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Jefferies cuts J.Jill target to $40 on consumer spending shift

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On Wednesday, Jefferies adjusted its price target for J.Jill Inc. (NYSE:JILL), a women’s apparel company, reducing it to $40.00 from the previous $44.00. The firm maintained a Buy rating on the stock despite the revision. This change follows J.Jill’s announcement of a solid second quarter, where revenue and margins were reported to be relatively healthy. However, a notable change in consumer spending habits starting in July, which has persisted into the current quarter, prompted a more cautious outlook for the third quarter and a revision of the full-year guidance.

J.Jill’s management is reportedly taking appropriate measures to steer the company through what is anticipated to be a more challenging second half of the year. The company’s leadership is focused on managing performance and driving profitable growth even as they face these headwinds. While the near-term outlook has been adjusted to reflect the current spending environment, Jefferies’ analysts remain optimistic about J.Jill’s strategic initiatives.

The revised price target of $40.00 reflects the firm’s confidence in J.Jill’s management and their ability to navigate through the evolving retail landscape. Despite the lowered forecast for the third quarter and the fiscal year, the Buy rating suggests that Jefferies sees potential value in the company’s stock for investors.

The lowered guidance for the fiscal year and the subsequent price target adjustment underscore the impact of shifting consumer spending patterns on the retail sector. J.Jill’s experience highlights the broader challenges faced by retailers as they adapt to changes in consumer behavior and market dynamics.

In other recent news, J.Jill Inc. reported second quarter earnings that exceeded analyst estimates, with adjusted earnings per share of $1.05 surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.91. The company’s revenue for the same period was $155.2 million, slightly higher than the anticipated $154.22 million. Despite these positive results, J.Jill issued a cautious outlook for the third quarter due to changes in consumer behavior.

BTIG, a notable financial services firm, maintained its Buy rating on the company, citing J.Jill’s well-managed inventory, controlled markdowns, and strengthening balance sheet. Notably, J.Jill’s net debt closed the second quarter at $45 million, less than half of the previous year’s figure.

Despite a cautious adjustment in J.Jill’s business outlook, BTIG reaffirms its confidence in the company’s stock with a Buy recommendation and a $44 price target. For the current quarter, J.Jill expects net sales to range from a decrease of 1% to an increase of 2% year-over-year. It also forecasts adjusted EBITDA of $23-$27 million for Q3. These recent developments underscore the company’s commitment to disciplined operations and advancing strategic initiatives to drive future growth.

InvestingPro Insights

As J.Jill Inc. (NYSE:JILL) navigates a dynamic retail environment, the latest data from InvestingPro provides a glimpse into the company’s financial health and market position. J.Jill’s impressive gross profit margin of 70.91% in the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, as reported by InvestingPro, underscores the company’s ability to maintain profitability despite market fluctuations. This is further reinforced by the company’s low P/E ratio of 8.14, which, when compared to its near-term earnings growth, suggests that the stock is trading at an attractive valuation.

Furthermore, J.Jill’s revenue growth of 7.5% in Q1 2023 indicates a solid performance in the face of economic headwinds. The company’s ability to generate positive revenue growth is a testament to the effectiveness of its strategic initiatives and management’s focus on driving profitable growth. With analysts predicting the company will be profitable this year and the stock experiencing a significant price uptick of 28.36% over the last six months, J.Jill appears to be on a promising trajectory.

For investors considering J.Jill, these metrics offer a compelling narrative of a company that is well-positioned for growth. It’s worth noting that there are additional InvestingPro Tips available that provide deeper insights into J.Jill’s market performance and future outlook. To explore these further, interested parties can visit the InvestingPro platform for a total of 8 actionable tips that may guide investment decisions.

The InvestingPro Insights reflect the potential that Jefferies sees in J.Jill’s stock, aligning with their Buy rating and adjusted price target. As the company continues to adapt to consumer spending trends and market conditions, these data points will be crucial for investors to monitor.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Musk says Howard Lutnick would ‘enact change’ if chosen for US Treasury job

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WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Billionaire Elon Musk, an adviser to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, said on Saturday that Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick would “actually enact change” if chosen as U.S. Treasury secretary.

Trump has not announced his nominee for the role, but Lutnick and investor Scott Bessent are serious contenders for the job and sources familiar with his thinking say Trump has been wrestling with picking one of the two or considering another option. 

Musk said Bessent is “a business-as-usual choice.”

“Business-as-usual is driving America bankrupt, so we need change one way or another,” Musk said on X. “Would be interesting to hear more people weigh in on this for Trump to consider feedback.”

Musk has been increasingly influential in Trump’s inner circle and has been staying at the president-elect’s Mar-a-Lago club in Palm Beach, Florida, as Trump forms his incoming government.

At a gala event on Thursday night, Trump teased Musk about his ongoing post-election stay at Mar-a-Lago.

“I can’t get him out of here. He just loves this place. And I like having him here,” said Trump.

At the end of the event, Musk mounted the stage.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Howard Lutnick, Chairman and CEO of Cantor Fitzgerald, gestures as he speaks during a rally for Republican presidential nominee and former U.S. President Donald Trump at Madison Square Garden, in New York, U.S., October 27, 2024. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly/File Photo

“The public has given us a mandate that could not be more clear. The people have spoken, the people want change,” he said.

Lutnick has been helping Trump with his transition efforts. He has praised the president-elect’s economic policies, including his use of tariffs.

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Russia cuts gas to Austria in payment dispute, keeps EU flows

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By Vladimir Soldatkin and Guy Faulconbridge

MOSCOW (Reuters) -Russia halted gas supplies to Austria on Saturday in a dispute over payments but was still pumping steady volumes to Europe via Ukraine after remaining buyers asked for more gas.

