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Cryptocurrency

5 Bearish and 4 Bullish Factors for Bitcoin (BTC) in September

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The world’s leading cryptocurrency has traded in a sideways channel ever since the early 2024 Bitcoin ETF rally.

Market bulls started it in earnest in October as a result of premature reports that SEC approvals were around the corner.

After that, BTC went from $27,000 on Oct. 14 to an all-time record high of almost $74,000 on Mar. 14. That represented a 170% gain for crypto investors in just five months.

The United States Securities and Exchange Commission approved 11 Bitcoin ETFs on Jan. 10, 2024. SEC Chair Gary Gensler said, “Investors should remain cautious about the myriad risks associated with bitcoin and products whose value is tied to crypto.”

The Bitcoin ETF rally delivered a whopping average annualized ROI of 415%. It was by far not the first time the largest cryptocurrency delivered eye-popping returns.

Also, by far, it was not the most BTC has returned to investors over comparable timeframes in previous markets over the past 15 years of its existence as an open-source blockchain operating over the Internet.

However, since peaking in March, bitcoin has traded sideways in a rangebound channel. So when will April’s halving supply cut kick in and touch off another rally based on BTC’s limited inventories?

The market is in different waters, to be sure, with the asset reaching a new ATH before its halving. That hasn’t happened in previous cycles. Regardless, there are signs this bull has room left to run.

But first, here are the headwinds Bitcoin’s price faces in September:

1. $33B Government Supply Overhang

According to crypto research company Kaiko, there is the looming threat of a $33 billion BTC supply glut because several governments have stashes they might offload, plus recovered Mt. Gox funds are being restored to their owners.

History from earlier this year showed us that when authorities and former users of the defunct crypto exchange decide to dispose of their assets, BTC’s price suffers.

2. Bitcoin ETF Paper Hands

Bitcoin purists like Andreas Antonopoulos warned about this years ago. Now that Wall Street is interested in cryptocurrency, its buying and selling pressure affects the price.

September is usually a month of selling on Wall Street. Since 1950, stocks returned investors an average loss of 0.7%, making it the worst month for the asset class.

The selling has already started in Bitcoin ETF markets, which saw outflows for four consecutive days from Aug. 27 through 30, totaling $454 million, according to Farside data.

3. Bitcoin Cyclical September Doldrums

Crypto has been no different from stocks in its short history. Bitcoin has only generated positive returns in September three times in the last decade. This seasonal trend could affect prices this year.

4. US Election Jitters

This four-year U.S. political cycle usually leaves financial markets uncertain until democracy has prevailed again with another peaceful transition of power and more policy certainty. The big money waits to make its moves until after election day.

5. Post-Halving Consolidation

Markets are right in the timeframe after previous halvings when bitcoin’s price tends to decline before rallying to new all-time highs.

Once all the sellers shake out and BTC finds its post-halving bottom, the bulls take over and run it up to new heights.

Bears

While bitcoin markets may have tough waters ahead based on the factors listed above, here are four long-term BTC price supports for bulls and bears to consider:

1. Financial Tailwinds for Bitcoin’s Price

The Fed is pivoting to low rates. This is bitcoin’s time to shine.

The US Federal Reserve sets the tone for the global financial economy by adjusting target interest rates for the supply of new dollars through daily lending markets in time with prices and employment.

Now that the Fed has called for rate cuts to shore up slowing labor markets with post-pandemic inflation, interest rates will begin to fall again, and prices are likely to start rising.

The way the credit economy works usually causes that wave of rising prices to happen first and with the most force in financial markets like the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ.

The more liquid the market for a trading asset and the more high-growth its future prospects are, the more leverage it tends to move against the benchmark change in interest rates.

That goes for bitcoin big time. For the previous three supply cycles, the daily new issuance was cut by half every four years. One year after the 2012 halving, BTC was up 50,000%. About 18 months after the 2016 halving, it had gone up 8,500%.

Federal interest rates were functionally zero percent during the entire post-2012 halving bitcoin bull market. However, BTC still delivered market-whopping alpha compared to stocks in the 2016 cycle. The Fed began steadily hiking rates in late 2015, reaching 2.4% by mid-2019.

Bitcoin surged to above $64,500 on Sunday, Aug. 25, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell announced on Friday that the central bank would soon begin cutting interest rates.

