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Bitcoin is in ‘new bull cycle’ — Metric that bottomed before 70% gains

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The Bitcoin (BTC) metric that nailed the pit of the 2022 bear market says its uptrend is still intact.

In an X post on Aug. 22, creator of on-chain analytics platform LookIntoBitcoin shared some good news in the form of Bitcoin’s Realized Cap HODL Waves (RHODL).

Analyst: “New money” flowing into Bitcoin in 2023

While last week’s 10% BTC price dip has upended some of the on-chain landscape, RHODL is one of the metrics taking a longer-term view of what remains a timely bull market.

The metric takes existing HODL Waves data, which groups the BTC supply by when each coin or, specifically, unspent transaction outputs, last moved, and weights it by realized price — i.e., the price at which it last moved.

If this sounds complicated, the results have clear implications.

“Peaks in younger age bands highlight periods where they have a proportionally higher Realized Value weighting relative to the older Realized Value age bands,” Philip Swift explained in an introduction on LookIntoBitcoin.

“This is important to note as it indicates that the market is prepared to pay higher values for bitcoin today and in recent times, versus historical norms. This can be a good indicator that the market is becoming overheated.”

Currently, bands of coins that last moved three to six months ago are rising — a phenomenon common to the start of Bitcoin’s previous bull markets.

On the topic of the August drawdown on BTC/USD, Swift thus concluded that “the recent price dip is in the context of a much bigger bull trend.”

“3–6 month band trending up as new money comes back into the market = new bull cycle,” he summarized.

Realized Cap HODL Waves annotated chart. Source: Philip Swift/X

Charting the return of BTC price “euphoria”

RHODL has an impressive record when it comes to BTC price phases.

Related: Most fear since SVB collapse — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this week

In December 2022, when BTC/USD was circling its two-year lows of $15,600, Swift used the metric to call the end of “euphoria” among Bitcoin’s speculative investor cohort, which he labeled “tourists.”

He stated at the time that the market is likely now at cycle lows, which means maximum risk-reward opportunity.

Realized Cap HODL Waves annotated chart from December 2022. Source: LookIntoBitcoin

Beginning in January this year, Bitcoin began a new uptrend that delivered 70% gains in Q1 alone.

Since then, investor composition has changed, with short-term holders (STHs) — entities holding BTC for 155 days or less — reducing their overall exposure to their lowest since November 2021.

The latest dip nonetheless increased pressure on those remaining speculators, with almost 90% of STH coins now held at an unrealized loss.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Collect this article as an NFT to preserve this moment in history and show your support for independent journalism in the crypto space.

Cryptocurrency

FARTCOIN Returns to Top 100 Alts After 10% Surge, BTC Stays Calm at $85K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s underwhelming price actions as of late continued on Saturday and early Sunday as the asset stands close to $85,000 without making a big move in either direction.

The larger-cap alts are also quite sluggish on a daily scale, with ETH slightly below $1,600 and XRP down by around 1%.

BTC Consolidation Continues

The past seven days went entirely differently from the previous week. Back then, BTC went through a massive five-digit price rollercoaster. However, it finally calmed after the tariff pause announced by Trump for most countries and remained in a tight range for the entire week.

After it bounced above $82,000 last weekend, the asset went to a local peak of just over $86,000 on a couple of occasions but to no avail. Just the opposite, it was pushed back down to $83,000 both times.

Since then, the cryptocurrency has traded within an even smaller range between $84,000 and $85,500. It now stands approximately in the middle of it, with many industry experts suggesting a breakout is just around the corner.

For now, though, BTC’s market cap has retraced to $1.680 trillion on CoinGecko, while its dominance over the alts has taken a slight hit and is down to 60.7%.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

FARTCOIN Is Back

Most larger-cap alts have failed to post any significant moves in the past day. Minor losses are coming from ETH, XRP, DOGE, and ADA, while SOL is slightly in the green.

More interesting price developments come from the mid- and lower-cap alts. FARTCOIN has stolen the show and returned to the top 100 alts by market cap after a 10% surge. FET follows suit, gaining 9%, and TAO is net (8.5%).

The cumulative market cap of all crypto assets has remained at the same level it has been in the past several days, at $2.770 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: Coin360
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: Coin360
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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You Can Now Buy Uranium for $4 Thanks to Blockchain, Interview with Ben Elvidge, Uranium.io (PBW 2025)

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At Paris Blockchain Week, Ben Elvidge, Product Lead at Uranium.io, introduced one of the most unexpected tokenization use cases yet: physical uranium.

While tokenizing real estate, art, or equities has become increasingly familiar, uranium—a tightly controlled, highly capital-intensive commodity—has remained far out of reach for the average investor. That’s changing.

Why Uranium?

The uranium market, traditionally opaque and hard to access, trades over the counter in massive lot sizes—typically 100,000 pounds, valued at around $6 million at today’s prices. It’s safe to say that it’s not accessible to retail investors.

“It’s an asset class of critical importance,” said Elvidge, “but historically very difficult to access.”

