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Bitcoin halving to raise ‘efficient’ BTC mining costs to $30K

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Bitcoin (BTC) Ordinals are boosting miner profits, but “income stress” is looming, new research warns.

In the latest edition of its weekly newsletter, “The Week On-Chain,” analytics firm Glassnode predicted fresh problems for miners after Bitcoin’s next block subsidy halving.

Bitcoin halving impact on miners could be “severe”

Bitcoin miner competition is exploding, with hash rate — the estimated combined processing power deployed to the blockchain — at record highs.

For Glassnode, this indicates unprecedented conditions for miners trying to eke out a living at current BTC price levels.

Ordinal inscriptions are helping, with these acting as “packing-filler” which turns empty blockspace into a source of revenue for miners.

“Naturally, as blockspace demand increases, miner revenues will be positively affected,” it wrote.

Bitcoin Mean Hash Rate (7-day moving average) chart (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

The proportion of income received from fees has increased between 1% and 4% compared to lows seen during Bitcoin bear markets, but by historical standards remains modest.

“Meanwhile, the amount of hashrate competing for these rewards has increased by 50% since February, as more miners, and newer ASIC rigs are established and come online,” “The Week On-Chain” notes.

This hash rate spike is laying the foundation for an upcoming showdown. In April 2024, miner rewards per block will drop 50%, doubling the so-called “production cost” per BTC. Currently around $15,000, this will pass $30,000 — above the current spot price.

Glassnode presented two models for estimating the price at which miners, on aggregate, fall into the red, with the above comparing issuance to mining difficulty.

“By this model, we estimate that the most efficient miners on the network have an acquisition price of around $15.1k,” researchers explained.

“However, the purple curve shows the post-halving ‘doubling’ of this level to $30.2k, which would likely put the majority of the mining market into severe income stress.”

Bitcoin Difficulty per Issuance Pricing Model (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

A previous model put the average miner acquisition price at $24,300 per Bitcoin — around 8% below spot as of Sept. 28.

Bitcoin Difficulty Regression model (screenshot). Source: Glassnode

BTC price incentives

Others are more optimistic about how miners will handle the build-up to the halving.

Related: Bitcoin exchange volume tracks 5-year lows as Fed inspires BTC hodling

In an interview with Cointelegraph this month, analyst Filbfilb, co-founder of trading suite DecenTrader, reiterated that miners would up BTC accumulation in advance of the event.

“Miners are incentivized to ensure that prices are well above marginal cost prior to the halving,” he wrote in an X (formerly Twitter) thread in August.

“Whether they collude consciously, or not they are collectively incentivized to send prices higher before their marginal revenue is effectively halved.”

BTC/USD chart with miner accumulation data. Source: Filbfilb/X

Assisting BTC supply dynamics will be what Filbfilb calls smart money “buying the rumor” over the halving and its own impact on the amount of BTC being minted.

Collect this article as an NFT to preserve this moment in history and show your support for independent journalism in the crypto space.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Cryptocurrency

NEXST Launches Web3 VR Entertainment Platform with K-Pop Group UNIS as First Global Partner

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[PRESS RELEASE – Dubai, UAE, July 7th, 2025]

Revolutionizing fandom with AI, VR, and Web3 technology

Leading the next wave of immersive digital entertainment, NEXST proudly announces the launch of its groundbreaking VR division, powered by cutting-edge AI, VR, Web3, and Real-World Assets (RWA). The platform’s first major collaboration features rising global K-Pop sensation UNIS, making their virtual debut in a revolutionary new format.

As a next-generation AI-driven entertainment platform, NEXST is on a mission to reshape how fans connect with artists. With immersive VR content, real-time interactivity, and digital ownership through Web3, NEXST offers fans an entirely new way to experience music and storytelling.

“We believe the future of entertainment is immersive, decentralized, and artist-centric,” said Axel Gutman, Co-Founder of NEXST.

“Welcoming UNIS to the NEXST VR LIVE platform is just the beginning. We’re excited to announce more collaborations with global artists and top K-Pop stars in the coming months.”

Introducing NEXST VR LIVE: Immersive Web3-Enabled Experiences

NEXST VR LIVE is a dedicated division focused on creating immersive XR experiences using Virtual Reality (VR), Augmented Reality (AR), and Mixed Reality (MR). This initiative bridges globally famous artists, beloved IPs, and interactive VR environments—seamlessly integrated with Web3 technology.

Key features include:

  • Virtual concerts and performances with world-class artists
  • Interactive fan experiences powered by AI
  • Web3 integration that allows fans to own, trade, and participate in the entertainment economy
  • A smooth Web2-to-Web3 transition for mainstream fans

Inaugural Artist Announcement: K-Pop Powerhouse UNIS Joins NEXST VR LIVE!

Kicking off the launch is UNIS, the powerhouse K-Pop girl group formed through SBS’s hit survival show UNIVERSAL TICKET. Since their 2024 debut with WE UNIS and breakout single SUPERWOMAN, UNIS has captured the hearts of fans worldwide with their energy, vocals, and fierce Gen Z appeal.

By partnering with UNIS, NEXST taps into a vibrant, global fanbase—helping transition millions of Web2 music fans into the Web3 world.

$NXT Token: Powering the Web3 Entertainment Economy

The $NXT token powers the NEXST entertainment platform with real-world and digital utilities that enhance fan engagement, access, and ownership.

  • Exclusive Access: Unlockig VR concerts, discounted live tickets, VIP events, and early content drops.
  • AI & Fan Interaction: Accessing premium AI agent features, advanced LLM tools, and participate in artist growth via fan voting.
  • GameFi Rewards: Earning $NXT through gameplay, unlock in-game NFT items, and receive exclusive airdrops.

