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Ethereum Price Analysis: Is ETH Ready to Break Through the $4K Barrier?

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Ethereum continues to hold its recent breakout gains, trading around $3,730 after a powerful leg up from the $2,500 range. This rally has pushed ETH into a critical technical zone, while on-chain metrics offer insight into market sentiment. Despite the sharp move, we’re not seeing overwhelming signs of euphoria yet.

Technical Analysis

By ShayanMarkets

The Daily Chart

On the daily chart, ETH is consolidating just below the $4,000 level after breaking through key resistance at $3,300. The asset is firmly above both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are also starting to curl upward following a bullish crossover around the $2,500 mark, suggesting a strong uptrend structure.

The next major level of interest is the previous high at $4,100, while any downside correction could find support between $3,300 and $2,900.

Moreover, the RSI on the daily remains elevated, hovering around 78, which signals overbought conditions. That said, a sharp reversal hasn’t followed yet, implying that momentum remains intact for now. If the buyers can maintain pressure without a significant correction, ETH could build the base needed for continuation toward the previous highs of December 2024.

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4H chart, ETH is forming a descending triangle just beneath resistance, with a series of lower highs pressing into the $3,800 zone. The RSI has also bounced from the 50 level, currently sitting near 56, showing a mild recovery in momentum after the recent pullback. The structure suggests that a breakout above the descending trendline could trigger another wave higher.

If the pattern breaks to the downside, however, the immediate support to watch is the $3,500 range. A move below that would put the $3,200 zone back into play. For now, volatility is compressing, and a decisive breakout in either direction is likely in the coming sessions.

On-Chain Analysis

Ethereum Exchange Reserve

The Ethereum exchange reserve continues to decline, now sitting at a multi-year low of around 19.3 million ETH. This sustained downtrend reflects a broader shift in market behavior, where investors and institutions are increasingly moving their ETH off centralized exchanges, either into cold storage, staking platforms, or DeFi protocols. Historically, such a reduction in exchange-held supply often coincides with bullish price trends, as it signals reduced sell-side pressure and a stronger conviction among holders.

What’s notable is that this drawdown in reserves has continued even as ETH surged toward $3,800, indicating that holders aren’t rushing to take profits at current levels. Instead, this behavior reinforces the idea of long-term accumulation and reduced willingness to sell, especially during key breakout phases. As long as this reserve continues trending downward, it adds a strong underlying support to Ethereum’s macro bullish structure.

 

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Bitcoin Price Recovers $3K, SUI Rockets 10% to $4: Weekend Watch

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Bitcoin’s sudden nosedive on Thursday evening and most of Friday has finally stopped as the asset bounced off and recovered three grand from bottom to top.

The altcoins are also well in the green today, with ETH jumping back above $3,700 and SUI marking a notable double-digit surge.

BTC Reclaims $117K

The primary cryptocurrency was in a consolidation phase since July 14, when it hit a new all-time high of over $123,000. In the following ten days or so, it remained sideways around $118,000, with a few brief attempts for a breakout in each direction.

The buyers and sellers managed to maintain equilibrium for a while, but the bears took control on Thursday evening as Galaxy Digital began disposing of massive portions of BTC. In a matter of hours, bitcoin’s price tumbled from over $119,000 to a two-week low at $114,500.

After dumping by more than four grand, the bulls finally reemerged and didn’t allow a further breakdown. Just the opposite, BTC bounced off and jumped past $117,000, where it stands as of press time as well.

Crypto analysts believe this could be a pivotal moment if it manages to maintain above this level, as it could open the doors for fresh ATHs next week.

Alts in Green

The altcoins experienced substantial losses at the end of the business week but have reacted well today, with notable gains. Ethereum is above $3,700 once again after a 3.5% daily jump. XRP defended the $3 resistance and is now at $3.15.

Solana, HYPE, XLM, LINK, and BCH have charted even more impressive gains, while SUI and HBAR are up by double-digits. The former has tapped $4, while the latter is above $0.26.

The top performers from the largest 100 alts include ENA (17%), SPX (14%), and SKY (13%). The total crypto market cap has gained roughly $70 billion since yesterday’s bottom and is up to $3.940 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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Whales Bought the XRP Dip While DOGE Hits Key Accumulation Zone: Details

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TL;DR

  • Ripple’s native token was among the poorest performers during the Thursday and Friday market crash, dropping below $3 after the recent all-time high.
  • This has allowed large investors to buy the dip, while Dogecoin’s surge today has pushed it back to a key accumulation zone.

Recall that the third-largest cryptocurrency posted a new all-time high at the end of last week when it finally broke above the 2018 peak of $3.4 and surged beyond $3.6. However, it started to retrace in the following days, which culminated on Friday with a slip below $3.

This came amid worrying moves by Upbit, longs getting crushed on Binance, and a reported sell-off of $140 million worth of XRP from one of Ripple’s co-founders.

Nevertheless, the cross-border payments token managed to remain above the crucial $3 resistance and has recovered some ground to $3.17 as of press time. This dip didn’t go unnoticed by large investors, as they have accumulated over 130 million tokens in just 24 hours. From a USD perspective, this stash is worth roughly $400 million.

Meanwhile, the crowd became a lot less greedy in regard to XRP (and BTC), which could be considered a bullish signal.

When it comes to DOGE, the popular analyst Ali Martinez said it has returned in a “range that has historically served as a buying zone, triggering major bull runs.”

He further noted that DOGE has to reclaim the $0.25 resistance, which would be a “huge win.” If it does, then the path toward $0.36 will be cleared with “almost zero resistance.”

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Is This the Ultimate Bullish Signal for BTC and XRP?

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The cryptocurrency market experienced some turbulence at the end of the business week, with multiple assets dropping by up to 10% from their local peaks.

BTC and XRP are no exception. Both dropped hard, driven to an extent by FUD from large sell-offs. Now, though, Santiment has outlined a big bullish sign.

BTC, XRP to Reverse Trajectories?

Remember Warren Buffett’s wisdom about investing – buy when others are fearful and sell when they are greedy? This narrative has been particularly impactful in the cryptocurrency market, where greed and fear often dominate investors’ thoughts.

Santiment has also been a massive proponent of the thesis, and the company’s latest post highlights the recent changes in investors’ behavior. According to the overall social dominance, it determined that BTC and XRP have dropped out of the greed zone, even though both registered new all-time highs just last week and are currently trading close below them.

This is mostly because BTC dumped from over $123,000 to under $115,000, while XRP slipped from $3.65 to just below $3. However, Santiment said markets tend to move in the opposite direction of what the crowd expects, which “actually makes BTC and XRP buy-low candidates.”

The same theory cannot be applied to ETH at the moment, though. The second-largest digital asset has soared by triple-digits from its April lows, and retail investors continue to be greedy, which might not be such a good sign for it.

Galaxy Completes Sell-Off

Perhaps driven by substantial sell-offs initiated by Galaxy Digital for a third party, BTC’s price slumped hard yesterday to a two-week low. However, Mike Novograz’s company announced late on Friday that it had successfully executed “one of the largest national bitcoin transactions in the history of crypto on behalf of a client.”

“Galaxy completed the sale of more than 80,000 bitcoin—valued at over $9 billion based on current market prices—for a Satoshi-era investor, representing one of the earliest and most significant exits from the digital asset market.”

With such a massive sell-off out of the picture and retail’s lack of greed for BTC, the asset could be primed for another leg up to and beyond its all-time high.

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