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Fed’s Rate Hold May Spark Further Bitcoin Price Fluctuations: Analysts

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The U.S. Federal Reserve has decided to keep the benchmark federal rate at 5.25% to 5.50%. This stance essentially indicated that there would be very minimal rate decreases going forward.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said that there has been a slight drop in inflation and that the rates will remain steady to ensure economic stability. This decision reflects a “cautious” stance amidst mixed economic signals. It also highlights the U.S. monetary authority’s focus on balancing inflation control with economic stability.

How would this impact Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency prices in the near term? Bitfinex analysis weighs in.

Bitcoin’s Path Amid Fed’s Rate Decision

In a statement to CryptoPotato, Bitfinex analysts suggest that if the Fed opts to maintain the current rates, Bitcoin could see short-term fluctuations as the market reacts to the development. On the flip side, the overall trajectory may stay positive, particularly if the broader economic conditions continue to strengthen.

It is also important to note that historical data shows that in three out of the last four Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases, Bitcoin reached local peaks. This evidenced potential volatility around such updates.

Bitfinex analysts also added that the world’s largest digital asset might stabilize near current levels or see modest increases, buoyed by investor optimism about future rate cuts that are expected late in the year.

They further stated,

“Central banks around the world have already started to cut rates, which suggests a broader trend towards monetary easing. It seems clear that the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve will follow suit in the coming months. The global liquidity cycle indicates that money supply is likely to increase, which can support asset prices, including cryptocurrencies.”

ETF Stability Expected

The decision to maintain rates could bring stability to ETF flows, according to the crypto exchange. This could be due to the as investors await clearer signals from the Fed’s future policy direction. Furthermore, spot Bitcoin ETFs may experience steady inflows, although the momentum could be less pronounced compared to a rate-cut scenario.

Meanwhile, the introduction of spot Ether ETFs could still attract significant interest, potentially paving the way for diversified investments across both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.

As reported earlier, the CPI data published on Wednesday pushed Bitcoin above $69,000. The subsequent correction has dragged the asset’s price near $67,000, but the retail crowd on Binance continued to hold net long positions on Bitcoin in anticipation of a rebound.

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$200K Bitcoin (BTC) This Year? On-Chain Metrics Make a Strong Case

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Bitcoin has entered a technical correction phase after reaching an all-time high of $123,400 on July 14. The crypto asset is down by almost 7% as it currently trades near $114,000. The drop is attributed to macroeconomic pressures such as inflation and tariffs, bearish technical signals, and liquidation events.

Data suggests that Q4 historically benefits Bitcoin, and after a strong July, bulls are hopeful for another breakout.

Bitcoin’s Technical Dip

CryptoQuant views the decline as primarily technical and said that the market is still in a broader price discovery cycle. This cycle, which reflects market attempts to determine Bitcoin’s fair value through supply and demand, could push the price toward the $200,000 level by the end of Q4 2025.

BTC has traditionally seen strong performance in Q4, and current market conditions could help continue that seasonal pattern. Binance’s on-chain data reveals large stablecoin reserves. This points to a considerable amount of sidelined capital that could soon flow back into the market, potentially boosting Bitcoin and prominent altcoins like BNB. This, in turn, may set the stage for a potential altseason.

The current reflexive relationship between Bitcoin and emerging treasury investors could aid its price discovery in Q4. But whether altcoins will follow suit remains uncertain amid growing market crowding. Nonetheless, institutional interest may further boost Bitcoin’s upward trajectory in the coming months.

Adding to this narrative, Glassnode noted that Bitcoin’s $109K-$116K range is steadily filling during price dips, which reflects continued investor interest. The consistent staircase-like pattern suggests steady accumulation. Additionally, minimal selling between $118K-$120K means that investors in this range are largely holding, which indicates confidence in long-term price appreciation.

Big Bets On Year-End Rally

Several market watchers remain optimistic about a strong year-end comeback despite the current pullback. TeraHash, for one, recently predicted a price range of $130K-$150K by December, citing ETF inflows, potential Fed rate cuts, and upcoming regulatory clarity from the SEC and MiCA framework. Important catalysts include continued ETF inflows, Fed policy easing in September, and full implementation of Europe’s MiCA framework.

Meanwhile, on-chain data shows surging mining difficulty and geographic expansion, while Hashrate-as-a-Service models attract institutions seeking exposure with less risk.

Bullish projections also came from Fundstrat’s Tom Lee and American venture capital investor Tim Draper, who forecast $250K by year-end. Even more aggressive predictions from Charles Schwab and Mike Novogratz place Bitcoin at $1 million by the end of 2025.

