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Renewables growth did not dent fossil fuel dominance in 2022

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Global energy demand rose 1% last year and record renewables growth did nothing to shift the dominance of fossil fuels, which still accounted for 82% of supply, the industry’s Statistical Review of World Energy report said on Monday.

Last year was marked by turmoil in the energy markets after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which helped to boost gas and coal prices to record levels in Europe and Asia.

The stubborn lead of oil, gas and coal products in covering most energy demand cemented itself in 2022 despite the largest ever increase in renewables capacity at a combined 266 gigawatts, with solar leading wind power growth, the report said.

“Despite further strong growth in wind and solar in the power sector, overall global energy-related greenhouse gas emissions increased again,” said the president of the UK-based global industry body Energy Institute, Juliet Davenport.

“We are still heading in the opposite direction to that required by the Paris Agreement.”

The annual report, a benchmark for the industry, was published for the first time by the Energy Institute together with consultancies KPMG and Kearny after they took it over from BP, which had authored the report since the 1950s.

Scientists say the world needs to cut greenhouse gas emissions by around 43% by 2030 from 2019 levels to have any hope of meeting the international Paris Agreement goal of keeping warming well below 2C above pre-industrial levels.

Here are some highlights from the report on 2022:

CONSUMPTION

Global primary energy demand grew around 1%, slowing fromthe previous year’s 5.5%, but demand was still around 3% abovepre-coronavirus levels in 2019.

* Energy consumption grew everywhere apart from Europe,including Eastern Europe.

* Renewables, excluding hydropower, accounted for 7.5% ofglobal energy consumption, around 1% higher than the previousyear.

* The share of fossil fuels in global energy consumptionremained at 82%.

* Electricity generation was up 2.3%, slowing down from theprevious year. Wind and solar power grew to a record share of12% of power generation, again surpassing nuclear, which fell4.4%, and meeting 84% of net electricity demand growth.

* Coal’s share in power generation remained dominant ataround 35.4%.

OIL

Oil consumption increased by 2.9 million barrels per day(bpd) to 97.3 million bpd, with growth slowing compared with theprevious year.

* Compared with pre-Covid levels in 2019, oil consumptionwas 0.7% lower.

* Most oil demand growth came from revived appetite for jetfuel and diesel-related products.

* Oil production grew by 3.8 million bpd, with the lion’sshare coming from OPEC members and the United States. Nigeriasaw the largest decline.

* Oil refining capacity grew by 534,000 bpd, mainly innon-OECD countries.

NATURAL GAS

Amid record prices in Europe and Asia, global gas demandfell 3% but still made up 24% of primary energy consumption,slightly below the previous year.

* Gas production was stable year-on-year.

* Liquefied natural gas (LNG) production was up 5% at 542billion cubic metres (bcm), a similar pace to the previous year,with most growth coming from North America and the Asia-Pacificregion.

* Europe accounted for much of LNG demand growth, increasingits imports by 57%, while countries in the Asia-Pacific regionand South and Central America reduced purchases.

* Japan replaced China as the world’s largest LNG importer.

COAL

Coal prices hit record levels, rising 145% in Europe and45% in Japan.

* Coal consumption rose 0.6%, its highest level since 2014,driven mainly by Chinese and Indian demand, while consumption inNorth America and Europe declined.

* Coal output was 7% higher than the previous year, withChina, India and Indonesia accounting for most of the growth.

RENEWABLES

Growth in renewable power, excluding hydro-power, sloweddown slightly to 14% but solar and wind capacity still showed arecord increase of 266 gigawatts, with solar taking the lion’sshare.

* China added the most solar and wind power.

EMISSIONS

Global energy-related emissions, including industrialprocesses and flaring, were up 0.8% reaching a new high of 39.3billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent.MINERALS

* Lithium carbonate prices jumped 335%. Cobalt prices wereup 24%. * Lithium and cobalt production rose 21%.

Commodities

Chinese companies win licensing bids to explore Iraq oil and gas fields

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By Moayed Kenany, Timour Azhari and Adam Makary

BAGHDAD (Reuters) -Chinese companies won bids to explore five Iraqi oil and gas fields on Saturday in a licensing round for hydrocarbon exploration that was primarily aimed at ramping up gas production for domestic use.

An Iraqi Kurdish company also took two of the 29 projects up for grabs in the three-day licensing round across central, southern and western Iraq, which for the first time includes an offshore exploration block in the country’s Arab Gulf waters.

Iraq aims to lure billions of dollars of investments to develop its oil and gas sector as it looks to ramp up local petrochemicals production and end imports of gas from neighbouring Iran that are currently key to producing power.

More than 20 companies pre-qualified for the licensing round, including European, Chinese, Arab and Iraqi groups.

There were notably no U.S. oil majors involved, even after Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia met with representatives of U.S. oil firms during an official visit to the United States last month.

Five bids were won on Saturday by Chinese companies.

Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group (ZPEC) took the northern extension of the Eastern Baghdad field, in Baghdad, and the Middle Euphrates field that straddles the southern Najaf and Karbala provinces, the oil ministry said.

China’s United Energy Group Ltd won a bid to develop the Al-Faw field in southern Basra, while ZhenHua won a bid to develop Iraq’s Qurnain field in the Iraqi-Saudi border region and Geo-Jade won a bid to develop Iraq’s Zurbatiya field in the Wasit.