Details about the $NXT will be released soon via NEXST’s official social channels.

The Road Ahead: NEXST’s Vision for a Connected Future

NEXST will continue to push the boundaries of innovation by integrating AI, VR, and Web3 technologies across various entertainment domains, including music, live performances, and fan communities. Following UNIS, we aim to deepen collaborations with a diverse array of global artists and IPs, consistently delivering next-generation entertainment experiences that foster deeper connections between fans and artists.

We invite you to anticipate more groundbreaking events, collaborations, and updates as we collectively build the future of entertainment.

About NEXST

NEXT INNOVATIONS TECHNOLOGY L.L.C is a cutting-edge entertainment platform developer based in the UAE, dedicated to pioneering next-generation digital experiences.

Staying Connected with NEXST

About UNIS

UNIS is an 8-member South Korean girl group formed through SBS’s survival audition program UNIVERSE TICKET. After debuting on March 27, 2024, with their first mini-album WE UNIS, they have remained highly active, releasing their first single album CURIOUS in August of the same year and unveiling SWICY in 2025. Since their debut, they have continued to expand their global presence through various music shows and events.

UNIS Official Channels

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We Asked Gemini, ChatGPT, Grok Where Cardano (ADA) Will End 2025: The Verdict Will Surprise You

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TL;DR

  • With bitcoin sitting close to its all-time high of almost $112,000, the general perception among traders and investors is that the bull market is still going on.
  • As such, we decided to ask a few of the biggest AI solutions (Grok, ChatGPT, and Gemini) about one of the most popular altcoins – ADA, and its market potential this cycle.

How High Can ADA Go?

Unlike our similar article regarding XRP, the AI solutions provided more skeptical and, in some cases, bearish price predictions for ADA. ChatGPT, for example, warned investors not to anticipate fireworks from Cardano’s native token by the end of the year, stating, “Expect ADA to float in the $0.55-$0.65 range early in H2.”

Its most aggressive scenario envisions a price surge to somewhere between $1-$2, but said it’s not very likely the asset will go this high. Additionally, it cautioned users that if market support falters in the following months, ADA can drop well below its current levels of around $0.6.

Grok was slightly more bullish on the token’s future price trajectory. Its most realistic price range by the end of the year is “likely between $0.9 and $2.05, with an average around $1.21 and $1.48 if key resistance levels (e.g., $1.1) are breached and market conditions remain favorable.”

It touched upon some of the most extreme predictions circulating online, such as ADA at $7, but labeled them as “less credible without unprecedented adoption.”

Gemini described the overall market sentiment toward Cardano as “cautiously optimistic.” However, it warned that its price could struggle for the next few months and end the year at $0.55, which would mean a lower level than the current one.

What Would Drive This Volatility?

Although their price targets for the end of the year differentiated, the AI solutions were united in terms of what could drive the price gains or losses.

If ADA is to surge toward the most bullish zones outlined in the previous paragraphs, certain factors need to be aligned, ChatGPT, Grok, and Gemini said. One of the most important is the potential approval of a spot ADA ETF in the US. The current odds, according to Polymarket, are above 80% for a green light, and several companies have filed to launch such financial vehicles.

If approved, they can attract significant institutional interest, which would be a price booster. Other factors that could send ADA higher include technical upgrades, such as the January-implemented Plomin, which introduced a more sophisticated on-chain governance procedure, expanding the blockchain’s DeFi capabilities, and the overall market structure.

However, the AI chatbots also indicated that regulatory uncertainty, ecosystem stagnation, or broader market downturns could cap ADA at $0.6 or push it even lower. Consequently, the trio warned that investors should do their own research and not rely solely on AI-based predictions.

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Ethereum Price Analysis: Is ETH Primed for Further Gains After Surge Past $2.5K?

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Ethereum recently broke above the 200-day moving average and completed a pullback; however, the lack of strong bullish momentum suggests a higher likelihood of continued sideways consolidation.

Technical Analysis

By ShayanMarkets

The Daily Chart

After a period of consolidation between the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, ETH successfully broke above the 200-day MA at $2.5K, followed by a pullback. While this move is typically viewed as a bullish signal, ETH has failed to demonstrate strong follow-through, indicating weak market participation and insufficient bullish momentum.

As a result, the likelihood of continued sideways consolidation has increased. Currently, the price remains trapped between the 200-day MA and the critical $2.8K resistance level, with a decisive breakout in either direction needed to establish the next major trend.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the lower timeframe, Ethereum’s recent rally was halted at a key bearish order block between $2,625 and $2,670, a zone that has consistently attracted selling pressure. The rejection has led to a retracement toward the $2.5K support level — a historically significant zone where buyers have previously stepped in.

As anticipated, ETH found temporary support here and attempted a minor rebound. However, the current lack of trading volume and diminished bullish momentum suggests the potential for another rejection at the overhead resistance. Until a breakout above $2,670 or below $2.5K occurs, Ethereum is expected to remain range-bound.

Sentiment Analysis

By ShayanMarkets

This chart presents the Binance Liquidation Heatmap, highlighting zones where significant liquidation events are likely to occur. These areas often act as liquidity magnets, attracting price action due to the concentration of leveraged positions. Large market participants, commonly referred to as whales, tend to exploit these zones to enter or exit positions efficiently.

Currently, a prominent cluster of liquidation levels is situated just above the $2.6K mark, suggesting a strong likelihood that Ethereum’s price could gravitate toward this region. If reached, it may trigger a short-squeeze, fueling further upward momentum and potentially propelling ETH toward new local highs.

Conversely, another substantial liquidity pool resides below the $2.5K level, implying the possibility of a downward move to tap into this zone. As a result, Ethereum remains confined within a tight range between these liquidity clusters, awaiting a decisive breakout to determine the next directional move.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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