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Price analysis 7/1: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT

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Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a volatile trading session on the last day of the quarter. The bulls were trying to maintain Bitcoin’s price above $31,000 but they received a jolt on a Wall Street Journal report which stated that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had returned applications for the Bitcoin spot-price exchange-traded fund (ETF). 

Although there was a knee-jerk reaction to the news, the downside was limited because it turned out that the ETF applications were returned due to a technical issue. The regulators said the asset managers could refile after providing the necessary clarifications.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Bitcoin’s failure to cross above $31,000 seems to be making the short-term speculators jittery. A Glassnode research report released on June 28 shows that short-term holders (STHs), entities holding coins for 155 days or less, have sent more than 35,000 coins to the exchanges.

Any adverse news is likely to witness a negative reaction from SThs. What are the important support and resistance levels that need to be watched on Bitcoin and altcoins in the near term? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

Bitcoin price analysis

Bitcoin continues its tight consolidation near the overhead resistance at $31,000. This shows that the bears are trying their level best to stall the up-move but the bulls have kept up the pressure.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Generally, a tight consolidation near an overhead resistance resolves to the upside. The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average ($28,982) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the positive territory indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside.

If buyers sustain the price above $31,000, the BTC/USDT pair could pick up momentum and start the next leg of its uptrend. There is a minor resistance at $32,400 but it is likely to be scaled. The pair could then dash toward $40,000.

This positive view will invalidate in the near term if the price turns down and plummets below the 20-day EMA. The pair may then swing inside the large range between $31,000 and $24,800 for a few more days.

Ether price analysis

Ether (ETH) bounced off the moving averages on June 29, indicating that the lower levels are attracting buyers.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to propel the price above the overhead resistance at $1,937. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair may rise to the psychological level of $2,000. This level may again act as a minor barrier but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then rally to $2,142.

Instead, if the price turns down sharply from 1,937, it will suggest that bears are not willing to surrender. That will increase the likelihood of a drop below the moving averages. The pair may then slump to $1,700 and next to $1,600.

BNB price analysis

BNB (BNB) slipped below the support at $230 on June 28 but the long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls aggressively purchased the dip.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA ($245) remains the key level for the bulls to cross. If they kick the price above it, the BNB/USDT pair could fly toward the overhead resistance zone between $257 and $265. Sellers are expected to mount a strong defense in this zone.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then make one more attempt to sink the pair below $220 and start the next leg of the downtrend.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) fell close to the first support at $0.44 on June 28 and June 30 but the long tail on the candlesticks shows strong buying at lower levels.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The $0.44 support is an important level to watch out for in the near term. If this level breaks down, the selling could pick up and the XRP/USDT pair may tumble to $0.41. This level may again attract strong buying by the bulls.

The 20-day EMA ($0.48) remains the key resistance for the bulls to scale. If buyers overcome this obstacle, it will enhance the prospects of a rally to the strong overhead resistance zone between $0.53 and $0.56.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) has been range-bound between $0.24 and $0.30 for the past few days. The long wick on the June 30 candlestick shows that the bears are fiercely defending the $0.30 level.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The failure to sustain the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.28) could keep the ADA/USDT pair stuck inside the range for some more time.

A close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication that the bears may be losing their grip. Buyers will then try to strengthen their position further by driving the price above the crucial overhead resistance at $0.30. If they do that, the pair may surge toward the 50-day SMA ($0.32).

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) turned up from the support at $0.06 on June 28, indicating that the bulls continue to defend the level with vigor.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. The price may swing between $0.06 and $0.07 for a while longer. This neutral view will tilt in favor of the buyers if they thrust and sustain the price above the overhead resistance at $0.07. The DOGE/USDT pair may then climb to $0.08.

Alternatively, the bears will have to sink and sustain the price below the strong support of $0.06 to gain the upper hand. The pair may then fall to the vital support at $0.05.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) broke below the $16.18 support on June 28 but this proved to be a bear trap. The price turned up sharply on June 29 and skyrocketed above the 20-day EMA ($17.07) as the bears may have rushed to cover their short positions.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buying continued on June 30 and the bulls are trying to drive the price above the breakdown level of $18.70. If they can pull it off, the SOL/USDT pair may shoot up to $22 and subsequently to $24.

If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to stop the relief rally at $18.70 and pull the price back below the 20-day EMA. The pair could then retest the crucial support zone between $16.18 and $15.28.