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Important Binance Announcement: Here’s Why Some Services Will be Suspended This Week

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TL;DR

  • Binance will halt USDC withdrawals on certain networks for approximately two hours.
  • Over the past several days, the exchange introduced new features, including Discount Buy and Binance Wallet (Web).

Attention, Binance Users

The world’s largest crypto exchange will perform wallet maintenance for USDC withdrawals via Ethereum (ETH), Polygon (POL), Arbitrum (ARB), Base (BASE), and Optimism (OP) networks on August 6. To support the process, USDC withdrawals through the networks above will be halted on that day. The maintenance is expected to be concluded in two hours, and after that, all services will be resumed

Binance assured that the trading of tokens on the depicted networks will not be impacted and promised to handle all technical requirements involved for the users. It also said there will be no further announcements on the matter.

The company regularly conducts such operations to enhance the overall user experience and ensure the seamless operation of its services. Last week, it paused all deposits and withdrawals due to a live upgrade on its wallet network infrastructure.

Over the past several months, it briefly suspended services on the TRON, Cardano, and other networks because of similar efforts. 

Binance’s Latest Features

The company frequently introduces new products to address ongoing market trends and provide additional services to its users. Just a few days ago, it unveiled Discount Buya feature which allows clients to make advanced crypto purchases in markets with lower volatility. 

Included in Binance’s Earn portfolio, this product lets users lock in future buys at pre-set prices under market value, or collect a fixed APR if the trade isn’t carried out. 

“Discount Buy is well-suited for users who anticipate limited price fluctuations and want to accumulate crypto at a discount without needing to time the market or monitor prices closely. It offers flexibility across investment scenarios, giving users more choices and opportunities in how they want to participate in the crypto market,” said Jeff Li, VP of Product at Binance.

Earlier this week, the exchange introduced Binance Wallet (Web), which allows users to “trade smart, fast, and securely, all without leaving their desktops.” A key feature of the offering is Secure Auto Sign (SAS) – a new signing method that enables customers to approve transactions once and trade seamlessly for up to seven days, without repeated confirmations. 

The product is specifically designed for those who want to discover new meme coins, follow on-chain activities in real time, explore transaction history and token balances in one place, and access Alpha tokens.

Binance Wallet (Web) was introduced to address desktop-specific needs. It offers more screen space, modular layouts, and faster multitasking for on-chain users who trade actively or monitor multiple signals.

While the mobile app excels in portability, Binance Wallet (Web) enables plugin-free, browser-native trading with floating widgets and real-time data panels, all on a single page. It is ideal for meme coin discovery, wallet tracking, and strategy execution without tab switching,” the disclosure reads.

Currently, the feature supports BNB Smart Chain and Solana. Clients of the exchange can instantly connect their account to Binance Wallet (Web) via QR code, with no additional setup required.

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ETH Open Interest Sees Dramatic Rise – 3.5x Higher Than 2021 Bull Run Levels

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Ethereum’s Open Interest (OI) on Binance has surged to a record $8.7 billion, which indicates a significant increase in speculative positioning on the platform.

This represents a dramatic rise compared to the 2021 bull market, when ETH traded at similar price levels but OI on Binance peaked at only $2.5 billion.

Ethereum’s Market Is Heating Up

In its latest analysis, CryptoQuant revealed that the current figure, nearly 3.5 times higher, highlighted the growing appetite for leveraged exposure in Ethereum’s market. Despite this surge in OI, funding rates, interestingly, remain neutral, indicating that traders are not yet heavily biased toward long or short positions.

The lack of directional conviction hints at room for further buildup in positions without triggering immediate liquidation pressures. The increase in OI, paired with neutral funding, paints a picture of cautious but growing speculative interest.

With the broader crypto market trending upward, these conditions may support a steady rally in the leading altcoin’s price, potentially accompanied by increased volatility.

CryptoQuant said that the current setup is a constructive signal, and added that Ethereum has a high chance of continuing its bullish trajectory. The quiet accumulation of leveraged positions on Binance, absent extreme sentiment, may be laying the groundwork for the next phase of price expansion. As traders position themselves, Ethereum could be primed for a sharper move in the near term.

Ethereum Defies Market Outflows

Despite the broader market turbulence last week, Ethereum continued to attract investor interest and secured its 15th straight week of inflows with $133 million. While digital asset investment products saw net outflows of $223 million, the first in 15 weeks, Ethereum stood out for maintaining positive momentum.

The week began with a strong $883 million in inflows but reversed sharply after hawkish signals from the FOMC and strong US economic data. Bitcoin bore the brunt of the risk-off sentiment and lost $404 million.

Still, CoinShares said that the recent correction likely reflects profit-taking, not fading confidence, especially as Ethereum and select altcoins like XRP and Solana remained resilient.

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