Cryptocurrency
2023 Aftermath: By How Much Did Bitcoin Outperform S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones, and Gold?
It was another challenging year as one war continued without an evident conclusion (Russia-Ukraine), and another one broke out in the Middle East. Numerous countries are trying to fight off the increasing inflation, some with bigger success than others.
With just hours left of 2023, it’s interesting to compare the performance of the world’s largest stock market indexes, gold, which typically performs better during uncertain times, and Bitcoin – an asset that has been proclaimed dead numerous times in the past but still keeps coming back.
How Did Traditional Assets Perform in 2023
Starting with perhaps the most well-known US stock market index – the Standard and Poor’s 500. It tracks the performance of the 500 largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the US and is typically regarded as the benchmark that shows the health of the country’s financial state, at least in terms of large corporations.
It began the year at just over 3,820 points and quickly soared to 4,200 before returning to its starting position by March. The bulls stepped up on the gas in the following months, and the index jumped to 4,600 at the end of July. After another retracement, the S&P 500 finished the year strong and ended the last trading day of 2023 on December 29 at 4,769 – close to its all-time high.
In terms of percentages, the S&P 500 finished 2023 with a notable increase of roughly 25%. Although that seems quite impressive, one can easily see that most of the gains came from a few tech-related companies, such as Nvidia (245%).
Taking into consideration the aforementioned tech stocks, it’s logical that the Nasdaq Composite, which tracks mainly such assets, has soared the most from the indexes. In fact, the Nasdaq has outperformed almost all of its competitors with a 44.5% yearly surge that drove it from 10,386 at the start of 2023 to 15,011 at the end of it.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, on the other hand, averts from tech-related stocks. The index that follows just 30 large US behemoths has increased by 13.74% in 2023 – from 33,136 to 37,689.
What About Gold?
The yellow metal is regarded as the most prominent safe haven asset that tends to outperform the more riskier stocks during turbulent times. The past few years indeed fall into such a category, which has affected gold’s performance and resulted in untypical volatility.
One ounce of gold cost $1,813 on the financial markets at the start of 2023. Similar to most assets, the bullion had a strong spring and soared past $2,000 in April and May. The trend reversed after the summer, and the precious metal found itself dumping hard to its 2023 starting price at the beginning of October.
After the Hamas-Israel war broke out, though, gold went on a tear. Its price against the dollar exploded by over $300 in less than two months and marked an all-time high of $2,150/oz on December 5.
Since then, the precious metal has lost some traction but still ended 2023 above $2,060, charting a yearly increase of 13.73%.
And Then, There’s Bitcoin
Bitcoin, alongside the rest of the crypto market, had a catastrophic 2022 due to industry collapses and adverse global events. As such, it entered 2023 at around $16,600. It didn’t take long before the asset broke out of its late-2022 nosedive. By January 13, it had soared past $20,000 and hadn’t looked back since, despite a few retracements along the way.
Then came reclaiming the $30,000 level, which was harder than anticipated. In fact, it took BTC several attempts to decisively overcome that level, which finally happened in late October.
Bitcoin kept climbing in the following weeks, which culminated in a price surge to nearly $45,000 in early December. It has lost some ground since then, and even though there’re still some hours left in 2023, it’s safe to assume that BTC will finish the year in a range between $42,000 and $43,000 unless something cataclysmic happens.
As such, Bitcoin’s YTD gains will be somewhere between 150% and 160%. This means that the cryptocurrency will trump all other large traditional finance assets mentioned above by a massive margin.
2024 has all the ingredients to be an even better year for Bitcoin, given the upcoming halving (usually serving as a catalyst for a bull market) and the potential approval of a spot BTC ETF in the States. Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that such an approval could serve as a sell-the-news moment, and history is no indication of future price performances.
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Cryptocurrency
Ripple vs. SEC Settlement Rumors Gain Momentum: Here’s Why
TL;DR
- Speculation is rising that the SEC’s upcoming closed meeting under new Acting Chairman Mark Uyeda might address the Ripple lawsuit, but experts warn against expecting major developments.
- Despite Gensler’s exit, the Ripple-SEC legal battle continues, with disputes over XRP’s classification and an ongoing appeal delaying resolution.
Incoming Resolution or Just Another Speculation?
The lawsuit between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) remains ongoing despite numerous legal developments and changes in the agency’s leadership. Recall that the regulator’s Chairman, Gary Gensler, officially stepped down on January 20 and was replaced by crypto proponent Mark Uyeda.
The Commission has scheduled its first closed meeting under the new Acting Chairman for January 23, causing the XRP Army to speculate that the case against Ripple might be on the agenda this time. Some of the most optimistic predictions include a dismissal of the lawsuit.
It is worth mentioning that the SEC conducts such meetings quite frequently, and there are no public records showing that it has touched upon the aforementioned legal tussle in any of them.
Marc Fagel – a former regional director of the SEC for the San Francisco office – claimed that those expecting “something monumental to happen” at the upcoming gathering “are about to be disappointed.”
“This is the same meeting they hold nearly every week. They will vote on recommendations calendared weeks ago,” he assumed.
Not so Fast
The anti-crypto Gensler might be out of the SEC, but the official resolution of the case against Ripple remains challenging. After all, the entities have been confronting each other in court for over four years, throwing punches at each other on every possible occasion.
The core issue in the lawsuit is whether XRP (Ripple’s native token) should be classified as a security. The SEC argues it was sold as an unregistered investment, while the company insists it is a digital asset used for payments and not subject to securities laws.
In 2023, Judge Analisa Torres ruled that XRP sales on public exchanges to retail investors did not constitute securities transactions. A year later, she ordered Ripple to pay a fine of $125 million for violating certain rules.