Russia, which before the Ukraine war was the biggest single supplier of to Europe, has lost almost all of its European customers as the EU tries to reduce its dependence and after the Nord Stream pipeline to Germany was blown up in 2022.

Now one of the last main Russian gas routes to Europe – the Soviet-era Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline via Ukraine – is due to shut at the end of this year, as Kyiv does not want to extend a five-year transit agreement which brings northern Siberian gas to Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Austria.

Austria said on Friday that Moscow had informed it that the gas would be shut off following an arbitration award to OMV, Austria’s biggest energy supplier, over unfulfilled supplies to its German unit by Russia’s state firm Gazprom (MCX:).

On Saturday, Austria’s energy regulator E-Control said Gazprom’s deliveries to OMV had stopped at 6 a.m. (0500 GMT), adding that prices and supplies to Austrian customers were steady.

OMV is seeking to recover the 230 million euro ($242 million) damages, awarded during arbitration, from Gazprom by offsetting the claim against invoices for deliveries to Austria – essentially stopping some payments for gas supplied via Ukraine.

Gazprom declined to comment on the suspension of flows to Austria, but the Russian company said it would send 42.4 million cubic metres of gas to Europe via Ukraine on Saturday, the same volume as on Friday and during every other day in recent months.

Slovak state-owned firm SPP said it was still receiving gas from Russia and added others were buying more.

“The situation when a large consumer stopped taking gas from the east, but the same volume flows through the territory of Ukraine, shows that there is still great interest in this gas in Europe,” SPP said in a statement, without naming the other buyers.

OMV usually accounts for around 40% of Russian gas flows via Ukraine, or some 17 mcm per day.

Austrian grid operator AGGM said it was not currently substituting imports from Germany or Italy. Austria said earlier it had plentiful stocks to cover the shortfall.

GAS POLITICS

Chancellor Olaf Scholz spoke to President Vladimir Putin on Friday for the first time in nearly two years, as European leaders wait to hear Donald Trump’s ideas on ending the biggest land war in Europe since World War Two.

According to the Kremlin, Putin told Scholz that Russia had always fulfilled its contractual obligations for energy supplies and was “ready for mutually beneficial cooperation if the German side shows interest in this”.

Soviet and post-Soviet leaders spent half a century from the discovery of major Siberian gas deposits in the post-WW2 years building up an energy business which linked the Soviet Union, then Russia, and Germany, by far Europe’s biggest economy.

War, and explosions, have destroyed that link, damaging the economies of both countries.

At its peak, Russia was supplying 35% of Europe’s gas but since the war started in 2022 Gazprom has lost market share to Norway, the United States and Qatar.

The Yamal-Europe pipeline via Belarus was closed after a dispute, while Russia blamed the United States and Britain for the explosions under the Baltic Sea that closed the Nord Stream route.

Washington and London have denied they blew up the pipelines. The Wall Street Journal has reported Ukrainian officials were behind the attack. Kyiv has denied that.

Without Austria, significant Russian supplies will only go to two European countries, Hungary and Slovakia, in Hungary’s case via a pipeline running mostly through Turkey.

Russia shipped some 15 billion cubic metres of gas via Ukraine in 2023, about 8% of peak Russian gas flows to Europe via various routes in 2018-2019, according to data compiled by Reuters.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Svobodny, Russia November 29, 2019. REUTERS/Maxim Shemetov.

In 2023, the Ukraine transit route met 65% of gas demand in Austria and its eastern neighbours Hungary and Slovakia, according to the International Energy Agency.

($1 = 0.9487 euros)

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In Georgian breakaway Abkhazia, protesters refuse to leave parliament

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MOSCOW (Reuters) -Protesters in Georgia’s Russia-backed breakaway region of Abkhazia declined on Saturday to leave the parliament building which they stormed the previous day, a departure proposed by the region’s president as a condition for resigning.

Protesters had occupied the parliament in protest at an investment agreement between the Black Sea region and Moscow.

Russian news agency RIA reported that President Aslan Bzhania had said on Saturday he would resign and hold a snap election once protesters vacated the parliament in Abkhazia’s capital Sukhumi, and proposed a vice-president as interim head of state.

“When they leave the building, I will write my resignation letter and in the new election we’ll see how much support they get,” RIA cited Bzhania as saying.

He said he planned to run in that election.

Bzhania, quoted by Russian news agencies, later told a government meeting held in his native coastal village of Tamysh, that order would be restored. He said protesters only controlled the parliament and government buildings they had occupied.

“The situation will stabilise, everything will return to a legal framework,” RIA news agency quoted him as saying. “We have a president, we have laws. We have a homeland that we all must serve.”

Abkhazia’s interior ministry and security service issued statements saying they would obey orders from the president.

Protesters said in a statement that the occupation was not against Abkhazia’s close ties with Russia, but accused Bzhania of “trying to use these relations for his own selfish interests (and) manipulating them for the sake of strengthening his regime”.

TASS news agency quoted a representative of the protesters, Adgur Ardzinba, as saying they would remain in place until the president resigned.

Moscow said on Friday it was following the “crisis situation” with concern and urged Russian citizens to avoid travel to Abkhazia.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the Black Sea port of Sukhumi (Sukhum), the capital of Georgia's breakaway region of Abkhazia September 8, 2024. REUTERS/Igor Onuchin/File Photo

Russia recognised Abkhazia and another breakaway region, South Ossetia, as independent states in 2008 after defeating Georgia in a five-day war. It maintains military bases in both regions and props up their economies.

Most of the world recognises Abkhazia as part of Georgia, from which it broke away during wars in the early 1990s.

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