Stock Markets
UBS lowers Chow Tai Fook stock target, cites strong growth outlook and high dividend yield
On Monday, UBS adjusted its price target for Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (OTC:) Ltd. (1929:HK) (OTC: CJEWF), a leading jewelry retailer, reducing it to HK$7.80 from the previous HK$12.30. Despite the decrease, the firm maintained its Buy rating on the company’s shares.
The reduction in the price target comes amid a strategic shift for Chow Tai Fook, with the firm focusing on brand transformation through the introduction of new iconic product series and optimizing its existing sales channels.
This strategy is expected to strengthen the company’s position as a market share leader. UBS analysts believe that the company’s financial performance will not be affected by any losses from New World Development, noting that the two entities do not share cross holdings and have separate boards of directors.
UBS forecasts that Chow Tai Fook’s core operating margin will expand by 1.3 percentage points over the fiscal years 2024 to 2027. This prediction is supported by the introduction of more fixed-price products and a rise in the gold price, which is anticipated to counterbalance the impact of sales deleveraging in the near term.
Currently, Chow Tai Fook is trading at 8 times its 12-month forward adjusted price-to-earnings (PE) ratio, based on a 12% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in earnings per share (EPS) from fiscal year 2025 to 2027. This valuation is considered by UBS to be at a historical low since the company’s initial public offering (IPO) and represents a roughly 10% discount to the sector’s valuation.
UBS views Chow Tai Fook as undervalued, particularly in light of the company’s strong projected return on equity (ROE) of 30% in fiscal year 2026, compared to an 11% average among peers, and a 10% dividend yield. The firm also identifies potential catalysts for the company’s stock, including new product launches, new concept store openings, and accelerated expansion overseas.
InvestingPro Insights
In light of UBS’s recent analysis of Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Ltd. (CJEWF), InvestingPro data further enriches the perspective on the company’s financial health and market position. With a market capitalization of $7.64 billion and a low P/E ratio of 9.17, Chow Tai Fook is trading at a valuation that reflects its robust earnings potential. The company’s significant revenue growth of 14.82% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, coupled with a healthy gross profit margin of 20.5%, underscores its operational efficiency and ability to generate profit from its core business activities.
InvestingPro Tips highlight that Chow Tai Fook has not only raised its dividend for three consecutive years but has maintained dividend payments for 13 consecutive years, signaling its commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, the company is noted to be trading near its 52-week low, which could present a buying opportunity for value investors. These insights, derived from InvestingPro, suggest that Chow Tai Fook’s current market performance and future outlook may be appealing to investors seeking to capitalize on the company’s strong fundamentals and dividend reliability. For those interested in a deeper dive, there are over 10 additional InvestingPro Tips available at: https://www.investing.com/pro/CJEWF
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Stock Markets
Musk says Howard Lutnick would ‘enact change’ if chosen for US Treasury job
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -Billionaire Elon Musk, an adviser to U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, said on Saturday that Cantor Fitzgerald CEO Howard Lutnick would “actually enact change” if chosen as U.S. Treasury secretary.
Trump has not announced his nominee for the role, but Lutnick and investor Scott Bessent are serious contenders for the job and sources familiar with his thinking say Trump has been wrestling with picking one of the two or considering another option.
Musk said Bessent is “a business-as-usual choice.”
“Business-as-usual is driving America bankrupt, so we need change one way or another,” Musk said on X. “Would be interesting to hear more people weigh in on this for Trump to consider feedback.”
Musk has been increasingly influential in Trump’s inner circle and has been staying at the president-elect’s Mar-a-Lago club in Palm Beach, Florida, as Trump forms his incoming government.
At a gala event on Thursday night, Trump teased Musk about his ongoing post-election stay at Mar-a-Lago.
“I can’t get him out of here. He just loves this place. And I like having him here,” said Trump.
At the end of the event, Musk mounted the stage.
“The public has given us a mandate that could not be more clear. The people have spoken, the people want change,” he said.
Lutnick has been helping Trump with his transition efforts. He has praised the president-elect’s economic policies, including his use of tariffs.
Stock Markets
Russia cuts gas to Austria in payment dispute, keeps EU flows
By Vladimir Soldatkin and Guy Faulconbridge
MOSCOW (Reuters) -Russia halted gas supplies to Austria on Saturday in a dispute over payments but was still pumping steady volumes to Europe via Ukraine after remaining buyers asked for more gas.
Russia, which before the Ukraine war was the biggest single supplier of to Europe, has lost almost all of its European customers as the EU tries to reduce its dependence and after the Nord Stream pipeline to Germany was blown up in 2022.
Now one of the last main Russian gas routes to Europe – the Soviet-era Urengoy-Pomary-Uzhgorod pipeline via Ukraine – is due to shut at the end of this year, as Kyiv does not want to extend a five-year transit agreement which brings northern Siberian gas to Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Austria.
