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Fed’s Daly: inflation not the only risk, policy must ‘exhibit care’

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SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) – The Federal Reserve must “exhibit care” as it aims to finish the job of bringing inflation under control, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Monday, noting that rising unemployment is increasingly a risk.

“We must continue the work of fully restoring price stability without a painful disruption to the economy,” Daly said in remarks prepared for delivery to the Commonwealth Club in San Francisco. And while there is still “more work to do” on bringing inflation down, she said, “inflation is not the only risk we face.”

Reducing inflation further will likely require restraining demand, she said, and while so far the unemployment rate – now 4% – remains below long-run sustainable levels, “future labor market slowing could translate into higher unemployment.” To avoid that, she said, the Fed must be both “vigilant and open.”

The Fed earlier this month left interest rates in the 5.25%-5.5% range where they have been since last July, and policymakers signaled they may cut interest rates only once this year, rather than the three rate cuts they expected back in March.

Daly did not say how many rate cuts, if any, she believes the Fed will need to deliver to navigate between the twin risks of still-too-high inflation and the potential for rising unemployment

As this point, she said, policy must be “conditional” and ready for any of several possible paths, including holding rates where they are for longer should inflation disappoint, or cutting them should the labor market soften more than expected.

And, she said, “if we continue to see gradual declines in inflation and a slow rebalancing in the labor market, then we can normalize policy over time, as many expect.”

Inflation by the Fed’s targeted measure, the year-over-year change in the personal consumption expenditures price index, was 2.7% in both April and March, up from readings of 2.5% in both February and January.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly speaks with reporters after a speech at the Commonwealth Club in San Franciso, California, U.S., March 26, 2019.  REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo

More recent data suggests the index may not have risen at all from April to May, according to economists’ forecasts.

“The bumpiness of inflation data so far this year has not inspired confidence,” Daly said. “Recent readings are more encouraging, but it is hard to know if we are truly on track to sustainable price stability.”

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Insight Partners closes in on new $10 billion fund, FT reports

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(Reuters) -Private equity firm Insight Partners is on the brink of closing a new $10 billion-plus fund, roughly half the amount originally targeted, the Financial Times reported on Sunday, citing five people with knowledge of its plans.

Insight will not formally close its 13th fund until early next year, the report said, adding that the final figure may be closer to $12 billion.

Insight Partners declined to comment on the report.

The report said Insight is using a private equity-style structure to sell more than $1 billion worth of stakes in start-ups and to free up cash to return to investors.

One of the start-ups is Israeli cybersecurity firm Wiz, which had called off a $23 billion deal with Google parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:) in July, the report said.

New York-based Insight raised $20 billion for its 12th flagship fund in 2022, aiming to ramp up investments in software and technology companies.

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Houthi missile reaches central Israel for first time, no injuries reported

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JERUSALEM (Reuters) -Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel would inflict a “heavy price” on the Iran-aligned Houthis who control northern Yemen, after they reached central Israel with a missile on Sunday for the first time.

Houthi military spokesman Yahya Sarea said the group struck with a new hypersonic ballistic missile that travelled 2,040 km (1270 miles) in just 11 1/2 minutes.

After initially saying the missile had fallen in an open area, Israel’s military later said it had probably fragmented in the air, and that pieces of interceptors had landed in fields and near a railway station. Nobody was reported hurt.

Air raid sirens had sounded in Tel Aviv and across central Israel moments before the impact at around 6:35 a.m. local time (0335 GMT), sending residents running for shelter. Loud booms were heard.

Reuters saw smoke billowing in an open field in central Israel.

At a weekly cabinet meeting, Netanyahu said the Houthis should have known that Israel would exact a “heavy price” for attacks on Israel.

“Whoever needs a reminder of that is invited to visit the Hodeida port,” Netanyahu said, referring to an Israeli retaliatory air strike against Yemen in July for a Houthi drone that hit Tel Aviv.

The Houthis have fired missiles and drones at Israel repeatedly in what they say is solidarity with the Palestinians, since the Gaza war began with a Hamas attack on Israel in October.

The drone that hit Tel Aviv for the first time in July killed a man and wounded four people. Israeli air strikes in response on Houthi military targets near the port of Hodeidah killed six and wounded 80.

Previously, Houthi missiles have not penetrated deep into Israeli air space, with the only one reported to have hit Israeli territory falling in an open area near the Red Sea port of Eilat in March.

Israel should expect more strikes in the future “as we approach the first anniversary of the Oct. 7 operation, including responding to its aggression on the city of Hodeidah,” Sarea said.

The deputy head of the Houthi’s media office, Nasruddin Amer, said in a post on X on Sunday that the missile had reached Israel after “20 missiles failed to intercept” it, describing it as the “beginning”.

© Reuters. Smoke billows after a missile attack from Yemen in central Israel, September 15, 2024. REUTERS/Ronen Zvulun

The Israeli military also said that 40 projectiles were fired towards Israel from Lebanon on Sunday and were either intercepted or landed in open areas.

“No injuries were reported,” the military said.

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Eight die in Channel crossing attempt, French authorities say

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PARIS (Reuters) – Eight people have died trying to cross the Channel from France to England, French authorities said on Sunday, confirming earlier media reports.

This latest incident follows the deaths of 12 people earlier this month when their boat capsized in the Channel on its way to Britain and highlights the pressure on the British and French governments to find ways to tackle the boat crossings.

Jacques Billant, the Prefect of the Pas-de-Calais region, said that rescue crews were alerted that a boat with 59 people onboard was in difficulty in waters off the coast of Ambleteuse in the Pas-de-Calais area.

“A new drama took place around one in the morning and we deplore the death of eight people,” he told a news conference, adding that the other 51 onboard were now in the care of rescue and medical crews.

The dead were men from Eritrea, Sudan, Syria, Egypt, Iran and Afghanistan, he added.

The Channel is one of the world’s busiest shipping lanes and currents are strong, which makes crossing on small boats dangerous.

© Reuters. Members of the Gendarmerie patrol at the beach in Ambleteuse, where several people reportedly died trying to cross the Channel from France to England, in Ambleteuse, France, September 15, 2024. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes

The latest incident brings to 46 the number of people who have died trying to cross the Channel from France since the start of the year, Billant said.

On September 14 alone there were eight attempts to cross the Channel from France and some 200 migrants were rescued, he said.

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