Related: Why approving a Bitcoin ETF might unleash $18B in sell-pressure

Litecoin price analysis

Litecoin (LTC) plummeted below the moving averages on June 28 but the bears could not build upon this advantage.

LTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls purchased the dip on June 29 and pushed the price back above the moving averages on June 30. This attracted aggressive buying by the bulls who drove the price above the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. The price reached the crucial resistance at $106 but the bulls could not overcome this barrier.

This is an important level for the bears to defend because if this resistance crumbles, the LTC/USDT pair may jump to $135. The major support is at the downtrend line of the channel.

Polygon price analysis

Polygon (MATIC) is attempting to form a bullish ascending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close above $0.69.

MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls tried to push the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.66) on June 30 but the long wick on the candlestick shows aggressive selling at higher levels. If the price dips below the uptrend line, the MATIC/USDT pair may slide toward $0.55.

Alternatively, if the price rises from the current level, it will signal strong buying near the uptrend line. A break and close above $0.69 could open the doors for a potential rally to the 50-day SMA and subsequently to $1.

Polkadot price analysis

The bears tried to sink Polkadot (DOT) below the 20-day EMA ($4.93) on June 28 and June 30 but the bulls held their ground. This suggests that dips are being bought.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are attempting to clear and sustain the overhead hurdle at $5.15. If they succeed, the DOT/USDT pair rise to $5.56. This level may attract strong selling by the bears but on the way down, if bulls do not allow the price to slip below $5.15, the possibility of a rally to the downtrend line increases.

The 20-day EMA remains the key level to watch out for because a break below it may open the doors for a collapse to the pivotal support at $4.22.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

Crypto Market Bleeds Out Again as Bitcoin (BTC) Was Rejected at $100K (Market Watch)

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The BTC relief rally in the past few days was halted yesterday as the asset was stopped at $100,000 and pushed south hard.

As expected, the altcoins have suffered even more, with substantial price declines from the likes of LINK, AVAX, ADA, SUI, and many others.

Bitcoin Stopped at $100K

Bitcoin went through a massive correction last week following the latest FOMC meeting. It dumped all the way from $108,000 to $92,000 in a matter of days. It bounced off on Friday and Saturday as the bulls drove it to almost $99,500.

However, it failed there and retraced hard once again at the start of the business week toward $92,000 once more. The bulls stepped up again at this point and initiated a notable price increase that pushed bitcoin up to $99,200 on Christmas Eve and almost $100,000 yesterday evening.

Once again, though, the cryptocurrency was stopped at this point. The subsequent rejection has driven it south hard, as the asset now struggles below $96,000.

Its market capitalization has declined to under $1.9 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts has increased to 54.6%.

Bitcoin/PriceChart 26.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/PriceChart 26.12.2024. Source: TradingView

Alts Bleed Out

The alternative coins registered some gains in the past few days as well, but red dominates all charts now. Ethereum was stopped at $3,500 and is below $3,400 after a 3.5% daily drop. Similar declines are evident from XRP, DOGE, SOL, BNB, TRX, and TON.

Even more painful corrections come from the likes of ADA, AVAX, LINK, SHIB, HBAR, XLM, and DOT, with losses of up to 9%. AAVE has plummeted by 10%, and so have ONDO and HYPE.

The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has seen more than $100 billion gone and is down to $3.460 trillion on CoinGecko.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

PENGU Overtakes BONK, Becomes Top Meme Coin on Solana at $2.6B Valuation

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The newly launched Pudgy Penguins cryptocurrency Pengu (PENGU) has flipped Bonk (BONK) to claim the crown as the largest meme coin in the Solana ecosystem, with a market cap of $2.65 billion.

The shift is the culmination of a rally that kicked off on Christmas Eve when the token gained over 30% in 24 hours.

PENGU Rises

Data from the crypto price tracking website CoinGecko shows that the broader Solana meme coin market has experienced explosive growth, with its total valuation rising to $18.2 billion, a 10.3% increase over the last day.

Anchoring this performance was PENGU, which posted an 11.2% jump in the past 24 hours and a remarkable 22.3% rise in the last seven days.

The meme coin, airdropped to members of the globally successful Pudgy Penguins NFT community on December 17, has not been without controversy. Soon after the token’s launch, the floor prices of the NFT collection plunged by more than 50%, wiping out any gains made since early November.

