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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Are the Bulls Back or Will BTC Stall at $42K?

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Bitcoin’s price has been making lower highs and lows recently, following a decisive rejection from the significant $48K level.

Investors are now wondering whether the uptrend is over or a new all-time high is still on the cards.

Technical Analysis

By TradingRage

The Daily Chart

On the daily chart, the price has been formed and broken below an ascending channel below the $48K resistance level. This is a corrective (or bearish reversal) pattern, especially in case the price fails to climb back inside the channel.

Currently, The $40K support zone is preventing the market from dropping lower. Yet, with the Relative Strength Index showing values below 50%, the probability of further decline is still considerable.

It’s worth noting that, at the time of this writing, BTC’s price soared above $41K and is gaining momentum to challenge the $42K level.

btc_price_chart_2601241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour timeframe provides more clues on the potential short-term price action of Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency has recovered above the $40K level and is en route to retesting the broken trendline (the lower boundary of the broken ascending channel).

If the price fails to break above, it would be a potential turning point that would drive the price even lower, potentially toward the $38K support level, in the coming weeks.

btc_price_chart_2601242
Source: TradingView

On-Chain Analysis

By TradingRage

Funding Rates

During the final weeks of the recent uptrend, the market participants had become extremely positive that BTC was soon going to reach a new all-time high. This euphoric sentiment may have been one of the culprits for the drop in the last couple of weeks.

This chart demonstrates the Bitcoin funding rates, one of the valuable measures for future market sentiment evaluation. The metric indicates whether the buyers or the sellers are executing their orders more aggressively on aggregate. Positive values indicate optimistic market sentiment, while values below zero are associated with pessimism.

As the chart suggests, the funding rates have reached extremely high values during the recent high. These values were similar to those observed during the $69K all-time high range. As a result, a deep correction or even a bearish reversal could have been expected as things were unraveling the same.

btc_funding_rates_chart_2601241
Source: CryptoQuant
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Enters Consolidation Phase After 16% Weekly Drop

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Cardano is navigating a pivotal price range, bounded by the $0.75 and $1.3 thresholds, with its recent price action underscoring a successful pullback to the previously breached $0.75 support.

The outcome of a breakout from this range will likely set the tone for its next significant market direction.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

Cardano has recently encountered a rejection at the $1.3 resistance level, triggering heightened volatility and a descending retracement phase. As a result, the price settled at the $0.75 support zone, which coincides with a significant prior yearly swing high and is laden with demand and buying interest. This support has halted further downside momentum, keeping ADA confined within the $0.75-$1.3 range.

This consolidation phase suggests a build-up of market pressure, with the potential for a decisive breakout on either side. A bullish breakout above $1.3 would signal the initiation of a sustained uptrend, while a bearish breakdown below $0.75 could result in a significant liquidation cascade, pushing the price toward lower support levels.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the shorter timeframe, Cardano’s price action has been shaped by a descending wedge pattern, a formation that often indicates a potential bullish breakout if the upper boundary is breached. Currently, the asset is hovering around the wedge’s lower boundary, near the $0.75 support zone, where increased buying interest is evident. This area is further reinforced by the critical 0.5 ($0.82)-0.618 ($0.7) Fibonacci retracement levels, solidifying it as a formidable barrier against further selling pressure.

In the mid-term, ADA is anticipated to continue consolidating within this wedge pattern while maintaining its position above these key Fibonacci levels. A bullish breakout from the wedge could pave the way for an advance toward the $1.3 resistance. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below the wedge’s lower boundary might trigger a deeper decline, with the $0.5 threshold emerging as the next significant support level.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Binance Prevents Over $129M From Being Lost to Scams in 2024 via AI and ML

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Crypto exchange giant Binance reportedly stopped more than $129 million from being lost to criminals in 2024.

In its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative end-of-year report, the company outlined how it deployed cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies to transform digital asset security from reactive measures to proactive defense strategies.

Anti-Scam Initiative

According to the report, on average, the company processed about 80 successful fund recoveries monthly, totaling to about $9 million of stolen funds returned to victims in 2024. Additionally, it revealed that it made over 30,000 phone calls to warn potential targets of likely scams, with at least 15,000 alerts issued daily to platform users.

The initiative’s efforts resulted in no less than 47,000 malicious addresses being blacklisted and, as of November, more than $129 million in annual funds prevented from being swindled.

The key to Binance’s approach to stopping bad actors from stealing from its user base is a system that combines technological surveillance and human-centered support. In it, machine learning algorithms analyze complex transaction patterns in real-time, identifying potential criminal activities at super-fast speeds. It also employs AI-powered behavioral profiling to distinguish between legitimate user activity and potential illegal undertakings.

The firm reported that it developed more than 50 specialized models and implemented 14 major upgrades to outmaneuver the fraudsters’ increasingly sophisticated tactics.

Its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative operates through four pillars: proactive protection, 24-hour safety mechanisms, rapid response recovery, and support for silent victims. The one-day safety net allows users a cooling period for suspicious transactions, with funds moved to flagged accounts frozen to provide an opportunity for investigations and potential intervention.

Binance’s Wins Over Crypto Thieves

Since the beginning of the year, CryptoPotato has reported several incidents in which Binance’s intervention helped cryptocurrency users recover stolen funds. For instance, in October, the company aided Delhi police in taking down a digital asset scam ring in the city and recovering up to 100,000 USDT.

Earlier in September, the exchange’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) helped authorities in the same country crack a scheme in which user funds amounting to $47.6 million were stolen from an online gaming platform and siphoned into several digital wallets.

In August, the company announced that its risk management system had prevented more than $2.4 billion in losses from potential swindlers in the first half of 2024. About $1.1 billion of this was attributed to suspected criminal withdrawals, with another $73 million previously frozen due to external hacks.

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Cryptocurrency

SOL Eyes $200 After 5% Daily Surge, BTC Calms at $95K (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s declining trading volumes continue over the weekend as the asset has produced little to no actual price movements over the past day.

The altcoins have recovered some ground from the Saturday correction, with ETH above $3,400 and DOGE aiming at $0.33.

BTC Stalls at $95K

Last week’s correction erased much of BTC’s price gains charted in December as the asset plummeted to $92,000 on December 21. It managed to bounce off immediately and headed toward $100,000 on a couple of occasions since then = on December 22 and 26 – but to no avail.

Each attempt was met with a vicious rejection that pushed the cryptocurrency south by several grand. The last such movement came at the end of the business week, and BTC slumped toward $93,000.

It defended that level and jumped to $94,000 yesterday and $95,000 now. This is somewhat expected given the declining trading volumes as of late, which could actually be a blessing in disguise for BTC and other assets if whales continue to make big purchases.

For now, though, BTC’s market cap remains well below $1.9 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts has been reduced to 54%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 29.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 29.12.2024. Source: TradingView

SOL, SUI Recover

Most altcoins suffered badly yesterday but have produced some minor increases over the past 24 hours. ETH has climbed above $3,400, XRP is close to $2.2, while BNB continues to defy the market sentiment with a 2.5% jump to $718.

Dogecoin has added over 3% of value and stands close to $0.33, while SOL and SUI have gained 5-6%. As a result, SOL now trades above $195, while SUI is north of $4.25.

Other notable gainers include HBAR, DOT, AAVE, APT, ICP, and PEPE.

The total crypto market cap has recovered about $50 billion since yesterday and is close to $3.5 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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