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BTC: it’s not over yet, the surrender will continue

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Bitcoin (BTC) has rolled back below $20,000 again as the capitulation in the market continues. The bottom of this bearish cycle is probably still a few months away.

Why BTC rolled back under $20,000 again

Bitcoin once again failed to hold above the key $20,000 psychological mark after the weekend rally and is trading down intraday as of this writing. There are still not enough buyers in the market to support and build on BTC’s growth.

Even long-term holders are now getting rid of BTC, according to a recent onchain survey by Glassnode analysts.

According to Glassnode, capitulation in the market is still ongoing amid ongoing extreme financial stress. Experts believe that before the market does find a steady bottom, pressure will persist and further declines in BTC are possible.

“While many signals point to the proximity of a bottom, the market still needs time and new pain to form a stable base. The woes of bitcoin investors are not over yet.”

Determining exactly when the market has bottomed out is a challenge even for a professional trader. Glassnode points out that miners continue to sell coins, a trend that has persisted over the past couple of months.  

Meanwhile, in the previous bear market, the capitulation of miners lasted about four months. Therefore, it is likely that the capitulation will continue in Q3.

Experts also write that in the 2018/19 bear market, the drawdown lasted for about 15 months, and ultimately the scale of the BTC collapse from highs to lows was 84%.

Right now, the similar size of bitcoin’s drawdown is just over 71%. If we apply the scenario of the past to the current cycle, we should expect BTC to touch a bottom around $12,000 – $13,000 and then remain sideways until Q1 2023.

Glassnode adds:

“One of the major outcomes of a prolonged bear market is a redistribution of wealth among the remaining participants.”

Capitulation catalysts

This month, we will be treated to a deluge of new macroeconomic data that may not be cheerful for investors. As a result, they may become catalysts for the final washout of positions on the crypto market.

On July 13, the US will publish a Consumer Price Index (CPI). According to the forecasts, it may slightly increase in June compared to May and amount to 8.7%.

This may put further pressure on the Fed, forcing it to tighten monetary policy more actively. Rising lending interest rates are traditionally a negative factor for risky assets, which now include cryptocurrencies.

That said, a number of analysts believe that the Fed will not be able to continue tightening in 2023. This could mean that despite the painful rest of 2022, the crypto market will soon find its feet. In this case, we can expect a potential recovery of cryptocurrencies, including BTC, next year.

“This indicates that whilst many bottom formation signals are in place, the market still requires an element of duration and time pain to establish a resilient bottom. Bitcoin investors are not out of the woods yet,” the analysts state.

Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Price Up 3% as New BRC20 Token 99Bitcoins Raises $1M in ICO

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Bitcoin has rallied almost 3% over the past 24 hours, showing signs of recovery from its recent dip. Just two days ago, BTC dropped below the $60,000 mark, reaching as low as $56,500, causing some concern across the market. However, signs of a steady recovery are apparent as we move forward into the post-halving pattern.

Meanwhile, BRC20 tokens are gaining more widespread attention as a way to increase Bitcoin’s utility and send the price soaring again. The new BRC20 token, 99Bitcoins Token, has just raised over $1 million in its presale as its upcoming airdrop draws near.

Experts Point to Previous Post-Halving Bitcoin Price Patterns

Although Bitcoin has fallen below the important support level of $59,000, it seems to be following a similar pattern to other Halving events. Normally, Bitcoin tends to dip slightly before rallying around and powering up to new heights.

Some experts have pointed to this as an essential correction for the price to increase steadily rather than fluctuate wildly.

With movements over the past 24 hours showing a positive market sentiment, the Crypto Fear & Greed indicator for Bitcoin has moved from fear to neutral. This is a sign that some of the more skittish investors are being reassured by the slight increase in the price of BTC.

Meanwhile, more bullish investors are looking to the new BRC20 token standard for extra exposure to Bitcoin price movements and the new utility it brings to the Bitcoin ecosystem.

BRC20 Standard Opens up a New Narrative for 2024

The launch of ERC20 tokens was a pivotal moment in crypto history, starting the rise of Ethereum as a possible contender to lead the crypto market. While Bitcoin has never lost its hold over the market, it certainly ceded some ground to the Ethereum ecosystem with its wide range of applications and new tokens born from the development of the ERC20 standard.

However, last year saw the arrival of the BRC20 token standard opening Bitcoin up to a variety of new applications. We’ve seen Bitcoin’s market dominance grow since the BRC20 token standard was launched last year.

Now that BRC20 is maturing, we’re starting to see many investors pour into the BRC20 space, enjoying the exposure to the price of Bitcoin at a low entry point while being able to create fungible tokens from fractions of Bitcoins.

One new BRC20 token, 99Bitcoins Token, has been attracting the attention of investors and experts across the market with an exciting presale and upcoming Bitcoin airdrop.

99Bitcoins Token Races Past the $1 Million Mark

Since its inception in 2013, 99Bitcoins has gained a reputation for providing unbiased and factual information about Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, including its popular free Bitcoin Crash Course.

Now, 99Bitcoins aims to attract newcomers with its new Learn-to-Earn $99BTC token. The learning platform rewards users with tokens as they engage with educational content, fostering crypto literacy in a transparent and accessible manner. The token is being launched on the Ethereum network but will bridge over to the BRC20 token standard after the presale ends.

The presale has already raised over $1 million and the upcoming $99,999 $BTC airdrop has attracted almost 5,000 entries. Currently priced at just $0.00103, this price is set to go up in a few days. With such an established reputation and the need for crypto education across the entire space, this presale is one to watch.

