Cryptocurrency
Price analysis 7/7: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SOL, LTC, MATIC, DOT
Bitcoin is still struggling to stay above $31,000.
While a tight consolidation near the overhead resistance is a positive sign, the failure to rise above it may result in short-term liquidations. However, a shallow pullback should not be considered a trend change because, many times, the bulls take a step back to regroup and launch another attack at the resistance. If the barrier is overcome, the positive momentum picks up.
Binance CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao said in an “ask me anything” session on Twitter that Bitcoin (BTC) could witness a bull year after its halving in 2024. CZ added that BlackRock’s foray into cryptocurrencies will be “hugely beneficial” for the industry.
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink made positive comments about Bitcoin while speaking in an interview with Fox Business on July 5. Fink said that Bitcoin was an “international asset not based on any one currency,” and investors could use it as a hedge against inflation or currency devaluation.
Could positive comments from Fink act as a floor during pullbacks? What are the important overhead resistance levels in Bitcoin and altcoins that need to be crossed to signal the start of a short-term up move? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin once again rose above $31,000 on July 6, but the rally was met with strong selling pressure from the bears. That pulled the price down to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $29,763.
A positive sign in favor of the bulls is that the BTC/USDT pair has rebounded off the 20-day EMA. This suggests a positive sentiment where traders are viewing minor dips as a buying opportunity. That enhances the prospects of a rally above the $31,000 to $31,500 resistance zone.
If that happens, the pair could start an upward march to $40,000. The bears will attempt to stall the up move at $32,400, but the buyers are expected to bulldoze their way through.
Conversely, if the price turns down and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears have the upper hand. The pair may then dump to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $27,971.
Ether price analysis
The long wick on Ether’s (ETH) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are aggressively guarding the psychological resistance at $2,000.
Both moving averages have flattened out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. If bears sink the price below the 50-day SMA ($1,837), the short-term advantage will tilt in favor of the bears. The ETH/USDT pair could then descend toward $1,626.
On the contrary, if the price turns up from the current level and maintains above the 20-day EMA ($1,872), it will suggest strong buying at the 50-day SMA. The bulls will then again try to push the price above $2,000.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) has been consolidating between $257 and $220 for the past few days. This suggests that the bears are using the relief rallies to sell while the bulls are buying the dips.
The downsloping 20-day EMA ($242) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have an edge. Sellers will try to drag the price to the crucial support at $220. The bulls are expected to defend this level with vigor.
On the upside, the bulls will have to propel the price above $257 to suggest the start of a sustained recovery. The $265 level may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed. The pair may then surge to $280.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) has been trading between the 20-day EMA ($0.48) and the horizontal support at $0.45 for the past few days. This shows that the bears are selling on rallies, but supply is being lapped up at lower levels.
This tight-range trading is unlikely to continue for long and may result in a breakout. If the support at $0.45 gives way, the bears will try to build upon this advantage and tug the price to the next strong support at $0.41.
Alternatively, if the price turns up from the current level, the bulls will try to overcome the obstacle at the moving averages. If they manage to do that, the XRP/USDT pair could start its march toward $0.56.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) has been trading between $0.30 and $0.24 for the past few days. Generally, inside a range, traders buy near the support and sell close to the resistance.
Traders did just that in the ADA/USDT pair and sold at $0.30. The bulls are attempting to arrest the decline at the uptrend line. If the price turns up from the current level or the uptrend line, the bulls will once again endeavor to clear the overhead hurdle at $0.30.
If they succeed, the pair may start an up move to $0.38. The 50-day SMA ($0.31) may act as a barrier, but it is likely to be crossed.
Contrarily, a break below the uptrend line could open the doors for a potential drop to the support at $0.25.
Dogecoin price analysis
The failure to propel Dogecoin (DOGE) above the overhead resistance of $0.07 on July 4 may have attracted profit-booking from the short-term bulls.
