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Is Bitcoin About to Plummet Toward $50K or is Another Rally Incoming? (BTC Price Analysis)

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Bitcoin’s price has entered a sideways consolidation phase following a notable surge toward the $52K resistance level, leaving market participants uncertain about its next direction. However, a short-term correction seems likely.

Technical Analysis

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

Analysis of the daily chart reveals a prolonged bull market for Bitcoin, characterized by its upward movement within a clearly defined ascending channel. This pattern indicates strong buyer dominance, potentially aiming for a new all-time high (ATH).

Despite this bullish sentiment, Bitcoin has encountered a critical resistance zone near the $52K mark after its recent upward surge.

Consequently, a period of consolidation correction is anticipated, allowing the market to find support levels around the channel’s mid-boundary and the 100-day moving average of $43K. However, a sudden breakthrough above the multi-month ascending channel could trigger a short-squeeze event, leading to another surge in the short term.

btc_price_chart_2402241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

A closer look at the 4-hour chart reveals a period of subdued price action near the significant $52K resistance level, with low volatility following a strong bullish rally.

This consolidation phase with slight volatility suggests a balance between buyers and sellers until one group gains dominance. If sellers take control, a short-term corrective retracement toward the critical support zone around $48K may occur, aligning roughly with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.

Conversely, if buyers prevail, an impulsive surge could be expected, aiming to breach the critical resistance region at $58K. Monitoring these crucial levels and market dynamics will be essential to navigate potential fluctuations, given the anticipated heightened volatility in the short term.

btc_price_chart_2402241
Source: TradingView

On-chain Analysis

By Shayan

This chart depicts the UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) value bands, specifically focusing on holdings of between 1K and 10K Bitcoins alongside Bitcoin’s price. This metric serves as a key indicator of big players’ accumulation or distribution behavior within the market.

An uptick in the metric signals accumulation among significant market participants, such as whales or institutional investors, while a decline suggests distribution. Recent data reveals a notable increase in the number of UTXOs ranging from 1K to 10K Bitcoins, a range typically associated with whales or institutions rather than individual investors. This surge, particularly following the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs, underscores heightened activity among institutional players.

While not yet reaching the levels seen during the latter stages of the 2021 bull market, the influx of whales and institutions into the market is noteworthy. Historically, such influxes have often preceded the entry of new individual investors, marking a potential transition point in the market cycle.

btc_chart
Source: CryptoQuant
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

Cryptocurrency

Forget 1%, 3%, or 5%: Financial Advisor Recommends Up to 40% Bitcoin Allocation

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Bitcoin’s evolution has been quite spectacular, especially in terms of global adoption. Recall that the asset was mostly ignored by legacy investors for its initial years, then became the laughing stock of many, before it finally started to capture the attention of previous doubters.

As prominent names like Paul Tudor Jones III, Kevin O’Leary, or even former critic Ray Dalio started to enter the ecosystem, their general advice was that people should look to invest no more than 5% in the cryptocurrency. However, the adoption curve has completed a 180-degree turn, and some financial advisors are now recommending bigger percentages. A lot bigger.

40% in BTC?

As reported by CNBC, Ric Edelman, head of Digital Assets Council of Financial Advisors, noted that a lot has changed since his initial take on the matter, which was four years ago. At the time, he advised investors, especially the more conservative ones, to allocate around 1% of their portfolios to BTC.

“Today I am saying 40%, that’s astonishing. No one has ever said such a thing,” he said now.

The reason for this monumental increase in his recommendation is the global status of Bitcoin (and some other cryptocurrencies). Most were ridiculed several years ago when it was unknown whether countries, such as China, or even the US, might move to ban them in some form. Now, the situation is entirely different as the US and a few others have presented plans on how to accumulate BTC as a reserve asset.

Old-School 60/40 Doesn’t Work

One of the most popular theories for investing is allocating 60% of a portfolio into stocks and 40% into bonds. While this classic split may have worked in the past, the landscape is different now, and it requires more risk and a greater exposure to stocks, according to Edelman.