Visit 99Bitcoins Token Presale

Disclaimer: The above article is sponsored content; it’s written by a third party. CryptoPotato doesn’t endorse or assume responsibility for the content, advertising, products, quality, accuracy, or other materials on this page. Nothing in it should be construed as financial advice. Readers are strongly advised to verify the information independently and carefully before engaging with any company or project mentioned and do their own research. Investing in cryptocurrencies carries a risk of capital loss, and readers are also advised to consult a professional before making any decisions that may or may not be based on the above-sponsored content.

Readers are also advised to read CryptoPotato’s full disclaimer.

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BTC Price Surges Above $59K as Spot Bitcoin ETF Outflows Ease Up

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Days after suffering devastating losses that dragged its price to $56,500, bitcoin rebounded on Thursday and during the early hours of Friday. This coincided with a slowdown in outflows from spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US compared to the previous day’s record outflows.

According to the latest data compiled by SoSoValue, spot bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $34.4 million on May 2nd.

Bitcoin ETFs Experience Slower Outflows

BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC, the second and third-largest BTC funds by total net assets, had no new flows on Thursday. A similar trend was seen across Bitwise’s BITB, VanEck’s HODL, and WisdomTree’s BTCW which recorded no flow.

However, Bloomberg’s prominent ETF analyst James Seyffart had previously noted that having days of zero inflows is completely normal and shouldn’t be misinterpreted as a failure of the products themselves.

Meanwhile, Grayscale’s GBTC, which has been notoriously experiencing outflows, was the only ETF to see a net outflow on Thursday, totaling $55 million, as per SoSoValue.

On the other hand, Ark Invest’s ARKB led daily net inflows added 13 million. Other spot bitcoin ETFs from Franklin Templeton’s EZBC, Valkyrie’s BRRR, and Invesco and Galaxy Digital’s BTCO recorded $3 million, $2 million, and $1 million in inflows respectively, thereby totaling $6 million combined.

This comes a day after the market saw a record level of outflows for these investment vehicles, registering the largest ever at over $563 million. Fidelity’s FBTC, which had only started losing its grip last week, recorded $191 million in outflows from the fund, surpassing GBTC’s outflow.

May 1st also marked the first time BlackRock’s IBIT recorded a net daily outflow amidst the broader market drawdown that led bitcoin to slip to the lows of $56,500.

Bitcoin Recovery

The market appears to be recovering as bitcoin attracted a modest 3% gain over the past day that pushed its price above $59,300 after FOMC’s dovish stance. As noted by QCP Capital, Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the Fed is not considering rate hikes and announced a reduction in Quantitative Tightening (QT) from $60 billion monthly to $25 billion during the FOMC meeting.

Similarly, in the QRA, the Treasury plans to maintain issuances for longer maturities unchanged, alleviating concerns about a surge in longer-term yields. This approach is expected to dampen the rally of the US dollar, which in turn, bodes well for risk assets such as bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.

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Important Ripple v. SEC Lawsuit Update: Here’s How the Trial’s Going

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TL;DR

  • Ripple contests the SEC’s classification of the “Fox Declaration” as standard evidence, arguing it’s expert testimony, which affects the legal proceedings.
  • Predictions suggest a possible $100 million settlement in case, potentially impacting XRP’s value and the broader crypto market.

Ripple Strikes Back

The legal battle between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) escalated recently due to a disagreement on one key witness’ testimony. The two entities can not find common ground on a statement from Andrea Fox (known as the “Fox Declaration”).

The company initially argued that the testimony represented an unsolicited expert opinion, while the regulator described the process as “standard summary evidence in support of calculations for disgorgement.” 

The Commission also claimed that the “Fox Declaration” consists of information derived from documents generated by Ripple itself, including tax returns and financial statements, which can be useful for determining the case’s outcome.

Most recently, the firm filed a letter in further support of its initial request. It maintained that the SEC failed to show that the “Fox Declaration” is summary evidence rather than expert testimony. 

“Fox is an expert because she purports to use technical or other specialized knowledge to help the trier of fact to understand the evidence or to determine a fact in issue. She does not merely apply basic arithmetic to Ripple’s financial records, as the SEC contends.

Rather, she analyzes Ripple’s records, third-party evidence, and expert reports; draws inferences and conclusions about those documents; and calculates disgorgement, prejudgment interest, and discount amounts based on her analysis.”

The company went further, arguing that even if Andrea Fox could be classified as a summary witness (rather than an expert), the SEC failed to disclose her before the end of the discovery process.

Having that said, Ripple insisted that the testimony should not be taken into account when determining the case’s resolution. 

Is a Settlement on the Horizon?

Despite the start of the trial, it remains unclear when the Ripple v SEC case will be officially closed or whether the parties will shake hands on a mutual agreement. One person who predicted the second scenario is the American lawyerJeremy Hogan. He thinks the lawsuit may draw to an end this summer following a $100 million settlement.

“I’m saying that the Judge will order 0 disgorgement but throws the SEC a bone and orders Ripple to pay a $100 million penalty,” Hogan stated.

Recall that the watchdog sought a $2 billion fine on the company alleging XRP sales violations. The latter insisted that the penalty should not exceed $10 million.

The outcome of the case might trigger a substantial price rally on Ripple’s native token and the entire crypto market (in the event of a decisive victory for the firm). On the other hand, the sector could be negatively affected if the SEC emerges victorious.

Those willing to learn more about the specifics of the lengthy lawsuit and its impact on XRP, feel free to watch our dedicated video below:

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