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Cryptocurrency

5 Ways Kraken Exchange Is Giving Coinbase a Run for its Money

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Coinbase is the leading crypto exchange in the US by daily trading volume and is publicly traded on Wall Street.

But far out in Silicon Valley, Kraken is making waves.

Kraken Is a Secure US Crypto Exchange

California State University philosophy major Jesse Powell founded Kraken in 2011. After consulting for Mt. Gox, he decided the new Bitcoin sector would need a more secure solution.

Mt. Gox famously crashed and burned after a 2014 hack stole 650,000 BTC. Today, the value of the stolen bitcoin has grown to $56 billion.

But under the leadership of Powell, who stepped down as CEO a few years ago, Kraken developed a reputation for being a secure platform to trade cryptocurrencies and leave them in third-party custody.

“The original ideal was to get Bitcoin to the world, and we’ve achieved a lot of that, opening access to people who have been unbanked by the formal financial system,” Powell said recently.

Coinbase Is Popular With Investors

Founded in 2012 by Brian Armstrong, a former Airbnb engineer, Coinbase leapfrogged Kraken. Today, it is the most popular crypto exchange in the US, and its stock is publicly traded on the Nasdaq.

Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest swiped $9.3 million worth of Coinbase stocks at a discount when markets flipped this Feb. Just like the tech-focused hedge fund did last August when markets wigged out. And, in June 2023.

So, Coinbase has been a popular favorite among blockchain sector investors for some time. These recent Kraken news updates, however, may be giving its competitors at Coinbase a run for their money.

1. Kraken to IPO in Q1 2026

The little purple monster is reportedly planning to go public with an IPO in quarter one of 2026. That’s according to a recent Bloomberg report.

“We recently disclosed 2024 financial highlights to be more transparent about our business, which is something we started by being first to publish proof of reserves, and we’re going to continue to prioritize going forward. We’ll pursue public markets as it makes sense for our clients, our partners and shareholders.”

After the report set off a media buzz among crypto news outlets, Kraken co-CEO Arjun Sethi tried to calm the rumors, clarifying to Axios that there isn’t a date set:

“I think the way we think about it is that, if it’s in service to our clients to going public, building that trust as a currency, then we’ll think about doing it. So we’ll always be ready for it, but it may not be that we’ll have it on a specific date.”

But, he did note that, “the overall regulatory environment, worldwide, not just in the United States, has become a lot more favorable.”

The jump to regulated public markets has been brewing for years now. Back in 2021, Powell said the crypto exchange would be more apt to debut via IPO than a direct listing.

Because direct listings issue no new shares and raise no new capital, an IPO could be a way for Kraken to swell the value of the equity on its books.

An eventual Kraken IPO would be momentous for the blockchain sector. Crypto insights firm CoinGecko noted in February that Coinbase remains the only publicly traded crypto exchange.

Wall Street. Source: CNBC
Wall Street. Source: CNBC

2. Kraken Explores $1B Debt Note With JPMorgan

Meanwhile, Kraken’s finances are looking solid for an IPO stock market debut.

The company is exploring a $1 billion corporate debt package with Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan. Yes, that JP Morgan, the US banking giant whose CEO just 15 months ago said only criminals have a use for Bitcoin. That’s a potentially big change in outlook from the private banking sector.

Anonymous sources with knowledge of the proceeding told Bloomberg in late March that both giants had begun conversations with other banks and lenders to put together the massive loan a year or so before Kraken’s anticipated IPO.

According to the report, the exchange has over 10 million users in 190 different countries, and it serves $207 billion in trading volume quarterly.

If Kraken’s business is anything like Coinbase’s, it can count on future cash flows to float such a hefty loan. This February, Coinbase reported last year’s Q4 revenue of $2.3 billion.

Some 60% of its quarterly revenue came from small fees to execute trades.

3. Futures Platform NinjaTrader Acquisition

Kraken makes a giant quarterly haul of fees for its services, too.

But it’s hoping to add to its cash rake with a $1.5 billion purchase of NinjaTrader announced on Mar. 20. In a press release, Kraken called the crypto futures contract brokerage the leading US retail futures trading platform.

