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Cryptocurrency

4 Long-Term Bull Market Signals for Ripple Labs’ XRP

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The long-awaited conclusion to the settlements phase of the trial passed with a much smaller fine than the SEC had requested.

U.S. District Court Judge Analisa Torres for the Southern District of New York (SDNY) decided on a sum just a little over $125 million— instead of the $2 billion fine the SEC wanted.

Investors immediately rewarded Ripple with a rally that pushed XRP price up the crypto market cap leaderboards. As a result, XRP price led 24-hour gains among all assets by mid-afternoon Thursday on the U.S. Eastern seaboard— posting 24% gains for the day’s trading.

XRP price surged from support at $0.50 to meet resistance at the $0.62 level.

Ripple Court Wins Goose XRP Price

Here’s a quick review of the timeframe and market performance of XRP after Ripple’s big win against the SEC last year. Traders had a window of just days to maximize returns:

Judge Torres ruled on July 13 last year that Ripple Labs did not violate securities laws as a result of XRP sales on public exchanges. RippleNet token prices jumped by over 75% in intraday trading that Thursday.

XRP price went parabolic from $0.48 on July 13 to a local crypto exchange market high of $0.794 before settling back to key support around the $0.50 level by Aug. 17 and remaining there until late October.

While things could be different this time around because the case may be drawing nearer to its final conclusion, the SEC can still appeal the court’s ruling.

Under Chairman Gary Gensler’s leadership, the U.S. regulator has certainly shown an especial animus and tenacity toward the San Francisco-based Ripple Labs and its XRP. If it follows last year’s course, the asset may yet have room to rise further from the $0.60 level in August.

But if the smart money has already priced a favorable ruling into the crypto exchange markets, this latest development could be more of a “sell the news” situation for Ripple after that initial 24% bump this week.

“As soon as we see a move above $0.66, you can quickly expect [XRP price] to hit $1.03, a mid-level target,” wrote X Ripple price analyst Dark Defender.

Meanwhile, here are five long-term supports for XRP markets that may be worth considering for Web3 investors and altcoin traders:

1. U.S. Whittles $2 Billion Ripple Fine to $125MM

To predict what kind of impact the recent SDNY ruling might have on Ripple, it may be worth comparing the market reaction to BNB’s settlement with the government last November.

BNB almost immediately rallied after a staggering $4 billion fine last November. Markets with high conviction in Binance’s business operations and future cash flows just shrugged it off.

It took Binance’s native token several more months to chart a new all-time high earlier this year.

Ripple’s $125 million ding is so comparatively paltry a fine it is comically validating to the legality and regularity of the company’s operations. Moreover, it may lure more cautious investors in the United States and globally to dip their toes in the XRP landscape.

Ripple Labs CEO Brad Garlinghouse wrote in a post on X that the roughly 94% reduction to the SEC’s requested fine amount recognized “that they had overplayed their hand.”

“This is a victory for Ripple, the industry and the rule of law. The SEC’s headwinds against the whole of the XRP community are gone,” Ripple added.

2. Ripple ETF and Ripple IPO in 2025?

Garlinghouse says people should expect a Ripple IPO by 2025. The big win in court moves Ripple closer to that eventuality. The firm’s CEO also said a Ripple ETF is inevitable due to demand from regulated investors.

In a June interview on Fox Business, Garlinghouse stated:

“People don’t want exposure to just one commodity… To me, it only makes sense. You don’t want to have just a single-threaded asset exposure. I think people also forget that it wasn’t that long time ago (before the SEC got involved) that XRP was the second-most valuable digital asset.”

Way back in May 2022 in an interview with CNBC in Davos, Garlinghouse promised that Ripple will explore an IPO as soon as the SEC lawsuit ends. The SDNY court’s ruling on disbursements this August brings Ripple Labs and XRP bagholders closer to the end of that road.

Ripple Founder Chris Larsen wrote: “The SEC’s unhinged campaign against us is finally over. Let’s all hope this ends this Administration’s war on crypto.”

3. XRPL Extends Ripple Into DeFi Sector

Although many Web3 investors and altcoin day traders may consider XRP to be a CeFi token (centralized finance) because of the currency platform’s design, XRPL extends Ripple functionality to support decentralized currency issuance, the same as competitors like Ethereum and Solana.

In July, X crypto price analyst CryptoGeek wrote, “The XRP Ledger is expected to manage $30 to $50 trillion by 2025, with transactions likely shifting to the CTF Token, the primary DeFi token on the #XRPL.”

4. Bullish XRP Whale Moves

Another strong signal of long-term support for the XRP price is the extent of whale activity.

After the judge in the SEC v. Ripple case cut down the latter’s speeding ticket by so much that it practically punished the agency instead, XRP whales made waves in the crypto markets— with holdings between 1 million and 10 million coins rising to an all-time record high.

On Aug. 5, mere hours ahead of the Aug. 7 SEC v. Ripple decision, a whale holding some 23.4 million XRP valued at $10.4 million USD on Binance moved the stash to an unknown wallet.

Here’s a powerful statement from blockchain data company Santiment on elevated XRP whale and DeFi activity in July:

“XRP Ledger, among one of the best performers in July, has been powered by high on-chain activity. Major whale transaction levels and network growth helped propel the coin’s +35% month, and social dominance is now sky-high as the asset has mildly retraced.”

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Cryptocurrency

Saylor’s Strategy Bought Another 4,225 BTC Before Bitcoin’s Price Explosion: Details

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Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin-oriented brainchild has made another massive purchase, accumulating 4,225 BTC for $472.5 million.

