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Commodities

Gold prices edge lower as dollar firms after Trump attack

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Investing.com– Gold prices fell slightly in early Asian trade on Monday, remaining in sight of a record high but seeing few increases in safe haven demand after an alleged assassination attempt on former U.S. President Donald Trump. 

Safe haven buying, in the face of increased U.S. political uncertainty, favored the dollar, with the greenback recovering a measure of recent losses on Monday. Still, the dollar remained weak amid growing bets on U.S. interest rate cuts, which buoyed gold in recent weeks. 

fell 0.2% to $2,407.49 an ounce, while expiring in August fell 0.4% to $2,412.20 an ounce by 20:34 ET (00:34 GMT). 

US political uncertainty grows after Trump attack

Markets were still grappling with an uncertain political outlook for the U.S. after a failed assassination attempt on Trump at a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on Saturday.

The assailant shot at Trump and hit him in the ear, although the former president was still seen urging supporters to “fight!” 

Heightened political jitters in the wake of the attack were initially expected to support safe haven plays into gold. But such a scenario did not play out as expected, as the dollar benefited from some inflows, while the yellow metal largely retreated after the attack. 

Analysts speculated that the attack improved Trump’s chances of a victory over Democratic frontrunner Joe Biden later this year. A Trump presidency is expected to potentially add to inflation and debt- a scenario that usually results in a stronger dollar. 

The rose about 0.2% against a basket of currencies, although it was nursing steep losses over the past two weeks. 

Traders were somewhat cautious towards gold with the yellow metal trading close to a record high of $4,050 an ounce hit earlier this year. Historically, gold has always fallen sharply after marking brief record highs. 

The yellow metal, along with broader metal markets, benefited greatly from increased speculation over interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Soft consumer price index inflation reading from last week saw traders ramp up bets the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points in September- a notion that battered the dollar. 

Other precious metals also retreated on Monday, seeing little immediate safe haven demand. 

fell 0.6% to $1,007.65 an ounce, while fell 0.9% to $30.890 an ounce. 

Copper edges lower as China woes mount ahead of GDP data

Among industrial metals, copper prices fell on Monday, extending losses from last week amid persistent concerns over top importer China.

Data on Friday showed China’s imports of the red metal fell in June, raising questions over domestic demand. 

Benchmark on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.4% to $9,841.50 a tonne, while one-month fell 0.4% to $4.5633 a pound. 

Focus is now squarely on key Chinese data for the second quarter, due later on Monday. The reading is expected to show some cooling in growth, which bodes poorly for copper demand.

Commodities

Oil set for weekly gains on colder weather, Chinese policy support

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By Enes Tunagur

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices held steady on Friday, remaining poised for weekly gains after closing the previous session at their highest in more than two months, underpinned by colder European and U.S. weather and additional economic stimulus flagged by China.

futures were down 9 cents at $75.84 a barrel by 1212 GMT after settling on Thursday at the highest level since Oct. 25. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dipped by 6 cents to $73.07, with Thursday’s close its highest since Oct. 14.

Brent was on track for a 2.2% weekly gain while WTI was set for a 3.5% increase.

Signs of Chinese economic fragility heightened expectations of policy measures to boost growth in the world’s top oil importer.

“As China’s economic trajectory is poised to play a pivotal role in 2025, hopes are pinned on government stimulus measures to drive increased consumption and bolster oil demand growth in the months ahead,” said StoneX analyst Alex Hodes.

China announced a couple of new measures to boost growth for its fragile economy this week with a surprise move to raise wages for government workers and announcement of a sharp increase in funding from ultra-long treasury bonds. The additional funding is to be used to spur business investment and consumer-boosting initiatives.

Oil is likely to have gained some price support from expected increased demand for after forecasts for colder weather in some regions.

“Oil demand is likely benefiting from cold temperatures across Europe and the U.S.,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view of an oil pumpjack in a farmer’s field near Kindersley, Saskatchewan, Canada September 5, 2024.  REUTERS/Todd Korol/File photo

Also supporting prices this week, stockpiles dropped by 1.2 million barrels to 415.6 million barrels, EIA data showed.

Meanwhile, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories jumped as refineries ramped up output, though fuel demand hit a two-year low.

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Commodities

Russian court tells Yandex to hide images of oil refinery after Ukrainian attacks, TASS says

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(Reuters) -A Russian court has ordered internet company Yandex (NASDAQ:) to hide access to maps and photos of one of Russia’s largest oil refineries due to repeated attacks by Ukrainian drones, state news agency TASS reported on Friday.

Yandex, often referred to as “Russia’s Google (NASDAQ:)”, operates the country’s largest search engine and other online services like maps, translate and email, as well as ride-hailing and food delivery.

The court in Moscow ordered Yandex to exclude information about the refinery’s infrastructure from its search results by removing and editing images of workshops, compressor stations and other parts of the plant from Yandex Maps, TASS reported.

It was not clear which refinery the court decision referred to, but TASS said the facility had been attacked four times by Ukrainian drones in 2024.

Ukraine has staged numerous strikes on Russian oil storage facilities and refineries, responding to Moscow’s February 2022 invasion and repeated attacks on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure.

The court’s decision can be appealed. Yandex declined to comment.

The refinery had tried to resolve the issue directly with Yandex before taking the matter to court, TASS said. The claimant argued that the availability of information about the refinery online undermined Russia’s defence capability and negatively impacted the armed forces.

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Commodities

Oil prices slipped lower; set for second straight weekly gain

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Investing.com–Oil prices slipped slightly lower Friday, but were still heading for a second consecutive weekly gain as optimism around China’s economic growth lifted market sentiment.

At 08:00 ET (13:00 GMT), fell 0.1% to $73.08 a barrel, and  expiring in February slipped 0.1% to $75.84 a barrel.

Oil had gained sharply in the previous session after data showed growth in Chinese factory activity.

Both contracts were on course for second consecutive weekly gains, with WTI headed for a 3.5% jump and set to rise nearly 3% for the week.

Chinese stimulus hopes support oil prices

China’s  grew in December, a Caixin/S&P Global survey showed on Thursday, but at a slower pace than expected.

An official survey released on Tuesday also showed that China’s manufacturing activity barely grew in December. However, services and construction fared better, with the data suggesting that policy stimulus is trickling into some sectors.

Beijing has signaled looser monetary policy for 2025 and has doled out a raft of major stimulus measures since late September, in order to boost its sluggish economy.

China’s central bank has indicated that it plans to lower interest rates from the current 1.5% “at an appropriate time” in 2025, the Financial Times reported on Friday.

Traders assess EIA data amid oversupply concerns

{{8849|US crude oil inventories declined, while gasoline and distillate stocks saw significant increases as demand softened during the week ending December 27, the reported on Thursday.

The EIA stated that dropped by 1.2 million barrels last week, falling short of analysts’ expectations for a 2.8 million-barrel decrease.

Latest EIA surveys have shown that U.S. oil production remains near record levels, and the incoming Donald Trump administration is likely to agree to policies that would focus on ramping up domestic fossil fuel production.

This comes amid worries about potential oversupply driven by anticipated production increases from non-OPEC nations, further underscoring an oversupply scenario.

The International Energy Agency recently said that the oil market will remain adequately supplied, despite a rise in demand forecast for 2025.

(Peter Nurse contributed to this article.)

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