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Bitcoin price eyes $28K as Binance legal battle spurs bullish momentum

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The ongoing legal battle between the Binance cryptocurrency exchange and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) took a surprising turn on Sep. 18.

Magistrate Judge Zia M. Faruqui rejected the SEC’s request for access to Binance.US’s systems. Instead, the Federal Magistrate suggested that the SEC should formulate specific discovery requests.

While this decision only temporarily postponed the need for Binance to demonstrate the separation between Binance.US’s custody solution and Binance International, the market responded positively.

Bitcoin (BTC) surged to its highest level in three weeks, breaking above the $27,000 resistance. Traders are now wondering whether the rally has been supported by leverage or genuine spot buying demand.

This is where metrics related to Bitcoin derivatives could potentially provide the solution.

Investors must wait three weeks for further rulings

Judge Faruqui scheduled a follow-up hearing for Oct. 12 and called upon the involved parties to submit a status report before the event, as reported by Yahoo Finance. What might have seemed like a setback for the SEC, at least for the time being, could potentially increase the risks for Binance.

Binance’s founder and CEO, Changpeng “CZ” Zhao, remains steadfast in asserting that Binance.US has never utilized Binance International’s custody solutions, despite a document from Binance.US on Sep. 15 suggesting otherwise. Nevertheless, the SEC has yet to produce clear evidence of Binance attempting to mislead the court.

Regardless of the current evidence, or more accurately, the absence of reliable information provided by Binance, the outlook for Bitcoin bulls has significantly improved for the next three weeks, with no anticipated changes until the upcoming court hearing.

To gauge the increasing optimism among professional traders, let’s examine Bitcoin’s margin and derivatives metrics.

Bitcoin margin, options show clear path toward $28,000

Margin markets offer valuable insights into the positioning of professional traders as they enable investors to increase their exposure through stablecoin borrowing.

Conversely, Bitcoin borrowers can speculate on a cryptocurrency’s price decline. A declining indicator suggests that traders are becoming less bullish, while a ratio exceeding 30 typically indicates excessive confidence.

OKX stablecoin/BTC margin-lending ratio. Source: OKX

Recent data reveals that the margin-lending ratio for OKX traders has dropped to its lowest point in three months, standing at 19x, down from 27x just a week ago. These findings suggest that the overwhelming dominance of leverage long positions has diminished, although the current ratio still favors the bulls.

Market sentiment can also be assessed by analyzing whether more activity is occurring through call (buy) options or put (sell) options.

A put-to-call ratio of 0.70 indicates that put option open interest lags behind the more bullish calls, implying a bullish momentum. Conversely, a 1.40 indicator favors put options, signifying bearish sentiment.

BTC options volume put-to-call ratio. Source: Laevitas.ch

The put-to-call ratio for Bitcoin options volume has recently shifted from favoring put options at 1.50 to a balanced 1.04 level on Sep. 20, indicating a reduced interest in protective puts.

Notably, since Sep. 18, BTC options volume has either been neutral or slightly favored put options, suggesting that professional traders were caught off-guard by the price rally above $27,000.

Related: Binance CEO refutes report on $250M loan to BAM Management

Both Bitcoin margin and options markets indicate a balanced demand between long and short positions. From a bullish perspective, this suggests that excessive leverage hasn’t been utilized as Bitcoin’s price climbed from $26,500 to $27,500 on Sep. 19.

However, bears may find solace in the fact that even as Bitcoin’s price reached its highest level in three weeks, there was limited enthusiasm from buyers in the margin and options markets.

Nonetheless, the data does hint at buying support from spot orders, possibly indicating that big entities, or so-called whales, are accumulating regardless of price.

Now, BTC and other crypto bulls have a window of three more weeks, until Oct. 12, when the Federal Judge will convene another hearing and potentially issue orders that could pose challenges for Binance.US. In the meantime, a Bitcoin price rally above $28,000 is certainly on the table.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Cryptocurrency

SEC to Dismiss the Ripple Case? Former CFTC Chairman Thinks so

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TL;DR

  • Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC sees renewed optimism with Gary Gensler’s resignation and speculation of the case being dropped under new leadership.
  • Legal experts suggest a possible $125M settlement or restructured terms, though opinions on dismissal vary.

Is the End Near?

Despite the numerous developments as of late, the lawsuit between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) remains ongoing. It dates back to December 2020 when the regulator accused the company and some of its executives of illegally raising $1.3 billion through an unregistered securities offering by selling its native cryptocurrency, XRP.

The Ripple community had cause for celebration recently. First, they cheered Donald Trump’s presidential win, who promised to fire the SEC’s Chairman Gary Gensler on day 1 after assuming office. Later, the regulator’s leader (who is known for his anti-crypto stance) confirmed he will vacate his post on January 20 (the day marking Trump’s inauguration). 

Somewhat expectedly, these developments have resulted in a massive resurgence for XRP’s price and speculation that the legal battle will soon be officially resolved under Gensler’s successor.

Most recently, Chris Giancarlo (former Chairman of the CFTC) claimed the SEC might drop the case during Trump’s administration. 

“I would recommend that regulatory agencies drop a lot of these cases where they’ve lost. I think they should drop the XRP case. I would bet that they would,” he added.

The Possible Scenarios

The American attorneys Jeremy Hogan and Fred Rispoli also touched upon the matter recently. The former predicted that the Commission might dismiss all non-fraud crypto lawsuits filed over the years. He believes the Ripple case could be settled for the previously ruled amount of $125 million. 

