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Cryptocurrency

Mounting Evidence of Ethereum’s Struggles: Volatility, ETF Losses, Weak Demand

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Ether’s price has been struggling to break above the $2,750 resistance level, despite rising by over 44% this month.

Now, several evidence point to the altcoin’s struggles throughout the 2023-25 cycle, which revealed both volatility and capital flow patterns that contrast sharply with prior cycles and competitor assets like Bitcoin and Solana.

Ethereum Faces Significant Headwinds

One of the most notable indicators is Ether’s realized volatility, which has compressed across cycles as the asset’s size grows, currently hovering around 80%, down from over 120% in earlier periods, according to Glassnode’s latest report.

Typically, Ether’s 3-month realized volatility rises during bull markets and falls during bearish trends. However, this cycle has defied that pattern. In fact, after reaching 60% at the mid-2024 peak of roughly $4,000, realized volatility surprisingly climbed above 90% even as the price declined toward $1,500. This atypical increase in volatility amid falling prices signals increased market uncertainty and instability.

Moreover, while the drawdown structure in this cycle generally aligns with the typical Ether bull market pattern – where corrections of 40% or more from local peaks are common – the key deviation lies in the absence of a fresh ATH price for the altcoin, unlike Bitcoin and Solana, both of which set new peaks in this cycle. This lack of a new high has been a disappointment for many investors who expected the world’s second-largest crypto asset to track more closely with its peers.

Additionally, Ether’s downside price movements have been unusually volatile, with multiple drawdowns exceeding 40% and the current 2025 drawdown peaking at an unusually severe 65.4%. While previous cycles have seen similar or worse drawdowns, they tended to occur later in the cycle. As such, this early, steep correction suggests structural weaknesses unique to this period.

In terms of capital inflows, the Realized Cap – a measure of the value of all Ether based on the price at which coins last moved – has increased by only 38% since the cycle low in January 2023, growing from $176 billion to $243 billion.

This pales in comparison to the massive growth during the 2021 cycle, which saw more than a 1,000% increase. The relatively muted capital inflow of approximately $67 billion during this cycle underlines weaker liquidity support and helps explain the crypto asset’s subdued price performance.

Supporting this narrative, trade activity on major centralized exchanges has mirrored these trends: spot volume, which peaked at $14.7 billion per day during the $4,000 price high in December 2024, plunged by roughly 80% to $2.9 billion per day. Though recent trading volumes have rebounded to $8.6 billion daily, spot volumes have yet to establish new cycle highs, as seen with previous cycles.

Average ETH ETF investor Substantially Underwater

The firm’s analysis further revealed that the average investor in the BlackRock and Fidelity Ethereum ETFs is currently facing an unrealized loss of approximately 21%. Net outflows from these ETFs have tended to accelerate whenever Ethereum’s spot price drops below the average cost basis, observed during important declines in August 2024 and again in January and March 2025.

Despite initial excitement, the ETFs accounted for only around 1.5% of spot market trade volume at launch, pointing to a lukewarm reception. While this rose to over 2.5% in November 2024, it has since reverted back to 1.5%.

While the current market conditions reveal mounting pressure for the crypto asset, certain market experts also predict that it could hit the $3,000 mark as early as June.

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Cryptocurrency

Ethereum Foundation Announces Layoffs and Restructuring to Boost Scalability and User Experience

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The Ethereum Foundation announced that it has fired some members of its research and development team.

This move is part of a larger restructuring plan designed to address key protocol design challenges.

Reorganization Efforts

According to a Monday blog post, the Foundation has rebranded its Protocol Research and Development division under a new, simplified name, “Protocol.”  The organization is also reorganizing its teams and introducing clear coordination structures focused on three main areas: scaling Ethereum’s base layer, expanding blob space, and improving user experience.

“This also means some members of PR&D won’t be continuing with the Ethereum Foundation. We hope these individuals continue on in the Ethereum ecosystem and encourage others building out their teams to seek them out,” the statement said.

The foundation did not name the people affected by the layoffs. However, it said these changes are needed to place it on a more “responsive and effective path.”

The restructured Protocol team will serve as a central hub for Ethereum’s core development efforts. The goal is to improve transparency around upgrade timelines, strengthen technical documentation, and support ongoing research.

The non-profit said leadership will play an important role in carrying out its plan, with roles being clearly defined to increase accountability and accelerate progress.

Tim Beiko and Ansgar Dietrichs will head efforts to scale Layer 1. Alex Stokes and Francesco D’Amato will be in charge of Layer 2 scaling, while Barnabé Monnot and Josh Rudolf will lead user experience improvements.

Dankrad Feist has also been appointed as strategic advisor across all three focus areas and will support the project leads in executing their responsibilities.

“We’re hopeful that this new structure will empower our internal teams to focus more clearly and drive key initiatives forward,” said Hsiao-Wei Weng, co-executive director at the Ethereum Foundation, in a post on X.

