Cryptocurrency
4 Bear and 3 Bull Scenarios for Ethereum (ETH) Price in September
That is if Ethereum can weather three big price hurdles ahead of it in September,
The Dencun upgrade’s introduction of low-cost blobs for Layer-2 blockchains to quickly scale the network to peers has unleashed a torrent of activity on Ethereum’s decentralized smart contract network.
Since then, gas fees in ETH on the base layer of Ethereum have declined significantly. Although that has reduced validators’ revenues, there has been a blossoming of activity on low-fee L2s.
Ethereum L2 monthly active users doubled after Dencun took effect in March. Meanwhile, fees to use Base, Mantra, Starknet, Blast, and OP Mainnet have declined dramatically.
But Ethereum has struggled this year to reflect its improvements and future prospects in a consolidated movement of the market. When it slipped to $2,400 this week, its price was back to where it was in February. By comparison, Bitcoin has been doing a little better this year.
So will Ether’s price continue to thrash and flail, or does it have an advantage over competitors like BNB, Solana, XRP, Tron, and Cardano in the near to medium term?
4 Ethereum Price Advantages In 2024
Here are four advantages Ethereum has going forward:
1. Another Wrapped Bitcoin On Ethereum
Natively put your idle BTC to work on Ethereum.
21BTC on Ethereum gives you:
• BTC that’s native to Ethereum
• No Lock-And-Mint technology
• 100% Backed by BTC
• Institutional-grade security
• Deep liquidity
• Operational excellenceHere’s what you need to know(/5) pic.twitter.com/CGY97mqeut
— 21.co (@21co__) September 3, 2024
21co, the owner of Bitcoin ETF issuer 21 Shares, just recently introduced another Wrapped Bitcoin asset on Ethereum.
This is a reminder: Your Bitcoin is a final settlement in a brutally scarce currency on the most secure Web3 layer blockchain —and Ethereum represents so many things you can do with it without just handing it over to the establishment it’s disrupting.
While Bitcoin is in a long-term holding phase because of its network effects and the growth prospects of each Satoshi’s value due to its ultimately addressable global market, when the dam breaks and the pent-up demand spills, Ethereum is certainly one place where holders will be spending it.
From finance, to insurance, to contracts, to CRMs, to supply chain management, to gaming, and online database solutions, the leading smart contract networks like Ethereum have a very big future ahead.
2. Institutional Adoption Marches On
Wall Street has so far laid only finicky hands on the Ethereum ETFs, with outflows creating resistance for Ether’s price. But the overall institutional stance toward the asset is still second only to Bitcoin, even as corporate project managers and institutional hedge funds flirt with Ethereum’s competitors like Solana and Cardano.
However, Ethereum and ERC20 Layer-2 protocol Polygon (MATIC) power most of the institutional products currently available on Web3. A recent X post from Adriano Feria, a popular ETH booster on social media, outlined the march of corporate projects using Ethereum.
“Hate to break it to the #Ethereum doubters, but $ETH is well on its way to securing solid institutional adoption, led by industry giants like Coinbase, Circle, BlackRock, and more recently, Sony,” Feria wrote.
With Sony’s announcement on August 22 that it’s launching its own Ethereum Layer-2 blockchain, Soneium, there could be some more market alpha in ETH’s future.
3. Ethereum Price Chart Technicals
ETH just had its worst month in two years, falling by 22% in August. Therefore, mean reversion theory dictates that its price will tend to move back toward its average trend over time, giving it support for a rally. Put in shoppers’ terms, Ether was on sale in August.
ETH may be undervalued based on expert predictions from some of the most active funds, publications, and banks in the Web3 space, in a recent study by CoinGecko:
What is Ethereum’s price prediction for 2024?
Our latest study reveals that top analysts, outlets, and fund managers predict #Ethereum will average $6,404 by the end of 2024.
Read the full study: https://t.co/FzuIYpuE9D pic.twitter.com/Lj5TXYtqkF
— CoinGecko (@coingecko) August 16, 2024
4. Dovish Fed Regime Pivot
The fact that new coins are produced means the money supply increases by a planned amount, but this does not necessarily result in inflation.
