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Analysis-Senegal election a welcome boost for coup-prone West Africa

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Analysis-Senegal election a welcome boost for coup-prone West Africa
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Supporters of Senegalese presidential candidate Bassirou Diomaye Faye celebrate early results showing that Faye is leading initial presidential election tallies, in Dakar, Senegal, March 24, 2024. REUTERS/Luc Gnago/File Photo

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By Bate Felix and Alessandra Prentice

DAKAR (Reuters) -For all the drama and the sometimes violent protests in the run-up to Senegal’s presidential election, the former French colony looked set for a peaceful transition of power on Monday – a welcome boost for democracy in coup-prone West Africa.

Sunday’s vote, which was delayed from its original date of Feb. 25, went off smoothly with supporters of opposition candidate Bassirou Diomaye Faye celebrating in the streets overnight as preliminary results put him firmly ahead.

On Monday, both Faye’s rival in the ruling coalition, Amadou Ba, and outgoing President Macky Sall congratulated Faye for winning the election, before any official results from the electoral commission had come out.

“Organised in unusual conditions and having overcome a thousand difficulties, the March 24 presidential election will remain in our political history as one of … the most transparent, peaceful and sincere,” Ba said.

“The people of Senegal cemented the good health of our democracy.”

Sall himself, who in February tried to postpone the election by 10 months a few hours ahead of the start of campaigning, said Sunday’s vote was “a victory for Senegal’s democracy.”

Senegal had been already rocked by deadly protests between 2021 and 2023, partly linked to fears that Sall would use changes to the constitution to extend his hold on power as other West African presidents had done before him.

His decision to postpone the vote prompted more demonstrations, rekindling fears over a democratic backslide in a region that has seen eight military coups in three years. It also risked plunging Senegal into chaos, Babacar Ndiaye, analyst and research director at West African Think Tank Wathi, said.

But after weeks of tension and another two attempts to postpone the vote and extend Sall’s mandate – all rejected by Senegal’s Constitutional Council and the Supreme Court – millions showed up calmly at the polls on Sunday. No major incidents were reported.

“Every time Senegal has been on the edge of the precipice, the country has managed to pull back, which is a testament of the strength of its democracy,” Ndiaye told Reuters.

“What I saw yesterday, I had not seen before. People wanted to vote and make their voice heard. That issue of the attempted postponement left a bitter taste,” he added.

NEXT TEST IN SOUTH AFRICA

While many observers will wait to see how Sall’s supporters take the defeat of his candidate, events so far have once again set Senegal apart in a continent that has a history of contentious elections, often culminating in violent upheavals.

Recent votes in Nigeria, Kenya and the Democratic Republic of Congo saw losing candidates reject the results. The next major test for democracy on the continent will be the parliamentary vote in South Africa on May 29, where the ANC is expected to lose its majority for the first time since the end of apartheid in 1994.

Senegal also stands out in a region that has seen rapturous crowds take to the streets to celebrate their militaries seizing power in Niger, Burkina Faso, Mali and Guinea, where support for democracy has dropped steeply over the past decade, according to Afrobarometer data.

Those countries have seen Russia’s influence grow at the expense of traditional allies such as France and the United States, and are also fighting Jihadist militants.

“The country’s institutions, particularly the Constitutional Council, saved the electoral process, and some say they saved Senegal’s democracy,” Ndiaye said.

Sall was swept to power in 2012 on a wave of popular support which has since soured. 

The jailing of opposition challengers, crackdowns on protests and moves to constrain Senegal’s diverse media landscape had led Human Rights Watch to question the authorities’ commitment to holding free and fair elections.

Political commentator Ibou Fall told Reuters that Senegal has a history of resisting attempts to tamper with its institutions, citing the public backlash in 2011 when former president Abdoulaye Wade tried to change the constitution.

“In reality, Senegal’s reputation as a democracy has been regularly tested since independence (from France in 1960),” Fall said. “But it has resisted.”

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Revance Therapeutics stock price target cut on first quarter performance

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On Friday, Piper Sandler adjusted its outlook on Revance Therapeutics (NASDAQ:), reducing the stock price target to $11 from the previous $20, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the stock. The adjustment comes after Revance reported first-quarter financial results, revealing an adjusted net loss per share of $0.43 and revenue of $51.9 million.

These figures stood in contrast to the Street’s expectations, which anticipated a slightly higher loss per share of $0.46 and revenue of $56.4 million.

Despite the lowered stock price target, the firm’s analysts believe Revance is on track to meet its 2024 net sales goal of at least $280 million, a figure that is slightly below the consensus estimate of approximately $292 million. The company’s management has indicated that more than half of these sales are projected to come from its RHA product line, according to commentary from Revance.

Revance’s Daxxify, a product used in facial aesthetics, is showing promising performance with sales annualizing to nearly $90 million after five full quarters in the market. Moreover, the RHA franchise is annualizing at about $120 million in sales, approximately three years after its launch.

