Connect with us
  • tg

Forex

Dollar gains ahead of Fed meeting; yen slumps despite BOJ hike

letizo News

Published

on

Dollar gains ahead of Fed meeting; yen slumps despite BOJ hike
© Reuters.

Investing.com – The U.S. dollar gained in European trade Tuesday ahead of the start of the latest Federal Reserve meeting, while the Japanese yen slumped despite the Bank of Japan ending its negative interest rate policy. 

At 04:00 ET (09:00 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.4% higher at 103.640, not far off a two-week high hit earlier in the session.

Dollar in demand ahead of Fed meeting

The U.S. currency has seen demand Tuesday, climbing near to two-week highs after a recent run of resilient U.S. inflation data prompted traders to adjust expectations for the pace and scale of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.

Fed officials get together later in the session Tuesday, ahead of Wednesday’s , which will be scrutinised for clues to how soon the central bank could start easing rates.

“With the market now just pricing 68bp of Fed cuts this year, the FOMC could prove a mild dollar negative,” said analysts at ING, in a note. “For the time being, however, the risk of the Fed Dots shifting to just 50bp of cuts this year could continue to prompt some modest dollar short covering.”

Yen slumps despite BOJ hike

traded 1% higher to 150.62, with the Japanese yen weakening sharply despite the raising interest rates by 0.1%, bringing them to neutral territory after nearly a decade of negative rates. 

The bank also signaled an end to its yield curve control and asset purchase policies.

However, the central bank also said that uncertainty over the Japanese economy will keep monetary conditions largely accommodative for the “time being.” 

A pivot away from negative interest rates was widely expected, and it marks only a marginal move away from its ultra-dovish stance, meaning the Japanese currency remained under pressure. 

“The problem for the yen,” said ING analysts, “is that volatility remains exceptionally low and the carry trade exceptionally popular.”

“USD/JPY may well trade in a 150-152 range for the time being … and a lower USD/JPY will have to be led from the dollar side.”

Euro drops to two-week lows

traded 0.3% lower to 1.0839, falling near to two-week lows on the back of dollar strength, even as showed an improvement in March.

There is growing expectation that the will cut interest rates in early summer, with Vice President Luis de Guindos on Tuesday, joining a long list of policymakers putting the June 6 meeting on the table for a potential start of policy easing.

“We haven’t yet discussed anything about future rate moves,” de Guindos told Greek newspaper Naftemporiki in an interview. “We need to gather more information. In June we will also have our new projections and we will be ready to discuss this.”

traded 0.4% lower at 1.2674, also near a two-week low, ahead of Thursday’s rate-setting meeting, which is widely expected to see unchanged forward guidance.

traded largely unchanged at 0.8878, with the also expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday.

The SNB announced earlier Tuesday that it sold foreign currency worth 132.9 billion Swiss francs (around $150 billion) in 2023 in an attempt to combat imported inflation, a massive increase from the 22.3 billion francs in foreign currencies sold in 2022.

The SNB has said it would no longer focus on foreign currency sales.

Aussie dollar retreats after RBA meeting

Elsewhere, fell 0.7% to 0.6511 after the kept interest rates steady, but struck a less hawkish tone than markets were expecting.

The RBA did not offer an explicit warning that interest rates could rise higher to combat sticky inflation, and instead offered largely vague cues on monetary policy remaining tight to offset high price pressures. 

 

Forex

Asia FX weakens as dollar recovers amid waning rate cut cheer

letizo News

Published

on

Investing.com– Most Asian currencies retreated on Friday as the dollar recovered a measure of recent losses after a string of Federal Reserve officials warned that bets on interest rate cuts may be premature. 

While the greenback was still headed for some weekly losses, it was trading well above a one-month low hit on Thursday. U.S. Treasury yields also rebounded, pressuring risk-driven markets.

Regional factors also weighed on Asian currencies, as economic data from China and Japan underwhelmed.

Chinese yuan weak amid mixed economic prints 

The Chinese yuan’s pair rose 0.1%, moving back to six-month highs above 7.22.

Economic readings from the country continued to offer middling signals on an economic recovery. Data on Friday showed grew more than expected in April.

But other readings showed growth in slowed sharply, while a decline in Chinese accelerated last month. 

Chinese also grew less than expected in April, while fell from a seven-month high, but still remained relatively high. 

The readings presented a mixed outlook for Asia’s biggest economy. They also came after the U.S. imposed higher tariffs on key Chinese industries, sparking fears of a reignited trade war between Beijing and Washington. 

Concerns over China weighed on other currencies with trade exposure to the country. The Australian dollar’s pair fell 0.2%, while the South Korean won’s pair rose 0.7%. 

The Singapore dollar’s pair rose 0.1% after the island state’s grew at a slower-than-expected pace in April, and also contracted sharply from last year. 