Austria said on Friday that Moscow had informed it that the gas would be shut off following an arbitration award to OMV, Austria’s biggest energy supplier, over unfulfilled supplies to its German unit by Russia’s state firm Gazprom (MCX:).
On Saturday, Austria’s energy regulator E-Control said Gazprom’s deliveries to OMV had stopped at 6 a.m. (0500 GMT), adding that prices and supplies to Austrian customers were steady.
OMV is seeking to recover the 230 million euro ($242 million) damages, awarded during arbitration, from Gazprom by offsetting the claim against invoices for deliveries to Austria – essentially stopping some payments for gas supplied via Ukraine.
Gazprom declined to comment on the suspension of flows to Austria, but the Russian company said it would send 42.4 million cubic metres of gas to Europe via Ukraine on Saturday, the same volume as on Friday and during every other day in recent months.
Slovak state-owned firm SPP said it was still receiving gas from Russia and added others were buying more.
“The situation when a large consumer stopped taking gas from the east, but the same volume flows through the territory of Ukraine, shows that there is still great interest in this gas in Europe,” SPP said in a statement, without naming the other buyers.
OMV usually accounts for around 40% of Russian gas flows via Ukraine, or some 17 mcm per day.
Austrian grid operator AGGM said it was not currently substituting imports from Germany or Italy. Austria said earlier it had plentiful stocks to cover the shortfall.
GAS POLITICS
Chancellor Olaf Scholz spoke to President Vladimir Putin on Friday for the first time in nearly two years, as European leaders wait to hear Donald Trump’s ideas on ending the biggest land war in Europe since World War Two.
According to the Kremlin, Putin told Scholz that Russia had always fulfilled its contractual obligations for energy supplies and was “ready for mutually beneficial cooperation if the German side shows interest in this”.
Soviet and post-Soviet leaders spent half a century from the discovery of major Siberian gas deposits in the post-WW2 years building up an energy business which linked the Soviet Union, then Russia, and Germany, by far Europe’s biggest economy.
War, and explosions, have destroyed that link, damaging the economies of both countries.
At its peak, Russia was supplying 35% of Europe’s gas but since the war started in 2022 Gazprom has lost market share to Norway, the United States and Qatar.
The Yamal-Europe pipeline via Belarus was closed after a dispute, while Russia blamed the United States and Britain for the explosions under the Baltic Sea that closed the Nord Stream route.
Washington and London have denied they blew up the pipelines. The Wall Street Journal has reported Ukrainian officials were behind the attack. Kyiv has denied that.
Without Austria, significant Russian supplies will only go to two European countries, Hungary and Slovakia, in Hungary’s case via a pipeline running mostly through Turkey.
Russia shipped some 15 billion cubic metres of gas via Ukraine in 2023, about 8% of peak Russian gas flows to Europe via various routes in 2018-2019, according to data compiled by Reuters.
In 2023, the Ukraine transit route met 65% of gas demand in Austria and its eastern neighbours Hungary and Slovakia, according to the International Energy Agency.
($1 = 0.9487 euros)
Stock Markets
In Georgian breakaway Abkhazia, protesters refuse to leave parliament
MOSCOW (Reuters) -Protesters in Georgia’s Russia-backed breakaway region of Abkhazia declined on Saturday to leave the parliament building which they stormed the previous day, a departure proposed by the region’s president as a condition for resigning.
Protesters had occupied the parliament in protest at an investment agreement between the Black Sea region and Moscow.
Russian news agency RIA reported that President Aslan Bzhania had said on Saturday he would resign and hold a snap election once protesters vacated the parliament in Abkhazia’s capital Sukhumi, and proposed a vice-president as interim head of state.
“When they leave the building, I will write my resignation letter and in the new election we’ll see how much support they get,” RIA cited Bzhania as saying.
He said he planned to run in that election.
Bzhania, quoted by Russian news agencies, later told a government meeting held in his native coastal village of Tamysh, that order would be restored. He said protesters only controlled the parliament and government buildings they had occupied.
“The situation will stabilise, everything will return to a legal framework,” RIA news agency quoted him as saying. “We have a president, we have laws. We have a homeland that we all must serve.”
Abkhazia’s interior ministry and security service issued statements saying they would obey orders from the president.
Protesters said in a statement that the occupation was not against Abkhazia’s close ties with Russia, but accused Bzhania of “trying to use these relations for his own selfish interests (and) manipulating them for the sake of strengthening his regime”.
TASS news agency quoted a representative of the protesters, Adgur Ardzinba, as saying they would remain in place until the president resigned.
Moscow said on Friday it was following the “crisis situation” with concern and urged Russian citizens to avoid travel to Abkhazia.
Russia recognised Abkhazia and another breakaway region, South Ossetia, as independent states in 2008 after defeating Georgia in a five-day war. It maintains military bases in both regions and props up their economies.
Most of the world recognises Abkhazia as part of Georgia, from which it broke away during wars in the early 1990s.
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