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Bitcoin more likely to plummet to $10,000 than rise to $30,000 — poll

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Bitcoin enthusiasts better watch out: Wall Street thinks the cryptocurrency hasn’t bottomed out yet

According to the latest MLIV Pulse poll, 60% of respondents believe that BTC will fall another half of its current levels, to $10,000, rather than rise to $30,000. Only 40% of those surveyed were optimistic. BTC fell 2.8% to $20,390 in Monday’s trading.

The skewed outlook suggests that bearish sentiment dominates the market. Lately, the industry has been hit by one crisis: after another: cryptocurrencies collapse, lenders go bankrupt. Investors run to safe assets, anticipating the end of an easy money policy.

According to CoinGecko, an analytics service, cryptocurrency market capitalization has shrunk by nearly $2 trillion since the end of last year.

Retail investors are more skeptical. Nearly a quarter of those surveyed believe that cryptocurrency, as an asset class, will become nothing. Professional investors are more open and loyal to digital assets.

Overall, the market remains deeply divided and polarized: about 28% of total respondents believe cryptocurrencies are the future, while 20% say they are useless garbage.

Bitcoin (BTC) hit an all-time high of $69,000 in November 2021; since then, the cryptocurrency has lost two-thirds of its value. The last time $10,000 was fixed was in September 2020.

The crisis in the industry is likely to prompt governments to tighten regulation. Most respondents believe regulations and controls are needed. They will increase trust and encourage mass adoption of cryptocurrency among institutional and retail investors.

Consumers affected by the TerraUSD Stablecoin crash, as well as those who lost money due to the bankruptcy and shutdown of Celsius Network, Voyager and others, would also welcome government intervention.

Regulators and government institutions are also considering developing their own cryptocurrencies.

But neither falling prices nor a possible tightening of controls will destroy the industry. Most respondents believe one of the leading cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin or Ethereum, will remain a driving force over the next five years, even as digital currencies play a key role.

Respondents were nearly unanimous on the issue of non-interchangeable tokens. NFTs have become famous for their fabulous prices. Pictures of monkeys at the peak of the crypto boom were selling for millions of dollars. But the vast majority of those surveyed see them as mere art projects or status indicators, and only 9% see them as an investment opportunity.

Those who are on the lookout for a new bubble, however, would be better off looking at something new. Speculative mania rarely hits the same spot twice. Overall, most respondents believe the next boom will not involve cryptocurrencies.

Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Maintains $63K, Dogecoin’s Rise Continues With Another 6% Surge (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s price recovery tour took it to a multi-day peak of $64,500 yesterday, but the asset failed to continue upward and has retraced by over a grand since then.

Most larger-cal alts are slightly in the red on a daily scale, with TON, ADA, and SHIB declining by 2-4%.

BTC Stopped at $64.5K

The start of May was quite painful for the bitcoin bulls as the cryptocurrency slumped hard after failing to pump above $65,000 a day earlier. The massive correction drove the asset to its lowest price tag in over two months of $56,500.

The Fed’s refusal to raise the interest rates any further brought more volatility, as BTC pumped and dumped by $2,000 in minutes on Wednesday afternoon. Only then started the gradual price recovery as bitcoin jumped to $59,000 by Friday.

The bulls initiated another leg up then that drove the asset to and beyond $62,000. This increase culminated yesterday with an increase to a multi-day high of $64,500.

However, bitcoin failed to overcome that level and has retraced by more than $1,000 since then. Still, it trades above $63,000 and its dominance over the alts has neared 51%. In contrast, its market cap has declined to $1.244 trillion on CG.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart. 05.05.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart. 05.05.2024. Source: TradingView

DOGE Keeps Rising

The largest meme coin – Dogecoin – was among the top performers yesterday and it has only doubled down on its run. DOGE has jumped by another 6% in the past 24 hours and now trades at $0.16.

The other impressive gainer from the top 36 alts is RNDR, which has soared to $9 after an 8.5% daily increase. AVAX, LINK, and NEAR are also in the green.

In contrast, TON, SHIB, and ADA have declined by somewhere between 2-4%. ETH, BNB, SOL, and XRP are also in the red but in a less painful fashion.

