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Ethereum (ETH) Sets the Stage for a Major Price Rally: Key Insights to Watch

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Ether (ETH), the second largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization ranking, recently soared from around $3,000 earlier this month to $3,500 for the first time this year before it lost some of its momentum.

In a recently published crypto derivatives report, Bybit and research firm Block Scholes highlighted several factors, including macroeconomic developments and trading signals from the spot and futures market metrics, that could give ETH the much-needed push to reclaim higher price levels.

What Could Drive ETH’s Surge?

Perpetual swap funding rates have fluctuated in alignment with spot prices while maintaining a positive record for most of this month, especially for ETH. Bybit’s report explained that this translates to a “strong demand for long positions in the contract despite the downturn, or at least a lack of interest in short positions, due to liquidations or other factors.”

Additionally, the crypto options market reflects a mix of short-term caution and long-term optimism. Due to uncertainty, traders are hedging against potential short-term price drops. However, they remain optimistic about the market’s long-term prospects, as the bullish skew in longer-dated options contracts shows.

Moreover, the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data triggered a change in market structure as BTC, ETH, and many altcoins headed north. The bullish volatility smile indicates increased speculation and betting on potential price uptrends.

Meanwhile, news about the incoming inauguration of the pro-crypto President-elect, Donald Trump, has recently boosted the market’s uptrend. Agreeably, the crypto community eagerly expects a new America with less strict crypto trading and investment laws.

Thus, investors have switched attention to digital assets, mostly ETH and BTC, as they have struggled to gain regulatory clarity involving these assets over the past few years and survived different wavering market conditions.

More Altcoins to Record Uptrends

Like ETH, a few altcoins have also recently displayed bullish momentum. These include SOL, XRP, LTC, and others. Due to XRP’s 40% surge over the past week to reach $3.40, a few bullish and optimistic traders predict it may soar to $100 soon.

Meanwhile, SOL became the biggest beneficiary of the TRUMP-induced price rally and shot up to a new all-time high of its own of almost $300 at press time.

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Cryptocurrency

Ethereum’s Network Activity Heats Up with a 10% Increase in Active Addresses

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After a worrying start to the month, Ethereum finally showed signs of recovery as April progressed. The altcoin climbed to nearly $1,830 a few days ago before facing a small correction.

In the backdrop of this uptrend, the Ethereum network fundamentals appear to be heating up.

Active Addresses Surge

CryptoQuant’s latest analysis stated that Ethereum’s active addresses increased from 306,211 to 336,366 within just two days, an almost 10% jump. This surge, coupled with a rise in the price of Ether, indicated heightened network activity and growing interest in the blockchain.

This recent uptick is seen as a positive indicator for Ethereum, especially given its role as the foundation for many major blockchain projects. With Ether being a cornerstone of the broader altcoin ecosystem, any significant price movement in ETH is likely to influence the entire market.

As Ethereum continues to grow, the momentum may spark further growth across decentralized applications and projects built on the network.

“Final thought: Since Ether is the most important token in the Altcoin ecosystem, what would happen if its price explodes? The answer: very likely, the entire ecosystem would move with it.”

Institutional Offloading of Ethereum

With regards to Ethereum’s cost basis distribution, there is a significant concentration of supply around the price level of $1,895, where approximately 1.64 million ETH is held. This concentration indicates a key overhead resistance point, as many holders at this price level were last active in November 2024, during the crypto asset’s rally.

At that time, these investors purchased ETH, driving their cost basis higher. This suggests that as ETH approached this price range earlier this week, it faced selling pressure from these holders who sought to break even or secure profits.

As selling pressure mounts around this price level, it coincides with a broader trend of institutional offloading. For instance, Galaxy Digital transferred 65,600 ETH, worth $105.5 million, to Binance, which was a noticeable decline in its Ether holdings from about 98,000 ETH in February to 68,000 ETH, as tracked by Arkham.

Ethereum funds also faced significant outflows. Meanwhile, CoinShares reported $26.7 million in outflows last week, which pushed the total outflows to $772 million over the last two months. Despite these outflows, the altcoin has seen positive net inflows of $215 million year-to-date.