Due to the cryptocurrency’s substantial price expansion in the past few years, Strategy now sits at a mindblowing unrealized profit of roughly $30 billion.

This is because the company has spent $42.87 billion to acquire its BTC stash of 601,550 bitcoins bought at an average price of $71,268 per unit. Given BTC’s price as of press time ($121,500), this puts Strategy’s fortune at over $73 billion.

Saylor hinted about this purchase yesterday, indicating that some weeks, “you don’t just HODL.” Recall that the company didn’t announce a new acquisition last week, which was somewhat surprising given its history since the US elections in November last year.

Strategy’s former CEO has also been particularly vocal on X about different BTC purchases from other companies. In the past few days alone, he has reposted the accumulations completed by the likes of Metaplanet, K33, DigitalX Ltd., Sequans, and the Blockchain Group.

The average price of Strategy’s latest purchase means that it was most likely completed in the middle of the previous week when BTC challenged $112,000. The asset has traded well beyond that level ever since Thursday.

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Metaplanet Snaps Up 797 More BTC in Aggressive Bitcoin Gold Rush

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Japanese investment firm Metaplanet has expanded its Bitcoin holdings with the purchase of 797 BTC, after spending approximately 13.8 billion yen, which is worth around $93 million.

The company acquired Bitcoin at an average price of around $117,000 per unit.

Aiming for “Escape Velocity”

Following the latest acquisition, Metaplanet currently holds 16,352 BTC, equivalent to approximately $1.64 billion. It maintains its position as the world’s fifth-largest publicly traded corporate BTC holder, according to data shared by BitcoinTreasuries. The accumulation now comes just a week after the Tokyo-listed company purchased 2,205 BTC.

The firm, which shifted from hotel operations to Bitcoin treasury management last year, has been accelerating its accumulation strategy amid rising institutional interest in crypto assets. Metaplanet has set an ambitious target to control over 210,000 BTC by 2027, which is around 1% of the total Bitcoin supply.

Metaplanet had previously revealed its plans to leverage its growing Bitcoin reserves to acquire cash-generating businesses, even potentially including a digital bank in Japan.

Last week, Gerovich told the Financial Times that the company is racing to accumulate as much BTC as possible, while describing it as a “Bitcoin gold rush” to reach “escape velocity” and maintain a lead over competitors. The exec also said that he would never sell the crypto asset.

“We think of it as a Bitcoin gold rush. We need to accumulate as much Bitcoin as we can to get to a point where we have reached escape velocity, and it just makes it very difficult for others to catch up.”

Metaplanet’s Ambitious Bitcoin Plan

In its next phase, Metaplanet aims to use the crypto asset as collateral to access financing, similar to how securities or government bonds are used. The goal will be to deploy these funds to buy profitable businesses aligned with its strategy. While crypto-backed lending remains rare in traditional banking, experiments like Standard Chartered’s pilot with OKX suggest growing institutional interest.

Gerovich ruled out issuing convertible debt to fund growth, preferring options like preferred shares to avoid repayment tied to volatile share prices. The firm said that it envisions digital banking services as a future area of expansion, and aims to deliver superior retail banking options in Japan using its BTC-backed leverage.

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Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Nearing Exhaustion or Gearing Up for $130K Next?

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Bitcoin has officially entered price discovery once again, trading just below $122,000 at the time of writing. After months of consolidation and multiple failed breakout attempts, the bulls have finally regained full control.

The breakout above the previous all-time high around $112,000 was followed by explosive momentum, and investors are wondering how much further BTC will run.

By ShayanMarkets

The Daily Chart

The daily chart shows that the asset is still respecting the long-term ascending channel, as it rebounded from its lower boundary and is currently rallying toward the mid-line. The price decisively closed above the $112,000 previous all-time high, a level that acted as a distribution zone for over a month. Following this breakout, BTC printed several bullish continuation candles, pushing all the way up to $122,000.

Yet, a retracement into the $114K–$117K zone is probable to cool the market down. This pullback would not invalidate the bullish structure but instead offer a healthier continuation setup. As long as the price holds above the $114K breakout level, the medium-term structure remains strongly bullish.

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4H chart shows a clean breakout from the recent range and a near-vertical price expansion, confirming the daily momentum. After breaking above the descending channel, Bitcoin formed a strong impulsive leg. As a result, the RSI is now extremely elevated at 78+, hinting at potential short-term exhaustion.

The 4H chart also highlights the newly formed Fair Value Gaps stacked below the price, which could get revisited in the coming sessions or days. These FVGs can both attract the price and act as potential support. As long as BTC remains above the 114K block, short dips into this region would be considered bullish retests.

Moreover, if the price begins to range around the 121K–122K area, it would allow RSI to cool off and provide fresh momentum for the next breakout, without experiencing much correction.

Sentiment Analysis

Bitcoin Funding Rates

Funding rates have started to spike again, reflecting the surge in long-side leverage after the breakout. This sharp uptick in funding confirms that traders are aggressively chasing the move. While elevated funding is expected during trend continuations, it also introduces risk: the higher the leverage imbalance, the more vulnerable the market becomes to a flush.

Historically, when funding remains excessively positive while prices stall or consolidate, it often leads to a liquidation-driven pullback. So far, we haven’t seen aggressive spikes like those in Q1 2024, but it’s something to monitor closely.

If the asset fails to push higher while funding stays elevated, a quick shakeout into the 114K zone is possible. Until then, the sentiment remains bullish but slightly overheated, which aligns with current RSI readings and market structure.

 

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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