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Progressive shares price target raised by Cit, rated Neutral

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On Friday, Citi updated its stance on Progressive Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:), increasing the insurance company’s price target to $232 from $230, while keeping a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted its expectations following Progressive’s May performance, noting the company’s solid results despite missing earnings per share (EPS) estimates due to elevated catastrophe losses (CATs).

Progressive reported policy count growth that surpassed expectations, defying the usual seasonal trends. This growth is seen as a positive indicator for the company’s ability to maintain strong policy count growth through the typically slower summer months. This outlook aligns with previous comments made by Progressive’s CEO on the first quarter earnings call.

The company’s higher CATs, particularly in auto insurance, are viewed as a slight negative for Allstate Corp. (NYSE: NYSE:) and The Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:). Additionally, Progressive is nearing its attachment point on its homeowners’ aggregate treaty, which is expected to provide $85 million of coverage for non-named storm events, potentially boosting EPS in the near future.

Citi has revised its EPS estimates for Progressive for the years 2024 to 2026. The revisions reflect a 4% decrease for 2024 due to the CAT-driven miss in May, but a 2% increase for 2025 and a 1% increase for 2026, primarily due to a stronger investment income run rate. The new price target reflects the updated EPS trajectory for the company.

In other recent news, Progressive Corp reported a significant increase in net income and policy growth in their April earnings report, with net premiums written reaching $6.18 billion and net income for the month standing at $420.3 million. In terms of policy growth, the company saw a 7% increase in personal auto policies and an 8% boost in special lines.

However, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods maintained their Market Perform rating for Progressive with a steady price target of $207.00, adjusting the 2024 earnings per share estimate downward to $11.00 from the previous $11.55.

Meanwhile, Wells Fargo adjusted its price target for Progressive to $243, a slight decrease from the previous $244 target as the insurance company enters traditionally slower growth months. In contrast, BMO Capital Markets increased the price target on Progressive shares to $235 from the previous target of $234, in light of positive industry developments suggesting a promising future for insurers specializing in personal auto and home coverage.

InvestingPro Insights

Progressive Corp. (NYSE: PGR) continues to make waves in the insurance industry, with a market capitalization of $120.11 billion and a P/E ratio of 20.96, reflecting its significant presence in the market. Analysts have taken note of the company’s performance, with seven analysts revising their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, showcasing confidence in Progressive’s financial outlook. This aligns with Citi’s recent price target increase and reflects the optimism surrounding the company’s future profitability.

InvestingPro data points to a robust revenue growth of nearly 25% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, indicating Progressive’s ability to expand its financial base in a competitive sector. Moreover, the company’s strong cash flows, which can sufficiently cover interest payments, and a history of maintaining dividend payments for 15 consecutive years, signal a stable financial position that could attract investors seeking consistent returns.

For those interested in deeper analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available for Progressive, including insights on the company’s liquidity position and valuation metrics. Subscribers can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking further valuable insights into Progressive’s financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Stock Markets

Hamas says it has not left ceasefire talks after Israeli attacks

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By Nidal al-Mughrabi and Maayan Lubell

CAIRO/JERUSALEM (Reuters) -A senior Hamas official said on Sunday that the Islamist group has not withdrawn from ceasefire talks with Israel after this weekend’s deadly attacks in Gaza that Israel said had targeted the group’s military leader Mohammed Deif.

But Izzat El-Reshiq, a member of the political office of Hamas, accused Israel of trying to derail efforts by Arab mediators and the United States to reach a ceasefire deal by stepping up its attacks in the enclave.

Saturday’s strike in the Khan Younis area of Gaza, in which at least 90 Palestinians were killed, according to local health authorities, has put the ceasefire talks in doubt.

There had been increasingly hopeful signs in recent days that a deal could be reached to halt fighting and return hostages held in Gaza.

Two Egyptian security sources at ceasefire talks in Doha and Cairo said on Saturday that negotiations had been halted after three days of intense talks.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was expected to convene his close circle of ministers later on Sunday to discuss the talks.

The strike on Saturday which targeted Deif killed Rafa Salama, commander of Hamas’ Khan Younis brigade, the Israeli military said on Sunday, but there was no confirmation about the fate of Deif.

“The strike in Khan Younis was a result of surgical intelligence,” the head of the Shin Bet domestic security service said in a video released by the service from Rafah. He said 25 Hamas operatives who took part in the deadly Oct. 7 attack in southern Israel that triggered the war had been killed in the past week.

