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Biden’s green hydrogen plan hits climate obstacle: Water shortage

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Biden's green hydrogen plan hits climate obstacle: Water shortage
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: President Joe Biden shakes hands with Rep. Al Green, D-Texas, after the State of the Union address to a joint session of Congress at the Capitol, Tuesday, Feb. 7, 2023, in Washington. Jacquelyn Martin/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo

By Valerie Volcovici

(Reuters) – The Biden administration’s climate agenda is facing an unexpected challenge in drought-prone Corpus Christi, Texas, where a proposed clean hydrogen hub would require the installation of energy-intensive, expensive and potentially environmentally damaging seawater desalination plants.

The Gulf Coast port is in the running for up to $1 billion available under President Joe Biden’s 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act to create a regional hub to produce hydrogen, a low-emissions fuel made by electrolyzing water that can help decarbonize heavy-emitting industries and transportation.

A hydrogen hub would require access to millions of gallons of water – a challenge in Corpus Christi which is experiencing a multi-year drought.  While local officials say they can provide that water by constructing a seawater desalination plant, environmental groups and some local residents and lawmakers are lining up to oppose desalination sites.

“It makes no sense to create a purported clean energy source that in turn destroys an entire ecosystem, threatens other economies reliant upon a healthy bay system, and usurps the water supply for residents,” the Coastal Alliance to Protect the Environment, a Corpus Christi activist group, wrote in a letter to U.S. Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, shared with Reuters.

Reuters interviewed six researchers who study hydrogen as green power and had exclusive access to an analysis by Rystad Energy consultancy that showed that the Biden administration’s vision of low-carbon hydrogen may run into a challenge that is itself exacerbated by climate change: water scarcity. 

Producing hydrogen requires enormous amounts of fresh water in a world increasingly affected by climate-driven drought.

Nine of the 33 projects on the Department of Energy shortlist for the hydrogen hubs are in highly water-stressed regions, according to Rystad data.

Those locations include Southern California, Colorado, Kansas and New Mexico as well as Texas. Globally, the picture is even worse, with more than 70% of proposed green hydrogen projects located in water-stressed regions like the Middle East.

“Most of the world’s planned green hydrogen projects are to be located in water-stressed regions,” said Minh Khoi Le, renewable energy analyst at Rystad, adding that this would create demand for more desalination plants.

The Biden administration is offering companies up to $100 billion in tax credits and regions up to $7 billion in grants to build out hydrogen hubs to help reach a target of producing 50 million metric tons of clean hydrogen fuel by 2050.

The DOE will announce the hubs in September.

The DOE declined to comment on the Corpus Christi or other hydrogen hub applications, but pointed Reuters to the agency’s funding announcement, which “acknowledges that water consumption for H2Hubs could place additional stress on regional water resources.”

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Assistant Administrator for Water Radhika Fox told Reuters that “more water systems are considering desalination as source water becomes scarcer and treatment technology improves” but did not comment directly about Corpus Christi.

Peter Zanoni, the city manager for Corpus Christi, said the hydrogen project, if approved, all but requires the adoption of seawater desalination.

Even with around 100 million gallons of groundwater supply per day, the city is experiencing drought conditions and limiting the use of sprinklers and irrigation to once a week, according to its drought contingency plan.

The city is contracted to supply up to 25 million gallons of water per day to major industrial users ExxonMobil (NYSE:) and Saudi Arabia’s Basic Industries Corporation, Zanoni said, and anticipates hosting at least a half dozen green hydrogen producers at the hub, each which would need around 3 to 4 million gallons of fresh water per day.

He said the city plans to add at least 70 million gallons of water per day of capacity, including at least 30 million from the proposed seawater desalination plant. “That drought-proof source is really appealing to us,” Zanoni said. 

WATER WARS

While the United States has hundreds of desalination plants scattered across the country to treat mildly brackish inland sources of water,  transforming ultra-salty ocean water into fresh water carries higher risk, some water experts say.

Pumping the briny byproduct of desalination into Corpus Christi Bay could cost the fishing industry around $6 million per year by killing off seafood species like shrimp and Atlantic croaker, according to Texas A&M University-Corpus Christi’s Paul Montagna, an endowed chair at the Harte Research Institute for Gulf of Mexico Studies.

And seawater desalination plants are energy intensive and expensive to build and maintain, energy experts say. The Poseidon plant near San Diego, California – the largest seawater desalination plant in the Western Hemisphere  – cost over $1 billion to build and requires nearly $275 million in  upgrades to meet updated state rules to protect marine life that can get sucked into the intake pipes or are affected by the briny discharge from the plant.

