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Performance of Hard Assets Bitcoin and Gold ‘Remains Remarkable:’ Glassnode

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The macroeconomic environment remains uncertain as global trade relations realign, reported onchain analytics firm Glassnode on April 16.

However, it added that “the performance of hard assets remains remarkable,” citing gold’s all-time high and Bitcoin holding above $80,000 despite the headwinds.

“One could consider this a fascinating signal as the foundations of the financial system enter a period of transition and change,” the analysts noted.

Gold at ATH

Volatile US Treasury yields swinging from 3.7% to 4.5% have created major turbulence in financial markets, affecting both bonds and equities. The MOVE and VIX indexes reflect this high volatility.

The former measures expected volatility in the US bond market, while the latter measures expected volatility in the US stock market. Both reflect market stress; when they spike, investors are nervous.

Bitcoin has seen its largest drawdown of this cycle at around 32%, but this remains milder than in past cycles, indicating stronger investor confidence and demand resilience, it noted.

Glassnode reported that the median drawdown for the current cycle is “considerably shallower” than all previous cases. Additionally, corrections since 2023 have been shallower and more controlled in nature, “suggesting a more resilient demand profile, and that many Bitcoin investors are more willing to hodl through market turmoil.”

It noted that currently, profit and loss-taking activities are “relatively balanced,” which results in a relatively neutral rate of capital inflow, which could lead to extended consolidation.

Meanwhile, gold prices hit an all-time high of $3,354 per ounce on April 16, having gained a whopping 26% since the beginning of this year as investors flee to safe-haven assets.

“As the world adjusts to changing trade relationships, Gold and Bitcoin are increasingly entering the centre stage as global neutral reserve assets.”

Bitcoin Price Outlook

Bitcoin hit an intraday high of $85,300 on Wednesday but has fallen back since to trade at around $84,340 during the Thursday morning Asian session.

The asset has been very tightly range-bound at this price level for the past five days and trading within a wider channel since the beginning of March.

The three-month downtrend is still intact, but it is shallowing out, which could lead to a longer period of consolidation before any breakout.

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Cryptocurrency

TRUMP Soars 12% Daily, Bitcoin Price Consolidation Continues (Weekend Watch)

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Bitcoin’s rather boring price actions continued in the past 24 hours, but the asset has notched some minor gains and stands above $85,000.

Solana has jumped the most from the larger-cap alts and now trades close to $140, while ETH continues to struggle with reclaiming $1,600.

BTC Above $85K

It was a relatively quiet week for the primary cryptocurrency, especially when compared to the previous one. Back then, the asset plunged by $12,000 to under $75,000 for the first time in five months, only to regain a big portion of that by Thursday and Friday.

The weekend was sluggish, but the bitcoin bulls had minor control. They drove the asset from under $83,000 to $85,000 by Sunday evening. Moreover, BTC jumped to $86,000 on Monday but was stopped there and dropped to $83,000.

Another leg up followed on Wednesday when BTC peaked at a multi-week high of $86,500. However, it faced another rejection there and lost over three grand. More volatility ensued after Jerome Powell’s latest public appearance, in which he warned against the potential impact of Trump’s trade war on the US economy. BTC fell by a few grand but recovered the losses in the following days and now sits above $85,000.

Its market cap has slipped to $1.690 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts stands tall at 61%.

BTCUSD. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD. Source: TradingView

TRUMP Rises

Most larger-cap alts have produced minor gains over the past day. Under or around 1% increases are evident from ETH, XRP, DOGE, BNB, and ADA. SOL has risen the most from this cohort of assets by 3.7% and now trades at $140.

The biggest gains on a daily scale come from Official Trump. The meme coin launched by the US President and his team is up by almost 12% and now trades above $8.5. TAO, IMX, FLR, and HYPE follow suit, with price increases of up to 8%.