On Saturday, a senior Hamas official denied that Deif had been killed and the group said Israeli claims were aimed at justifying the attack.

Israel’s military chief said on Sunday in a televised statement that Hamas was concealing the truth about Deif’s fate, but stopped short of confirming whether he was alive or dead.

Israeli forces pressed ahead on Sunday with aerial and ground shelling of several areas across the Gaza Strip, home to 2.3 million people, most of whom have been displaced by the war.

A strike on a UN-run school in Nuseirat camp, one of Gaza’s eight longstanding refugee camps, killed 15 Palestinians and wounded dozens more, Hamas media and health officials said.

The Israeli military said the site was used as a base for Hamas fighters to attack Israeli forces and said numerous steps were taken to limit the risk of harming civilians, including the use of precise munitions and intelligence.

Residents said two missiles targeted the upper floor of the school, not far from the camp’s local market, usually busy with shoppers, where displaced families have also taken shelter nearby.

Earlier on Sunday, Israeli airstrikes on four houses in Gaza City killed at least 16 Palestinians and wounded dozens of others, medics said.

The Gaza health ministry said at least 38,584 Palestinians have been killed and 88,881 others injured in Israel’s military offensive since Oct. 7.

It added that 141 Palestinians were killed by Israeli military strikes across the Gaza Strip in the past day, the biggest one-day death toll in many weeks.

Gaza’s health ministry does not distinguish between combatants and non-combatants but officials say most of the dead throughout the war have been civilians.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Palestinians gather near damage, following what Palestinians say was an Israeli strike at a tent camp in Al-Mawasi area, amid Israel-Hamas conflict, in Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip July 13, 2024. REUTERS/Mohammed Salem/File Photo

Israel says it has lost 326 soldiers in Gaza and says at least a third of the Palestinian fatalities are fighters.

The war began after a Hamas-led attack inside Israel on Oct. 7, that killed 1,200 people, mostly civilians, and saw around 250 taken hostage to Gaza, according to Israeli authorities.

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Stock Markets

Trump rally shooting victim died shielding family from bullets

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(Reuters) -The person shot and killed at former President Donald Trump’s rally in Pennsylvania on Saturday was a 50-year-old volunteer firefighter who shielded his family to protect them as gunshots rang out, the state’s Governor Josh Shapiro said on Sunday.

The victim was identified as Corey Comperatore, according to his family’s posting on Facebook (NASDAQ:).

“The PA Trump Rally claimed the life of my brother, Corey Comperatore. The hatred for one man took the life of the one man we loved the most,” the victim’s sister said in the post on Sunday.

Comperatore previously served as the chief of the Buffalo Township Volunteer Fire Department, according to a report by the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.

Shapiro said he had spoken to Comperatore’s family and he relayed parts of the conversation to reporters.

“Corey died a hero. Corey dove on his family to protect them last night at this rally,” Shapiro said. “Corey was the very best of us.”

Comperatore was survived by a wife and two daughters. “Corey was a girl dad,” Shapiro said.

Shapiro added: “Corey was a firefighter. Corey went to church every Sunday. Corey loved his community and most especially Corey loves his family.”

Shapiro described the victim “as an avid supporter of the former president.”

© Reuters. A satellite image around Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump's rally location in Butler, Pennsylvania, U.S.  June 2, 2023.  Maxar Technologies/Handout via REUTERS

Trump had just begun his speech at the Pennsylvania rally when the sound of shots rang out and it became apparent that Trump was also injured when a bullet grazed his right ear.

The FBI has identified 20-year-old Thomas Matthew Crooks of Bethel Park, Pennsylvania, as the suspect in what the government is calling an assassination attempt on Trump.

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Stock Markets

Google parent close to $23 billion deal to buy cybersecurity startup Wiz, WSJ reports

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(Reuters) – Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:) is in advanced talks to acquire cybersecurity startup Wiz for roughly $23 billion, the Wall Street Journal reported on Sunday, citing people familiar with the matter.

A deal could come together soon, assuming the talks don’t fall apart, the report added.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Small figurines are seen in front of displayed Alphabet logo in this illustration taken February 11, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Ilustration/File Photo

Google and Wiz did not immediately respond to a Reuters’ request for comment.

The U.S.-Israeli startup raised $1 billion in a private funding round in May, which values the four-year-old cloud cybersecurity company at $12 billion.

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