Commodities
Dow Jones and S&P 500 are down 0.3-0.5%. Nasdaq is on the weak side
Published
3 weeks agoon
By
letizo News
The U.S. stock indexes Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 ended Thursday trading lower but well above intraday lows, while the Nasdaq Composite came out with a small plus.
Traders were assessing the prospects of the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising the benchmark interest rate at its July meeting, as well as U.S. bank reports for the past quarter.
U.S. Labor Department data published on Wednesday, which showed an increase in inflation in the country to a maximum of nearly 41 years, 9.1%, led investors to revise their forecasts about the pace of the Fed’s rate hike. At first, the rate futures quotes showed that traders were 85% confident in the likelihood of the U.S. Central Bank rate hike by 100 basis points (bps) in July.
However, Fed Board of Governors member Christopher Waller said that the market may be “getting a little ahead of itself” by expecting a 100bp rate hike. He noted that he still favors a 75-bp rate hike in July, but acknowledged that economic data to be released shortly could change his mind in favor of a sharper hike.
“If this data turns out to be substantially stronger than expected, I might lean toward a larger rate hike in July because it would mean that demand in the economy is not weakening fast enough to contain inflation,” he said.
Following Waller’s statements, the futures market’s estimate of the chances of a rate hike of 100 bps in July dropped to 42%; Market Watch notes. On Friday, the University of Michigan will release the preliminary value of its consumer confidence index for July. The index fell to a record low of 50 points in June.
The University of Michigan data also includes trends in Americans’ inflation expectations, which last month stood at 5.3 percent for the medium term (next year) and 3.1 percent for the long term (five years). “We’re waiting on this data to see if inflation expectations in the U.S. have strengthened,” notes LPL Financial analyst Quincy Crosby. – If they rise, the Fed will probably discuss a 100-bp rate hike. Or the central bank will have to hike the rate at a 75-bp pace longer than it anticipated.”
Data released Thursday showed an acceleration in U.S. producer price growth in June to 11.3 percent annualized from 10.9 percent a month earlier. The rate of increase in producer prices reached a record 11.6% in March of this year. Negative for the market Thursday were weak financial reports from banks JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley for the past quarter.
“High inflation, weakening consumer confidence, uncertainty about how high rates will be raised and unprecedented quantitative tightening and its impact on global liquidity are very likely to have a negative impact on the global economy,” said JPMorgan Chief Executive James Dimon. – We’re prepared for whatever happens.”
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average index fell 142.62 points (0.46%) to 30630.17 points in trading Thursday.
- Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 11.4 points (0.3%) to 3,790.38 points.
- The Nasdaq Composite rose 3.6 points (0.03%) to 11251.19 points.
The decline in net income at JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank, by assets, exceeded analysts’ forecasts. In addition, the financial institution said it was suspending its share buybacks. Morgan Stanley also reported weaker-than-expected quarterly adjusted earnings and revenue. JPMorgan’s shares fell 3.5% in trading on Thursday, while Morgan Stanley’s fell 0.4%.
Conagra Brands, a prepared foods maker, fell 7.3 percent. The company nearly halved its net income in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022, and its revenue was worse than market forecasts.
Shares of Cisco Systems Inc. fell 0.9 percent after experts at JPMorgan cut recommendations for the securities of the U.S. network equipment maker to “neutral” from “above market. The bank also lowered its outlook on Cisco shares to $51 from $62.
The value of Tesla Inc. securities rose by 0.5%. The day before, it became known that Andrei Karpaty, director of artificial intelligence and head of the development group for autopilot in cars, Tesla, left the company.
Citigroup Inc. and Wells Fargo & Co. will publish their results for the past quarter on Friday. The consensus forecast by analysts surveyed by FactSet suggests that S&P 500 index companies’ overall earnings rose an average of 4.3% in the past quarter, the slowest pace since late 2020.
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Commodities
Copper price chart fluctuates at previous closing levels
Published
4 hours agoon
August 8, 2022By
letizo News
Copper prices chart are fluctuating slightly near the level of the previous close as investors estimate a lot of factors, trading data shows.
September futures on copper on the Comex exchange are getting cheaper by a symbolic 0.01%, to $ 3.5515 a pound.
On the London Metal Exchange (LME) in previous trading, the cost of a ton of copper with delivery in three months increased by 1.85% to $7,870.5; aluminum — by 0.54%, to $2,416. Zinc — by 1.1%, to $3,488.5.
Quotes in the morning do not show any pronounced dynamics for a lot of reasons. For example, the price of copper is affected by the tense situation between the U.S. and China, the largest consumer of this type of industrial metal.
Also, the price dynamics are influenced by macro statistics — exports from China in July jumped by 18% year-on-year, while the forecast growth was only 15%, which, in turn, cut some concerns about the demand for metals in its largest market.
At the same time, investors continue to fear a recessionary economy. Expectations of a further increase in the discount rate by the U.S. Federal Reserve System after the release of data from the labor market in the country have increased fears.
Commodities
Natural gas price in Europe per 1,000 m3 hits $2,100 on the exchange
Published
4 hours agoon
August 8, 2022By
letizo News
Natural gas price Europe per 1,000m3: September gas futures contracts (benchmark TTF) were trading at $2,100 per 1,000m3 on Monday, gaining some 1.6% against Friday’s settlement price in the first hour of trading, London’s ICE exchange data showed.
So far, the current price minimum is $2,056.7 (-0.5% compared to Friday’s settlement price of $2,066.5). The maximum is $2,100 per 1,000m3 (+1.6%).
Last year the European market faced a gas collapse. Experts attributed the collapse to limited supply from major suppliers, low occupancy rates of underground gas storage facilities in Europe, and high demand for liquefied natural gas in Asia.
Right now, Europe continues to be under pressure due to continued supply strains from Russia. Russian gas exports have fallen since the outbreak of the war in Ukraine: shipments via Nord Stream and the Ukrainian gas transportation system have dropped significantly, and the Yamal-Europe pipeline has stopped altogether.
The average monthly settlement price of the nearest gas futures on the ICE increased sharply, by almost 50%, from $1,180 per 1,000m3 in June to about $1,805 in July, while in the middle of summer last year it did not exceed $500. In the last days of July gas quotations reached $2,400 per 1,000m3 for the first time in four months. Such steadily high prices have not been seen in the entire history of European gas hubs since 1996.
Commodities
Price of gold falls on expectations of further US Federal Reserve rate hike
Published
12 hours agoon
August 8, 2022By
letizo News
Price of gold falls: the price of the precious metal on Monday morning slightly decreased on the prospects of further interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve, according to trading data.
The December gold futures price on the New York Comex Exchange is down $2.75, or 0.15%, to $1,788.7 a troy ounce. September silver futures went up 0.24% to $19.89 an ounce.
The precious metals market showed a negative trend on Monday morning, fueled by expectations of further interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve after the release of the country’s labor market data.
Thus, the unemployment rate in July fell to 3.5% from the June level of 3.6%, while the number of the employed in non-farm industries increased by 528,000. Analysts had expected the figure to remain at June’s level. The increase in nonfarm payrolls was forecast at 250,000.
“Support from geopolitical tensions “was countered by the resilience of the U.S. dollar after the release of a credible U.S. jobs report and hawkish comments from Fed officials,” Ravindra Rao, vice president of commodities at Kotak Securities, told Bloomberg news agency.
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