In March, the EPA stepped in with a $170 million loan to offset the price spikes for local consumers.

Corpus Christi first proposed seawater desalination in 2017 to supply its rapidly growing energy and petrochemicals industries.

The city has struggled to secure federal environmental permits and local support. 

The EPA in January said it will not recognize a state-issued pollutant discharge permit for one of the proposed desalination plants on Harbor Island until Texas regulators conduct a more thorough environmental impact review of groundwater use and conservation efforts.

In a letter to the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality in September, the EPA said it “continues to have concerns regarding reporting and monitoring requirements for total dissolved solids, chlorides, and sulfates.”

In October, a local residents’ association from the Hillcrest neighborhood, a majority black area that is already home to refineries, filed a Civil Rights Act complaint saying the proposed Inner Harbor desalination plant would worsen pollution.

The city is seeking regulatory approval for three other desalination sites.

Errol Summerlin, founder of local environmental group CAPE, said the environmental costs of seawater desalination were too high, even if it is in support of a low-carbon fuel.

    “This plan would destroy an ecosystem to create an unproven solution to the world’s climate crisis,” he told Reuters.

    Brandon Marks, a regional campaigner for the Texas Campaign for the Environment, said heavy industrial users, not residents, have the most to gain from the proposed desalination plants. 

A report released in November by consultancy Autocase Economic Advisory said that over the last decade, nearly 70% of the increase in water use in the Corpus Christi area came from industrial users compared to just under 6% from households, commercial uses, fire protection, public recreation, and sanitation. 

“The whole reason they are pursuing this water is to enable unfettered growth, which would not only harm the bay but harm communities of the bay area,” Marks said.

Charles Zahn, chairman of the Port of Corpus Christi and a major proponent of desalination, said desalination plants could be a boon for the region, even offering the opportunity to sell water to the city of San Antonio, if there was a surplus.

“We need desalination to bring in industry that brings us jobs and increases our tax base,” he said. “I think water is probably the number one issue in Texas and we have the ability to help Texas.”

Commodities

Oil prices rise after US interest rate cut

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By Paul Carsten

(Reuters) – Oil prices rose on Thursday after a large interest rate cut from the U.S. Federal Reserve, but Brent was still hovering around its lowest levels of the year, below $75, on expectations of weaker global demand.

futures for November were up 66 cents, or 0.9%, to $74.31 a barrel at 1156 GMT, while WTI crude futures for October were up 58 cents, or 0.8%, to $71.49 a barrel. The benchmarks had earlier risen more than $1 each.

The U.S. central bank cut interest rates by half a percentage point on Wednesday. Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand, but the market also saw it as a sign of a weaker U.S. labor market that could slow the economy.

“While the 50 basis point cut hints at harsh economic headwinds ahead, bearish investors were left unsatisfied after the Fed raised the medium-term outlook for rates,” ANZ analysts said in a note.

The Bank of England on Thursday held interest rates at 5.0%.

Weak demand from China’s slowing economy continued to weigh on oil prices.

Refinery output in China slowed for a fifth month in August, statistics bureau data showed over the weekend. China’s industrial output growth also slowed to a five-month low last month, and retail sales and new home prices weakened further.

Markets were also keeping an eye on events in the Middle East after walkie-talkies used by Lebanese armed group Hezbollah exploded on Wednesday following similar explosions of pagers the previous day.

Security sources said Israeli spy agency Mossad was responsible, but Israeli officials did not comment on the attacks.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An aerial view shows a crude oil tanker at an oil terminal off Waidiao island in Zhoushan, Zhejiang province, China January 4, 2023. China Daily via REUTERS/File Photo

Citi analysts say they expect a counter-seasonal oil market deficit of around 0.4 million barrels per day (bpd) to support Brent crude prices in the $70 to $75 a barrel range during the next quarter, but that would be temporary.

“As 2025 global oil balances deteriorate in most scenarios, we still anticipate renewed price weakness in 2025 with Brent on a path to $60/barrel,” Citi said in a note on Thursday.

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Commodities

Oil market deficit seen temporarily supporting Brent prices in Q4 – Citi

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Investing.com — Brent crude oil prices could be bolstered in the near-term by demand possibly outstripping supply in the fourth quarter, according to analysts at Citi.

A reported decision by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to delay the beginning of a tapering in voluntary output cuts, along with ongoing supply losses in Libya, is predicted to contribute to a oil market deficit of around 0.4 million barrels per day in the final three months of 2024, the Citi analysts said.