“It would be…awkward to settle for less than what was already awarded by a Court! The Coinbase and other cases in litigation will simply be dismissed. This will take some time. Not January, but perhaps before summer. That’s my call, and I’m sticking to it,” Hogan said.

Rispoli thinks that dropping the lawsuit is “unrealistic,” claiming the $125 million penalty for Ripple is the biggest win the SEC can gain. The lawyer also forecasted that the watchdog’s new potential leadership will “recognize this whole case was idiotic and settle at that point.”

“This might include a reduction in the fine and an agreement that current sales of XRP by Ripple are sufficiently structured to not be investment contracts, Rispoli added.

Meanwhile, Ripple’s CLO Stuart Alderoty recently sparked rumors that the case’s resolution might be just around the corner. In a mystic post on X, he hinted at a complete victory on the legal front, praising the efforts of CEO Brad Garlinghouse and the entire team.

 

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Bitcoin (BTC) Consolidates at $93K, Altcoins Try to Break Out (Market Watch)

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Bitcoin (BTC) has stabilized around $93,000 after a period of a downtrend in recent days

Meanwhile, numerous alternative coins have entered green territory today (November 27). Some of the notable gainers include Stellar (XLM), Avalanche (AVAX), Cardano (ADA), and more.

Is BTC Aiming at $100K Again?

The past few days have not been kind to the primary cryptocurrency, whose price nosedived from almost $100,000 on November 22 to approximately $90,700 on November 26. Interestingly, the pullback coincided with some bullish developments, such as MicroStrategy’s record purchase of a whopping 55,500 BTC (equaling around $5.4 billion). 

In the past 24 hours, though, the bulls have managed to recover some of the lost ground, pushing the asset’s valuation above $93,000 (a level that has been maintained for the last several hours).

BTC Price
BTC Price, Source: CoinGecko

It will be interesting to see if BTC will try another attempt toward the psychological mark of $100K or if the correction will last a bit longer. 

Meanwhile, the asset’s market cap has dropped to $1.85 trillion (per CoinGecko’s data). However, BTC’s dominance over the altcoins remains above 57%.

Alts on the Move

Unlike Bitcoin, some alternative coins have witnessed substantial price increases on a 24-hour scale. Stellar (XLM) continues to stun the crypto community, registering a fresh 8% resurgence and reclaiming $0.50. Avalanche (AVAX) and Cardano (ADA) have also performed quite well, with gains of 6% and 4%, respectively.

Ripple’s XRP is part of the club, too, albeit seeing a more modest rally of around 2%. At the same time, its price is up almost 180% in the last month thanks to some important developments such as Trump’s win in the US presidential elections and Gary Gensler’s (the Chairman of the US SEC) announcement to vacate his post in January next year.

Other well-known altcoins registering mild pumps in the last 24 hours include Ethereum (ETH), Tron (TRX), Polkadot (DOT), Shiba Inu (SHIB), Litecoin (LTC), and others.

The total market capitalization of the crypto sector currently stands at $3.36 trillion, representing a 1% drop from November 26.

Cryptocurrency Market Review
Cryptocurrency Market Review, Source: QuantifyCrypto

 

 

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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Ripple Contributes an Additional $25M to Pro-Crypto PAC Fairshake

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Ripple Labs has announced a $25 million contribution to the cryptocurrency-focused Fairshake political action committee (PAC).

This latest injection increases Fairshake’s total war chest for the upcoming 2026 congressional elections to $103 million.

Ripple’s Support

The donation follows Fairshake’s influential role in the 2024 elections, where it emerged as the largest PAC of the cycle. According to campaign finance watchdog OpenSecrets, Fairshake raised over $200 million, contributing significantly to the success of crypto-friendly candidates.

Data shows that of the 22 congressional candidates receiving $1 million or more from the PAC during the 2024 election cycle, at least 90% won their races.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse commented on the development in a post on X, stating:

“Electing pro-crypto, pro-growth, and pro-innovation candidates is a no-brainer, and to continue that momentum, Ripple is contributing another $25M to Fairshake. Onwards!”

He described Fairshake as the most successful bipartisan super PAC in American history.

Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty reaffirmed Ripple’s dedication to the PAC, noting that the company had pledged to be a leading supporter of Fairshake from its inception, even before its potential impact became evident. He also emphasized the firm’s determination to remain a strong advocate for innovation in Washington for years.

This is Ripple’s third donation to the fund over the past year. In June, the crypto company gave a similar amount to the PAC in preparation for the 2026 mid-term elections.

At the time, Garlinghouse explained that its offerings to Fairshake are part of the company’s broader efforts to actively invest in raising voter awareness about cryptocurrency’s future role.

$103 Million War Chest

Ripple Labs’ latest contribution follows major donations from two of Fairshake’s other key supporters: the Coinbase crypto exchange and Andreessen Horowitz’s crypto-focused division, a16z. Just two weeks ago, the former offered $25 million, while the latter contributed $23 million to the fund.

Combined with the $30 million carried over from the 2024 cycle, the $73 million Fairshake received from the three donors has pushed the funds in its coffers to $103 million.

In the last election cycle, crypto made giant strides, with more than 260 legislators sympathetic to digital assets elected. Fairshake and two affiliates, Protect Progress and Defend American Jobs, spent nearly $240 million on more than 50 races, securing victories in an overwhelming majority of them.

The super PAC is now positioned as an unmatched political force, ready to influence the legislative agenda for the session starting in 2026.

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