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Two oil and gas fields were taken by Iraq’s KAR Group – the Dimah field in eastern Maysan province, and the Sasan & Alan fields in Iraq’s northwestern Nineveh province – the ministry said.

Around 20 more projects are open for bidding on Sunday and Monday.

Falah Al-amri, the Iraqi prime minister’s advisor for oil and gas issues, said the government hoped the new projects would raise oil production to 6 million barrels per day by 2030 from around 5 million now.

The government also wants the projects to produce enough so that, along with plans to all-but eliminate gas flaring by 2030, Iraq could end imports.

“Its too early to talk about (gas) exports. We want to get self-sufficient,” Al-amri told Reuters.

Iraq, OPEC’s second-largest oil producer after Saudi Arabia, at one time had targeted becoming a rival to the Gulf Arab kingdom with output of over a tenth of global demand.

But its oil sector development has been hampered by contract terms viewed as unfavourable by many major oil companies as well as recurring conflict and political paralysis.

Growing investor focus in recent years on environmental, social and governance criteria have also had an effect.

Western oil giants such as Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:) and Royal Dutch Shell (LON:) Plc have departed from a number of projects in Iraq while Chinese companies have steadily expanded their footprint.

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Commodities

Oil falls on prospect of higher-for-longer US rates, stronger dollar

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By Laila Kearney

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Oil prices fell by nearly $1 a barrel on Friday as comments from U.S. central bank officials indicated higher-for-longer interest rates, which could hinder demand from the world’s largest crude consumers.

futures settled at $82.79 a barrel, down $1.09, or 1.3%. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled at $78.26 a barrel, down $1.00, or 1.3%.

For the week, Brent logged a 0.2% loss, while WTI recorded a rise of 0.2%.

Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan on Friday said it was unclear whether monetary policy was tight enough to bring down inflation to the U.S. central bank’s 2% goal.

Higher interest rates typically slow economic activity and weaken oil demand.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also told Reuters he thought inflation was likely to slow under current monetary policy, enabling the central bank to begin reducing its policy rate in 2024 – though perhaps by only a quarter of a percentage point and not until the final months of the year.

“The two Fed speakers certainly seemed to put the kibosh on the prospect of rate cuts,” said John Kilduff, a partner at Again Capital.

The U.S. dollar strengthened after the Fed officials’ comments, making greenback-denominated commodities more expensive for buyers using other currencies. Higher-for-longer U.S. interest rates could also dampen demand.

Oil prices were also under pressure from rising U.S. fuel inventories approaching the typically robust summer driving season, said Jim Ritterbusch of Ritterbusch and Associates.

“Given the price decline of the past month and the weaker-than-expected demand trends for U.S. gasoline and diesel, some bearish demand adjustment would appear likely,” Ritterbusch said.

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Next week, U.S. inflation data could influence Fed decisions on rates.

Oil drew little support from the U.S. oil rig count, which is an indicator of future supply, despite energy services firm Baker Hughes data showing the number of oil rigs fell by three to 496 this week, their lowest since November. [RIG/U]

Money managers, meanwhile, cut their net long futures and options positions in the week to May 7 by 56,517 contracts to 82,697, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission said.

Data on Thursday showing China imported more oil in April than the same month last year also helped keep oil prices from moving lower. China’s exports and imports returned to growth in April after contracting the previous month.

The European Central Bank, meanwhile, looks increasingly likely to start cutting rates in June.

In Europe, a Ukrainian drone attack set an oil refinery in Russia’s Kaluga region on fire, RIA state news agency reported on Friday, the latest salvo from Kyiv in what has become a series of tit-for-tat attacks on energy infrastructure.

Conflict in the Middle East also continues after Israeli forces bombarded areas of the southern Gaza city of Rafah on Thursday, according to Palestinian residents, after a lack of progress in the latest round of negotiations to halt hostilities in Gaza.

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Commodities

Wildfire evacuation notice issued for oil sands rich Alberta town

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TORONTO (Reuters) -An evacuation alert has been issued for Fort McMurray, Alberta, as an out-of-control fire rages southwest of the major Canadian oil town, making it among the first actions ahead of the wildfire season.

In a notice late on Friday, the Alberta government said the wildfire danger is “extreme” in the Fort McMurray Forest Area and out of control at 1,000 hectares (2,471 acres) in size.

It said strong winds are expected on Saturday, as a cold front continues to pass over the region. Helicopter pilots using night vision equipment surveilled the wildfire area overnight.

In 2016, a huge wildfire in Fort McMurray forced the evacuation of 90,000 residents and shut in more than a million barrels per day of oil output.

Residents in Saprea Creek Estates are also placed on alert from the municipality of Wood Buffalo. In British Columbia, the Northern Rockies Regional Municipality issued an evacuation order for the town of Fort Nelson.

The federal government has warned Canada faces another “catastrophic” wildfire season as it forecasted higher-than-normal spring and summer temperatures across much of the country, boosted by El Nino weather conditions.

Meeting with fire chiefs in West Kelowna, one of several B.C. communities that were forced to evacuate thousands of people last summer, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on Friday that it was likely to be “a very bad forest fire season.”

“People are worried about what the summer might bring. People are worried what the future might hold,” he said.

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Last year Canada endured its worst-ever fire season, with more than 6,600 blazes burning 15 million hectares, an area roughly seven times the annual average. Eight firefighters died and 230,000 people were evacuated from their homes.

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