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or
remove ads
.

Weakness in the Japanese yen deepened after weaker-than-expected gross domestic product data for the first quarter. The pair rose 0.3% and was close to breaking above 156, extending sharp overnight gains.

Dollar recoups most weekly losses as Fed downplays rate cuts 

The and rose 0.2% each in Asian trade, extending an overnight rebound from one-month lows.

The dollar’s recovery came as several Fed officials, specifically members of the bank’s rate-setting committee, said that they needed much more confidence that inflation was coming down, beyond some easing inflation in April.

This saw traders scale back bets on a September rate cut, albeit slightly, according to the . 

Still, the dollar was set to lose about 0.7% this week, following some softer-than-expected data for April. The reading, coupled with soft data pushed up hopes that inflation will cool in the coming months.

Continue Reading

Forex

Dollar steadies, but on track for sharp weekly loss

letizo News

Published

on

Investing.com – The U.S. dollar edged higher in European trade Friday, but was on track for a hefty weekly fall after cooling inflation and weak retail sales brought Federal Reserve rate cuts back into focus. 

At 04:10 ET (08:10 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, traded 0.2% higher at 104.580, marginally above a five-week low just below 104 seen earlier this week.

Dollar steadies after hawkish Fed speak

The dollar has recovered to a degree as several Fed officials, specifically members of the bank’s rate-setting committee, said that they needed much more confidence that inflation was coming down, beyond some easing inflation in April.

“I now believe that it will take longer to reach our 2% goal than I previously thought,” St. Louis Federal Reserve president Loretta Mester said on Thursday, adding that further monitoring of incoming data will be needed. 

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams agreed with this view. 

“I don’t see any indicators now telling me … there’s a reason to change the stance of monetary policy now, and I don’t expect that, I don’t expect to get that greater confidence that we need to see on inflation progress towards a 2% goal in the very near term,” Williams said.

However, the dollar is still on course for a weekly loss of around 0.7% after the milder than expected U.S. data raised expectations the will deliver two interest rate cuts this year, probably starting in September.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or
remove ads
.

U.S. were also flat in April and softer-than-expected, and manufacturing output unexpectedly fell.

“Our view for the near term remains that we could see a further stabilisation in USD crosses as markets await the next key data input: April core PCE on 31 May,” said analysts at ING, in a note.

Euro slips ahead of CPI release

In Europe, traded 0.1% lower to 1.0860, having traded as high as 1.0895 in the wake of U.S. inflation release, but the single currency is still up around 0.9% on the dollar this week.

The final reading of the is due later in the session, and is expected to show inflation rose by 2.4% on an annual basis in April.

The is widely expected to cut interest rates in June, but traders remain unsure of how many more cuts, if any, the central bank will agree to over the course of the rest of the year.

Traders have priced in 70 basis points of ECB cuts this year – a lot more than the just under 50 bps of easing priced in for the Fed.

fell 0.1% to 1.2658, but is still on track for gains of around 1% this week.

The Bank of England is also expected to cut rates from a 16-year high this summer, but volatility is likely to be limited ahead of the release of key U.K. inflation figures next week.

Yen slips after weak Japanese GDP data

In Asia, rose 0.3% to 155.87, close to breaking above 156, after weaker-than-expected Japanese data for the first quarter. 

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or
remove ads
.

traded 0.1% higher at 7.2209, moving back to six-month highs above 7.22 after data earlier Friday showed grew more than expected in April, but growth in slowed sharply, while a decline in Chinese house prices accelerated last month.

 

Continue Reading

Forex

ING anticipates EUR/GBP rise as BoE rate cut bets increase

letizo News

Published

on

Broker ING noted the potential downside risks for the British pound, noting the currency’s recent decline from its peak against the euro. The GBP’s sensitivity to the performance of US equities was highlighted as a contributing factor to its movement.

The firm also observed a decrease in volatility for the pair as the market anticipates the release of key Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures in the UK scheduled for next week.

ING’s UK economist suggests that there may be a dovish tilt in expectations for the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy. The firm maintains a favorable outlook on the possibility of the EUR/GBP pair rising, as market participants might increase their wagers on a potential interest rate cut by the BoE in June.

The British financial markets were focused on a speech delivered by Catherine Mann of the BoE, who is regarded as the most hawkish member of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC).

This event followed comments made by Megan Greene, who recently shared a cautiously optimistic perspective on inflation, mirroring sentiments expressed by BoE Governor Andrew Bailey at the last meeting.

ING’s commentary comes as investors and analysts closely watch the central bank’s moves, which could significantly influence currency valuations. The anticipation of UK CPI data and the BoE’s potential response are key factors in the firm’s analysis of the GBP’s trajectory.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Continue Reading

Trending

©2021-2024 Letizo All Rights Reserved