Cryptocurrency
Shrimpers are sweeping BTC off the market faster than at the peak of the 2017 bull market
In cryptocurrency slang, shrimpers are holders who have less than 1 BTC in their wallet. Right now, the number of shrimpers in the market is growing as fast as possible. Even at the peak of the historic bull market in late 2017, they weren’t arriving in such numbers.
Shrimp are near the bottom of bitcoin’s joke food chain, just above plankton. The lowest kind of cryptocurrency organisms are holders with less than 0.05 BTC. This is not the only classification of bitcoin holders, but it gives an idea of the size and importance of the various market participants.
Bitcoin shrimp are gaining ground
Previously, the number of small bitcoin addresses is steadily growing despite a deep correction in the market. The number of wallets with balances of over 0.01 BTC and over 0.1 BTC has been steadily increasing since early 2021.
However, this trend accelerated in mid-June 2022. During previous market cycles, such dynamics in the bitcoin network indicated a bull market acceleration. In contrast, during major market corrections, onchain analysis generally indicated a slight increase, stagnation, or even a decrease in the number of addresses with a balance of less than 0.1 BTC.
Well-known analyst in cryptocurrency circles @WClementeIII tweeted a 90-day graph of changes in the number of coins in the hands of small holders (no more than 1 BTC in the wallet). It shows the strong growth of bitcoins in shrimp wallets. The current values have left behind the levels of late 2017, when the market was dominated by bullish sentiment and the BTC exchange rate reached an all-time high of $20,000 at the time.
During that time, BTC managed to plummet to $69,000, fall 70% in price, and return to the landmark level of 2017. Bearish sentiment and extreme fear are in stark contrast to the euphoria and exorbitant greed that reigned over the market in late 2017. And yet the shrimpers are behaving just as they did then. Moreover, they are buying bitcoin even more willingly, believing that now is the right time to do so.
Why shrimp are buying BTC
The classic market axiom is that “retail is never right.” With 2017, it’s clear: Small investors were buying at the peak and big whales were dumping coins. They sold at the best possible time. But the situation is different now. Shrimp accumulates bitcoin in large quantities after it has already lost 70% of its value.
But there is a third possibility: the increase in the number of holders with a balance less than 1 BTC, does not indicate an influx of small private investors. It’s possible that people are simply splitting their investments, opening many wallets with small balances. This was pointed out by another well-known crypto analyst @woonomic. He wrote:
“Keep in mind that such data on the number of holders is extremely unstable and tends to be overly optimistic on short intervals. It takes a couple of years for the statistics to settle down. For example, it is assumed that small transactions are made by new people and then it turns out that they belong to an existing investor who has more than 1 BTC.”
Cryptocurrency podcast host @VentureCoinist, thinks the influx of shrimp is still a sign of an impending downturn.
“I’ll pretend I didn’t see what happened the last time this metric went up this much.”
Finally, another user @fusillifadi, posted data that seems to support Clemente’s assumption of organic shrimp growth. Citing data from cooper.co, he provided a graph of the average daily growth rate of wallets with balances under 1 BTC.
Since the end of 2021, year, we have seen a clear trend of shrimp growth that can only be compared to 2017. Although the last period of 2017 saw a much larger increase, the current numbers are ahead of the trend recorded in 2018-2021.
Shrimp buy bitcoins mostly from miners. In 2017, 49% of bitcoins sold by miners went to wallets with a balance of less than 1 BTC. In 2022, that figure rose to 75%. Other onchain statistics confirm the surrender of miners. Thus, we get the answer to the question of who supplies bitcoins to the shrimpers.
Cryptocurrency
‘Normal’ Correction or Bull Market End for Bitcoin and Crypto?
The landscape in the cryptocurrency space can change drastically in days. Recall that bitcoin tapped a new all-time high of over $108,000 on Tuesday, but its price has slumped to $94,500 since then.
This came after a few remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who warned that the central bank could not purchase BTC despite Trump’s promises and that there might not be any more key interest rate reductions in 2025.
With bitcoin reacting the way it did to those comments, this has led to speculations among the crypto community about whether this is just another ‘normal’ correction during a bull market cycle or whether the asset’s post-Trump-victory honeymoon is over.
Bull Market’s End Side
Even before Donald Trump’s decisive victory, BTC’s price had already started to appreciate after the US Federal Reserve pivoted from its previous monetary strategy and started lowering the interest rates. In fact, the first cut was the deepest, as they say, when the central bank reduced the rates by 50 basis points.
Riskier assets such as bitcoin reacted with immediate price increases. However, the Fed’s policy seems to have a bigger impact on the asset’s price movements than many anticipated.
After all, the expected 25 basis point reduction from Wednesday didn’t lead to another price increase. Just the opposite, the central bank’s warning about another potential reversal in its strategy resulted in a bloodbath for BTC and the entire crypto market.
Consequently, those who argue that the bull market might have ended received some validation. In case the Fed indeed stops cutting the rates, BTC’s bull market might come to a screeching halt. Powell’s actions have already changed US investors’ behavior toward the cryptocurrency, as the spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their worst day in terms of net outflows since their inception nearly a year ago.
Some analysts believe the $94,000 support zone is crucial for bitcoin, which is close to being tested now. If lost, the asset could plummet to $90,000 and even $80,000.
