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USD Inflation Grows for First Time in 8 Months as BTC Marks New ATHs

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The trailing 12-month percentage change for all items in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 2.6% in October, according to the latest US Bureau of Labor Statistics data out Wednesday.

That may signal the beginning of a bull market in dollar-denominated assets across the board as the economy roars into 2025. The CPI measures the rate of gain or loss in dollar purchasing power over time. A higher CPI means prices for the typical basket of consumer goods are going up.

From March through September, the CPI fell steadily, prompting the US central bank to cut rates in September. After that, Bitcoin’s price began to rise through October, as well as Wall Street stocks.

US stock benchmarks like the S&P 500 Index set new all-time high records this month and last. After the US election held on Nov. 5, Bitcoin rocketed to a fresh peak. The largest digital asset marked a new all time high above $93,000 on Wednesday.

Fed Rate Cuts Whip Deflation

Cooling from 3.5% to 2.4% in Sept, the rate of change of year-over-year inflation fell 25.71% since March. Over that same time period, the S&P 500 gained 8.59%, while Bitcoin’s price fell -1.53%. Now that inflation is moving back up again, will BTC’s price continue to chart new all-time highs?

Santiment analysts said on Wednesday that they expect a Bitcoin rally deep into the six figures in 2025, as high as $150,000 or $200,000.

Last December, Bitcoin ETF issuer VanEck predicted a Bitcoin price of $100,000 by the end of 2024. The cryptocurrency appears poised to reach that milestone in the timeframe specified by two of the company’s analysts.

Are Stocks and BTC Re-Coupling?

As the dollar printer’s rising tide lifts up all worthy boats, daily movements in the prices of Bitcoin and stocks are beginning to correlate again.

The 30D BTC Pearson Correlation, after reaching a 44-month high of 0.89 (on a scale of -1 to 1) on Sept. 26, began to slide to 0.49 on the eve of the US elections. By the time of the Labor Department’s fresh CPI print on Wednesday, that figure bounced back to 0.80.

Part of the reason is that the same institutions are buying both with money hot off the press. Popular Bitcoin investment analyst Lark Davis remarked, “BlackRock just keeps buying.”

Between Nov. 6 and Nov. 13, Wall Street sold over $4.73 billion worth of Bitcoin ETFs. The institutional crowd cooled off on Thursday, with $400 billion in net outflows, but BlackRock’s investors were happy to buy the dip with $126 million in net BTC sales Thursday.

“BlackRock knows,” replied one Ethereum analyst on Davis’ thread.

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XRP Is Not Dead, It’s Just Loading: Analyst

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TL;DR

  • Ripple’s native token became one of the biggest gainers after the US elections, but lost some steam in Q1, even though the company’s lawsuit against the SEC is seemingly over.
  • Although no one has actually declared it dead (at least not in the well-known public space), a social media influencer with over 500,000 followers on X explained why it could be just loading.

Not Dead, Just Loading

John Squire started with a 10-year setup that investors might have ignored until now. Ever since the project’s establishment around a decade ago, the company behind it has made big moves to enhance adoption. Squire said RippleNet is used in over 55 countries, while some of its notable partners include SBI, Tranglo, and Santander.

As such, he noted that XRP isn’t some “new hype coin. It’s been quietly building since before most influencers discovered Bitcoin.”

He touched upon the prolonged battle between Ripple and the US securities regulator, which dragged on for over four years. Although the SEC has yet to confirm that the case is closed, Ripple’s CEO triumphantly announced it in mid-March. Squire said, “XRP is the only top 10 coin to fight the US government and survive.”

In terms of institutional adoption and the possibility of a spot Ripple ETF in the States, the social media influencer outlined the XRP futures product prepared to be launched by CME this month, as well as the 10 applications sitting on the SEC’s desk. Although the Commission delayed making a decision on one of them earlier this week, many experts believe it’s just a matter of time before XRP follows the example set by ETH and BTC last year.

XRP Price Chart Says Bull Run

Echoing another report that XRP might skyrocket in the following month(s), Squire said the asset’s chart paints a clear bullish picture. Aside from a few brief fluctuations below $2, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency has mostly remained steady above that line ever since it broke it in late 2024.

Squire added that the RSI is cooling off and the volume is “quietly building. Smart money doesn’t chase pumps. It buys when you are bored,” he added. There’s certainly some proof for that, as whales accumulated nearly $2 billion worth of XRP in April alone. Additionally, whale addresses have skyrocketed to a record of their own above 300,000.

After the mandatory disclaimer that his post is not financial advice, Squire concluded that the most hated assets, such as XRP, often outperform.

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Crypto X Analyst Spots ‘Big Breakout’ for Ethereum

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Ethereum’s price was down 2.9% for the 1-month view to start the weekend. But it was down even more, by -38%, over the 1-year view.

That could be a buying opportunity for cryptocurrency investors and altcoin traders to scoop some Ether tokens at a discount. In fact, one popular Crypto X analyst recently pointed out that Ethereum’s price chart exhibits a potential bullish breakout up ahead.

Crypto Analyst Checks Ethereum Price Falling Wedge

MN Fund founder Michaël van de Poppe wrote in an update on Wednesday, Apr. 30:

“$ETH is consolidating before a big breakout upwards. The liquidity is up for grabs, it just needs a news related item to kick it off.”

De Poppe then shared a TradingView screen grab of descending wedge lines with steeper lines of resistance and flattening lines of support. This is a classic chart indicator of a bullish reversal from a downward trend.

It is an especially suggestive indicator in this case because it has the textbook declining daily trade volume as the trend lines converge.