That pulled the price below the moving averages, signaling that the DOGE/USDT pair could remain stuck inside the $0.07 to $0.06 range for a few more days. The flattish 20-day EMA ($0.07) and the RSI just below the midpoint also suggest a range-bound action.
The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the overhead resistance of $0.07 to seize control. That could pave the way for a rally to $0.08 and then to $0.10. On the downside, a break below $0.06 could resume the down move. The pair may then slump to $0.05.
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) bounced off the 50-day SMA ($18.34) on July 5, indicating that every minor dip is being purchased. The bulls have pushed the price above the downtrend line, indicating that the short-term corrective phase may be ending.
The moving averages are about to complete a bullish crossover, and the RSI is near the overbought territory. This shows that the bulls are in command. If buyers sustain the price above the downtrend line, the SOL/USDT pair may climb to $24. Such a move will indicate that the pair is range-bound between $15.28 and $27.12.
If bears want to gain the upper hand, they will have to yank the price below the moving averages. That may catch the aggressive bulls off guard, resulting in a drop to the strong support zone between $16.18 and $15.28.
Related: AI has potential to send Bitcoin price over $750K — Arthur Hayes
Litecoin price analysis
The bulls tried to push Litecoin (LTC) above the overhead resistance of $106 on July 5 and 6, but the long wick on the candlesticks shows that the bears fiercely defended the level.
The LTC/USDT pair plunged to the 20-day EMA ($94), which is an important support level to watch out for. If the price bounces off the current level, the bulls will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $106.
However, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to sell the rallies and sink the pair below the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the selling may intensify and the pair may further slide to the 50-day SMA ($89).
Polygon price analysis
Polygon (MATIC) slipped and closed below the 20-day EMA ($0.67) on July 6, suggesting that the bears are active at higher levels.
The bears will try to trap the aggressive bulls by pulling the price below the uptrend line. If they manage to do that, the ascending triangle pattern will invalidate. That could trigger the stops of several short-term bulls. The MATIC/USDT pair may then slide to $0.60 and subsequently to $0.55.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price rebounds off the uptrend line, the bulls will again try to resume the up move. A break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.74) could start the journey toward the pattern target of $0.88.
Polkadot price analysis
The long wick on Polkadot’s (DOT) July 6 candlestick shows that the bears are selling on intraday rallies. The price plunged below the moving averages, but the bulls are trying to arrest the decline.
Both moving averages have flattened out, and the RSI is near the midpoint. This indicates a balance between supply and demand. The DOT/USDT pair may oscillate between $4.74 and $5.64 for a few days.
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above $5.15. That will indicate solid demand at lower levels. The bulls will then again try to push the pair to $5.64. On the downside, a break below $4.74 could tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.
Cryptocurrency
Tron (TRX) Price Heatmap: Is a Local Bottom on the Horizon?
Post-Christmas, the cryptocurrency market turned red, with most assets suffering heavy losses. Tron (TRX) is not immune to the downturn. Earlier this month, the asset reached a new peak and reclaimed the 10th spot by market cap, which sparked a renewed sense of hope in the community.
But the latest pullback extended its losses. As a result, TRX is down by over 43% from its recently established all-time high of $0.43 to the current price level of $0.25. However, data points to the formation of a local bottom soon.
TRX Nearing a Turning Point?
CryptoQuant’s analysis of TRX’s price heatmap revealed that the green trend, represented by the one-year moving average plus two sigma, could serve as a crucial support level during the current market correction.
Historically, this green trend has acted as a strong foundation during bull rallies, and it is anticipated to provide similar support, potentially marking a local bottom for TRX’s price.
The current levels for the green, purple, and blue trends are $0.23, $0.40, and $0.49, respectively. These levels are dynamic and will likely adjust upward with increased interest and demand. As the market heats up, attention should be given to the purple and blue trends, which may act as resistance zones. If TRX price stays above the green trend, it could signal the start of a new upward trend.