If the supply of money increases at the same rate that the number of people using it increases, prices remain stable.
— Satoshi Nakamoto Quotes (@QuotesNakamoto) July 5, 2024
The Federal Reserve chair announcing in August a pivot to lower interest rates is likely to galvanize crypto markets. As dollar supplies increase, there’s extra liquidity to pump financial markets like stocks and cryptocurrency.
There’s also a baked-in ethos among crypto investors to hedge dollar inflation using cryptocurrencies, especially those that strictly limit new supplies.
Ethereum is especially well-suited as one of these alternative sound money currencies. After the Merge transitioned it from a mined to staked cryptocurrency in Sept. 2022, it also introduced a burn feature that removes a small amount of Ether when transactions are made.
That helps limit supplies and so that ETH tokens hold their purchasing power parity against other currencies like Bitcoin and the US dollar.
3 Price Hurdles for Ethereum in September:
1. September Doldrums a Headwind
September is historically a slumpy month for financial markets. In stocks, it is the only calendar month to return an average negative ROI over the past 98 years. It has typically been choppy and slow for crypto assets as well, with seasonally high volatility and lower prices.
That means it can make a great entry point for crypto investors to buy assets at good value. It’s also not usually the time of year to sell to maximize earnings or minimize losses.
2. US Election Uncertainty
Markets are also fretting over the outcome of the U.S. election in November. A Harris win could lead to rising prices, higher taxes, and more expensive regulations.
A Trump win could lead to another multi-trillion dollar trade war with half the rest of the world, which was expensive for Wall Street the last time around.
3. Bitcoin’s Price Gravity Well
Ethereum’s valuation is closely related to the spot price of BTC. Over the course of the four-year cycle around Bitcoin’s supply halvings, there tends to be a mild bear market around this time after the event, leading up to multi-month rally to new record highs. That’s going to have an impact on altcoin prices.
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Cryptocurrency
Ripple, Dogecoin Whales Bought the Dip as XRP, DOGE Prices Soar
TL:DR;
- Investors with lots of conviction for certain assets tend to utilize deep corrections to stack more of those coins, and this seems to be the case in regards to the two of the largest cryptocurrencies – DOGE and XRP.
- On-chain data shows that large wallets poured millions into both during the recent market meltdown.
The market-wide crash that began in the middle of the business week caught many by surprise, given the billions of dollars worth of liquidations that were evident on a couple of occasions.
All crypto assets headed south vigorously, with BTC leading the way by plummeting from over $108,000 on Tuesday to $92,000 on Friday. As it typically happens, the altcoins were not sparred, just the opposite.
Dogecoin and Ripple were among the worst-performing assets at one point. The largest meme coin stood north of $0.41 before the correction began but dumped by over 35% to its low on Friday of $0.26.
XRP’s price plummet was almost identical as the asset came crashing down from $2.72 on Tuesday to $1.96 – a 28% drop. However, both have bounced off since those lows, with DOGE trading close to $0.34 (30% higher) and XRP at $2.3 (up by 17%).
On-chain data shared by the popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez shows that whales tracking both assets didn’t sit on the sideline but actually went on an accumulation spree. In Ripple’s case, they stacked up on 80 million tokens since the retracement began on December 17.
Whales bought 80 million $XRP since the price correction began on December 17! pic.twitter.com/nakUKEIzYC
— Ali (@ali_charts) December 20, 2024
Dogecoin whales also opened up their wallets by accumulating over 250 million DOGE. Such big purchases tend to positively impact the underlying assets’ prices due to the declining immediate sell pressure.
Whales bought over 250 million #Dogecoin $DOGE during the recent market dip! pic.twitter.com/qH7JSkkdhK
— Ali (@ali_charts) December 21, 2024
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Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin Eyes $99K as Altcoins Produce Double-Digit Gains: Recovery Weekend Watch
After a few consecutive days of price slumps, bitcoin’s trajectory has finally reversed as the asset popped above $99,000 earlier today.
The altcoins are also in the green following the market-wide crash, with many recovering by double-digit increases on a daily scale.