According to analysts, this was largely because the value of the collection was partly pegged on exclusive access to the brand, with the introduction of PENGU making investment in the NFTs more accessible, therefore diluting their worth.

On its rollout, the coin shot to a record high of $0.0684 before dropping to a record low of $0.0114. It then see-sawed for the next few days, moving between $0.038 on December 18 to $0.0231 on December 20. However, since December 23, it has been making steady gains, going as high as $0.0417 on Boxing Day, a price that pushed its market cap to $2.62 billion.

BONK Falls

Conversely, the previous king of the Solana meme coins, BONK, showed more modest improvements in its price over the last seven days, going up 6.9% in that period. Further, across two weeks, it lost 17% of its value, with CoinGecko data showing another 23% plunge over 30 days, putting its market cap at just over $2.5 billion and allowing PENGU to surpass it.

The competition doesn’t end there. Other meme tokens like dogwifhat (WIF) and Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) are vying for investor attention. On Christmas Eve, the former reached an all-time high of $1.02, pushing its overall worth beyond the $1 billion mark.

However, despite Fartcoin being among the top gainers across seven days with a price increase of 13.1%, it has plummeted 15% since December 25. With a unit currently changing hands at about $$0.986, its $1.072 billion market cap is still some ways behind WIF’s $1.9 billion.

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Holiday Warning for the Shiba Inu (SHIB) Community: Users Should Stay Vigilant for These Scams

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TL;DR

  • Shibarium Trustwatch warns SHIB holders of fake giveaways, phishing emails, and scam social accounts during the holidays.
  • Users are cautioned to avoid sending emails about SHIFU tokens and urged to verify information through official channels.

‘Protect Yourself This Christmas’

Despite the festive season, scammers don’t have days off and are always on the lookout for new victims. One particular group in the cryptocurrency sector, which bad actors attack quite regularly, is the Shiba Inu (SHIB) community.

A few days ago, Shibarium Trustwatch (an X account that aims to provide security) alerted users to be extra cautious with several common crypto scams. The first is giveaways, which offer “free” tokens, merchandise, or NFTs. “Remember, free stuff is never truly free – providing personal information puts you at risk,” the team warned. 

Second, the community should stay vigilant for phishing emails. Fraudsters often send emails to victims, claiming to be from official SHIB-related projects, thus trying to steal their login credentials. 

Next on the list are social media accounts. The team cautioned that scammers create fake profiles on social media platforms pretending to be influencers, developers, or official accounts that offer tempting deals. “Verify handles and avoid DMs offering quick profits,” Shibarium Trustwatch warned. 

Ponzi schemes, fake charity appeals, fake customer support, and malicious links are the other things the SHIB community should be careful about. 

“Providing personal information or falling for these scams doesn’t just put you at risk – it may lead to your data being sold on the dark web, where hackers can use it for identity theft or other malicious activities. Scammers exploit trust, kindness, and generosity, especially during the holiday season, so we must stay vigilant.

Let’s keep the Shibarmy strong and safe this holiday season. Be cautious, protect your crypto, and share love responsibly. Nothing in life is free. Even the things that seem free often come with hidden costs or risks,” the team concluded.

The SHIFU Warning

Earlier this month, Shibarium Trustwatch issued an alert concerning the meme coin SHIFU. The team claimed that bad actors request victims to send them an email containing information about the token:

“Fraudsters are asking people to send them an email asking how to buy and claim SHIFU or if SHIFU has not appeared in their wallet.”

Shibarium Trustwatch advised users to stay away from that scheme and not send emails to anyone. Verifying information through official channels and avoiding sharing personal data is also necessary. 

SHIFU is a dog-themed meme coin within the Shiba Inu ecosystem, which was introduced by Shytoshi Kusama at the beginning of the month. While it can be found on certain decentralized exchanges, leading crypto platforms like Binance have not yet embraced it. 

A few weeks ago, the meme coin project launched a special airdrop. The team announced that 30% of the total SHIFU supply (30 billion tokens) will be allocated to the community. Of this, 22 billion SHIFU will go to holders with at least 100,000 SHIB and 100 BUBBLE. An additional 2 billion tokens are set aside for eligible LEASH holders, while BONE owners will receive 1 billion tokens.

The remaining 70% of the supply will be reserved for other purposes, including “liquidity and public pre-sale,” treasury funds, and marketing efforts.

 

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