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Is the Bitcoin Bull Rally Dead? Important Pattern Starting to Shape Up (BTC Price Analysis)

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Bitcoin’s price has been consolidating for a while now, failing to continue the significant bullish momentum observed over the past few months. Yet, things are still looking positive for BTC in the short term.

Technical Analysis

By TradingRage

The Daily Chart

On the daily chart, the price has been aggressively attacking and breaking through resistance levels one at a time. Yet, the market is currently consolidating above the $40K level as the bullish momentum has faded away. The decrease in the relative strength index confirms this idea.

However, the RSI is still showing values above 50%, pointing to the fact that the momentum has yet to shift bearish. Therefore, with a strong support level at $40K, the price is still likely to reach the $48K resistance zone in the coming weeks before any major correction occurs.

btc_price_chart_3112231
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

As the 4-hour timeframe depicts, the recent consolidation has formed a classical price action pattern, the symmetrical triangle. The symmetrical triangle can both be a continuation and a reversal pattern, depending on the direction of the potential breakout.

As a result, investors can be optimistic that the price will eventually rally toward the $48K level in case a bullish breakout occurs. On the other hand, a bearish breakout can lead to a deeper correction in the near future.

btc_price_chart_3112232
Source: TradingView

On-Chain Analysis

By Shayan

Miner to Exchange Flow (mean)

The chart illustrates the 7-day exponential moving average applied to the Miner to Exchange Flow (mean) metric in correlation with Bitcoin’s price. This unique metric indicates the volume of coins transitioning from miners to exchanges, offering insights into potential selling pressures originating from miners.

Historically, downturns in Bitcoin’s price, whether significant or minor, have consistently aligned with instances where miners initiated the transfer of their Bitcoin holdings to SPOT exchanges. However, a noteworthy shift has recently unfolded as the metric experienced a substantial surge following Bitcoin’s price reaching the $45K mark and entering a consolidation stage.

This development suggests miners are realizing profits and raises the possibility of a market reversal if the metric continues to surge, reaching levels of concern. Monitoring this metric becomes crucial for anticipating potential shifts in market dynamics and adjusting strategies accordingly.

btc_miner_to_exchange_flow_chart_3112231
Source: CryptoQuant
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Enters Consolidation Phase After 16% Weekly Drop

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Cardano is navigating a pivotal price range, bounded by the $0.75 and $1.3 thresholds, with its recent price action underscoring a successful pullback to the previously breached $0.75 support.

The outcome of a breakout from this range will likely set the tone for its next significant market direction.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

Cardano has recently encountered a rejection at the $1.3 resistance level, triggering heightened volatility and a descending retracement phase. As a result, the price settled at the $0.75 support zone, which coincides with a significant prior yearly swing high and is laden with demand and buying interest. This support has halted further downside momentum, keeping ADA confined within the $0.75-$1.3 range.

This consolidation phase suggests a build-up of market pressure, with the potential for a decisive breakout on either side. A bullish breakout above $1.3 would signal the initiation of a sustained uptrend, while a bearish breakdown below $0.75 could result in a significant liquidation cascade, pushing the price toward lower support levels.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the shorter timeframe, Cardano’s price action has been shaped by a descending wedge pattern, a formation that often indicates a potential bullish breakout if the upper boundary is breached. Currently, the asset is hovering around the wedge’s lower boundary, near the $0.75 support zone, where increased buying interest is evident. This area is further reinforced by the critical 0.5 ($0.82)-0.618 ($0.7) Fibonacci retracement levels, solidifying it as a formidable barrier against further selling pressure.

In the mid-term, ADA is anticipated to continue consolidating within this wedge pattern while maintaining its position above these key Fibonacci levels. A bullish breakout from the wedge could pave the way for an advance toward the $1.3 resistance. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below the wedge’s lower boundary might trigger a deeper decline, with the $0.5 threshold emerging as the next significant support level.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Binance Prevents Over $129M From Being Lost to Scams in 2024 via AI and ML

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Crypto exchange giant Binance reportedly stopped more than $129 million from being lost to criminals in 2024.

In its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative end-of-year report, the company outlined how it deployed cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies to transform digital asset security from reactive measures to proactive defense strategies.

Anti-Scam Initiative

According to the report, on average, the company processed about 80 successful fund recoveries monthly, totaling to about $9 million of stolen funds returned to victims in 2024. Additionally, it revealed that it made over 30,000 phone calls to warn potential targets of likely scams, with at least 15,000 alerts issued daily to platform users.

The initiative’s efforts resulted in no less than 47,000 malicious addresses being blacklisted and, as of November, more than $129 million in annual funds prevented from being swindled.

The key to Binance’s approach to stopping bad actors from stealing from its user base is a system that combines technological surveillance and human-centered support. In it, machine learning algorithms analyze complex transaction patterns in real-time, identifying potential criminal activities at super-fast speeds. It also employs AI-powered behavioral profiling to distinguish between legitimate user activity and potential illegal undertakings.

The firm reported that it developed more than 50 specialized models and implemented 14 major upgrades to outmaneuver the fraudsters’ increasingly sophisticated tactics.

Its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative operates through four pillars: proactive protection, 24-hour safety mechanisms, rapid response recovery, and support for silent victims. The one-day safety net allows users a cooling period for suspicious transactions, with funds moved to flagged accounts frozen to provide an opportunity for investigations and potential intervention.

Binance’s Wins Over Crypto Thieves

Since the beginning of the year, CryptoPotato has reported several incidents in which Binance’s intervention helped cryptocurrency users recover stolen funds. For instance, in October, the company aided Delhi police in taking down a digital asset scam ring in the city and recovering up to 100,000 USDT.

Earlier in September, the exchange’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) helped authorities in the same country crack a scheme in which user funds amounting to $47.6 million were stolen from an online gaming platform and siphoned into several digital wallets.

In August, the company announced that its risk management system had prevented more than $2.4 billion in losses from potential swindlers in the first half of 2024. About $1.1 billion of this was attributed to suspected criminal withdrawals, with another $73 million previously frozen due to external hacks.

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SOL Eyes $200 After 5% Daily Surge, BTC Calms at $95K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s declining trading volumes continue over the weekend as the asset has produced little to no actual price movements over the past day.

The altcoins have recovered some ground from the Saturday correction, with ETH above $3,400 and DOGE aiming at $0.33.

BTC Stalls at $95K

Last week’s correction erased much of BTC’s price gains charted in December as the asset plummeted to $92,000 on December 21. It managed to bounce off immediately and headed toward $100,000 on a couple of occasions since then = on December 22 and 26 – but to no avail.

Each attempt was met with a vicious rejection that pushed the cryptocurrency south by several grand. The last such movement came at the end of the business week, and BTC slumped toward $93,000.

It defended that level and jumped to $94,000 yesterday and $95,000 now. This is somewhat expected given the declining trading volumes as of late, which could actually be a blessing in disguise for BTC and other assets if whales continue to make big purchases.

For now, though, BTC’s market cap remains well below $1.9 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts has been reduced to 54%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 29.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 29.12.2024. Source: TradingView

SOL, SUI Recover

Most altcoins suffered badly yesterday but have produced some minor increases over the past 24 hours. ETH has climbed above $3,400, XRP is close to $2.2, while BNB continues to defy the market sentiment with a 2.5% jump to $718.

Dogecoin has added over 3% of value and stands close to $0.33, while SOL and SUI have gained 5-6%. As a result, SOL now trades above $195, while SUI is north of $4.25.

Other notable gainers include HBAR, DOT, AAVE, APT, ICP, and PEPE.

The total crypto market cap has recovered about $50 billion since yesterday and is close to $3.5 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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