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Commodities

Gold prices muted before Fed rate decision; copper hit by weak China data

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Investing.com– Gold prices moved little in Asian trade on Monday, nursing some losses from recent sessions as investors remained biased towards the dollar before the Federal Reserve’s final meeting for the year. 

Among industrial metals, copper prices were also pressured by a strong dollar, with mixed economic readings from China doing little to inspire confidence in demand. 

Gold saw some bids last week on the prospect of lower U.S. interest rates in the near-term. But this was offset by uncertainty over the long-term outlook for rates, which the Fed is likely to elaborate on this week.

rose 0.2% to $2,653.47 an ounce, while expiring in February fell 0.2% to $2,671.05 an ounce by 23:02 ET (04:02 GMT). 

Gold under pressure as Fed meeting looms 

Traders remained wary of the yellow metal before a Fed meeting this week. The central bank is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points at the conclusion of the meeting on Wednesday, bringing rates down by a total 100 bps in 2024. 

But the central bank’s outlook on rates will be closely watched, especially in light of recent data showing inflation grew stickier in November, while the labor market remained strong. 

The Fed is expected to signal more caution over future easing, which could keep rates high in the long-term. 

High rates bode poorly for gold and other non-yielding assets, given that they increase the opportunity cost of investing in the yellow metal. The dollar firmed on this notion, pressuring gold prices through the past week.

Still, analysts at ANZ said they remained bullish on gold, forecasting spot prices at $2,900 an ounce in 2025. While gains are expected to moderate in the coming year, high economic and geopolitical risks are still expected to keep safe haven demand in play.

Other precious metals fell on Monday. fell 0.4% to $921.75 an ounce, while fell 0.1% to $31.005 an ounce. 

Copper dips as China data disappoints 

Benchmark on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.2% to $9,044.0 a ton, while February fell 0.4% to $4.1780 a pound. 

The red metal extended losses after data on Monday painted a mixed picture of the Chinese economy. While grew as expected in November, growth slowed sharply, while growth disappointed. 

The readings came as a recent top-level political meeting in the country yielded scant cues on Beijing’s plans for more stimulus.

China is the world’s biggest copper importer, with concerns over slowing demand, amid a weakening economy, being a major weight on copper prices.

Commodities

Copper prices dip over 1% following Federal Reserve’s fewer rate cuts signal

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Investing.com — Copper prices are down more than 1% after the Federal Reserve hinted at fewer rate cuts for the upcoming year.

The shift to a more hawkish stance by the Fed has resulted in an increase in bond yields, a surge in the strength of the dollar to 25-month highs, and a spike in volatility. This shift has also led to a sharp decline in key commodity currencies.

Market participants have expressed concern that there isn’t much on the annual calendar to halt this downward trend. The three-month London Metal Exchange (LME) contract has registered a 1.5% decrease, trading at $8,912 a ton.

In addition to the Federal Reserve’s stance, looming U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods and uncertainties surrounding China’s domestic demand outlook continue to pressure the market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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Commodities

Gold prices rebound from Fed-driven rout, hawkish comments cloud outlook

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Investing.com– Gold prices rebounded from a one-month low on Thursday as the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected, although the central bank’s hawkish stance on future rate cuts clouded the outlook for bullion.

Gold prices had dropped more than 2% overnight after the Fed’s policy meeting indicated fewer rate cuts in 2025, as sticky inflation remained a major concern.

 jumped as much as 1.3% to $2,618.11, while  expiring in February dropped 1.2% to $2,620.79 an ounce by 22:51 ET (03:51 GMT). 

Spot gold rebounds, but outlook dim amid slower rate cuts

The Fed reduced by 25 basis points but signaled it will adopt a slower pace for future cuts.

Lower interest rates bode well for gold prices as the opportunity cost of holding gold decreases, making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds.

However, gold futures fell sharply as the rates are expected to remain higher for a longer period after Wednesday’s cut. Markets have ruled out chances of a cut in January and now expect just two more cuts in 2025, against their earlier expectations of four.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said further reductions depend on progress in curbing persistent inflation, reflecting policymakers’ adjustments to potential economic shifts under the incoming Donald Trump administration.

The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance was aimed at curbing inflation, but it also signals confidence in the resilience of the U.S. economy. This risk-on sentiment can reduce the demand for safe-haven assets, further dampening bullion’s prospects. 

With fewer cuts expected in 2025, the is expected to strengthen further. The greenback surged to an over two-year high on Wednesday.

Additionally, the maintained its interest rates on Thursday, as policymakers remained cautious over Japan’s economic outlook and the path of inflation.

Among other precious metals,  rose 0.7% to $928.90 an ounce, while slumped 2.7% to $29.922 an ounce.

Copper falls on as dollar hits 2-yr high

Among industrial metals, copper prices extended declines on Thursday after the Fed’s hawkish stance bolstered the dollar. The red metal took limited support from reports of more fiscal spending in top importer China over the coming year.

The  rose 0.1% in Asian trade on Thursday and was at an over two-year high after the Fed meeting.

Benchmark  on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.4% to $8,921.50 a ton, while one-month  were largely unchanged at $4.089 a pound.

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Commodities

Oil slips on demand concerns after Fed signals slower rate cuts

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By Colleen Howe, Trixie Yap and Anna Hirtenstein

(Reuters) -Oil prices fell on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled it would slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, which could hurt economic growth, reduce fuel demand and strengthen the dollar.

futures declined by 29 cents to $73.10 a barrel by 1249 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude lost 16 cents to $70.42.

The declines gave back Wednesday’s gains on a drop in stocks and the Fed’s expected rate cut of 25 basis points.

Prices weakened after U.S. central bankers issued projections pointing to two quarter-point cuts in 2025 on concern over rising inflation. That was half a point less than they had flagged in September.

“The bottom line for oil is the longer the Fed stays on pause, the stronger the U.S. dollar. This tends to generate headwinds for commodities like oil,” said Harry Tchilinguirian at Onyx Capital Group.

A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced commodities more expensive while higher interest rates weigh on economic growth, potentially reducing demand for oil.

Chinese refining giant Sinopec (OTC:), meanwhile, expects China’s oil consumption to peak by 2027, it said on Thursday.

“The demand-supply balance going into 2025 continues to look unfavourable and predictions of more than 1.0 million bpd demand growth in 2025 look stretched in our opinion. Even if OPEC+ continues to withhold production, the market may still be in surplus,” said Suvro Sarkar, DBS Bank energy sector team leader.

Though demand in the first half of December rose year on year, volumes remained lower than expected by some analysts.

JP Morgan analysts said that global oil demand growth for December so far was 700,000 barrels per day (bpd) less than it had expected, adding that global demand this year has risen by 200,000 bpd less than it had forecast in November 2023.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks operate in front of a drilling rig in an oil field in Midland, Texas U.S. August 22, 2018. Picture taken August 22, 2018. REUTERS/Nick Oxford//File Photo

Official data from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday showed U.S. crude stocks fell by 934,000 barrels in the week to Dec. 13. Analysts polled by Reuters had expected a drawdown of 1.6 million barrels. [EIA/S]

While the decline was less than expected, the market found support from last week’s rise in U.S. crude exports by 1.8 million bpd to 4.89 million bpd.

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