The announcement also emphasized the Ethereum community’s role. The foundation says it does not aim to replace external contributors but instead wants to uphold high working standards. In line with this, new governance forums are being introduced, and feedback channels are being enhanced to ensure more effective input.

Community Criticism

The reorganization comes in response to ongoing criticism over the foundation’s management and strategic direction. Some members of the Ethereum community have warned for over a year that unresolved technical issues such as scalability, transaction speeds, and developer engagement could pose risks to the network’s leadership in the space.

The non-profit has already made leadership changes to help address these concerns. In March, Hsiao-Wei Weng and Tomasz K. Stańczak were named co-executive directors. These appointments aimed to bring balance between operational and technical leadership.

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Here’s Why Market Flushouts and Whale Moves Could Set the Stage for Bitcoin’s Next Rally

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Bitcoin held firm above the $105,000 mark following a weekend dip, as rattled market participants assess whether the pullback signals a temporary breather.

Ongoing shifts in sentiment and trader positioning hint at a broader market recalibration quietly unfolding.

No Panic, No Euphoria

Bitcoin’s derivatives and spot markets are undergoing a structural recalibration. On Binance, long positions continue to be liquidated in significant waves, at times surpassing $40 million per hour, as seen in the Liquidation Delta metric cited by CryptoQuant.

These liquidations highlight heavy pressure on long positions, but notably, there is no corresponding surge in short liquidations. This indicates that while many leveraged long traders are being flushed out, there is little evidence of a counter-move or short squeeze.

Meanwhile, Binance funding rates remain largely neutral as it hovers around zero, which suggests a lack of extreme directional bias in the perpetual futures market. Traders are neither aggressively betting on upside nor downside, indicating caution rather than fear or greed.

“In simpler terms: the derivatives market is not signaling panic, nor euphoria, just cautious recalibration.”

Bitcoin Whales Quietly Accumulate

Whale behavior paints a more optimistic picture. Data from the Whale Screener shows that over $500 million in combined Bitcoin and Ethereum was withdrawn from spot exchanges on June 2nd. Most notably, crypto exchange Bitfinex recorded a single-day outflow of 20,000 BTC, worth over $1.3 billion at current prices. This represented the largest Bitcoin withdrawal from the exchange since August 2019.

Such a significant movement off exchanges often points to long-term holding intentions by large entities, which could ease immediate selling pressure in the market.

Together, these signals – neutral funding, liquidation of overleveraged longs, and strategic accumulation by large holders – depicts a market that is clearing excess leverage and preparing for a potential next leg upward.

Although short-term volatility remains, the broader trend suggests Bitcoin may be in the early stages of a new bullish phase driven by healthier market structure and long-term investor confidence.

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Coinbase Data Breach: 69,000 Users Affected by Indian Outsourcing Leak

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Coinbase is under heightened scrutiny following revelations that it may have known as early as January 2025 about a massive breach involving outsourced customer support agents, months before the crypto exchange publicly acknowledged the security lapse.

Sources familiar with the situation disclosed that the breach stemmed from an India-based employee at TaskUs, a US outsourcing firm long contracted by Coinbase.

The individual was reportedly caught covertly photographing her workstation and, along with an alleged accomplice, funneling sensitive customer information to cybercriminals in exchange for bribes. The incident triggered the termination of over 200 TaskUs employees in Indore, in what now appears to be a coordinated criminal infiltration of Coinbase’s support infrastructure.

Delayed Breach Disclosure

Although Coinbase later tied its $400 million loss to “support agents overseas,” the company waited until a May SEC filing, triggered by a ransom demand, to fully acknowledge the scope of the incident.

The breach was not limited to a single rogue actor. According to internal accounts, it was part of a broader campaign that also targeted other BPO firms servicing Coinbase.

The compromised data, which impacted more than 69,000 customers, was reportedly not sufficient to access Coinbase’s internal wallets but did let scammers convincingly impersonate Coinbase agents and socially engineer customers out of their crypto holdings.

While Coinbase says it has reimbursed affected users, questions linger over the company’s timeline and transparency.

TaskUs Accused of Negligence

A class-action lawsuit now accuses TaskUs of negligence, suggesting the BPO provider failed to enforce appropriate data safeguards. TaskUs, however, denied the charge.

Despite their assurances of strong training and security protocols, the incident raises deeper concerns about the vulnerabilities embedded in outsourcing sensitive customer interactions to low-wage, offshore workers. These workers, while cost-efficient, are often underpaid and undertrained. These conditions may have made them vulnerable to external coercion.

Coinbase insists it acted decisively upon discovering the fraud, and cut ties with implicated agents as well as revamping its security measures. Despite this, the timeline points to potential lapses in internal threat detection and risk governance, particularly given that Coinbase’s own filings revealed unauthorized access occurring in “previous months.”

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