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Commodities

Exclusive-Brent oil traders use little known rule to reroute US cargoes

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By Florence Tan, Alex Lawler and Robert Harvey

LONDON (Reuters) – Big energy merchants trading oil cargoes that form the basis of the Brent benchmark have used a little known rule to reroute U.S. shipments from Europe, in a practice that raises doubts over whether reforms to the crude price marker have succeeded.

Brent, the most significant benchmark across commodity markets, is used to price more than 60% of globally traded crude and underpins oil futures. Its value affects fuel prices paid by consumers and businesses.

The 2023 addition of to the benchmark had the potential to limit the scope for trading plays that can distort Brent prices, analysts said at the time. But the reroutings have renewed concern in the market about how well the benchmark reflects supply and demand.

Platts, a unit of S&P Global Commodity Insights, last year allowed U.S. WTI Midland crude delivered to Europe to be included in its Brent price assessment, called dated Brent. This was to boost liquidity as supplies from the mature North Sea Brent and other oilfields have dwindled.

But in recent months, some WTI cargoes that traded for delivery to Europe via the Platts system, known as the window, never arrived, at least five trading sources said, declining to be named because they were not authorised to speak publicly. The later rerouting has not been previously reported.

Trading companies that deal in the U.S. oil used a clause in the Platts methodology for all commodities, called bookout, to change destinations from Europe to Asia or to keep oil in the United States. The methodology in which bookouts are noted is publicly available on Platts’ website.

Although allowed under Platts’ rules, the sale and later rerouting of the cargoes can impact prices including that of dated Brent, traders and industry analysts said, because it creates a perception demand in Europe is stronger than it is.

Reuters has not, however, been able to establish any conclusive link between the cargo trading activity and prices over the period.

“The issue is traders watch the delivered trades and count barrels arriving to Europe. Those barrels set dated Brent,” said Adi Imsirovic, a trader, who has published books and papers on Brent and runs consultancy Surrey Clean Energy.

“If you then book out those trades, the barrels – which you think there were plenty of, and which have already set the dated price – suddenly disappear.”

Platts said it had not received any complaints about the practice and it was aware “a small minority of cargoes” changed their sales basis from a delivered cost, insurance and freight (CIF) basis to free on board (FOB), which can go anywhere.

“Such contract amendments are typical in many markets,” Joel Hanley of S&P Global Commodity Insights said.

Platts said more market participants have joined its dated Brent process since WTI was added – in a vote of confidence in the reforms.

NO PLAN TO DISCLOSE

Trading firms Trafigura, Gunvor and Vitol are among those that have used bookouts to change the destinations of WTI cargoes traded into dated Brent, the trade sources said.

A Trafigura spokesperson said: “As set out in the Platts methodology and is common across industry participants, we seek to agree requests from our buyers for additional discharge options where market forces dictate re-direction of cargoes.”

Gunvor and Vitol declined to comment.

Platts assesses dated Brent’s price based on the cheapest of five North Sea crudes – Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk and Troll – and WTI Midland on the day.

Thomson Reuters (NYSE:) competes with Platts in the provision of news and price assessments about the oil market.

Imsirovic said Platts should be informed if physical Brent trades are booked out because if the original deal set the price, Platts may need to adjust the assessment.

Platts has no plan to make CIF to FOB conversions transparent by publishing them or to retroactively change its assessments if cargoes change destination, Hanley said.

He said mutual agreements post-trade are normal practice and the fair value of the oil delivered into Europe was reflected on the day by the CIF trade.

U.S. regulator the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) declined to comment as did the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), which referred Reuters to the Dutch Authority for the Financial Markets (AFM).

AFM declined to comment, saying this was because Platts’ crude oil benchmark does not fall under the EU Benchmarks Regulation and AFM does not supervise it.

SHIPMENT TO CHINA

In one WTI deal that was booked out, Trafigura on Oct. 2 2023 sold three cargoes for delivery to Rotterdam and later negotiated a destination change to China, trade sources said.

On that day, Forties, Brent and WTI crude’s differentials to dated Brent rose on strong demand, with Forties hitting its highest in over a year according to LSG data. Platts said WTI and Brent were the cheapest grades and helped establish the dated Brent price.

futures dropped by almost 5% and dated Brent as assessed by Platts dropped by 1.8% to $94.555 on Oct. 2.

Other trading companies including Vitol and Gunvor have since bought 700,000-barrel cargoes of WTI on a delivered basis to Europe that later converted to FOB, the sources said.

Reuters could not quantify the exact number involved. Platts said it had seen six instances of cargoes switching from CIF to FOB in 2024 to be combined in a larger ship.

Jorge Montepeque, who developed dated Brent and later left Platts and became a critic of the WTI addition, also said changes of cargo destinations must be disclosed.

© Reuters. A pump jack is seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo

“One could say that the bidding by traders for WTI cargoes helped distort the perception of demand in Europe where there was no demand for such cargoes,” he said.

Hanley of Platts disagreed, saying it was not possible to create a perception that demand is higher than it is in pricing terms, because if you bid higher a seller will take up your bid.

Commodities

Oil prices steady but set for steep weekly losses on demand fears

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Investing.com — Oil prices steadied Friday, helped to a degree by positive U.S. inventory data, but were headed for their worst week since early-September amid growing concerns over weak demand. 