The unicorn-sized acquisition captures Ninja Trader’s CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant licenses, which allow Kraken to broker crypto futures and derivatives contracts in the US.

Sethi explained the move fits into Kraken’s ambitions to build a crypto everything app: “This transaction is the first step in our vision of an institutional-grade trading platform where any asset can be traded, anytime.”

Coinbase first offered retail crypto futures trading products to customers with Coinbase Advanced accounts in Nov. 2023.

4. SEC Agrees to Dismiss Kraken Lawsuit

At the beginning of March, markets added Kraken to a spate of dropped lawsuits at the fearsome US Securities and Exchange Commission.

An update on Kraken’s website read:

“The SEC staff has agreed in principle to dismiss its lawsuit against Kraken with prejudice, with no admission of wrongdoing, no penalties paid and no changes to our business.”

The update noted that the SEC’s previous policy of enforcement by hostility and haphazard lawsuits “undermined a nascent industry that repeatedly urged clear rules of the road.”

Once implacable in its opposition to cryptocurrency companies, the SEC has decidedly flipped to a friendly policy under the new Trump Administration. That’s been great news for the industry and no small factor in the euphoric crypto market rally from last November through January.

“This dismissal lifts that cloud of uncertainty,” Kraken said. “It reaffirms that businesses like Kraken, which prioritize compliance and consumer protection, should not be subject to arbitrary legal battles.”

5. Kraken Relaunches Crypto Staking

Beep, beep: By daily trading volume, Kraken is playing the little Nash Rambler to Coinbase’s Cadillac.

Coinbase may have an order of magnitude more daily active users and weekly visits than Kraken in March, but the latter logs daily trading volume a little over a third of its younger competitor. That’s according to the most recent crypto spot exchange data from CoinMarketCap.

Many are there to trade altcoins in the expectation of turning profits by arbitraging inefficiencies in these novel Internet currency markets.

After Kraken relaunched crypto staking in Q1 this year, its users can also stake their coins, which use a proof-of-stake mechanism to lock in value and earn staking fees from their network.

It’s a potentially very lucrative business for Kraken to operate. For comparison, in March, Coinbase held nearly 12% of all staked ETH on Ethereum’s network.

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Cryptocurrency

Ethereum’s Disconnect: Layer 2s Thrive While ETH Struggles to Keep Pace

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Ethereum continues to lead in terms of stablecoins and tokenization, with its stablecoin supply reaching a whopping $130 billion and tokenized treasuries such as BUIDL surpassing $1.8 billion in assets. However, despite this liquidity surge, activity on Ethereum has declined compared to previous years.

In fact, ether’s performance weakened further in Q1, as the ETH/BTC ratio sank to a five-year low.

According to Coin Metrics’ latest report, this disconnect between Ethereum’s network, its Layer 2 expansion, and ETH’s market value appears to be influenced by multiple factors, particularly its approach to scaling via Layer 2 solutions and the current absence of significant value accrual to ETH through network fees.

Ethereum Faces Value Leakage

The introduction of blobspace with EIP-4844 in the Dencun upgrade significantly altered Ethereum’s network economics. In March 2024, the blockchain generated nearly $30 million in fees, but one year later, that figure plummeted to around $500,000.

Coin Metrics stated that this sharp decline stems from execution shifting to Layer 2s, with minimal value returning to the main chain. Base, Arbitrum, and Optimism have collectively paid just $13 million in blob fees while enjoying over 90% profit margins from sequencer revenue. This, in turn, has sparked concerns about value leakage, as Ethereum shoulders security costs while Layer 2s capture most of the economic benefit.

Additionally, blob fees make up just 0.07% of total fees, which has led to lower ETH burn.

Over the past week, Ethereum has burned roughly 70 ETH per day. This has caused net issuance to rise, thereby pushing the annual inflation rate up to 0.79%. While this is currently putting downward pressure on ETH’s price, the network’s longer-term scaling efforts through Layer 2s may require more time to yield significant results.

What’s Next for Ethereum?

As blobspace becomes more commoditized and Layer 2 business models become increasingly profitable, the number of Layer 2s and blob transactions is expected to rise. With nearly 21,000 blobs posted daily, Ethereum is consistently reaching its target of 3 blobs per block.

