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Commodities

Oil prices rise on benign US inflation, inventory draw,

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Investing.com — Oil prices rose Thursday, extending gains from the prior session on the back of benign inflation as well as an unexpected draw in U.S. gasoline inventories, which helped spur some confidence in future demand.

At 08:50 ET (12:50 GMT), rose 0.9% to $72.77 a barrel, while rose 0.9% to $69.20 a barrel.

US gasoline stockpiles see big draw

Government data, released on Wednesday, showed that U.S. shrank by 0.5 million barrels (mb) in the past week, compared to expectations for a build of 1.5 mb.

Gasoline inventories in particular saw a large draw, at 2.7 mb, compared to estimates for a 0.6 mb build.

The reading spurred some hopes that oil markets in the world’s biggest fuel consumer remained tight, and that fuel demand would still be robust even as the winter period draws near.

Helping the tone was the news that an inflation metric closely-monitored by the Federal Reserve slowed as expected in the year to September, potentially bolstering the case for the central bank to slash interest rates again this year.

The  decelerated to a 2.1% annual increase during the month, cooling from an upwardly-revised reading of 2.3% in August.

Lower interest rates are expected to boost economic activity in the largest economy in the world, potentially boosted demand fro crude. 

OPEC+ could delay December production hike – Reuters

Additionally, Reuters reported that OPEC+ could delay plans to begin increasing production from December by a month or more, amid concerns over weak demand and high supply.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies, known as OPEC+, had delayed plans to increase production by 180,000 barrels per day (bpd) to December from October due to falling oil prices, as concerns over slowing growth in China and easing fears of the Middle East war battered oil markets.

The cartel had also cut its outlook for demand growth for 2024 and 2025, citing weakness in China.

The OPEC+ cut output by about 5.86 million bpd over the past two years to support oil prices, and had flagged plans to begin increasing output from late-2024.

The Reuters report helped lift oil prices on Wednesday, although they were still nursing steep losses from earlier in the week. Brent was also trading just a few dollars above its 2024 lows, which it had hit in September.

(Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

Commodities

Gold prices flat amid thin year-end trading, strong dollar creates pressure

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Investing.com– Gold prices were slightly in the red on Friday amid thin year-end trading, although they were set to edge higher this week amid a cautious outlook following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish tilt.

was marginally lower at $2,628.22 per ounce, while expiring in February edged 0.4% lower to $2,643.05 an ounce by 07:38 ET (12:38 GMT).

Trading in gold typically sees thin volumes and subdued prices toward the year-end as many institutional traders and market participants close their books ahead of the holiday season.

Additionally, at year-end, economic data releases and major policy decisions are typically fewer, reducing catalysts for significant price volatility.

The yellow metal was set to edge up 0.3% for the week after losing more than 1% in the previous one. A strong dollar after the Fed’s hawkish shift last week has continued to put downward pressure on bullion.

Gold under pressure from strong Dollar

The was slightly higher in Asian trade on Friday and hovered near a two-year high it touched last week.

A stronger dollar often weighs on gold prices as it makes the yellow metal more expensive for buyers using other currencies.

Gold prices had fallen sharply after the Fed policy meeting indicated only two more rate cuts in 2025, against previous expectations of four.

Higher interest rates put downward pressure on gold making it more attractive compared to interest-bearing assets like bonds

Other precious metals were also muted on Friday. were unchanged at $954.50 an ounce, while were steady at $30.380 an ounce.

Copper gains on concentrate shortage news, strong dollar caps gains

Among industrial metals, copper prices were higher after a Reuters report showed China’s leading copper smelters have set lower processing charge guidance for the first quarter of 2025 compared to this quarter, reflecting an ongoing shortage of copper concentrates.

At a meeting in Shanghai, representatives from the China Smelters Purchase Team agreed on new rates for copper concentrate treatment and refining charges, setting them at $25 per metric ton and 2.5 cents per pound, down 28.6% from the fourth-quarter guidance of $35 per ton and 3.5 cents per pound.

The red metal failed to fully capitalize on this news, as a strong dollar weighed.

Benchmark  on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.4% to $8,950.50 a ton, while February  edged down 0.3% to $4.0945 a pound.

Ayushman Ojha contributed to this report. 

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Commodities

Oil prices edge higher on China stimulus, lower U.S. inventories forecast

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Investing.com– Oil prices rose slightly on Friday as a holiday-shortened week led to thin volumes, while traders exercised caution around the year-end while assessing the outlook for the upcoming year.

At 07:28 ET (12:28 GMT),  were slightly up at $73.74 a barrel, and edged higher to $69.71 a barrel.

Trading volumes were thin ahead of the new year’s start as many institutional investors and traders typically take time off during the holiday season. Additionally, year-end profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing reduce trading activity. 

EIA data awaited after API shows fall in US crude inventories

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, is scheduled to release its weekly report later on Friday.

These figures provide insights into the supply and demand dynamics of the oil market, influencing pricing and economic decisions.

Earlier this week, media reports stated that U.S. oil inventories fell by 3.2 million barrels during the week ended Dec. 20, citing the American Petroleum Institute (API) data.

“Probably we are moving back up again in anticipation of a crude draw in the U.S.,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo. “Some support for oil might come soon from cold weather supporting demand.”

This drawdown indicates a tightening supply in the U.S. crude oil market, which has implications for global oil prices. Following the API’s report, oil prices had edged higher, supported by hopes for additional fiscal stimulus in China and the reported decline in U.S. crude inventories.

Gasoline inventories rose by 3.9 million barrels last week, while distillate inventories—which include diesel and heating oil—fell by about 2.5 million barrels.

China stimulus hopes persist

Chinese authorities have decided to issue a record-breaking 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds next year, in an intensified fiscal effort to stimulate a struggling economy, Reuters reported on Tuesday.

Moreover, China is allowing local officials to broaden investments with key government bonds and simplifying approvals to better utilize public funding for economic growth, a government document showed on Wednesday.

On Thursday, the World Bank revised its economic growth forecast for China upward for 2024 and 2025 but cautioned that weak household and business confidence, combined with challenges in the property sector, would continue to hinder growth in the coming year.

The outlook for oil demand hinges on the hope that China, the world’s largest oil importer, can revive its economy, especially as there are concerns about a potential oversupply due to expected increases in production from non-OPEC countries.

Ayushman Ojha contributed to this report. 

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Commodities

Shell shuts down oil processing unit to investigate leak, Singapore’s port authority says

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(Reuters) -Shell has shut down an oil processing unit at its Pulau Bukom facility to investigate a suspected leak, Singapore’s Maritime and Port Authority (MPA) and National Environment Agency (NEA) said on Friday.

The oil company estimates that a few tonnes of refined oil products, along with cooling water discharge used in the refining process, have leaked.

Pulau Bukom, site of Singapore’s first refinery, now houses Shell (LON:)’s only energy and chemicals park in Asia, according to the company’s website.

Shell confirmed in an emailed statement to Reuters that oil sheens were spotted alongside a wharf on Dec. 26, 2024 at Shell Energy and Park Singapore.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view of Shell's Pulau Bukom refinery in Singapore, July 18, 2024. REUTERS/Caroline Chia/File Photo

The company stated it has taken steps to contain the leak and prevent it from spreading into the sea and has deployed boats alongside the MPA to clean up light oil sheens observed near the leak site.

The MPA said investigations are ongoing, and navigation traffic in the area remains unaffected.

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