The penalty represented just a fraction of the $2 billion the SEC initially asked for, and somewhat expected, the firm was ready to settle it.
However, the watchdog appealed the 2023 verdict and recently filed the necessary opening brief, thus prolonging the lawsuit indefinitely.
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Cryptocurrency
Ethereum Foundation Dissent Dampens ETH Price as Vitalik Asserts Authority
On Jan. 21, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin firmly asserted his sole authority over Ethereum Foundation leadership decisions, stating that it will remain until reforms establish a “proper board.”
“The person deciding the new EF leadership team is me. One of the goals of the ongoing reform is to give the EF a ‘proper board’, but until that happens it’s me,” he said on X.
The post came in response to significant backlash against Aya Miyaguchi, the Foundation’s executive director since 2018, with accusations of inefficiencies during her tenure.
“If you ‘keep the pressure on,’ then you are creating an environment that is actively toxic to top talent,” Buterin said in response to the social media backlash.
No. This is not how this game works.
The person deciding the new EF leadership team is me. One of the goals of the ongoing reform is to give the EF a “proper board”, but until that happens it’s me.
If you “keep the pressure on”, then you are creating an environment that is…
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) January 21, 2025
EF Backlash Mounts
Buterin announced changes to the Foundation’s leadership on Jan. 18, focusing on supporting dApp developers and promoting decentralization.
However, he emphasized the foundation would not engage in ideological shifts, political lobbying, or take a more central ecosystem role.
There is strong community pressure to promote developer Danny Ryan to a leadership position. On Jan. 22, Ryan, who left the EF in 2024 due to health issues, said, “Some of the discourse has turned counterproductive,” before adding:
“These are real people attempting to sort through and do what is best. With or without me, the EF is evolving and for the better. You’ve been heard, but vitriol is ultimately harmful to this process.”
Just to fill you in: I left the EF last year due to health issues and in an attempt to clear my head after working my ass off exclusively at the EF and on Ethereum for seven years.
I stepped aside, and the EF and the broader Ethereum ecosystem moved on without missing a beat—new…
— dannyryan (@dannyryan) January 21, 2025
Fellow developer Eric Connor announced his departure from the Ethereum ecosystem, stating:
“The Ethereum Foundation is a leftist-driven, anti-winning swamp. 80% of the budget can be cut and Ethereum would function and progress just fine.”
Meanwhile, Ethereum educator Anthony Sassano highlighted all the good things that the EF has done, stating, “Ethereum is much bigger than the EF,”
I am not an EF apologist or think that the EF is perfect and can do no wrong, but I think it’s worth highlighting some of the positive stuff they’ve done recently:
– Revived the @ethereum account (it’s no where near good enough yet, but it’ll get better)
– Moved 50k ETH into a…— sassal.eth/acc (@sassal0x) January 22, 2025
ETH Price Flounders
Nevertheless, the situation appears to have created tension between Buterin’s desire to reform the Foundation while maintaining control over leadership decisions. Additionally, the dissent and recent EF ETH sales have dampened ETH prices, which have been consolidating for the past month.
ETH has gained 2.4% on the day to reach $3,330 at the time of writing, but most of the other altcoins are still outperforming it.
The asset failed to follow Bitcoin, XRP, and Solana to existing or new peaks and remains down 32% from its 2021 all-time high.
This is all despite US President Donald Trump actively buying ETH and the premise of staked Ethereum ETFs being approved by the SEC soon.
Tension within the Ethereum (and Bitcoin) communities is nothing new, and the ecosystem has survived and improved.
the last time there was this dissent in Ethereum
was February 2020 with the gory fight and eventual rejection of ProgPoW
(this is financial advice) pic.twitter.com/8P8vBJ2qra
— DCinvestor (@iamDCinvestor) January 21, 2025
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Cryptocurrency
Solana, Dogecoin Gain 6% Daily as Bitcoin Holds Steady at $105K (Market Watch)
After the recent enhanced volatility across the entire crypto market, bitcoin’s price has finally calmed and stands still at around $105,000.
Many altcoins have recovered some ground following yesterday’s declines, and the total market cap is close to $3.8 trillion.
BTC Calms at $105K
The primary cryptocurrency jumped past $100,000 at the end of the previous business week and went to a high of $105,000 on Friday. While the weekend was less eventful on the BTC front, despite the two Trump-related meme coins, the asset maintained its level and even surged to $106,000 on Monday morning.
Then came the volatile ride that pushed the asset to under $100,000. In minutes, it had recovered all losses and skyrocketed even further to just over $109,000 to register a new all-time high. All of these movements transpired in the span of just a few hours.
Once Trump’s inauguration began on Monday afternoon, BTC’s price started to tumble again and plunged to $100,000 once again as he failed to mention crypto even once. Nevertheless, the bulls intervened at this point and drove the cryptocurrency to $107,000 yesterday.
It has lost some ground since then and now trades a lot more calmly around $105,000. Its market capitalization has risen to $2.080 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts is still above 55%.
Alts in Recovery Mode
Most alternative coins have turned green today after yesterday’s retracements. Solana and Dogecoin have popped up as the top performers, with both gaining around 6%. As a result, SOL has risen to over $250, while DOGE, which exploded yesterday at one point, is now above $0.36.
ETH, XRP, BNB, and ADA have posted minor gains, while TRX, LINK, and AVAX have added around 3-4% of value.
Other notable price gainers since yesterday include HYPE and CRO, as the exchange behind the latter launched in the US.
The total crypto market cap has increased by over $100 billion on a daily scale and is close to $3.8 trillion on CG.
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