“If you’re a financial advisor and you had a 30-year-old client who was saving for their long-term future, you would tell them to put 100% of their money in stocks, because they have 50 years to go. Today’s 60-year-old is kind of like yesterday’s 30-year-old. You need to get better returns than you can get from bonds, and you need to hold equities longer than ever before.”

Instead of such solid exposure to stocks, though, he said people should diversify with crypto and BTC in particular, which is a “wonderful way to improve modern portfolio theory statistics.”

“The crypto asset class offers the opportunity for higher returns than you’re likely to get in virtually any other asset class,” Edelman concluded.

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Israel Will Buy BTC and ETH and Give it to a Gambling Offender

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Israel will buy 19.15 BTC and 83 ETH, collectively worth over $2.2 million. But if you think that this is a step toward adopting crypto or that the country is planning to establish an alternative currency reserve – well, think again.

Shai Siboni – a popular Israeli footballer, who’s also a known gambling offender – had his crypto wallet “lost” while he was detained in police custody over two years ago.

Speaking on the matter was a police official, who said:

This is a serious oversight and it is still unclear how the wallet disappeared.

So, to make up for the “oversight,” the state of Israel will purchase a brand new digital wallet, fund it with 19.15 BTC and 83 ETH, and, well, give it back to Siboni.

Siboni Turned into “an Extremely Wealthy Man”

Commenting on the matter was also a senior official, who said that “this wallet was worth about a million shekels about seven years ago. Since then, currency prices have risen dramatically, and the state will pay dearly for the negligence of an elite police unit.”

This is one of the most serious failures we’ve had, and the saddest thing – no one is taking responsibility.”

Siboni, who is a convicted gambling offender has been turned into an “extremely wealthy man,” concluded the official.

A Gambling Offender

To provide a bit of context on the profile of Siboni – he’s considered a major target when it comes to illegal gambling as part of the Lahav 433 Unit’s investiagtions.

During the two World Cups – the one in 2014 in Brazil and the one in 2018 in Russia – Siboni operated illegal betting lines for thousands of gamblers.

Suspicions place his profits to the tune of more than 100 million shekels. These were used to purchase luxury cars, apartments and other assets. The hard truth, however, is that the state had difficulty proving that the money came from criminal activity, so the majority of his property (including the crypto wallet) was returned to him.

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Calm Before the Storm? Bitcoin Consolidates Around $107,000: Weekend Watch

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The broader cryptocurrency market remains relatively calm and for the past 24 hours there haven’t been any major movements.

Bitcoin continues trading in a more or less narrow range between $106,000 and $108,000, begging the question if this is the calm before the storm and if a major move is just around the corner.

Bitcoin Price Consolidates at $107K

Bitcoin’s price didn’t go through any major moves during the past day and continues consolidating at around $107,000.

The absence of volatility is also seen in the level of liquidations, which has declined by 4% on the daily, currently standing at around $200 million, according to Coinglass. The majority of them are short positions, meaning that the bulls are defending this area successfully, at least so far.

As seen in the chart below, the price has managed to recover from the losses endured last weekend following the US strike of strategic Iranian nuclear bases.

That said, as CryptoPotato reported, the number of larger wallets, holding 10 BTC or more, hit 152,280, which is the highest since March. This signals that deep-pocketed investors show a lot of confidence and might be positioning themselves for an incoming rally.

BTCUSD_2025-06-28_12-12-29
Source: TradingView

Altcoins Trend Flat but Leaning Bullish

The majority of large-cap altcoins are trading in the green. They are not charting any significant gains, but the heatmap is obviously leaning bullish.

Notably, Ripple’s XRP is charting gains of more than 4% on the day, being the best-performing altcoin from the top 10 by means of total market capitalization.

Bitcoin’s market dominance is down by around 0.5% in the past 24 hours, which shows that the altcoins are attempting to capitalize on its flat trend. It’s interesting to see if this will continue.

The best performer today is Quant (QNT), which is up 6.5%, followed by SPX6900 and Jupiter (JUP), both of which are up by 5.3% and 4.8%, respectively.

On the other hand, Aptos, Pi Network, and SEI are today’s worst performers, down by 7.7%, 3.8%, and 3.6%.

Screenshot 2025-06-28 at 12.16.34
Source: Quantify Crypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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