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Don’t Expect Another Lawsuit If SEC Rejects Ethereum ETFs: Bloomberg Analyst

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U.S. regulators will likely reject Ethereum (ETH) spot ETFs – and crypto won’t put up much of a legal fight for it, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas.

The analyst’s latest take is a discouraging sign for Ethereum bulls and stands in stark contrast to his former optimism about Bitcoin spot ETFs preceding their January approval.

Are Ethereum ETFs Worth Fighting For?

In a Wednesday tweet, Balchunas addressed a common theory that the crypto industry will sue the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) if it refuses to approve ETH spot ETFs by May, which is its final deadline to deliver a verdict for several applicants.

“I would question this as Ether futures only ETFs have 4% of the assets that bitcoin futures have,” Balchunas wrote. “That’s a lot of time and money for something that may only get a fraction of the aum.”

The ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) – the nation’s first Bitcoin futures ETF – hauled $1 billion within its first two days of launch in 2021. It now holds $2.7 billion worth of Bitcoin futures contracts, while its largest leveraged rival holds another $1.6 billion.

By comparison, the ProShares Ether Strategy ETF launched roughly two years later pulled a dearth of the same investor interest, and now only holds a $72 million AUM. It’s a potential sign that institutional investors don’t have the same appetite for the second-largest digital asset.

Prior comments from sponsors of some of the largest Bitcoin ETFs would corroborate this claim. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan wrote last month that Ether ETFs might gather more steam if launched well after their Bitcoin counterparts, and that BTC is “in a class of its own” regarding institutional interest.

Furthermore, Robert Mitchnick – BlackRock’s Head of Digital Assets – said in March that Bitcoin is “overwhelmingly the number one priority” for crypto exposure among its client base. “Then a little bit of Ethereum, and very little everything else,” he added.

What Does Grayscale Want?

Contrarily, Ethereum bulls say comparing the performance of futures ETFs isn’t appropriate – especially given the vastly different timings of their launch.

“The better comparison here is GBTC and ETHE where GBTC was $30bil assets under management pre conversion (Jan 10th) and ETHE was $7.3bil,” tweeted sassal.eth in early March.

The SEC was formerly opposed to Bitcoin spot ETFs, alleging that such funds were more vulnerable to market manipulation compared to their futures-based counterparts.

A year-long lawsuit brought by Grayscale forced them to reverse that stance, and ETFs were subsequently approved. Ironically, however, the increased competition brought by the approvals has contributed to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) losing nearly half of its Bitcoin within three months.

“You really think Grayscale is gonna want to foot the legal bill for another BlackRock smash hit and more outflows for something that is clearly going to be much smaller opp?” Balchunas added.

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XRP Drops Following Ripple’s Latest Setback in SEC Legal Battle

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TL;DR

  • US District Judge Analisa Torres has ruled against the SEC and Ripple in their joint motion filed earlier this year.
  • The legal case between the two, which started over four and a half years ago, has yet to reach a conclusive end despite Garlinghouse’s announcement in March.

Recall that Judge Torres denied the joint motion filed by the two in May as well and set a new deadline for June 16 by which date Ripple and the agency had to refile by fixing all prior inconsistencies.

However, the latest update on the matter is another disappointment for both sides as the Judge has rejected the joint motion for an indicative ruling.

Ripple and the SEC had reached an agreement between each other, as the company had to pay a relatively minor penalty of $50 million, which is a lot less than what the agency initially sought ($2 billion) or the original ruling ($125 million).

Back in March, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse triumphantly announced that the lawsuit had ended after over four years. However, the case continues, at least for now.

XRP’s price continues to drag as it has failed to capitalize on the overall market improvement in the past few days. The asset is down by over 3% on a daily scale, and trades well below $2.15.

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Last Time Bitcoin Did This, the Price Went From $60K to $100K

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Bitcoin (BTC) could be primed for a surge to $160,000, according to a key on-chain metric that foreshadowed two other record-breaking rallies.

This bullish outlook is emerging even as BTC battles volatility near $108,000, a psychological threshold tested amid geopolitical turbulence and conflicting accumulation patterns.

The Accumulation Blueprint

In his latest analysis, market watcher Axel Adler Jr. pointed out that Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holder (LTH) to Short-Term Holder (STH) ratio shows a very familiar accumulation pattern.

According to him, some of BTC’s most explosive rallies between 2023 and 2025 were preceded by sustained LTH/STH growth. One of the runs, which started when Bitcoin was trading around the $28,000 level, saw the king cryptocurrency go all the way to $60,000. Another LTH/STH ratio uptick provided enough momentum to push BTC from $60,000 to $100,000.

Adler has noted the same signal flashing at the $100,000 level:

“Today, at the $100K mark, we again see sustained growth in the LTH/STH ratio,” noted the expert. “This accumulation phase could last 4-8 weeks, after which, by analogy with previous cycles, a powerful upward reversal is likely.”

Applying a conservative 1.6x multiplier to Bitcoin’s current price, he projects a $160,000 target by the end of August.

Giving more credence to the outlook, prominent trader Titan of Crypto identified a bull flag formation on BTC’s daily charts, suggesting a potential breakout to $137,000. He added that the MACD indicator was also on the verge of a bullish crossover, a move often viewed as a trigger for price momentum shifts.

Technical and historical indicators also bolster Adler’s thesis. For instance, the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart places the crypto asset firmly in the “BUY” zone, a scenario comparable to November 2020, just prior to it setting off on a 450% ROI surge, and May 2017, before the same metric boomed 1,400%.

Market Outlook

This activity coincides with broader geopolitical and market forces. On June 25, Bitcoin briefly touched $108,000 following remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump on easing tensions in the Middle East.

Prices have since cooled slightly, with BTC changing hands at around $107,653 at the time of this writing. While a modest 0.7% gain in the last 24 hours, the price reflects a 1.8% monthly dip.

Still, the asset’s nearly 3% uptick in the last seven days puts its performance slightly ahead of the rest of the crypto market, which only managed to go up 1.6% in that period. However, the sideways movement saw BTC underperform versus tech stocks like Nvidia (+9.15%) and Oracle (+32.5%), raising questions about capital rotation.

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Not Just TRUMP: MELANIA-Linked Wallets Offload Large Holdings Amid 98.4% Price Dump

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TL;DR

  • The team behind the second meme coin linked to the First Family has also been disposing of a large portion of the token in the past several months.
  • According to on-chain data shared by Lookonchain, they have already sold more than 8% of the total MELANIA supply.

The post indicates that the team has cashed out over $35 million in MELANIA over the past four months from 44 wallets related to them.

Within this timeframe, the meme coin related to the FLOTUS experienced a massive price dump. It peaked at $8.5 hours after its launch but quickly started to lose value.

In the past 24 hours, the asset has plunged to $0.2, which represents a 98.4% price dump within just several months.

Thus, the MELANIA team has followed the example set by those operating the TRUMP token. CryptoPotato reported numerous times in the past that wallets linked to the POTUS meme coin had disposed of enormous portions of the token.

The most recent example was quite controversial as it came just hours before the US launched a missile attack against Iran, after which the entire crypto market turned red, including the TRUMP meme coin.

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