Over the week, BTC corrected but found support at $58,000 instead of falling as low as $55,000 as it did in the last two big corrections in August and July. That could signal the Fed pivot is emboldening long-term bulls.

2. Bitcoin Goes to Washington

The embrace of BTC by both U.S. political parties is very promising for long-term price support.

As markets grow more assured that the United States government groks bitcoin and has the will to back the crypto industry, the more calculated the risks are for the rewards of innovating and capitalizing valuable contributions in the blockchain space.

Crypto expert Andrea Barbon, a Swiss University of St. Gallen finance professor, recently told Forbes:

“While bitcoin has often been viewed as a hedge against economic turmoil, its future performance could hinge on the upcoming U.S. elections. So far, Donald Trump has been more supportive of crypto, and a return to the White House could bring regulatory shifts that favor digital assets.”

But regardless of how Republicans and Democrats parcel up the levers of power this November, crypto companies are beginning to wield enormous influence in Washington.

They have made the most political donations in 2024, according to a report by Public Citizen, a non-profit D.C. consumer advocacy watchdog.

3. Bullish Smart Money

Participants representing the smart money in crypto, for example — MicroStrategy co-founder Michael Saylor and Blockstream CEO Adam Back — are outlandishly bullish for BTC this cycle.

Saylor recently confirmed in August that he personally owns bitcoin in an amount worth some $1 billion at the current market prices.

Adam Back, meanwhile, has an $80,000 BTC price target in view.

Back commented in late August that financial company Cantor Fitzgerald’s $194 target for MicroStrategy stocks implies an $80,000 BTC price.

That would represent a 33% gain for the asset over its $60,000 long-term support level since March. Why is smart money betting on further price increases of this magnitude for bitcoin?

Because they believe the most securely scarce cryptocurrency is poised to become a major world reserve for massive private and public treasuries to engage in international trade.

4. Bullish BTC Technical Indicators

Bitcoin markets gathered strength to the upside last week, with exchanges increasing in volume as bulls took the price above $65,000, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

That enthusiastic buy-up following the Fed’s interest rate announcement is an early signal of the market’s demand for the asset as rates go down and prices increase.

Bitcoin and altcoin chart analyst Mister Crypto posted to over 118K followers on X Tuesday that he expects to see an enormous parabolic move for BTC sometime in the near future.

Highlighting the descending flag pattern on bitcoin’s chart from March through August, often a bullish continuation pattern during a broader uptrend, Mister Crypto asked, “Would you believe me if I told you this #Bitcoin breakout has a target of $93,000?”

Earlier in August, the crypto investor said it is very likely that bitcoin’s price will return to the $68,000 level in the short term now that it has broken above $64,000.

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Cryptocurrency

Important Shiba Inu Indicator Drops to a 3-Month Low: How Will SHIB’s Price React?

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TL;DR

  • Shibarium’s recent slowdown has sparked concerns over Shiba Inu’s network engagement and price outlook.

  • However, a negative exchange netflow and a low RSI hint at potential recovery signs.

Brace for Impact?

The number of daily transactions processed on Shiba Inu’s layer-2 blockchain solution, Shibarium, has been in decline over the past few weeks.

On June 1, the figure shrank to just 65,411, marking the lowest point observed in nearly three months. Additionally, the number of active accounts and new contracts has also headed south.

The aforementioned data indicate stalled activity on the network, suggesting reduced user engagement, which may have a negative influence on the price. 

Some members of the Shiba Inu team, as well as other industry participants, believe the future development of Shibarium is vital for the meme coin’s price performance. One of those is the Bitcoin advocate Jeremie Davinci, who recently said:

“I like Shiba Inu, as you know, and I think it will do relatively well in this cycle, but it may not go as high as you expect. I think Shiba Inu has a lot of utility now that they have Shibarium, and basically, it’s a chain that you can actually run all kinds of applications.

However, nobody is using it, and there are no applications for using your tokens on Shibarium yet. If they get that solved, Shiba Inu will go to the moon.”

Another factor signaling bad news for SHIB’s valuation is the project’s burning mechanism. Over the past seven days, the team and community have destroyed approximately 111 million tokens, representing a 15% decline compared to the rate witnessed the week before. Furthermore, only 1.57 million SHIB were burned in the past 24 hours, meaning a nearly 90% decrease on a daily scale. 