They added that such a trend could offer some temporary support to “in the $70 to $75 per barrel range.”

Meanwhile, the benchmark could be further boosted by a potential rebound in recently tepid demand from top oil importer China, the analysts said.

But they flagged that they still anticipate “renewed price weakness” in 2025, with Brent on a path to $60 per barrel due to an impending surplus of one million barrels per day.

On Thursday, crude prices were higher after a super-sized interest rate cut from the US Federal Reserve elicited a mixed reaction from traders, while worries over global demand also lingered.

By 03:30 ET, the Brent contract gained 0.9% to $74.34 per barrel, while futures (WTI) traded 1.0% higher at $70.58 per barrel. The benchmarks had recovered after slipping in Asian trading, with Brent in particular hovering near its lowest mark of the year.

The Fed slashed interest rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday and indicated that it would announce further cuts this year, as the central bank kicks off an easing cycle to shore up the economy following a prolonged battle against surging inflation.

Lower rates usually bode well for economic activity, but the Fed’s aggressive cut also sparked some concerns over a potential slowdown in broader growth.

While Fed Chair Jerome Powell moved to soothe some of these fears, he also said that the Fed had no intention of returning to an era of ultra-low interest rates, and that the central bank’s neutral rate was likely to be much higher than seen in the past.

His comments indicated that while interest rates will fall in the near-term, the Fed was likely to keep rates higher in the medium-to-long term.

Meanwhile, US government data released on Wednesday showed a bigger-than-expected, 1.63 million barrel draw in inventories, which analysts at Citi said was due to lower net imports and domestic production “outpacing” a drop of crude oil consumed by refineries.

“US crude output was hit by Hurricane Francine, with a peak of 732,000 [barrels per day] of offshore Gulf of Mexico oil output shut-in […], with the tail end of the impact reaching until Tues[day] Sept. 17, which should still show up in next week’s data,” the Citi analysts said in a note to clients.

While the fall was much bigger than expectations for a decrease of 0.2 mb, it was also accompanied by builds in distillates and gasoline inventories. The increses in product inventories added to worries that U.S. fuel demand was cooling as the travel-heavy summer season wound to a close.

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Commodities

Gold prices retreat as markets look past 50 bps Fed rate cut

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Investing.com– Gold prices moved in a flat-to-low range in Asian trade on Thursday, and were nursing overnight losses after less dovish signals from the Federal Reserve offset some optimism over a bumper rate cut. 

Strength in the pressured bullion prices, as the greenback rose sharply on bets that U.S. interest rates may not fall as much as expected in the medium to long term. 

The yellow metal also saw some profit-taking after hitting record highs in the run-up to Wednesday’s Fed decision. 

rose 0.1% to $2,561.30 an ounce, while expiring in December fell 0.5% to $2,585.65 an ounce by 00:24 ET (04:24 GMT). Spot prices were nursing some overnight losses, and pulled back further from recent record highs. 

Fed cuts rates by 50 bps, but offers less dovish outlook 

The Fed by 50 basis points- the upper end of market expectations- in its first rate cut since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The central bank also announced the beginning of an easing cycle. 

Fed Chair Jerome Powell quelled some concerns over a slowing economy after the outsized rate cut, stating that risks between rising inflation and a softer labor market were evenly balanced. Powell flagged the prospect of more rate cuts, with markets pricing in a total of 125 bps worth of rate cuts by the year-end. 

But Powell also said the Fed had no intention of returning to an ultra-low rate environment as seen during COVID-19, and said the Fed’s neutral rate will be much higher than seen previously. 

His comments presented a higher outlook for rates in the medium-to-long term, and somewhat diminished optimism over Wednesday’s cut. 

Still, the prospect of lower rates bodes well for non-yielding assets such as gold, given that it decreases the opportunity cost of investing in bullion. 

Other precious metals rose on Thursday, but were also nursing overnight losses. rose 0.5% to $978.15 an ounce, while rose 0.2% to $30.755 an ounce.

Copper prices rise, China rate decision awaited 

Among industrial metals, copper prices advanced on Thursday amid expectations of more stimulus measures from top importer China, with an interest rate decision from the country due on Friday. 

Benchmark on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.4% to $9,425.50 a ton, while one-month rose 0.6% to $4.2970 a pound.

The People’s Bank of China is widely expected to keep its benchmark unchanged on Friday. But persistent signs of economic weakness in the country are expected to eventually spur further cuts in the LPR.

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