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Bitcoin Rebound Backed by On-Chain Strength Despite Trade War Uncertainties

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Bitcoin experienced a notable rebound this week, briefly touching $86,000. This was a welcome recovery after dipping to a low of approximately $75,000 on April 8th. According to Santiment’s latest insight, this surge appears to be fueled by a mix of improving blockchain fundamentals and a temporary easing of global tariff concerns.

However, market analysts note that retail investors remain less concerned with the macro reasoning behind these price moves and are more focused on momentum. As such, the recent breakout has visibly boosted trader confidence, marking the most bullish sentiment since trade tensions reignited at the start of April.

Bullish On-Chain Metrics

In the wake of BTC’s rally, prominent crypto advocates such as Michael Saylor have gained renewed attention. His firm, Strategy (MSTR), added an additional $285 million worth of Bitcoin to its holdings, which signaled continued long-term conviction. Broader tech markets also reflected this optimism, with companies like Apple rising 2.37% on Monday, following announcements of temporary tariff exemptions.

Despite the upward trend, experts caution against reading too much into the short-term relief. President Trump reiterated that no sector or country will be exempt from the upcoming trade measures, reaffirming that national security tariffs – particularly those impacting semiconductors and the electronics supply chain – remain on the table.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that these tariffs are still expected to roll out within the next two months, which means ongoing uncertainty that could dampen market momentum in the near future.

Despite lingering market volatility, Santiment said that the recent price resilience is supported by several on-chain metrics.

One of the standout indicators is Network Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL), which is now consistently trending upward. Historically, sustained rallies in Bitcoin often require this metric to rise, signaling that participants are realizing profits in a healthy, non-panic-driven way—the increase in NRPL points to renewed confidence among long-term holders and traders alike.

Another critical signal is the ongoing decline in supply on exchanges. This suggests that fewer traders are preparing to sell and are choosing to move their BTC into cold storage or hold for the long term. Lower exchange balances often indicate reduced short-term selling pressure, which is typically a bullish sign.

Additionally, key stakeholder accumulation continues to intensify. Wallets holding 10 or more BTC have reached an all-time high, now collectively holding 16.36 million BTC. This rise suggests that larger holders – often viewed as more strategic or institutional players – are accumulating during the volatility.

Meanwhile, retail investors appear to be offloading, reflecting a familiar pattern of smaller holders capitulating while whales accumulate.

Blockchain’s Value Beyond Bitcoin

As tariff debates escalate, the crypto ecosystem is offering a unique solution to supply chain transparency. Blockchain technology is being used to track goods’ origins and movements more accurately than traditional systems, helping customs officials detect tariff circumvention.

Projects like Truebit are working with government vendors to integrate blockchain into trade compliance systems, broadening crypto’s utility. Globally, tensions persist – China halted rare-earth exports, and the EU paused retaliatory tariffs. President Trump plans a tariff review, while President Xi strengthens Southeast Asian ties.

Public sentiment remains sour. A CBS News poll from April 13th revealed that 59% of Americans believe the economy is worsening, and Trump’s economic approval ratings have declined. While crypto investors are marginally more hopeful, the sector remains closely tied to traditional markets, and Santiment believes that any signs of decoupling are likely to be short-lived.

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800,000,000 DOGE Bought in 2 Days: What Are Dogecoin Whales Preparing For?

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TL;DR

  • Dogecoin whales went on a massive accumulation spree in the past two days, scooping up over 800,000,000 tokens.
  • The question now arises whether they are preparing for a major rally, perhaps driven by encouraging news on the DOGE ETF front.

Dogecoin whales are a crucial part of the OG meme coin’s ecosystem, and they tend to make big moves during bull and bear markets. For instance, they went all in on the asset after the US elections, which helped it skyrocket from $0.15 to $0.5 within a couple of months.

However, they showed a mixed behavior in the next few months, including some substantial sell-offs. Naturally, DOGE’s price reacted, and it tumbled from the aforementioned peak to a low of $0.13 earlier this week.

After the most recent sales, these large market participants have turned the tables once again, beginning to accumulate substantial portions of the largest meme coin.

In the past 48 hours alone, they have purchased a whopping 800,000,000 coins. In terms of USD value, this stash equals almost $130 million, given DOGE’s current price of $0.16.

X users speculated that whales might be preparing for a further rally propelled by a potential approval of a Dogecoin ETF in the States. The landscape around such products has heated up lately, with numerous companies filing to launch exchange-traded funds tracking DOGE’s performance.

Polymarket shows a 62% chance of such financial vehicles getting approved in the States by the end of the year, but the percentages drop to 22% when the deadline is set at July 31.

Crypto analysts continue to be bullish on DOGE, predicting a significant increase in the following weeks of up to 3x, which would push it to and beyond $0.5.

