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3 reasons why Bitcoin’s price is primed to hold the $30,000 level as support

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Bitcoin’s price gave back some of its recent gains this week, but multiple data points suggest that $30,000 should hold as support going forward.

Bitcoin (BTC) remained within a narrow 4.3% range for the 15 days leading up to July 7. Despite the proximity of the $29,895 to $31,165 range, investors’ sentiment was significantly impacted by an unsuccessful attempt to break above $31,400 on July 6.

Traders’ tendency to overreact to short-term price movements rather than Bitcoin’s year-to-date gains of 82% could be part of the reason for the short-term correction. This same rationale applies to the events related to other cryptocurrencies.

At the forefront of investors’ minds are questions about whether the recent price gains were solely driven by multiple spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) requests.

Other pressing developments include Binance’s chief strategy officer, Patrick Hillmann, and other top compliance officers reportedly leaving the exchange on July 6 over CEO Changpeng Zhao’s response to the United States Justice Department’s investigation. On June 29, the crypto exchange also informed users that its euro banking payment gateway would cease services by September, potentially halting deposits and withdrawals via SEPA bank transfer.

Meanwhile, the yield curve on interest rates reached its deepest inversion since 1981 on July 3, reflecting the two-year note’s 4.94% yield compared to the 10-year note trading at 3.86%, the opposite of what is expected from longer-term bonds. The phenomenon is closely watched by investors, as it has preceded past recessions.

All of these events are likely having some impact on the Bitcoin price and investor sentiment. Both topics are explored in greater depth below.

Traders show strength in margin, options and futures markets

OKX stablecoin/BTC margin lending ratio. Source: OKX

The OKX margin lending indicator based on the stablecoin/BTC ratio has steadily increased from 20x favoring longs on July 1 to the current 29x ratio on July 7, indicating growing confidence among traders using margin lending. However, it remains within a neutral-to-bullish range, below the historical 30x threshold associated with excessive optimism.

Besides leaving room for further long leverage, the indicator shows no signs of potential stress on margin markets in case of a sudden Bitcoin price correction.

Traders aren’t buying protective puts or increasing their shorts

Traders can also gauge the market’s sentiment by measuring whether more activity is going through call (buy) options or put (sell) options. A 0.70 put-to-call ratio indicates that put option open interest lags the more bullish calls and is, therefore, bullish. In contrast, a 1.40 indicator favors put options, which can be deemed bearish.

BTC options volume put-to-call ratio. Source: Laevitas

The put-to-call ratio for Bitcoin options volume has remained below 1.0 for the past three days, suggesting a higher preference for neutral-to-bullish call options. The important thing here is, despite Bitcoin’s price briefly correcting to $29,750 on July 7, there was not a significant surge in demand for protective put options.

The top traders’ long-to-short net ratio excludes externalities that might have solely impacted the options markets. There are occasional methodological discrepancies between different exchanges, so readers should monitor changes instead of absolute figures.

Exchanges’ top traders’ long-to-short ratio. Source: CoinGlass

The long-to-short ratio for OKX’s top traders increased from 0.52 on July 3 to 1.68 on July 7, indicating strong demand for leveraged long positions despite Bitcoin’s failure to break above $31,000. At Binance, the indicator declined from 1.52 on July 3 to 1.39 on July 7, remaining above its 1.33 average for the previous 30 days, which suggests a neutral reading.

Related: Bitcoin mining stocks outperform BTC in 2023, but on-chain data points to a potential stall

Bears will have a tough time given the markets’ expectation of a potential ETF approval

Natalie Brunell, an award-winning TV journalist, podcast host and educator in the Bitcoin space, spoke to Cointelegraph on how crypto is now being taken more seriously as an asset class by institutional investors, as evidenced by the multiple Bitcoin ETF filings, including by some of the world’s largest asset fund managers.

