Cryptocurrency
Here’s Why Bitcoin Gained Over 20% in 3 Weeks: But Can it Go Higher?
Even with today’s correction that has pushed its price south by almost three grand, BTC is on the verge of closing its most bullish September in over a decade.
Here are some of the possible reasons behind this rather unexpected increase during the month, especially its second part, and speculation about whether it could sustain and double down on the rally.
ETF Inflows
CryptoQuant’s analysis began by outlining the growing net inflows toward the spot Bitcoin ETFs. As previously reported, the BTC-based products attracted over $1 billion in the past week alone and have been in the green for 13 out of the last 15 trading days. This impressive trend began on September 9, shortly after BTC’s price plunge below $53,000 (September 7).
As such, the timing between the two seems like more than just a coincidence.
2/ The strong momentum is partly driven by increased demand for the Bitcoin Spot ETF.
Last week saw positive Bitcoin ETF flows, with BlackRock, Fidelity, and Ark reporting combined inflows of $324 million on September 26th, signaling strong demand from U.S. investors. pic.twitter.com/GGr5xkHjp6
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) September 29, 2024
The monitoring resource further said that some of the investors in the spot Bitcoin ETFs have become Long-Term Holders since the supply they own has passed the 155-day mark. However, this could be the first worrying sign, CryptoQuant added, because “such shifts often happen in the late stages of a bull market.”
5/ Spot Bitcoin ETF holdings are transformed into Long-Term Holder Supply
Spot Bitcoin ETF supply is shifting to Long-Term Holder Supply as coins pass the 155-day mark. While this may seem bullish, such shifts often happen in the late stages of a bull market. pic.twitter.com/qMPE3ZVMvC
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) September 29, 2024
Consequences of the Rally
Due to BTC’s 20% surge from under $53,000 to $63,500 put many investors back in profit. The percentage had shot above 90% when the asset’s price hovered above $65,000.
CQ focused more on Short-Term Holders, those holding BTC for 155 days or less. Their average purchases came at a price of $63,000, which means that this level will now act as support. BTC could tumble should the majority of them decide to sell off their stash with minor gains.
The last worrying sign brought up by CryptoQuant involved the futures market, which seems to be overheating. Open Interest has grown to over $19 billion, which could lead to trouble given the 2024 performances during similar occasions.
4/ The futures market is showing signs of overheating
Open Interest is around $19.1 billion. Since March 2024, it has surpassed $18.0 billion six times, each leading to a price drop. This marks the seventh occurrence. pic.twitter.com/NYyJL5PjOt
— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) September 29, 2024
Bonus: The Fed
When discussing potential reasons behind BTC’s price surge from early September until now, it’s worth mentioning the Federal Reserve, which the CQ’s analysis missed. The US central bank announced on September 18 a key interest rate cut of 0.5%, which was the first in over four years.
BTC’s price stood at $59,000 at the time but soared past $66,500 in the next week or so. This is because bitcoin, which is still considered a riskier asset, is among the biggest beneficiaries of lower interest rates as “money becomes cheaper.”
Consequently, it would be compelling to follow what the Fed will do next, and its Chair, Jerome Powell, is expected to provide more information about the bank’s policy later today, September 30. With even more rate slashes anticipated by the Fed, BTC’s price could indeed resume its bullish rally and even fight for a new all-time high by the end of the year.
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Cryptocurrency
Ripple Price Analysis: Can XRP Skyrocket to $2 by the Year’s End?
Ripple’s recent price action underscores significant bullish momentum as buyers continue to dominate the market.
Despite a potential brief consolidation phase, XRP is steadily approaching another coveted milestone of $2, with the prospect of achieving tapping that target by the year’s end growing.
XRP Analysis
By Shayan
The Weekly Chart
The weekly chart reveals Ripple’s remarkable trends, marked by a significant sell-off following the SEC lawsuit, during which the price plummeted to $0.28, a staggering 85% decline. This phase was followed by an extended period of low-volatility consolidation.
Eventually, buyers returned with vigor, driving the price through key resistance levels, including the pivotal $1.3 mark. Ripple’s subsequent impulsive surge highlights strong buying interest, pushing the cryptocurrency closer to a local peak of $1.9.
As the price approaches this critical level, bullish sentiment remains robust, but caution is warranted due to the overbought condition reflected in the RSI indicator. A brief consolidation or correction may precede upward momentum, with $1.3 as the primary support during any potential pullback.
The 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour timeframe reflects Ripple’s breakout dynamics in greater detail. Upon encountering resistance at the $1.3 zone, the asset entered a consolidation phase, forming a sideways triangle pattern. This setup allowed the RSI to retreat from overbought levels and settle at equilibrium. Eventually, XRP surged, breaking out of the triangle’s upper boundary, signaling a bullish continuation.