Just a Correction Side
Captain Faibrik also outlined the $94,000 support line as crucial during this correction. They told their 100,000 followers on X that such a price drop to that line would be a “healthy reset” and it could propel the asset in the opposite direction and continue its months-long rally.
$BTC #Bitcoin Correction is almost Done..!! https://t.co/GXWt21b5o6 pic.twitter.com/4d9QPO3kuk
— Captain Faibik (@CryptoFaibik) December 20, 2024
Crypto_Rover was also on the ‘just a correction’ side, claiming that this is the ‘final bear trap’ and investors should not be shaken out.
If you survived the #Bitcoin bear market…
Don’t let this final bear trap shake you out this bull market.
Don’t give up now.
The next 3 months can truly change your life.
— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) December 20, 2024
In any case, it seems as if the $94,000 support will indeed be vital for BTC’s upcoming price movements. It was tested on a couple of occasions last week and bitcoin is close to doing it again. Recall that the cryptocurrency bounced off after the second such test on December 10 and marked a new all-time high just a week later.
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Cryptocurrency
Why is the Ripple (XRP) Price Down Today?
TL;DR
- XRP experienced a sharp decline, briefly falling below $2.20 following a broader crypto market correction.
- Despite the dip many analysts foresee the asset rebounding to targets as high as $5, with some projecting even greater peaks if a FOMO-driven rally occurs.
XRP Follows the Market Decline
Despite the enhanced volatility, the first half of December has been quite successful for Ripple’s XRP. At the start of the month, its price surpassed a multi-year high of $2.80, while at the beginning of this week, it consolidated above $2.50.
However, things took a sudden turn on December 18, with XRP plunging below $2.30. Several hours ago, the valuation dipped under $2.20. Currently, XRP is around $2.23 after a slight rebound, which represents a 6% decline on a daily scale.
Perhaps the most obvious factor that has impacted the price of the token is the severe correction of the entire cryptocurrency sector. The global crypto market capitalization is down almost 9% in the last 24 hours, currently set at around $3.42 trillion (CoinGecko’s data).
Bitcoin (BTC), which hit a new all-time high of over $108,000 on December 17, is now worth less than $96,000. Ethereum (ETH) tumbled below $3,300, while Solana (SOL), Dogecoin (DOGE), Cardano (ADA), and many more are down by double digits.
The market started bleeding heavily shortly after the Federal Reserve announced its latest interest rate cut. It reduced the benchmark by 0.25%, but Jerome Powell hinted that next year, the policy might be halted due to an increase in the inflation rate.
In addition to that, the spot Bitcoin ETFs witnessed their biggest outflows in a single day. As CryptoPotato reported, over $670 million were withdrawn from the financial vehicles in total on a 24-hour scale, with Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s BTC leading the pack – $208.5 and $188.6 million, respectively.
XRP’s Next Potential Targets
Despite the substantial plunge, numerous analysts remain optimistic that XPR’s bull run is far from over. The popular X user Crypto Bitlord believes the latest correction has represented a local bottom, after which XRP could surge to as high as $5.
Other market observers who recently chipped in are Dark Defender and Armando Pantoja. The former set $5.85 and $8.76 as short-term targets, while the latter assumed XRP could be headed toward $2.78 and then $3.87. Pantoja went even further, predicting a mass FOMO effect if the price reach $10-$12, and “that’s when it will get crazy.”
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Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin Could Skyrocket by 25% in Days if History Repeats But There’s a Catch: Data
Bitcoin’s massive rise from under $70,000 to over $108,000 within a month and a half after Donald Trump’s landslide victory in the US presidential elections left some investors outside the circle.
However, the ever-volatile nature of BTC always leads to substantial corrections that provide opportunities for those who missed the initial train to get on board. In the past couple of days, bitcoin’s price tumbled by double-digits, which, according to Santiment, has made the crowd seek to buy the dip.
Moreover, history shows that it could send BTC flying again.
Is BTC About to Bounce?
As the analytics platform noted, the last time these discussions exploded in a similar manner was in early August when the cryptocurrency’s price tumbled below $50,000. Just a few days later, though, the asset had climbed by over 25% to beyond $62,000.
If history is to repeat itself now, even though BTC’s market cap is a lot higher, bitcoin could recover from its big retracement and head toward a new all-time high again of over $120,000.
With Bitcoin falling as low as $95.5K today, the ratio of crypto discussions that are about buying crypto’s dip has reached its highest level in over 8 months. The last time we saw the crowd nearly this enthusiastic about dip buying was the major crash on August 4th. Since… pic.twitter.com/39NlpnGMCs
— Santiment (@santimentfeed) December 20, 2024
Not So Fast
Although the ‘buy-the-dip’ history shows that BTC’s correction could be over, this narrative is not supported by other on-chain and technical metrics, such as one particular demand zone.
IntoTheBlock posted even before bitcoin lost the $100,000 mark decisively yesterday that such an area had formulated at around $97,500, given the large number of investors purchasing at such prices more than 1.4 million BTC. These accumulations turned that level into an ‘important’ support zone, which has now been broken to the downside.
Once such vital support lines are breached and investors who had entered recently see their positions in the red, at least on paper, many tend to dispose of their holdings, which leads to more intense selling pressure for the underlying asset.
Will Bitcoin retrace below $100k?
Interestingly, a significant demand zone has formed just under $100k.
Over 1.45 million BTC was accumulated at an average price 97.5k, making this an important potential support zone. pic.twitter.com/vDcHEl8OKV
— IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) December 19, 2024
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