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Ripple v. SEC Lawsuit Updates, BTC Price Volatility Ahead of US Election, and More: Bits Recap Nov 4

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TL;DR

  • Ripple-SEC lawsuit continues, with the next key filing due by January 2025.
  • Bitcoin’s price recently surged to nearly $73,600 before dropping to around $67,400, potentially influenced by political factors.
  • Ethereum plunged from $2,700 to $2,400, with analysts watching key support levels.

The Prolonged Lawsuit

The legal battle between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) remains ongoing approximately four years after its start. It all began in 2020 when the agency accused the company of illegally raising more than $1.3 billion in an unregistered securities offering by selling XRP.

Last year, the case reached a pivotal moment after Federal Judge Analisa Torres ruled that the firm’s XRP sales to retail investors on crypto exchanges did not violate US securities laws. The regulator officially appealed the decision a month ago, triggering a fresh doze of uncertainty. The action means that the lawsuit entered a new phase comprised of filings and a briefing process, with its final resolution most likely delayed for another few years.

It is worth mentioning that Ripple responded to the SEC with a cross-appeal, outlining some fundamental points for the magistrates to consider. The first question is whether an “investment contract” under the 1933 Securities Act requires a formal agreement, post-sale duties, and buyer profit rights. This could potentially redefine the interpretation of digital asset transactions.

The second point disputes the lower court’s ruling that the company’s XRP transfers meet the SEC v. W.J. Howey Co. case criteria, which established the Howey Test to determine what qualifies as an investment contract. Ripple claims that its transactions did not resemble an investment of money in a common enterprise, with profits dependent entirely on the firm’s efforts.

Third, the company focused on “fair notice” (a term referring to the legal principle that a person or entity must be given clear and adequate details about the laws or regulations that apply to their actions). It insists that it provided potential XRP buyers with sufficient information about the uncertainty related to cryptocurrencies

Lastly, Ripple questioned the clarity of the injunction from Judge Torres (who ordered the company to pay a $125 million fine for violating certain securities laws), claiming it only instructs the company to follow the law without enough specifications.

Most recently, James K. Filan (a US attorney who closely observes the legal tussle) said the Second Circuit Court of Appeals has ordered that the Commission’s brief must be filed on or before January 15, 2025. Failure to act by the deadline may result in dismissal of the appeal. 

How’s BTC Doing?

The primary digital asset has been one of the hottest topics in the crypto space due to its rapid price swings in the past week. Its valuation soared from $68,000 (per CoinGecko’s data) on October 28 to $73,600 (almost a new all-time high) 24 hours later.

It consolidated at around $72K in the next two days, plunging sharply toward the end of the month. The bulls attempted to push the price on November 1, but the rally was short-lived, and BTC kept losing ground. It dropped under $68,000 on November 3, currently worth approximately $68,500.

BTC Price
BTC Price, Source: CoinGecko

One factor potentially contributing to the asset’s poor performance recently is Donald Trump’s declining odds of winning the US presidential elections. Last week, the Republican had a massive lead on Polymarket: 66.9% versus 33.1% for his opponent, Kamala Harris. The picture looks much different now, with Trump’s figure standing at 57.5%, while the Democratic candidate follows with 42.6%.

According to many industry participants, the former president is the better choice for the digital asset market, considering his pro-crypto stance indicated throughout his campaign. Recall that Trump promised to make America a leader in bitcoin mining and hinted at establishing a strategic BTC reserve. 

We have yet to see whether the Republican can enter the White House as a winner again and if he will stand by his commitment.

What About ETH?

The second-largest cryptocurrency spiked above $2,700 on October 30. Like BTC, though, it headed south and is currently hovering at around $2,460. 

ETH Price
ETH Price, Source: CoinGecko

According to some analysts, ETH remains on a bullish path as long as it trades above certain resistance zones. The X user Ali Martinez believes it can skyrocket to a new ATH of $6,000 if it doesn’t plunge below $2,400. ETH dropped to as low as $2,417 on November 3, still holding the depicted level. 

Poseidon, on the other hand, promised to cash out their holdings if Ethereum’s price tumbled below $2,450. 

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Ripple Price Analysis: Is XRP Ready to Break Out of Consolidation Phase?

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XRP remains trapped in a tightening consolidation zone, showing few signs of decisive momentum despite Bitcoin’s strength.

While many altcoins have started to break key levels, XRP continues to respect its long-standing compression patterns against both the dollar and Bitcoin.