The program’s ultimate goal is to reduce the overall supply of the meme coin and potentially increase its value through scarcity. According to Shibburn, the amount of tokens burned from the initial supply since adopting the program is over 410.7 trillion, leaving 584.4 trillion in circulation.

Some Bullish Signs

Although the aforementioned signs imply a bearish future for Shiba Inu, other factors paint a more positive picture.

For instance, SHIB’s exchange netflow has been predominantly negative over the past week, indicating that the coin’s supply on centralized platforms is decreasing. This suggests that investors may have shifted toward self-custody methods, a move that reduces immediate selling pressure.

SHIB Exchange Netflow
SHIB Exchange Netflow, Source: CryptoQuant

Shiba Inu’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also worth mentioning. The momentum oscillator is currently hovering slightly above the bullish zone of 30. Ratios below that level typically indicate that the meme coin may be oversold and poised for a rally. On the contrary, anything above 70 may be taken as a warning signal.

SHIB RSI
SHIB RSI, Source: CryptoWaves
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Ripple Price at Pivotal Juncture: Dump Below $2 or Surge to $4.5 Next for XRP?

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TL;DR

  • Ripple’s cross-border token has struggled in the past week, alongside most of the market, and has dropped below a crucial support line, which has now turned into resistance.
  • Analysts outlined a couple of different scenarios for the asset, which envision a price drop below $2 or a surge to $4.5.

Is XRP Actually Heading for New ATH?

The fourth-largest cryptocurrency surged in mid-May as the rest of the market recovered from the Trump-induced crash in early April. However, it couldn’t rise any higher than $2.6, where it was halted on a couple of occasions, while BTC managed to break through and chart a new all-time high of almost $112,000. Ethereum also outperformed XRP on a monthly scale, as the latter’s price seems stuck.

Moreover, the asset fell below $2.3 in the past few days, a level that many analysts highlighted as a crucial support, now turned into a key resistance. Cryptowzrd noted that XRP closed indecisively the week, but pointed out the $2.21 resistance as the first obstacle in the asset’s long road to recovery. However, if it manages to reclaim it, this could form an inverse head-and-shoulders, which could result in offering a “long opportunity.”

CW believes XRP’s turn “has come,” and suggested that the asset is expected to break through the current small convergence. If this pattern plays out, XRP’s next price target can be $4.5, which would mean a massive surge past the January 2018 all-time high of around $3.4.

The Bearish Scenario

While the aforementioned scenarios provide a more optimistic outlook for XRP’s future price movements, Brett wasn’t so bullish. The analyst told their over 90,000 followers on X that Ripple’s token is currently at a “critical breakdown point.”

It has dropped below key EMAs and is currently testing the 200 EMA. If it fails to remain above it, XRP could be on its way to the $2 support or even lower. They urged the bulls to “step in now,” or there will be more pain ahead for XRP.

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USDT0 Introduces XAUt0, Modernizing Access to Gold with True Digital Ownership

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[PRESS RELEASE – Road Town, British Virgin Islands, June 2nd, 2025]

Today, USDT0, the unified liquidity network for Tether’s US dollar pegged stablecoin (USDt), announces the launch of XAUt0, the omnichain evolution of Tether Gold (XAUt), built to bring the largest gold-backed digital token to the world’s leading blockchains. XAUt0 is the omnichain deployment of Tether Gold, allowing users to own a physically backed, inflation-resistant asset while tapping into the full composability and financial innovation of digital assets.

Today, there are many ways to get started with gold, from metal ETFs to tokenized price trackers. However, most of these options only provide indirect price exposure to gold prices, and don’t offer true ownership rights or the ability to freely use or move holdings. Launched in 2020, Tether Gold (XAUt) was one of the earliest and most groundbreaking projects to bring real-world assets on-chain at scale. By combining the reliability of physical gold bullion with the transparency and accessibility of blockchain technology, XAUt was an early innovation that offered the best of both worlds: a timeless hedge against inflation, delivered with the flexibility and freedom that modern finance demands.

Now with XAUt0, XAUt can be leveraged across leading blockchains and easily plugged into lending, liquidity pools, FX arbitrage, and more. By combining the direct, physical gold ownership of Tether Gold with the frictionless, omnichain liquidity layer pioneered by USDT0, XAUt0 creates a globally accessible, infinitely programmable form of gold that retains the reliability and timelessness of the original asset. With the price of gold reaching all-time highs, the launch of XAUt0 enables the world’s most enduring store of value to become as seamless and accessible as the networks that increasingly define global capital flows.