With the Pectra upgrade, and Fusaka soon after, Ethereum aims to gradually expand blob capacity through EIP-7691, which would lower transaction costs and encourage more Layer 2 activity. This is expected to increase aggregate blob fees. As a result, Ethereum plans to scale its Layer 1 by increasing gas limits and focusing on high-value sectors like stablecoins, tokenization, and DeFi, creating a potential pathway for long-term value growth in ETH.

As Pectra brings improvements, the focus may shift to Ethereum’s staking ecosystem, with issuers eyeing the launch of staked Ether ETFs in the next quarter.

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What’s Next for ETH After 10% Weekly Decline? Ethereum Price Analysis

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Ethereum is attempting a recovery after bouncing from the $1,800 zone, but the price remains trapped below key resistance, and the broader trend is still bearish. Short-term momentum has improved slightly, but upside continuation remains uncertain.

Technical Analysis

By Edris Derakhshi

The Daily Chart

The daily chart shows ETH stabilizing around the $1,900 area following a sharp rejection from the $2,200 zone in late March. The asset remains well below the 200-day moving average, which continues to slope downward around the $2,800 region, confirming bearish market structure on a macro level.

The most recent bounce has taken the price back into the $1,900 resistance zone, but the buyers are yet to show strong follow-through. The RSI is also rebounding from oversold levels, suggesting short-term relief, but there is no bullish divergence or momentum breakout to support a sustainable trend reversal. A decisive daily close above $1,950–$2,000 would be the first signal that buyers are regaining control.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, ETH is trading within a horizontal consolidation pattern, with the lower boundary at $1,800 and the higher one near the $2,200 region. After the recent sell-off, the price rebounded into the $1,900 supply zone but faced immediate resistance and is now pulling back slightly.

Moreover, RSI hit near-overbought conditions during the bounce and is now cooling off, indicating potential consolidation or another retest of the $1,800 area. If ETH fails to break out above the higher boundary of the pattern, another leg down to sweep the $1,780–$1,750 liquidity becomes more likely. A confirmed breakout above $2,200, however, would invalidate the pattern and suggest a short-term bullish reversal.

Sentiment Analysis

By Edris Derakhshi (TradingRage)

Exchange Reserve

Ethereum’s exchange reserve has continued its multi-month downtrend, now reaching a new low of around 18.3M ETH held on trading platforms. This persistent decline suggests long-term holders and institutions are moving assets into cold storage or staking, reducing immediate sell pressure.

Despite the bearish price action, the supply on exchanges is not increasing, which historically has acted as a bullish divergence when accompanied by reversal structures. The low reserves may act as a supply constraint once demand re-emerges, but for now, the lack of bullish momentum means this on-chain trend is supportive, not decisive.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Ripple Price Analysis: How Long Will XRP’s Consolidation Last?

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XRP is holding above key support on both USD and BTC pairs but remains under pressure, with no strong bullish momentum in sight. Price action is consolidative and leaning slightly bearish in the short term.

By Edris Derakhshi

The USDT Paired Chart

On the USDT pair, XRP is currently hovering above the $2 support zone after a series of lower highs following the rejection from the $3.00 resistance area. The asset has yet to make a higher high since mid-February and continues to face selling pressure on each attempt to rally.

The 200-day moving average is rising steadily and currently sits well below the price near the $1.80 mark, acting as dynamic support for now.

The RSI is also drifting near the 40–45 zone, suggesting weakening momentum without being fully oversold. If the buyers fail to defend the $2, the price may quickly slide toward the next demand around $1.50. On the other hand, to shift sentiment, XRP needs to reclaim $2.5 and close firmly above it.

The BTC Paired Chart

The XRP/BTC pair has been consolidating after a strong rally in November last year, with the price currently trading around 2,500 SAT. The pair has faced resistance near 3,000 SAT, which has led to the recent pullback.

The 200-day moving average at approximately 2,000 SAT remains intact, indicating that, similar to the USDT pair, the broader uptrend is still in play. Yet, the RSI is trending lower, suggesting a potential weakening of momentum, but as long as XRP holds above 2,000 SAT, a bullish continuation above the 3,000 SAT area could be expected.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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