Speaking on Fox Business on July 5, Larry Fink, the CEO of BlackRock, also said that Bitcoin’s role was largely “digitizing gold,” suggesting U.S. regulators consider how a spot ETF could democratize finance. Fink suggested that investors could turn to Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or the devaluation of certain currencies.

So, from a bird’s-eye view, for those questioning whether Bitcoin is poised for a correction after a rally fueled by ETF hype, the resilience of traders’ bullish conviction and lack of excessive optimism observed in the BTC margin show they need to relax.

Bitcoin options and futures markets indicate that challenging times are ahead for Bitcoin bears and those expecting a sharp price correction solely due to regulatory and recessionary concerns.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as legal or investment advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Cryptocurrency

Crypto Market Bleeds Out Again as Bitcoin (BTC) Was Rejected at $100K (Market Watch)

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The BTC relief rally in the past few days was halted yesterday as the asset was stopped at $100,000 and pushed south hard.

As expected, the altcoins have suffered even more, with substantial price declines from the likes of LINK, AVAX, ADA, SUI, and many others.

Bitcoin Stopped at $100K

Bitcoin went through a massive correction last week following the latest FOMC meeting. It dumped all the way from $108,000 to $92,000 in a matter of days. It bounced off on Friday and Saturday as the bulls drove it to almost $99,500.

However, it failed there and retraced hard once again at the start of the business week toward $92,000 once more. The bulls stepped up again at this point and initiated a notable price increase that pushed bitcoin up to $99,200 on Christmas Eve and almost $100,000 yesterday evening.

Once again, though, the cryptocurrency was stopped at this point. The subsequent rejection has driven it south hard, as the asset now struggles below $96,000.

Its market capitalization has declined to under $1.9 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts has increased to 54.6%.

Bitcoin/PriceChart 26.12.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/PriceChart 26.12.2024. Source: TradingView

Alts Bleed Out

The alternative coins registered some gains in the past few days as well, but red dominates all charts now. Ethereum was stopped at $3,500 and is below $3,400 after a 3.5% daily drop. Similar declines are evident from XRP, DOGE, SOL, BNB, TRX, and TON.

Even more painful corrections come from the likes of ADA, AVAX, LINK, SHIB, HBAR, XLM, and DOT, with losses of up to 9%. AAVE has plummeted by 10%, and so have ONDO and HYPE.

The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has seen more than $100 billion gone and is down to $3.460 trillion on CoinGecko.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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PENGU Overtakes BONK, Becomes Top Meme Coin on Solana at $2.6B Valuation

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The newly launched Pudgy Penguins cryptocurrency Pengu (PENGU) has flipped Bonk (BONK) to claim the crown as the largest meme coin in the Solana ecosystem, with a market cap of $2.65 billion.

The shift is the culmination of a rally that kicked off on Christmas Eve when the token gained over 30% in 24 hours.

PENGU Rises

Data from the crypto price tracking website CoinGecko shows that the broader Solana meme coin market has experienced explosive growth, with its total valuation rising to $18.2 billion, a 10.3% increase over the last day.

Anchoring this performance was PENGU, which posted an 11.2% jump in the past 24 hours and a remarkable 22.3% rise in the last seven days.

The meme coin, airdropped to members of the globally successful Pudgy Penguins NFT community on December 17, has not been without controversy. Soon after the token’s launch, the floor prices of the NFT collection plunged by more than 50%, wiping out any gains made since early November.

According to analysts, this was largely because the value of the collection was partly pegged on exclusive access to the brand, with the introduction of PENGU making investment in the NFTs more accessible, therefore diluting their worth.

On its rollout, the coin shot to a record high of $0.0684 before dropping to a record low of $0.0114. It then see-sawed for the next few days, moving between $0.038 on December 18 to $0.0231 on December 20. However, since December 23, it has been making steady gains, going as high as $0.0417 on Boxing Day, a price that pushed its market cap to $2.62 billion.