At 08:30 ET (12:30 GMT), fell 0.1% to 74.41 a barrel, while climbed 0.1% to $70.69 a barrel.

China GDP grows as expected, stimulus in focus

Data released earlier Friday showed that China’s grew 4.6% year-on-year, largely as expected, while slightly missed expectations. This brought to 4.8%, still below the government’s 5% annual target. 

The reading underscored the need for more stimulus from Beijing, especially as the world’s biggest oil importer grapples with persistent deflation, weak private spending and a prolonged property market crisis. 

While the country has announced a raft of measures in recent weeks, investors were still underwhelmed by a lack of clarity on the implementation, timing and scale of the planned measures. 

US inventories fall

The crude market was helped after data showed U.S. shrank in the past week, offering some positive cues on demand in the world’s biggest fuel consumer. 

Focus also remained on Israel’s retaliation against Iran over a strike earlier in October. Concerns that the strike could disrupt Iranian oil supplies saw traders attach some risk premium to crude. 

Oil heads for weekly losses on demand fears 

However, both benchmark contracts were set to lose around 6% this week – their worst weekly performance since early-September – battered by heightened concerns over weak demand, especially after both the International Energy Agency and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries cut their annual forecasts for demand growth. 

Both organizations cited concerns over sluggish Chinese demand, especially as recent economic readings presented little improvement in the country.

(Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

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Commodities

Oil prices set for biggest weekly loss in over a month on demand worries

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By Arunima Kumar

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil futures in inched lower and were headed for more than a 6% weekly drop on Friday on concerns about demand from China’s slowing economy and easing supply risk from the Middle East conflict.

futures inched 33 cents lower, or 0.44%, to $74.12 a barrel by 1143 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $70.41 a barrel, down 26 cents, or 0.4%.

The benchmarks are set to fall more than 6% this week, their biggest weekly decline since Sept. 2, after OPEC and the International Energy Agency cut their forecasts for global oil demand in 2024 and 2025.

Fears also eased about a potential retaliatory attack by Israel on Iran that could disrupt Tehran’s oil exports.

In China, the world’s top oil importer, the economy grew at the slowest pace since early 2023 in the third-quarter, though consumption and industrial output figures for September beat forecasts.

China’s refinery output also declined for the sixth straight month as weak fuel consumption and thin refining margins curbed processing.

Meanwhile, China’s central bank rolled out two funding schemes that will initially pump 800 billion yuan ($112.38 billion) into the stock market through newly-created monetary policy tools.

Supporting crude prices were figures from Energy Information Administration (EIA) which showed oil, gasoline and distillate inventories fell last week.

U.S. retail sales increased slightly more than expected in September, with investors still pricing in a 92% chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut in November.

“Positive U.S. economic data has helped alleviate some growth concerns, but market participants continue to monitor potential demand recovery in China following recent stimulus measures,” said Hani Abuagla, senior market analyst at XTB MENA.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A pump jack is seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo

Markets, however, remained concerned about possible price spikes given simmering Middle East tensions, with Lebanon’s Hezbollah militant group saying on Friday it was moving to a new and escalating phase in its war against Israel after the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar.

“Although the U.S. would like to believe that the killing of the leader is an opportunity to resume serious and meaningful peace talks, it seems more like a wishful thinking than a realistic alternative,” said Tamas Varga, an analyst with oil broker PVM.

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Commodities

Oil prices flat as investors await US inventory data

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LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices were broadly flat on Thursday as investors waited on developments in the Middle East, the release of official U.S. oil inventory data and details on China’s stimulus plans.

futures were up 25 cents to $74.47 a barrel at 0834 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $70.64 a barrel, also up 25 cents.

Both benchmarks settled down on Wednesday, closing at their lowest levels since Oct. 2 for a second day in a row, after OPEC and the International Energy Agency cut demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025.

Prices have also fallen as fears eased that a retaliatory attack by Israel on Iran for the latter’s Oct. 1 missile strike could disrupt oil supplies, though uncertainty remains over how the conflict in the Middle East will develop.

“The country’s forthcoming retaliatory measures against Iran are still not clear,” said John Evans of oil broker PVM.

He added that the Middle East “will certainly provide enough reason to move oil prices again soon enough and investors today will also be preoccupied with an abundance of financial data”.

Among that data are U.S. oil inventories. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) will release its official government data at 11 a.m. EDT (1500 GMT).

The American Petroleum Institute’s Wednesday figures showed crude and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said, against expectations of a build-up in crude stockpiles. [EIA/S]

“Any signs of weak demand in EIA’s weekly inventory report could put further downward pressure on oil prices,” ANZ analysts said.

PVM’s Evans also cited Thursday’s U.S. jobless claims data at 8.30 a.m. EDT (1230 GMT) and a rate decision from the European Central Bank.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Oil tankers sail along Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia August 12, 2022. REUTERS/Tatiana Meel/File Photo

That decision may support oil prices if the bank goes ahead with lowering interest rates again, the first back-to-back rate cut in 13 years, as it shifts focus from cooling inflation to protecting economic growth.

Investors are also waiting for further details from Beijing on broad plans announced on Oct. 12 to revive its ailing economy, including efforts to shore up its ailing property market.

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