Technical Analysis

The USDT Pair

On the USDT pair, XRP has been locked within a descending channel since the start of the year. After getting rejected near the $2.40 level just below the higher trendline, the asset has slid back into the mid-zone of the pattern and is currently holding just above $2.10. Despite the lack of directional breakout, there’s visible structure in this range.

The 200-day moving average continues to offer dynamic support around $2.10, while the 100-day moving average is closing in on it from above. If the price manages to hold the 2.00–2.10 support and break above the channel’s upper boundary near $2.5, the next major level to watch would be the $2.80 region, followed by the $3.00–$3.30 zone.

The BTC Pair

The BTC pair tells a similar story. XRP/BTC has been sliding inside a falling wedge for over two months, forming lower highs and lower lows within the structure. However, Ripple’s token is now trading right on top of a major confluence level around 2200 SAT.

This level has been held multiple times and coincides with the 200-day moving average. The wedge pattern typically resolves to the upside, but XRP still needs to break out and reclaim 2400–2450 SAT to generate any bullish momentum. Until then, the downtrend structure remains intact.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

ETH Accumulation Spikes as Holders Bet on Short-Term Price Gains: CQ

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The Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem seems to have received an injection of optimism, with on-chain data showing an interesting trend: long-term holders are doubling down on their positions, unfazed by recent price volatility.

A new report from CryptoQuant shows that accumulating addresses, those that consistently receive ETH without making any major sales, have increased their holdings by more than 22% in less than two months, a sign that there is a renewed wave of “structural conviction” among investors.

A Closer Look at Holder Behavior

According to analysis by CryptoQuant’s Carmelo Alemán, since a cycle high of $4,107 attained on December 16 last year, the price of ETH has endured a sustained correction. The bearish run finally put long-term holders into “unrealized loss territory” as the cryptocurrency’s value hit $1,866, nearly 8% below the Realized Price of $2,026.

Experts describe Realized Price as the average price at which all coins in circulation were last transacted on-chain, and it is used to provide insight into the historical cost basis of investors.

Since March 10, the volume of ETH held by accumulating addresses has grown from 15.53 million to 19.03 million tokens. Investors seized the opportunity occasioned by falling prices to buy more, driving down their collective realized price to $1,980 by May 3. This effectively signaled a doubling down on their belief that the cryptocurrency is getting ready for a price breakout.

“ETH investors demonstrate strong belief in the asset, project, and ecosystem,” wrote Alemán. “Their On-Chain behavior reflects structural conviction and clear expectations of short-term appreciation.”

Mixed Performance Despite Bullish Undertones

The timing of this renewed bullishness appears to match technical signals and community sentiment captured across social media. Popular crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe recently noted that Ethereum’s price chart is forming a textbook falling wedge, often viewed as a precursor to bullish breakouts.

“ETH is consolidating before a big breakout upwards,” he stated, pointing to converging trend lines and declining trade volumes as signs of brewing volatility. “The liquidity is up for grabs, it just needs a news-related item to kick it off.”

Furthermore, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has surged 10% in the last fortnight, bringing the asset back above the $1,800 level. Still, despite the green shoot, its performance in the last year remains underwhelming, with its price down more than 42% in that period.

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Tether’s CEO Announces Decentralized AI Solution Utilizing Bitcoin and USDT

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Paolo Ardoino, the CEO of the company behind the world’s largest stablecoin, announced on May 5 that his firm will soon launch an open-source AI runtime solution.

He reaffirmed Tether’s ambitions to become a global name in the growing artificial intelligence industry.

His tweet reads that the upcoming solution will not need API keys as it won’t have a central point of failure. It will be a “fully open-source AI runtime, capable to adapt and evolve on any hardware and device.”

It will also integrate Tether’s Wallet Development Kit (WDK) to support payments using the company’s native and largest stablecoin (USDT) as well as Bitcoin (BTC).

In a separate post, Ardoino explained that Tether AI will have only one goal – to be the ideal technological foundation to achieve the vision of AI described in Isaac Asimov’s science fiction books. He believes the technology will become a “part of the very fabric of the universe” in the following decades.

As such, Tether is developing its own version, which will be “open-source, transparent, scalable, and able to adapt and evolve on any device regardless of the hardware” behind it.

The company has already made a few AI-related moves in the past year or so, including unveiling another platform called Tether Data.

It has also become a major player in the Bitcoin landscape. Not only does it continue to accumulate BTC frequently, but it has also gone deeper into the mining industry.

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