BONK Falls

Conversely, the previous king of the Solana meme coins, BONK, showed more modest improvements in its price over the last seven days, going up 6.9% in that period. Further, across two weeks, it lost 17% of its value, with CoinGecko data showing another 23% plunge over 30 days, putting its market cap at just over $2.5 billion and allowing PENGU to surpass it.

The competition doesn’t end there. Other meme tokens like dogwifhat (WIF) and Fartcoin (FARTCOIN) are vying for investor attention. On Christmas Eve, the former reached an all-time high of $1.02, pushing its overall worth beyond the $1 billion mark.

However, despite Fartcoin being among the top gainers across seven days with a price increase of 13.1%, it has plummeted 15% since December 25. With a unit currently changing hands at about $$0.986, its $1.072 billion market cap is still some ways behind WIF’s $1.9 billion.

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Holiday Warning for the Shiba Inu (SHIB) Community: Users Should Stay Vigilant for These Scams

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TL;DR

  • Shibarium Trustwatch warns SHIB holders of fake giveaways, phishing emails, and scam social accounts during the holidays.
  • Users are cautioned to avoid sending emails about SHIFU tokens and urged to verify information through official channels.

‘Protect Yourself This Christmas’

Despite the festive season, scammers don’t have days off and are always on the lookout for new victims. One particular group in the cryptocurrency sector, which bad actors attack quite regularly, is the Shiba Inu (SHIB) community.

A few days ago, Shibarium Trustwatch (an X account that aims to provide security) alerted users to be extra cautious with several common crypto scams. The first is giveaways, which offer “free” tokens, merchandise, or NFTs. “Remember, free stuff is never truly free – providing personal information puts you at risk,” the team warned. 

Second, the community should stay vigilant for phishing emails. Fraudsters often send emails to victims, claiming to be from official SHIB-related projects, thus trying to steal their login credentials. 

Next on the list are social media accounts. The team cautioned that scammers create fake profiles on social media platforms pretending to be influencers, developers, or official accounts that offer tempting deals. “Verify handles and avoid DMs offering quick profits,” Shibarium Trustwatch warned. 

Ponzi schemes, fake charity appeals, fake customer support, and malicious links are the other things the SHIB community should be careful about. 

“Providing personal information or falling for these scams doesn’t just put you at risk – it may lead to your data being sold on the dark web, where hackers can use it for identity theft or other malicious activities. Scammers exploit trust, kindness, and generosity, especially during the holiday season, so we must stay vigilant.

Let’s keep the Shibarmy strong and safe this holiday season. Be cautious, protect your crypto, and share love responsibly. Nothing in life is free. Even the things that seem free often come with hidden costs or risks,” the team concluded.

The SHIFU Warning

Earlier this month, Shibarium Trustwatch issued an alert concerning the meme coin SHIFU. The team claimed that bad actors request victims to send them an email containing information about the token:

“Fraudsters are asking people to send them an email asking how to buy and claim SHIFU or if SHIFU has not appeared in their wallet.”

Shibarium Trustwatch advised users to stay away from that scheme and not send emails to anyone. Verifying information through official channels and avoiding sharing personal data is also necessary. 

SHIFU is a dog-themed meme coin within the Shiba Inu ecosystem, which was introduced by Shytoshi Kusama at the beginning of the month. While it can be found on certain decentralized exchanges, leading crypto platforms like Binance have not yet embraced it. 

A few weeks ago, the meme coin project launched a special airdrop. The team announced that 30% of the total SHIFU supply (30 billion tokens) will be allocated to the community. Of this, 22 billion SHIFU will go to holders with at least 100,000 SHIB and 100 BUBBLE. An additional 2 billion tokens are set aside for eligible LEASH holders, while BONE owners will receive 1 billion tokens.

The remaining 70% of the supply will be reserved for other purposes, including “liquidity and public pre-sale,” treasury funds, and marketing efforts.

 

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