Galaxy Digital is not the only entity that has cut its Ether position. In fact, Paradigm has also reduced its exposure, as it transferred 5,500 ETH ($8.66 million) to Anchorage Digital on April 22nd.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Shows Resilience as It Strengthens and Decouples from Stock Markets

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Bitcoin has gained significant momentum over the past week, surging 10% against the US dollar after a relatively quiet and often painful spring. After recently hitting two-month high, the world’s leading cryptocurrency appears to be setting its sights on a new all-time high, and this signals a potential new phase for the asset.

Experts point to several factors contributing to Bitcoin’s resurgence.

Bitcoin’s Decoupling Cycle

According to CryptoQuant’s latest analysis, the weakening of the US dollar, which has historically shown an inverse correlation, is a factor. As the dollar drops, Bitcoin typically strengthens, a trend that seems to be playing out once again.

Another potential catalyst for BTC’s rise is the ongoing geopolitical situation. Market uncertainties, particularly due to trade tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, have recently shown signs of de-escalation. Reports indicate that the tariffs, which have weighed on markets, could be moderated as political leverage shifts.

In addition, talks surrounding a possible peace deal in Ukraine have sparked optimism. Should these negotiations result in a resolution, high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies could benefit significantly.

Perhaps the most significant trend in Bitcoin’s performance is its decoupling from traditional markets. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin has notably separated from both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, indicating a weakening correlation with traditional stocks. The correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 has dropped from 0.88 in late 2024 to 0.77, while the Nasdaq correlation has fallen from 0.91 to 0.83 in the same period.

Digital Gold Narrative

Interestingly, Bitcoin’s relationship with gold has been strengthening. The correlation coefficient with gold has improved from -0.62 earlier this month to -0.31 currently. This suggests that Bitcoin may be increasingly viewed as a store of value similar to gold.

Such a shift could signal that Bitcoin is emerging as “digital gold,” with gold potentially serving as a leading indicator for Bitcoin’s price movements in the near future.

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Massive Price Drops for These Altcoins After Binance Withdraws Support

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TL;DR

  • Binance unveiled its next delisting effort, causing an immediate market fallout for the involved digital assets.
  • In contrast, tokens gaining support from the exchange usually experience strong rallies, highlighting the platform’s powerful influence over short-term price action.

These Assets Take a Blow

The world’s leading crypto exchange periodically reviews each asset listed on its platform to determine whether it meets quality, safety, or market relevance standards. Based on its recent examination, it decided to terminate all trading services with Alpaca Finance (ALPACA), PlayDapp (PDA), Viberate (VIB), and Wing Finance (WING). 

The delisting is scheduled for May 2, when all sport trading pairs involving the aforementioned tokens will be removed

The token’s valuation will no longer be displayed in users’ accounts after delisting. To view their assets after trading ceases, users should ensure they have not selected “Hide Small Balances” in all (of) their accounts,” the company clarified.

Binance explained that deposits involving these assets will not be credited to users after May 3, whereas withdrawals will become unavailable from July 4. 

“Delisted tokens may be converted into stablecoins on behalf of users after 2025-07-05 03:00 (UTC). Please note that the conversion of delisted tokens into stablecoins is not guaranteed,” the disclosure reads. 

Somewhat expectedly, the news triggered a major price decline for the affected cryptocurrencies. VIB and WING crashed by 42% and 36%, respectively, while ALPACA and PDA witnessed less substantial plunges. 

Reactions of that type are something normal. After all, withdrawn support from Binance leads to reduced liquidity and visibility. It can also trigger fear and uncertainty by damaging their reputation, prompting increased selling pressure. 

A similar thing was observed earlier this month when the exchange scrapped 14 altcoins from its platform. Some of the affected ones, including CREAM, recorded a whopping decrease of almost 60% after the announcement. 

The Pumping Effect

Conversely, embracing a certain cryptocurrency in one way or another from Binance often results in a significant rally. Such was the case with DeepBook (DEEP), whose price jumped by double digits earlier this week after the trading venue launched the DEEP/USDT perpetual contract with up to 50x leverage. 

Other examples include Cat in a Dogs World (MEW), whose valuation headed north after the company placed it in its pre-listing selection pool, Binance Alpha, and Tutorial (TUT), which skyrocketed by 130% following inclusion in the Binance Simple Earn section.

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