Vitalik Buterin New Ethereum Roadmap for 2025

One commentator replied to van de Poppe:

“Yeah that ETH chart’s wound tighter than a drum rn. Consolidation screams pre-breakout vibes. Just need that catalyst like you said. What kinda news are we realistically looking for tho?”

Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin’s new 2025 roadmap for the cryptocurrency may pull its community back together.

The number two ranked cryptocurrency by total market cap has been in a price doldrums on Bitcoin’s current multi-month upswing. But that doesn’t mean it’s all over for Ethereum yet.

The leading smart contract altcoin has seen price growth deflate while several L2s grew vastly in market cap since the Dencun Upgrade in Mar. 2024.

These Layer 2 zip file style solutions to speeding up Ethereum have been making most of the percentage gains because that’s what the new incentive structure rewards.

The same day as his Ethereum falling wedge update, van de Poppe reminded followers the extreme bearish sentiment on many altcoins at the moment is a window of opportunity to capture ROI when the market turns again.

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4 Good Signs for Bitcoin Prices in May With $100K Back in View

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BTC tumbled from $109K on Jan. 21 to find support at $75K in late March. Then, after a final bear test above $75K on Apr. 9, bulls came roaring back to close out April above $95K.

Trump Scare, Massive BTC Rally Repeat?

One popular Crypto X analyst noticed in April a familiar pattern in Bitcoin’s price rebound following the sell-off after the coronavirus shock.

Global financial markets are back to placing bets after pulling their cash in during the Trump second term and tariff panic. Major participants in the Bitcoin economy may be seeing similarities between now and the last time Trump started pushing Fed Chair Jerome Powell for interest rate cuts.

The last time this happened, Bitcoin grew 12 times in market prices in 24 months.

Crypto Markets Feeling Bullish Again

That’s an average annualized ROI of 550% from 2019 to 2021. For comparison, the S&P 500 Index delivered an average yearly ROI of 10% since 1957.

It’s no wonder institutions are bullish on the original blockchain cryptocurrency.

Even the doctor of Bitcoin doom himself, EuroPac’s Peter Schiff, made a big about-face in a tweet storm on X, asking followers to donate BTC to him that he promises he will never sell.

For anyone who’s been keeping the score with Schiff’s anti-crypto texts, this is some kind of bizarro world.

Here are four reasons the little currency is looking so good for crypto bulls in May.

1. Wall Street Bitcoin ETFs Insatiable in April

The entry of Wall Street buyers via Bitcoin ETFs pushed BTC prices up for almost all of 2024. Institutional investors also delivered massive capital inflows to MicroStrategy (now Strategy) and Bitcoin miners in 2023, signaling pent-up demand.

Now that stock traders are a tidal force on the cryptocurrency economy, Bitcoin ETF inflows and outflows respond to and affect the asset’s price. Manhattan markets flipped wildly bullish for BTC in April.

Bitcoin ETFs saw uninterrupted daily inflows from Apr. 17 to Apr. 29, a couple of times verging on a billion dollars for the day’s trades.

By Apr. 28, Bitcoin ETFs saw $3.06 billion in total weekly inflows, the second-highest on record.

Meanwhile, Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan wrote in a note to investors that he expects ETF flows to continue to expand sustainably.

“I still expect bitcoin ETFs to set a new record for net inflows this year,” Hougan said, “despite pulling in ‘just’ $3.7 billion so far in 2025, compared to $35 billion in 2024.”

2. Semler Scientific Buys $15.7M BTC

In addition to the high demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds by investors, corporations continue to ramp up the global race to stockpile Bitcoin. That limits the supply available on exchanges and pushes the price up further.

Virginia-based Strategy started off this incredible demand for BTC to shore up its balance sheets. It works as an inflation shelter, macro hedge, and a way to increase returns on investment when the asset has a good year.

On Apr. 30, California-based health care tech company Semler Scientific announced a 165 BTC buy for around $15.7 million. Semler reported:

“As of April 29, 2025, Semler Scientific held 3,467 bitcoins, which were acquired for an aggregate $306.1 million at an average purchase price of $88,263 per bitcoin, inclusive of fees and expenses and had a market value of $330.6 million…”

When Semler first started buying BTC last May, its stock surged 38% as a result.

Meanwhile, Strategy made another billion-dollar Bitcoin buy announced on Apr. 28. That brings its total holdings to 553,555 BTC acquired for an average of $68.5K per BTC.

3. Arizona Moves to Stockpile Bitcoin

It’s not just US corporations piling on Bitcoin. Following in the lead of the White House initiative to establish a national reserve, several states are moving to add the asset to their books.

In April, Arizona joined them with a move by the legislature to establish a state Bitcoin reserve. That leaves the matter in the hands of a governor, who could sign one into law with a pen stroke any day now.

“Crypto and bitcoin have a huge following nationwide and in Arizona,” said Arizona state Sen. Wendy Rogers, who co-sponsored the bill. “They are wildly popular with the youth and independents.”

This is the first state legislative approval to establish a BTC reserve. While several states are seriously exploring it, the Copper State may just kick off a rush in other statehouses.

4. Bitcoin Whales’ Big Buying Spree

Cryptocurrency markets are nothing without their whale-sized traders. Big moves by these behemoth investors tend to forecast future price moves because the big money has incentives and resources at scale to make smart bets.

As a result, whale splashes in the Web3 liquidity pools can cause future movements in market prices and become self-fulfilling prophecies.

That’s good news for BTC sellers and long-term holders. Bitcoin whales went on a massive accumulation binge in April. In the final two weeks of the month, they bought $4 billion.

That strong support from both Wall Street institutional buyers and Internet retail buyers is very bullish for the cryptocurrency’s outlook.

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