Through a partnership with the Tezos Foundation, Uranium.io acquired a minimum tradable lot of uranium, stored it in a certified facility, and tokenized it, becoming one of the more interesting RWA crypto projects. Now, the average investor can gain exposure to physical uranium for as little as $4—no need for millions in capital or complex brokerage agreements.

How It Works

Uranium.io leverages a trust-based legal framework under English common law to represent fractional ownership in physical uranium.

The uranium itself is stored in Cameco, one of three global storage facilities approved for this purpose (the other two are in the U.S. and France). Their partner, Curzon Uranium, helped facilitate the process.

Users can buy tokens directly through the platform using a MetaMask wallet and USDC, with built-in on-chain analytics flagging suspicious activity. The onboarding is KYC-light, only requiring full identity verification if a red flag is raised. Each token represents a portion of the physical uranium stockpile, and—unlike most tokenized commodities—token holders can actually request physical delivery, assuming they have an approved converter account and pass relevant nonproliferation checks.

One of the core advantages, Elvidge emphasized, is transparency. Currently, uranium pricing is derived from voluntary broker submissions and updated only during U.S. and UK trading hours.

Uranium.io’s platform introduces real-time price discovery through live token trading. While the platform is still in its early stages, a market-making partner helps ensure price accuracy relative to legacy data feeds.

Beyond Tokenization Hype

Elvidge argues that Uranium.io is a case of real-world tokenization moving beyond buzzwords.

“We’re not doing tokenization for tokenization’s sake,” he said. “This is about taking something previously inaccessible and opening it up.”

Increased access helps retail investors, but also benefits the broader uranium supply chain—particularly fuel buyers and utility providers—by improving liquidity and price transparency. These market efficiencies are sorely lacking in the current OTC-only trading structure.

While spot uranium trading is unregulated in many jurisdictions, Uranium.io has taken a careful approach to legal structure. Its framework doesn’t rely on an SPV and avoids categorizing the tokens as securities. Still, the regulatory environment is complex and remains under constant review, particularly as the project scales.

Why Uranium Now?

The fundamentals support long-term interest. Elvidge pointed to increasing demand from tech giants like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google, all showing interest in nuclear power as a reliable energy source. Governments are shifting toward pro-nuclear energy policies. In 2023 alone, uranium demand reached 194 million pounds, while supply lagged behind at 155 million pounds.

“Uranium has no meaningful correlation with Bitcoin, the S&P 500, gold, or oil,” Elvidge noted.

That makes it an attractive uncorrelated asset at a time when crypto investors are seeking diversification and stability amid risk-off market sentiment.

This interview was produced in partnership with Paris Blockchain Week 2025.

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Has Ethereum Turned Itself Around? Experts Weigh In

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“The Ethereum ship is slowly turning around,” claimed David Hoffman from Bankless on April 19.

He added that the process started over six months ago and changes are already observable, highlighting six areas of change Ethereum is undergoing.

The project went through a rough patch earlier this year with leadership issues at the Ethereum Foundation, developers jumping ship, and record levels of FUD being disseminated.

However, despite that, it is still the industry standard network for DeFi, stablecoins, real-world asset tokenization, and decentralized applications.

Evolution of Ethereum

After primarily being research-focused for years, Ethereum is now recognizing the need to adapt in response to competitive pressures that emerged around 2021, argues Hoffman.

He added that the Ethereum community is actively addressing these issues through aggressive layer-1 scaling, with plans to increase gas limits tenfold over two years.

There has also been a shift from protocol-first to product-first thinking, with new leadership roles, and the Ethereum Foundation is taking a more active coordinating role with new co-executive directors.

He also said there is now a more inclusive culture as the doors to the “Ivory Tower” open, enabling a welcoming ecosystem of voices into roadmap conversations.

There is better layer-2 integration and developing interoperability standards, positioning Ethereum layer-1 service provider to L2s. Finally, an increased urgency is embracing shorter roadmap cycles and faster protocol upgrades.

In a recent podcast Ethereum Foundation researchers Ansgar Dietrichs and Dankrad Feist said that the organization was stepping up to facilitate these steps.

“Parts of the Ethereum community have been pushing for this shift, while others have been resisting it,” said Hoffman, who added, “Ethereum is a big tent that holds space for many different voices.”

The Scaling Debate

Uniswap founder Hayden Adams weighed in on the Ethereum scaling debate, stating, “I’m all for scaling improvements to L1, the rollup-centric roadmap actually requires it,” but pointing out that if Ethereum ultimately relies on L1 to support DeFi, Solana may have a stronger roadmap, team, and scaling model.

He argued Ethereum should stick to its rollup-centric layer-2 scaling strategy, which it has developed over the past five years.

“People need to pick a lane and attempt to mitigate the risks associated with it vs scrambling to shift narratives and strategy every month.”

He added that he was also against “just do every approach,” which is probably the only thing worse than not picking an approach.

Meanwhile, Ethereum prices remain at March 2023 levels, failing to push much higher than $1,600 so far this weekend.

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