The total crypto market cap has remained at essentially the same place as yesterday, at $2.780 trillion.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: Coin360
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: Coin360
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Cryptocurrency

Peter Schiff: Bitcoin a ‘Fraud,’ Strategy Will Probably Go ‘Bankrupt’

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The foreign equities and gold bug investor with over a billion dollars in assets under management took a big swipe at Bitcoin and Michael Saylor’s BTC-accumulating finance company, formerly named MicroStrategy.

He said Strategy will go bankrupt over Bitcoin. But if this is reverse psychology, it must be working on Saylor. His company still hasn’t stopped racing other firms for more BTC in whale-sized bites.

Peter Schiff Pulls No Punches on BTC in X Spaces Gag

To start off the program, Schiff said Bitcoin’s promoters sold it as a kind of digital gold, but it hasn’t performed like the precious metal at all, so the “marketing” was a “fraud.”

“The idea that it’s digital gold has been destroyed because it trades nothing like gold. It’s just some kind of risk asset.”

But, Bitcoin’s promoters did not say it would perform as an investment with ROIs like gold. They said it is similar in its economic properties to the metal because of its limited supply and the difficulty and cost of securing it.

While it is true that Bitcoin’s price lately has not traded like gold, that’s because over timescales very relevant to individual investors it has performed fantastically better than the yellow metal.

Bitcoin vs. Gold ROIs 2009-10 to Present

Some fraud that would be to explain to a judge:

Sorry, we told the litigant that the product was like an instrument that delivered 230% ROI in 16 years since 2009, and it only delivered 2.82 billion percent since 2010.

On the X podcast, Schiff asked:

“What purpose does Bitcoin serve? We got plenty of risk assets out there. It’s a super risk asset that’s going to go up faster than other risk assets. Based on what?”

He added, “At least a tech stock- there’s the story there of future earnings that could materialize, you’re buying a business that could earn money.”

Bitcoin provides a banking service, which is traditionally a very profitable, high-growth business because everyone needs it every day in a market economy.

Moreover, Bitcoin does so in a way that is simple and fundamentally useful. It is proven to work reliably, fairly, transparently, and easily for anyone to use.

Bitcoin’s price was up 36% over the trailing 12 months in mid-April.

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Is Bitcoin’s Bull Market Just Getting Started? This Crucial Metric Says So (Details)

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TL;DR

  • Although bitcoin’s price tumbled by over 20% since its January all-time high and is currently nowhere near it, a crucial metric shows that the actual cycle peak is not here yet.
  • In terms of entry prices, though, one analyst cautioned that the current levels might not be optimal.

No Peak Yet?

After hitting an all-time high on January 20 this year at over $109,000, bitcoin’s price started to lose value gradually until the end of the month and then nosedived following the global economic uncertainty prompted by US President Trump’s controversial approach.

The culmination came last week when BTC tumbled below $75,000 for the first time in five months. This meant that the asset had lost nearly $35,000 in less than three months.

This split the community into those who believe the bull market has come to a screeching halt and those who rely on history to be more optimistic, suggesting that such substantial corrections have occurred during all previous cycles. But there are only that—corrections, and BTC will persevere.

Ali Martinez, a crypto analyst with over 135,000 followers on X, brought another key metric that could support the latter. It still relies on historical performance, but it’s not focused on the technical aspects. Instead, it measures the retail activity as BTC tends to peak after a massive influx of such investors.

So far, there hasn’t been a big retail wave. This is evident from the lack of Google searches as well as the missing “retail activity through trading frequency surge.”

Martinez noted that the current cycle resembles the 2021 run when BTC peaked in April, only to break that high at the end of the year.

Don’t Rush to Buy

Although history suggests there might be more gains on the horizon for BTC, Martinez published another chart that suggests investors should maybe be more patient before allocating funds to the largest digital asset.

This is because of the Bitcoin Exchange inflow volume, a metric used to “spot strong entry points.”

This essentially confirms a previous report by Glassnode, which read that the BTC market is now in a “wait-and-see” phase.

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