BTC Begins Recovery Mode
The business week began in a highly positive manner for the primary cryptocurrency, as its price surged from around $101,000 to over $108,000 by Tuesday to mark its latest all-time high. While the community was expected to rise toward $110,000, especially after Wednesday’s rate cut in the US, the landscape took a sharp turn.
Instead of heading further north, BTC actually started to retrace hard. It first lost the $100,000 mark, but that was just the start, as the bears kept the pressure on. The culmination came on Friday when the cryptocurrency plummeted to a three-week low of $92,000, and the conversation turned to whether this was a normal correction or the end of the bull market.
So far, though, it seems to be the former. Bitcoin stopped the freefall and bounced off rather impressively. Just earlier today, its price surged past $99,000 before calming to its current level of around $98,500.
Its market capitalization has recovered to $1.950 trillion, while its dominance over the alts stands at 54.6% on CG.
Altcoins Finally See Green
The alternative coins suffered even more than BTC during the market-wide crash, as expected. However, they have turned green now on a daily scale after the Friday massacre. ETH dumped to $3,300 but now sits close to $3,500 after a 6% daily increase. XRP is back above $2.3 after plummeting to under $2 on Friday.
BNB, SOL, TRX, and HBAR have gained around 5-6% each since yesterday. More impressive price increases come from the likes of DOGE, ADA, AVAX, LINK, SHIB, TON, DOT, and many others, all of which have jumped by double digits.
The total crypto market cap slumped below $3.4 trillion yesterday but has risen to over $3.550 trillion now.
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
Cryptocurrency
Is XRP’s Bottom In? Ripple Explodes 20% From $1.96 Lows
TL:DR;
- The entire cryptocurrency market went through a massive crash in the past few days, but Ripple’s cross-border token was among the poorest performers.
- Since then, though, XRP has gained roughly 20%, leading to the question of whether it has found its bottom.
XRP Bounces Off
The developments at the start of the business week couldn’t really foresee what would transpire just a few days later. On Monday, Ripple announced that its long-awaited stablecoin will finally see the light of day on the next day (December 17) after it was greenlighted by the NYDFS.
XRP’s price reacted positively to both the announcement and the subsequent launch as its price skyrocketed from $2.35 to a multi-day peak of over $2.7 by Tuesday. After a minor retracement to $2.6, things went sour on Wednesday after the latest US FOMC meeting.
XRP, alongside the rest of the market, plummeted to under $2.25, losing nearly 20% of its value in 36 hours. Although that was already a painful retracement, the landscape worsened on Thursday and Friday as the asset plunged to below $2 for just the third time since December 1.
Thus, Ripple’s token had dumped by 28% from Tuesday to Friday, going from $2.72 to $1.96. The bulls finally stepped up at this point and didn’t allow any further declines. Just the opposite, XRP bounced off and has gained about 20% since then, currently sitting at $2.35.
According to popular X analyst Dark Defender, XRP “double tap on 4-hour charts for both on RSI and Price,” which, alongside the “tremendous bullish pin” on the daily chart, suggests that the asset has already bottomed and is ahead of more gains.
XRP double tap on 4-hour charts for both on RSI and Price.
Additionally daily frame has a tremendous bullish pin bar.
These are initial signals for momentum to continue.
Time will tell pic.twitter.com/85zgnzOhvC
— Dark Defender (@DefendDark) December 20, 2024
It’s About Perspective
During the lows, many crypto commentators started to speculate whether the overall bull cycle had ended. After all, the entire crypto market cap lost roughly $500 billion in just days at one point.
However, Moon Lambo outlined a different view for those retracements, including XRP’s plunge. The YouTuber talked about having a perspective, as XRP, for instance, stood below $0.5 less than two months ago. Consequently, going from over $2.7 to under $2 is indeed painful, but looking at it on a broader scale, it still shows that the asset is a lot higher than it used to be just weeks ago.
As someone who has been holding $XRP for over 7 years, while the price has been well under $1.00 for almost 100% of that time, and having never sold a single $XRP ever, I must say…
I find it amusing that people are freaking out that $XRP *dropped* to $2.15.
Bitch it was 49… pic.twitter.com/1FoohjdxUv
— Moon Lambo (@MoonLamboio) December 20, 2024
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