The first quarter is typically the slowest in the facial aesthetics industry, yet these figures suggest potential for the company to reach its stated top-line goals for the year.

The firm’s analysis suggests that Revance Therapeutics has a “fighting chance” of achieving its 2024 revenue targets. The analysts forecast that the company could reach a break-even point sometime in 2025. The revised price target of $11, down from $20, reflects more conservative estimates for Daxxify and RHA sales beyond the year 2024.

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InvestingPro Insights

Piper Sandler’s recent price target adjustment for Revance Therapeutics (NASDAQ:RVNC) to $11 coincides with some critical financial metrics and market performance data. According to InvestingPro Data, Revance’s market capitalization stands at $447.08 million, with a significant revenue growth of 76.55% in the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This growth is notable, especially considering the company’s revenue of $234.04 million in the same period.

Despite this revenue upswing, Revance’s profitability challenges are evident. The company’s P/E ratio is negative, at -1.85, and it has not been profitable over the last twelve months. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip that analysts do not anticipate the company will be profitable this year. Moreover, the stock price has experienced a considerable decline over the last year, with a 1 Year Price Total Return of -88.15%.

Still, there is a silver lining. Revance’s liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, suggesting a degree of financial stability. Moreover, the company has seen a significant return over the last week, with a 1 Week Price Total Return of 8.61%. This could indicate investor optimism in the short term, potentially reflecting confidence in the company’s strategic direction or product offerings.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional insights on Revance Therapeutics. There are more InvestingPro Tips available, which could further guide investment decisions. To explore these tips and gain more detailed financial insights, consider using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

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This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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US bill to restrict WuXi AppTec, Chinese biotechs revised to give more time to cut ties

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By Karen Freifeld

(Reuters) -A new version of a congressional bill that would restrict U.S. business with certain Chinese biotechnology companies including WuXi AppTec and BGI would give U.S. companies until 2032 to end work with the firms, extending the amount of time to find new partners.

The latest Biosecure Act also adds WuXi Biologics (HK:) to a list of biotech companies of concern, according to a copy seen by Reuters. The other companies on the list are BGI , MGI, Complete Genomics and WuXi AppTec .

The revised bill will be introduced on Friday and a U.S. House of Representatives committee is expected to decide next week whether to move the bill forward, according to a House Committee on Oversight and Accountability spokesperson.

The committee markup, expected Wednesday, is a procedural step in the process to the bill’s possibly becoming law. A similar Senate bill was approved by a committee there in March.

The bills are designed to keep Americans’ personal health and genetic information from foreign adversaries. News of the proposed legislation has driven WuXi AppTec and WuXi Biologics shares down this year.

A spokesperson for WuXi Biologics said they had not yet seen the revised bill and could not comment. WuXi AppTec and MGI did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Complete Genomics said it is “encouraged that policymakers understand the detrimental impacts to the U.S. biotech supply chain – and how the legislation would jeopardize the drug supply for millions of American patients.” It said it does not have access to personal DNA data and should be removed from the legislation.

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The latest bill “highlights a key vulnerability in our global supply chain and importantly provides a reasonable timeframe for companies to decouple their reliance on China-based biomanufacturing,” John Crowley, president of BIO, an industry association, said in a statement.

The association sent the results of a survey of member companies to congressional contacts on Wednesday. Of the 124 biopharmaceutical companies and biotechnology companies that responded, 79 percent had at least one contract or product agreement with a China-based or owned manufacturer.

The “vast majority” of business described in the survey is assumed to be with WuXi Biologics and WuXi AppTec, Crowley said in an interview.

Companies estimated it would take up to eight years to switch manufacturing partners, the survey found.

WuXi AppTec has said it fully complies with the strict reporting, oversight and inspection requirements of its customers and U.S. federal agencies.

BGI Group said, as it has in the past, that it supports protecting Americans’ personal data and did not have access to the data. It said the bill would drive BGI out of the U.S. and limit competition and that a U.S. company had been lobbying on it.

“This legislation will give a single company total control of the U.S. market, resulting inevitably in higher prices and reduced choice,” Complete Genomics added.

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McDonald’s considering $5 meal deal launch to draw diners, source says

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(Reuters) -McDonald’s U.S. franchises are considering launching a $5 meal deal, a source familiar with the matter said on Friday, as the fast-food chain looks to draw more inflation-hit customers to its restaurants.

Global restaurant chains such as McDonald’s (NYSE:) and Starbucks (NASDAQ:) have seen lower-income customers opting to eat more meals at home amid a cost-of-living crisis, forcing the companies to offer steeper promotions to attract them to their outlets.

McDonald’s, which has a higher exposure to the lower-income cohort, saw its global sales growth slowing for the fourth straight quarter.

“I think it’s important to recognize that all income cohorts are seeking value,” CEO Chris Kempczinski said on a post-earnings call last month.

Bloomberg News first reported about McDonald’s plans.

McDonald’s shares were up about 2% at $272.80 following the news.

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