.”

The British currency has already fallen 20% against the dollar this year. According to Bloomberg, the fall in the British pound sterling in 2022 surpassed the collapse seen after the vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) in 2016. At that time, the U.K. currency depreciated by about 16% in one year.

Earlier we reported that the dollar is getting cheaper against most currencies after rising the day before.

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The dollar is getting cheaper against most currencies after rising the day before. Global money is getting cheaper

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money getting cheaper

The dollar is getting cheaper against the euro, the yen and the pound sterling today after a solid rise in the previous session on the background of the fact that all the world’s money’s getting cheaper. 

The dollar is correcting because investors are trying to fix profits after its significant strengthening, said Trading Economics. Experts believe that the U.S. currency will continue to strengthen on the background of a rapid tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (FRS). Also, the dollar is supported by reducing the appetite for risk in world markets.

Further growth in volatility in the financial markets will strengthen the dollar because of its status as a “safe haven” currency, said an analyst on the currency market, CBA Carol Kong.

The euro rose 0.53% to $0.9660 against the dollar, up from $0.9609 at the close of the previous session. The day before, European currencies were cheaper against the dollar by 0.8%.

The pound rose by 1.07% to $1.0803 during the trading session, compared to $1.0689 the day before. The exchange rate of the dollar against yen decreased by 0.30% – down to 144.31 yen against 144.75 yen by the end of the previous session. On Monday the American currency grew by 1.5% against the pound and by 1% against the yen.

The index, calculated by ICE, which shows the dollar trend against six currencies (euro, Swiss franc, yen, Canadian dollar, pound sterling and the Swedish krone), was losing 0.5% during trading. The day before, the indicator had updated its 20-year high.

Earlier we reported that the Nasdaq is on the plus side amid signs that growth stocks are recovering.

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