Ripple managed to reclaim the $1.3 threshold and advance toward $2. While the bullish momentum is evident, a bearish divergence between the price and RSI hints at possible exhaustion. Furthermore, the presence of supply near the $1.9 resistance zone increases the likelihood of a consolidation phase in the near term. This temporary pause could allow the market to stabilize before XRP attempts to achieve new highs.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
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Cryptocurrency
XLM Rally Continues With 485% Monthly Surge, BTC Cools Off to $98K (Weekend Watch)
Bitcoin’s inability to overcome the coveted $100,000 milestone on Friday and Saturday has resulted in a minor price decline to around $98,000 as of now.
Several altcoins, such as XRP and DOGE, have plummeted as well in the past day, but others, like TON, DOT, and XLM, have charted double-digit surges.
BTC Calms to $98K
BTC traded at around $90,000 at the start of the business week but quickly started to gain traction and exploded above the previous all-time high of $93,800 by the middle of it. This came amid the growing impressive net inflows toward the spot Bitcoin ETFs in the States.
The cryptocurrency’s rally continued in the following days and peaked on Friday. At the time, the asset came just inches away from touching $100,000 but was stopped at about $99,800 on most exchanges.
Thus, it failed to reach that line for the first time ever, even though the community was anticipating and predicting it. Since then, BTC has lost some traction and has retraced by around two grand to $98,000 now.
Still, it’s 7.2% up on the week, which places its market cap at $1.940 trillion on CG. Its dominance over the alts, though, has declined further to 55.5%, which brought speculations about a potential altcoin season.
XLM’s Show
Many larger-cap alts like ADA, XRP, and DOGE charted notable gains yesterday, but have retraced heavily today. ADA is down by 3% to under $1.05, XRP has slumped by over 6% to under $1.45, and DOGE has plummeted by 7.5% to $0.43.
In contrast, TON and DOT have soared by 11% and 17%, respectively, to $6.25 and $8.9. XLM, though, has stolen the show once again by skyrocketing by 29%. Stellar’s native token has added more than 480% in the past month and now trades above $0.56.
The total crypto market cap has shed about $50 billion since yesterday’s peak but still stands close to $3.5 trillion on CG.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
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Cryptocurrency
Weekly ETF Recap: All Green Days for Bitcoin, But Not for Ethereum
The US-based spot Bitcoin ETFs enjoyed a highly positive week, with every trading day ending with net inflows of millions and even billions of dollars.
In stark contrast, the Ethereum counterparties ended the same five-day trading period deep in red territory.
Over $3B Enter BTC ETFs Weekly
It has been nothing short of a spectacular run for BTC’s price as well as the inflows in the spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US after Donald Trump’s decisive victory in the 2024 presidential elections. The past trading week was no different, although it started somewhat sluggishly on Monday with a modest $254.8 million in inflows.
However, things picked up on Tuesday with $829.5 million, another $773.4 million on Wednesday, and $490.3 million on Friday. Oh, let’s not forget the whopping $1.005,1 billion on Thursday. This puts the total for the week at $3.353,1 billion, according to Farside.
Expectedly, BlackRock’s IBIT, the world’s largest Bitcoin ETF, was at the forefront of these substantial inflows most days. IBIT attracted over $500 million on three separate occasions – Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Thus, its total AUM has skyrocketed to well over $31 billion.
Fidelity’s FBTC also saw some impressive inflows of $256.1 million on Tuesday and just over $300 million on Thursday. Ark Invest’s ARKB had its best day on Tuesday, with $267.3 million in net inflows.
Within this highly positive week for the ETFs, BTC’s price shot up from around $90,000 on Monday to $99,825 (on Bitstamp) on Friday, thus coming less than $200 away from the six-figure territory.
ETH ETFs Suffer
The spot Ethereum ETFs also had quite impressive several trading days after the US elections, marking their best week yet in the period from November 11 to November 15. However, there were some warning signs at the end of the week, which only intensified in the following days.
In fact, the ETH ETFs ended almost every day in the past trading week in the red, with outflows of $39.1 million on Monday, $81.3 million on Tuesday, $30.3 million on Wednesday, and $9 million on Thursday. The funds managed to break this negative streak, which actually extended to six consecutive days in the red, including the previous Thursday and Friday, on November 22.
They attracted $91.3 million, with BlackRock’s ETHA leading the pack with $99.7 million, while Grayscale’s ETHE and ETH were in the red with $18.6 million and $0.6 million, respectively.
Overall, the ETH funds ended the week with net outflows of $68.4 million. Nevertheless, ETH’s price is up by just over 10% in the past week and sits above $3,400.
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