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Bitcoin Miners Compete for Profitability Ahead of Halving: CryptoQuant

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With the fourth Bitcoin halving approximately 15 days away, miners are focused on increasing their profitability before their block rewards are significantly reduced.

Although some Bitcoin mining companies have increased their selling activity, they still face challenges like lower transaction fees, increasing mining competition, and the need for higher computing power to produce the same amount of BTC.

Miners Struggle to Sustain Profitability

The reduction of Bitcoin block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC will significantly affect miners. Their revenues will be slashed by 50%, and they will need higher BTC prices to sustain their profitability.

CryptoQuant’s latest weekly crypto report revealed that the mining industry’s daily revenue reached record levels in 2024 due to the rise in BTC prices. While the revenue currently hovers around $67 million, it hit $79 million in early March, representing a 3.5x uptick from the figures recorded in May 2020, just before the previous halving event.

Unfortunately, the surge in miner daily revenue eluded the hashprice, which was 30% lower than it had been before the last halving. The hashprice, the average revenue a miner gets each time it tries to find a valid block, is currently at $0.11 and will fall to $0.055 after the halving. In May 2020, the metric hovered around $0.16 TH/s.

Besides the lower hashprice, Bitcoin hashrate has more than quintupled since the previous halving, rising from 116 EH/s to 600 EH/s at the time of writing. This means miners need more computing power to produce the same amount of BTC per day.

Transaction Fees Decline

In addition, Bitcoin transaction fees have plummeted 90% from a daily total of 412 BTC in mid-December 2023 to 29 BTC at press time.

“Indeed, transaction fees as a percentage of the total block reward (new Bitcoin issuance + transaction fees) are at low levels. Transaction fees represent ~3% of the total block reward, down from 37% in mid-December 2023. Fees were also around 3% prior to the previous halving in May 2020. Higher fees or Bitcoin prices are needed to compensate for the loss of block reward,” CryptoQuant analysts explained.

These challenges have already affected the daily BTC production of the largest Bitcoin mining firms like Riot Platforms, Core Scientific, Bitfarms, and Marathon Digital. It remains to be seen what the upcoming months have in store for them.

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XRP Drops Following Ripple’s Latest Setback in SEC Legal Battle

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  • US District Judge Analisa Torres has ruled against the SEC and Ripple in their joint motion filed earlier this year.
  • The legal case between the two, which started over four and a half years ago, has yet to reach a conclusive end despite Garlinghouse’s announcement in March.

Recall that Judge Torres denied the joint motion filed by the two in May as well and set a new deadline for June 16 by which date Ripple and the agency had to refile by fixing all prior inconsistencies.

However, the latest update on the matter is another disappointment for both sides as the Judge has rejected the joint motion for an indicative ruling.

Ripple and the SEC had reached an agreement between each other, as the company had to pay a relatively minor penalty of $50 million, which is a lot less than what the agency initially sought ($2 billion) or the original ruling ($125 million).

Back in March, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse triumphantly announced that the lawsuit had ended after over four years. However, the case continues, at least for now.

XRP’s price continues to drag as it has failed to capitalize on the overall market improvement in the past few days. The asset is down by over 3% on a daily scale, and trades well below $2.15.

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Last Time Bitcoin Did This, the Price Went From $60K to $100K

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Bitcoin (BTC) could be primed for a surge to $160,000, according to a key on-chain metric that foreshadowed two other record-breaking rallies.

This bullish outlook is emerging even as BTC battles volatility near $108,000, a psychological threshold tested amid geopolitical turbulence and conflicting accumulation patterns.

The Accumulation Blueprint

In his latest analysis, market watcher Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder (LTH) to Short-Term Holder (STH) ratio shows a very familiar accumulation pattern.

According to him, some of BTC’s most explosive rallies between 2023 and 2025 were preceded by sustained LTH/STH growth. One of the runs, which started when Bitcoin was trading around the $28,000 level, saw the king cryptocurrency go all the way to $60,000. Another LTH/STH ratio uptick provided enough momentum to push BTC from $60,000 to $100,000.

Adler has noted the same signal flashing at the $100,000 level:

“Today, at the $100K mark, we again see sustained growth in the LTH/STH ratio,” noted the expert. “This accumulation phase could last 4-8 weeks, after which, by analogy with previous cycles, a powerful upward reversal is likely.”

Applying a conservative 1.6x multiplier to Bitcoin’s current price, he projects a $160,000 target by the end of August.

Giving more credence to the outlook, prominent trader Titan of Crypto identified a bull flag formation on BTC’s daily charts, suggesting a potential breakout to $137,000. He added that the MACD indicator was also on the verge of a bullish crossover, a move often viewed as a trigger for price momentum shifts.

Technical and historical indicators also bolster Adler’s thesis. For instance, the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart places the crypto asset firmly in the “BUY” zone, a scenario comparable to November 2020, just prior to it setting off on a 450% ROI surge, and May 2017, before the same metric boomed 1,400%.

Market Outlook

This activity coincides with broader geopolitical and market forces. On June 25, Bitcoin briefly touched $108,000 following remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump on easing tensions in the Middle East.

Prices have since cooled slightly, with BTC changing hands at around $107,653 at the time of this writing. While a modest 0.7% gain in the last 24 hours, the price reflects a 1.8% monthly dip.

Still, the asset’s nearly 3% uptick in the last seven days puts its performance slightly ahead of the rest of the crypto market, which only managed to go up 1.6% in that period. However, the sideways movement saw BTC underperform versus tech stocks like Nvidia (+9.15%) and Oracle (+32.5%), raising questions about capital rotation.

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Not Just TRUMP: MELANIA-Linked Wallets Offload Large Holdings Amid 98.4% Price Dump

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TL;DR

  • The team behind the second meme coin linked to the First Family has also been disposing of a large portion of the token in the past several months.
  • According to on-chain data shared by Lookonchain, they have already sold more than 8% of the total MELANIA supply.

The post indicates that the team has cashed out over $35 million in MELANIA over the past four months from 44 wallets related to them.

Within this timeframe, the meme coin related to the FLOTUS experienced a massive price dump. It peaked at $8.5 hours after its launch but quickly started to lose value.

In the past 24 hours, the asset has plunged to $0.2, which represents a 98.4% price dump within just several months.

Thus, the MELANIA team has followed the example set by those operating the TRUMP token. CryptoPotato reported numerous times in the past that wallets linked to the POTUS meme coin had disposed of enormous portions of the token.

The most recent example was quite controversial as it came just hours before the US launched a missile attack against Iran, after which the entire crypto market turned red, including the TRUMP meme coin.

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