On the other hand, CryptoQuant warned that a drop below the green trend might indicate a weakening bull cycle. As demand strengthens, Tron’s price could target the purple and blue trend levels, with a breakthrough above the 0.40 level offering strong market confidence.
What’s Next For Tron?
Earlier this month, TRX’s rally was driven by speculations about Grayscale listing and Tron founder Justin Sun’s initiatives, including a $30 million purchase of WLFI tokens tied to Trum’s project and his advisory role. Sun’s involvement with the artwork “Comedian” has also engaged the community, igniting ripple effects for tokens like BAN and related projects.
Despite the latest setback to the rally, experts point to a moderately favorable year ahead for the asset. CoinCodex, for one, predicted that TRX could see a modest 2.93% price increase to $0.264 by January 24, 2025. The sentiment remains neutral, while the Fear & Greed Index reflects high optimism at 73 (Greed).
TRX has demonstrated 50% green days and 17.17% volatility over the past month, thereby indicating active market participation. Analysts view this as a good buying opportunity, with expectations of a short-term peak of $0.268 on December 30, 2024.
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Cryptocurrency
ADA Needs to Maintain This Level to Avoid Drop to $0.5: Cardano Price Analysis
Cardano is one of those crypto assets that has closely followed Bitcoin in terms of price action and is currently experiencing a pullback similar to BTC.
By Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)
The USDT Paired Chart
On the USDT-Paired chart, the asset began its aggressive rally at the beginning of November, breaking the 200-day moving average to the upside. Since then, multiple resistance levels have been broken, but the $1.2 level has rejected the asset on a couple of occasions.
The market’s failure to continue beyond the $1.2 level has led to a correction toward the $0.75 support zone, successfully preventing a deeper decline. If this level holds, it could only be a matter of time before ADA climbs above the $1.2 mark. Yet, a breakdown of this area could result in a drop toward the 200-day moving average, located around the $0.5 level.
The BTC Paired Chart
On the ADA/BTC daily chart, it is evident that Cardano has outperformed Bitcoin during the recent crypto rally but is also depreciating against BTC on a broader scale. With the 1,000 SAT support level being almost broken to the downside, it is likely for the ADA/BTC chart to decline toward the 200-day moving average, located around the 700 SAT mark.
Therefore, as the chart suggests, it is probable that BTC will outperform ADA in the coming weeks.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Risks Dropping Toward $80K if it Fails to Reclaim $100K Soon
Bitcoin has failed to sustain its rally above the $100K level and has been correcting over the last week.
Yet, a bullish continuation can materialize soon.
Technical Analysis
By Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)
The Daily Chart
On the daily chart, the asset dropped below the $100K level last week and has failed to climb back above it since. While the $90K support zone has held the market, preventing it from dropping lower, the price has failed to break above the $100K level yet again and is getting rejected to the downside.
This could result in a deeper continuation below the $90K and toward the $80K area in the coming weeks if the price fails to break back above $100K.
The 4-Hour Chart
Looking at the 4-hour timeframe, things look slightly more tricky for Bitcoin. The price has recently broken the ascending channel pattern to the downside, which can be a reversal signal. The lower boundary of the pattern has also been retested twice alongside the $100K resistance level.
Yet, both levels have held and pushed the asset lower, which could lead to a drop toward the $90K level and even lower in the short term.
On-Chain Analysis
By Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)
Long-Term Holder SOPR
Not everything can be figured out using technical and price analysis. For a better view of the underlying dynamics of the Bitcoin network, it is beneficial to analyze on-chain metrics.
This chart presents the long-term holder SOPR metric, which measures the ratio of profit realization by investors who have held their coins for over 6 months. As the chart suggests, the realized profit is relatively high, but it has yet to reach the values previously seen when the market was consolidating below the $70K level. This is especially interesting, as BTC is now trading around $100K.
As a result, it could be interpreted that long-term holders’ selling pressure is still insufficient to overwhelm the market, and the price could still rally higher in the coming weeks.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
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