Meanwhile, one of Dogecoin’s developers recently warned users to stay away from scammers impersonating the project and promoting fake DOGE-related tokens.

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DeFiance Capital Founder Compares Altcoin Market to a ‘Lemon’s Market’

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As anticipation builds for a potential altcoin season, investor sentiment remains conflicted amid growing concerns over the quality and transparency of many newly listed tokens.

While some traders are positioning for an upside in smaller-cap digital assets, skepticism is mounting around the increasing number of questionable altcoins appearing on centralized exchanges.

These tokens, often backed by little more than hype or obscure teams, are raising red flags across the industry.

Altcoin Market Quality Declining

DeFiance Capital founder Arthur Cheong, for one, has raised serious concerns about the transparency of the liquid crypto market in a recent tweet. He highlighted what he sees as the growing problem of undisclosed collaboration between crypto projects and market makers, which may result in artificially sustained token prices.

In a recent tweet, Cheong warned that this lack of transparency makes it difficult to distinguish between organic market activity and price manipulation. He also criticized centralized exchanges (CEXs) for ignoring these practices, which he believes are eroding trust in the altcoin market. Cheong even said that the current landscape is similar to a “lemon’s market,” where investor confidence is rapidly declining.

Additionally, he pointed out that most token generation event (TGE) listings this year have seen prices collapse by 70-90% shortly after launch, which has left investors with massive losses. He called for major industry players to take action and warned that without reform, a significant portion of the market would remain uninvestable.

MANTRA’s OM Token Controversy

The founder’s comments come at a time as MANTRA’s OM token experienced a sharp decline, losing over 90% of its value in just a span of an hour on April 14th. The event reignited fears of insider trading and tokenomics manipulation.

The exchange highlighted major alterations to OM’s tokenomics since October 2024 and flagged unusual trading activity from related wallet addresses dating back to March.

The OM token crash adds to a growing list of failed or troubled crypto assets, a trend that has only intensified over the past decade. According to crypto wallet provider Tangem, from 2013 to 2025, over 12,000 cryptocurrencies have failed, while a total of 12,383 coins have become defunct. The main causes behind these failures range from low trading activity and project abandonment to scams and failed ICOs.

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Top Cardano (ADA) Price Predictions as of Late

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TL;DR

  • Analysts foresee a major rally, with targets as high as $3.50, citing strong weekly performance and other factors.
  • Despite bullish momentum, recent whale sell-offs and uncertain macro conditions could spark a new wave of downward pressure on ADA’s price.

Further Rise on the Way?

Cardano’s native token plummeted to a five-month low of almost $0.50 on April 7 when the entire cryptocurrency market collapsed after the trading war between the United States and the rest of the world escalated.

Similar to many other leading digital assets, though, ADA experienced a solid revival in the following days and currently trades at approximately $0.65.

ADA Price
ADA Price, Source: CoinGecko

Multiple market observers are optimistic that a much more substantial rally could be on the horizon. The X user Sssebi (who often touches upon ADA’s price dynamics) noted the asset’s positive performance in the past week, envisioning a 25% pump in the short term based on potential developments on the global trade front:

“Let’s see what tariff news we get this week, I have a feeling it’s going to be positive and ADA gets to rally to $0.80.”

For his part, Dan Gambardello told his almost 300,000 followers on X that Cardano’s cryptocurrency could explode beyond $3.50 if it matches XRP’s market capitalization, which currently stands at over $125 billion.

“That’s just the starting line for XRP this cycle. It should be for ADA, too,” he predicted.

Strategic partnerships or other key developments may also act as price catalysts for the token. Not long ago, some crypto community members speculated that Cardano and Ripple may soon shake hands on a mutual collaboration. The rumors followed a video on X that Ripple uploaded and started with Cardano’s logo.

The possible launch of a spot ADA ETF in the US could ignite a rally, too. The leading digital asset manager Grayscale officially filed for a Cardano exchange-traded fund with the New York Stock Exchange in February, while the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) acknowledged the application shortly after.

The product will allow investors to gain exposure to ADA without holding it directly. This might increase interest in the cryptocurrency, attract an additional number of people into the ecosystem, and positively impact the price of the underlying token. Polymarket estimates there’s a 47% possibility the investment vehicle will go live before the end of 2025. 

How About a New Correction?

Contrary to the bullish predictions, the recent whales’ activity signals that ADA might experience another pullback soon. The renowned analyst Ali Martinez revealed that large investors (those who own between one million and ten million coins) have dumped more than 100 million tokens in the last week.

Such moves increase the circulating supply of ADA and could be followed by a price retreat if demand doesn’t react accordingly. Furthermore, the whales’ actions could trigger fear and panic among smaller players, which might lead to a chain reaction of selling.

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