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Commodities

Oil prices rise on Chinese factory data, but set for yearly declines

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Investing.com– Oil prices rose in Asian Trade on Tuesday as Chinese manufacturing activity reading boosted sentiment, while trading was thin on the last day of the year as investors assessed the outlook for the upcoming year.

At 21:05 ET (02:05 GMT),  rose 0.7% to $74.51 a barrel, and  expiring in February also jumped 0.7% to $71.05 a barrel.

Trading volumes were thin ahead of the new year’s start as many institutional investors and traders took time off during the holiday season. Additionally, year-end profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing reduce trading activity. 

Chinese manufacturing data in focus, U.S. ISM survey on tap

China’s manufacturing sector expanded in December but at a slower-than-expected pace, marking its third straight month of expansion as a raft of fresh stimulus measures provided support, data showed on Tuesday.

The outlook for oil demand hinges on the hope that China, the world’s largest oil importer, can revive its economy, especially as there are concerns about a potential oversupply due to expected increases in production from non-OPEC countries.

Markets are awaiting more clarity on Beijing’s plans for stimulus measures in the coming year. Recent reports suggested that the country will ramp up fiscal spending to support economic growth.

Additionally, the U.S. releases the  for December on Friday, and traders will be seeking clues about the strength of economic activity in the world’s largest energy consumer. 

Oil tracks yearly losses on demand outlook concerns

Both contracts were heading for annual declines, with WTI set to slip nearly 1% and dropping on track to lose nearly 4%, as traders remain wary about China’s economic outlook and the possibility of oversupply in the months ahead.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) had recently raised its demand forecast for next year but maintained its projection that the oil market will remain adequately supplied.

Latest Energy Information Administration (EIA) data has shown that U.S. oil production remains near record levels, and the incoming Donald Trump administration is likely to agree to policies that would focus on ramping up domestic fossil fuel production. 

Market participants are also cautious about the broader economic concerns, including weaker-than-expected demand growth in China, traditionally a key driver for global oil consumption. China’s oil demand has been contracting, further underscoring the expected oversupply scenario.

Traders are concerned about the 2025 outlook as rising supply and tepid demand recovery weigh on the balance sheets.

Commodities

Oil set for weekly gains on colder weather, Chinese policy support

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By Enes Tunagur

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil prices held steady on Friday, remaining poised for weekly gains after closing the previous session at their highest in more than two months, underpinned by colder European and U.S. weather and additional economic stimulus flagged by China.

futures were down 9 cents at $75.84 a barrel by 1212 GMT after settling on Thursday at the highest level since Oct. 25. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dipped by 6 cents to $73.07, with Thursday’s close its highest since Oct. 14.

Brent was on track for a 2.2% weekly gain while WTI was set for a 3.5% increase.

Signs of Chinese economic fragility heightened expectations of policy measures to boost growth in the world’s top oil importer.

“As China’s economic trajectory is poised to play a pivotal role in 2025, hopes are pinned on government stimulus measures to drive increased consumption and bolster oil demand growth in the months ahead,” said StoneX analyst Alex Hodes.

China announced a couple of new measures to boost growth for its fragile economy this week with a surprise move to raise wages for government workers and announcement of a sharp increase in funding from ultra-long treasury bonds. The additional funding is to be used to spur business investment and consumer-boosting initiatives.

Oil is likely to have gained some price support from expected increased demand for after forecasts for colder weather in some regions.

“Oil demand is likely benefiting from cold temperatures across Europe and the U.S.,” said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A view of an oil pumpjack in a farmer’s field near Kindersley, Saskatchewan, Canada September 5, 2024.  REUTERS/Todd Korol/File photo

Also supporting prices this week, stockpiles dropped by 1.2 million barrels to 415.6 million barrels, EIA data showed.

Meanwhile, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories jumped as refineries ramped up output, though fuel demand hit a two-year low.

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Commodities

Russian court tells Yandex to hide images of oil refinery after Ukrainian attacks, TASS says

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(Reuters) -A Russian court has ordered internet company Yandex (NASDAQ:) to hide access to maps and photos of one of Russia’s largest oil refineries due to repeated attacks by Ukrainian drones, state news agency TASS reported on Friday.

Yandex, often referred to as “Russia’s Google (NASDAQ:)”, operates the country’s largest search engine and other online services like maps, translate and email, as well as ride-hailing and food delivery.

The court in Moscow ordered Yandex to exclude information about the refinery’s infrastructure from its search results by removing and editing images of workshops, compressor stations and other parts of the plant from Yandex Maps, TASS reported.

It was not clear which refinery the court decision referred to, but TASS said the facility had been attacked four times by Ukrainian drones in 2024.

Ukraine has staged numerous strikes on Russian oil storage facilities and refineries, responding to Moscow’s February 2022 invasion and repeated attacks on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure.

The court’s decision can be appealed. Yandex declined to comment.

The refinery had tried to resolve the issue directly with Yandex before taking the matter to court, TASS said. The claimant argued that the availability of information about the refinery online undermined Russia’s defence capability and negatively impacted the armed forces.

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Commodities

Oil prices slipped lower; set for second straight weekly gain

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Investing.com–Oil prices slipped slightly lower Friday, but were still heading for a second consecutive weekly gain as optimism around China’s economic growth lifted market sentiment.

At 08:00 ET (13:00 GMT), fell 0.1% to $73.08 a barrel, and  expiring in February slipped 0.1% to $75.84 a barrel.

Oil had gained sharply in the previous session after data showed growth in Chinese factory activity.

Both contracts were on course for second consecutive weekly gains, with WTI headed for a 3.5% jump and set to rise nearly 3% for the week.

Chinese stimulus hopes support oil prices

China’s  grew in December, a Caixin/S&P Global survey showed on Thursday, but at a slower pace than expected.

An official survey released on Tuesday also showed that China’s manufacturing activity barely grew in December. However, services and construction fared better, with the data suggesting that policy stimulus is trickling into some sectors.

Beijing has signaled looser monetary policy for 2025 and has doled out a raft of major stimulus measures since late September, in order to boost its sluggish economy.

China’s central bank has indicated that it plans to lower interest rates from the current 1.5% “at an appropriate time” in 2025, the Financial Times reported on Friday.

Traders assess EIA data amid oversupply concerns

{{8849|US crude oil inventories declined, while gasoline and distillate stocks saw significant increases as demand softened during the week ending December 27, the reported on Thursday.

The EIA stated that dropped by 1.2 million barrels last week, falling short of analysts’ expectations for a 2.8 million-barrel decrease.

Latest EIA surveys have shown that U.S. oil production remains near record levels, and the incoming Donald Trump administration is likely to agree to policies that would focus on ramping up domestic fossil fuel production.

This comes amid worries about potential oversupply driven by anticipated production increases from non-OPEC nations, further underscoring an oversupply scenario.

The International Energy Agency recently said that the oil market will remain adequately supplied, despite a rise in demand forecast for 2025.

(Peter Nurse contributed to this article.)

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