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Current natural gas market news: experts have assessed the consequences of increasing Russian gas supplies to China for Europe

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natural gas market news

All current natural gas market news today is centered around the Russian Federation. Russia is cutting gas supplies to Europe and at the same time increasing them to China. In Brussels, at least internally, they do not mind that Beijing is buying as much natural gas as possible from Moscow. The consulting firm Accenture Plc. says this is good for united Europe because it helps it fight the energy crisis. 

Oil and gas market news: pipeline gas restrains Chinese demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG)

The reason is that Russian natural gas from pipes is holding back demand in China for liquefied natural gas (LNG), which Europeans are now looking for across the world to replace Russian gas, Bloomberg says, citing Accenture director Ohan Kose. Even though the Power of Siberia pipeline exports pipe gas from Russia to China is still a fraction of what Moscow was supplying to Europe until February 24, due to its low price, it is successfully replacing expensive LNG in the Chinese market. Also, new gas pipelines are being built from Russia to China.

“It’s important that Russian gas goes to China,” Kose said last week, “because it reduces China’s demand for LNG and its price.

If you follow global oil and gas market news, you know that China also imports gas through pipelines from Central Asia. Beijing is now trying to buy as much cheap pipeline gas as possible and as little expensive liquefied gas as possible. Because of the pandemic and coronavirus lockdowns and the resulting slowdown of the Chinese economy, Beijing has not yet even entered the spot gas market this year, where, incidentally, it was the main player last year. The appetite for LNG in China, according to forecasts by experts, may remain low not only in August, but also in September.

Current european natural gas market news

At the moment Europe is closely watching the epidemiological situation in the Celestial Empire and the way China is coming out of the blackouts and starts to restore its economy. Economists at Goldman Sachs explained in a research note last week that the less LNG China buys, the more Europe gets. 

Accenture believes that if Russia stopped supplying gas to Europe completely, the price of gas could increase fivefold! Of course, this situation will last until spring. Kose is certain that the average price of gas next year will be lower than this year.

Gas consumption and demand is also being held back by the risk of a global economy sliding into recession. According to Accenture, the risk of a global recession would cut gas demand in the EU by 16% next year. Brussels is now persistently urging EU members to reduce gas consumption by 15% this winter. French energy company Engie SA, for example, reports that French residents have already begun to vigorously conserve electricity and reduce their gas consumption.

“The combination of lower demand in Europe and Asia and the fact that Russian gas has found new markets will lower gas prices in the medium term,” Kose forecasts. This is a positive for gas energy news. If the coming winter is harsher than the previous ones, high gas prices will certainly last longer, but they should decrease in the long run.

Commodities

Copper prices dip over 1% following Federal Reserve’s fewer rate cuts signal

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Investing.com — Copper prices are down more than 1% after the Federal Reserve hinted at fewer rate cuts for the upcoming year.

The shift to a more hawkish stance by the Fed has resulted in an increase in bond yields, a surge in the strength of the dollar to 25-month highs, and a spike in volatility. This shift has also led to a sharp decline in key commodity currencies.

Market participants have expressed concern that there isn’t much on the annual calendar to halt this downward trend. The three-month London Metal Exchange (LME) contract has registered a 1.5% decrease, trading at $8,912 a ton.

In addition to the Federal Reserve’s stance, looming U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods and uncertainties surrounding China’s domestic demand outlook continue to pressure the market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Commodities

Gold prices rebound from Fed-driven rout, hawkish comments cloud outlook

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Investing.com– Gold prices rebounded from a one-month low on Thursday as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected, although the central bank’s hawkish stance on future rate cuts clouded the outlook for bullion.

Gold prices had dropped more than 2% overnight after the Fed’s policy meeting indicated fewer rate cuts in 2025, as sticky inflation remained a major concern.

 jumped as much as 1.3% to $2,618.11, while  expiring in February dropped 1.2% to $2,620.79 an ounce by 22:51 ET (03:51 GMT). 

Spot gold rebounds, but outlook dim amid slower rate cuts

The Fed reduced by 25 basis points but signaled it will adopt a slower pace for future cuts.

Lower interest rates bode well for gold prices as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases, making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds.

However, gold futures fell sharply as the rates are expected to remain higher for a longer period after Wednesday’s cut. Markets have ruled out chances of a cut in January and now expect just two more cuts in 2025, against their earlier expectations of four.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said further reductions depend on progress in curbing persistent inflation, reflecting policymakers’ adjustments to potential economic shifts under the incoming Donald Trump administration.

The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance was aimed at curbing inflation, but it also signals confidence in the resilience of the U.S. economy. This risk-on sentiment can reduce the demand for safe-haven assets, further dampening bullion’s prospects. 

With fewer cuts expected in 2025, the is expected to strengthen further. The greenback surged to an over two-year high on Wednesday.

Additionally, the maintained its interest rates on Thursday, as policymakers remained cautious over Japan’s economic outlook and the path of inflation.

Among other precious metals,  rose 0.7% to $928.90 an ounce, while slumped 2.7% to $29.922 an ounce.

Copper falls on as dollar hits 2-yr high

Among industrial metals, copper prices extended declines on Thursday after the Fed’s hawkish stance bolstered the dollar. The red metal took limited support from reports of more fiscal spending in top importer China over the coming year.

The  rose 0.1% in Asian trade on Thursday and was at an over two-year high after the Fed meeting.

Benchmark  on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.4% to $8,921.50 a ton, while one-month  were largely unchanged at $4.089 a pound.

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Commodities

Oil slips on demand concerns after Fed signals slower rate cuts

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By Colleen Howe, Trixie Yap and Anna Hirtenstein

(Reuters) -Oil prices fell on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled it would slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, which could hurt economic growth, reduce fuel demand and strengthen the dollar.

futures declined by 29 cents to $73.10 a barrel by 1249 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude lost 16 cents to $70.42.

The declines gave back Wednesday’s gains on a drop in stocks and the Fed’s expected rate cut of 25 basis points.

Prices weakened after U.S. central bankers issued projections pointing to two quarter-point cuts in 2025 on concern over rising inflation. That was half a point less than they had flagged in September.

“The bottom line for oil is the longer the Fed stays on pause, the stronger the U.S. dollar. This tends to generate headwinds for commodities like oil,” said Harry Tchilinguirian at Onyx Capital Group.

A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive while higher interest rates weigh on economic growth, potentially reducing demand for oil.

Chinese refining giant Sinopec (OTC:), meanwhile, expects China’s oil consumption to peak by 2027, it said on Thursday.

“The demand-supply balance going into 2025 continues to look unfavourable and predictions of more than 1.0 million bpd demand growth in 2025 look stretched in our opinion. Even if OPEC+ continues to withhold production, the market may still be in surplus,” said Suvro Sarkar, DBS Bank energy sector team leader.

Though demand in the first half of December rose year on year, volumes remained lower than expected by some analysts.

JP Morgan analysts said that global oil demand growth for December so far was 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) less than it had expected, adding that global demand this year has risen by 200,000 bpd less than it had forecast in November 2023.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford//File Photo

Official data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed U.S. crude stocks fell by 934,000 barrels in the week to Dec. 13. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a drawdown of 1.6 million barrels. [EIA/S]

While the decline was less than expected, the market found support from last week’s rise in U.S. crude exports by 1.8 million bpd to 4.89 million bpd.

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