The total crypto market cap has declined by around $40 billion since yesterday’s peak and is now down to $2.450 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Ex-FTX Europe Exec Purchases Titanic Gold Watch for $1.5M: Report

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A former executive of the European arm of the bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX has bought a gold pocket watch recovered from the Titanic wreck for £1.175 million ($1.5 million), the largest sum ever spent on any piece from the memorable incident.

According to a Wall Street Journal report, German fintech entrepreneur and former head of FTX Europe Patrick Gruhn bought the 14-karat gold watch last Saturday from the English auction house Henry Aldridge & Son, a leading seller of Titanic memorabilia.

Former FTX Exec Buys Titanic Gold Watch

The pocket watch belonged to American property mogul John Jacob Astor IV, who sank with the ship after his pregnant wife, Madeleine Astor, was rescued in a lifeboat. Astor, the richest passenger aboard the Titanic, was returning from a honeymoon in Europe with his wife when tragedy struck in 1912.

Astor’s body was found a week after the Titanic sank by a steam vessel’s crew. The items found on his body included a gold watch, a gold pencil, a diamond ring, a gold buckled belt, and gold cufflinks. Astor’s son, Vincent, kept the watch for a while before giving it to the son of his late father’s secretary, whose family eventually sold it to John Miottel, a private collector, in the 1990s.

Miottel’s collection auctioned the watch last week, and Gruhn bought it for his wife, Maren Gruhn, revealing they would display the item, engraved with Astor’s initials, in U.S. museums.

“We want people in the U.S. to be able to see and admire this historic relic,” said the former FTX executive.

Gruhn further revealed that he felt connected to Astor because their families left Germany for the U.S. in search of wealth.

FTX Dropped Lawsuit Against Gruhn

Gruhn spearheaded FTX’s European arm until the global entity went bankrupt in November 2022. CryptoPotato reported a few months before FTX’s implosion that Gruhn and the disgraced founder Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) were working towards establishing a regional headquarters for the exchange in Dubai.

Following the exchange’s collapse, the firm’s bankruptcy estate filed a lawsuit against Gruhn and other former executives to recover $323 million SBF spent in acquiring the Swiss company that became FTX Europe on the basis that the founder overpaid. However, the case was dropped in February, with the former executives agreeing to buy back the European assets for roughly $33 million.

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Bitcoin Explodes Above $63K as the Bulls Eye This Level Next (BTC Price Analysis)

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Bitcoin’s price has been going through some major moves throughout the past couple of weeks. The bulls are fighting to reestablish their dominance, staging a convincing recovery above $60K. But will it last?

Technical Analysis

By TradingRage

The Daily Chart

The price has been oscillating inside a descending channel on the daily chart for the past couple of months. The channel was briefly broken to the downside a few days ago.

However, BTC quickly rebounded and climbed back inside the channel, making a fake bearish breakout. With the $60K level also turning into support, the price will likely target the $68K resistance level in the short term.

btc_price_chart_0405241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

Looking at the 4-hour chart, it is evident that the price has quickly recovered from below the channel and the $60K level. The midline of the descending channel is now the next target.

Meanwhile, with the RSI approaching the overbought zone, the price might experience a pullback soon. The continuation of the bullish trend is dependent on whether the price can finally break the channel to the upside.

btc_price_chart_0405242
Source: TradingView

On-Chain Analysis

By TradingRage

Bitcoin Miners Position Index

While Bitcoin’s price has been trading below the $75K level, many market participants have been offloading their coins as they assume that the bull market might be over or a much deeper pullback is probable. However, miners are not in this group.

This chart demonstrates the Miners Position Index (MPI) metric. It measures miners’ selling pressure. Values above 2 can be considered dangerous, as they show massive destruction by the miners.

btc_miners_position_index_chart_0504241
Source: CryptoQuant

As the chart depicts, the MPI has been dropping rapidly over the last few months. This is a good sign, as the Miners’ selling pressure is declining. Thus, with sufficient demand, Bitcoin’s price can once again begin a rally toward $80K and even higher prices.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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