XAUt0 is the omnichain deployment of Tether Gold (XAUt), built on LayerZero’s Omnichain Fungible Token (OFT) standard. XAUt0 allows users to seamlessly and securely move their XAUt between chains. Each XAUt token represents ownership of one fine troy ounce of gold on a specific gold bullion bar meeting the quality assurance requirements of “London Good Delivery” set by the London Bullion Market Association, securely stored in a Swiss vault. All XAUt and therefore XAUt0 holders have an ownership interest in a specific physical gold bar, rather than indirect exposure to gold prices.

In collaboration with the TON Foundation and The Open Platform (the largest venture builder in TON & Telegram), the first deployment of XAUt0 will take place on The Open Network (TON), bringing tokenized gold to hundreds of millions of users within the Telegram ecosystem.

“The initial rollout of XAUt0 on TON reflects our shared vision of making digital assets seamlessly accessible to people around the world, unlocking new economic opportunities for those who need them most,” said Andrew Rogozov, CEO and Founder of The Open Platform. “Starting today, Tether Gold will be instantly available to users of Wallet in Telegram, and in Q3, we will launch a major promotional campaign to engage users of TON Ecosystem.”

While Bitcoin is metaphorically considered “digital gold” due to its trustless scarcity model, XAUt0 introduces real “digital gold” that is both physically backed and built for seamless omnichain use. Inheriting the core strengths of XAUt, XAUt0 offers powerful advantages over directly holding physical gold, including:

  • 24/7 Access: While traditional gold markets close for weekends and holidays, XAUt0 holders can buy, sell, lend, or use their digital gold at any time, from anywhere.
  • Secure Digital Storage: XAUt0 holders enjoy the economic security of gold with the self-custody of digital wallets, without the costs and hassle of physical custody.
  • Infinite Divisibility: XAUt0 can be bought and sold in fractional increments, opening up new possibilities for everything from collateral provision to portfolio diversification.
  • Physical Redemption Options: XAUt0 holders can exchange their XAUt0 for XAUt, which can be redeemed for physical gold, delivered to a Swiss address.

“XAUt is already setting a new standard for tokenized gold—each token represents direct ownership of physical gold securely stored in Switzerland,” said Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether. “At Tether, we’re excited to witness the launch of XAUt0, which aims to revolutionize gold in the digital era.”

“At USDT0, our mission has always been to unify liquidity and make digital assets truly borderless across blockchain ecosystems,” said Lorenzo R., Co-Founder of USDT0 and Everdawn Labs, a leading software development firm in the Tether ecosystem. “With the launch of XAUt0, we’re applying that same mission to gold, one of humanity’s oldest and most enduring stores of value. By unlocking seamless omnichain access to physically backed gold, XAUt0 brings a timeless asset into the decentralized ecosystem.”

For more information, users can visit gold.usdt0.to or follow USDT0 on Twitter @USDT0_to.

About USDT0

USDT0, the unified liquidity network for USDT, simplifies cross-chain movement without fragmented pools or complex bridges. As the unified gateway for USDT interoperability and expansion, USDT0 simplifies cross-chain liquidity, enhances accessibility, and unlocks new use cases for Tether holders, businesses, and DeFi platforms. With a focus on efficiency and scalability, USDT0 is redefining how USDT operates across networks. For more information, users can visit USDT0.to or follow on Twitter @USDT0_to.

About Everdawn Labs

Everdawn Labs is a premier software development consultancy, specializing in crafting bespoke software solutions that drive innovation, efficiency, and growth in the digital asset ecosystem. Everdawn Labs manages and operates USDT0, the unified liquidity network for Tether (USDT), XAUt0, the omnichain deployment of Tether Gold (XAUt), and contributes to the development of Alloy by Tether, a USD-denominated Tethered Asset backed by gold. For more information, users can visit everdawn.to/.

About The Open Platform (TOP)

The Open Platform (TOP) is a VC and venture builder for early-stage projects on TON Blockchain. TOP provides a powerful toolkit of funding, expertise, and technology resources, streamlining access to critical tools like wallets, developer resources, SDKs, APIs, and marketplaces. With this support, TOP enables developers to build scalable Web3 products ready for widespread adoption.

For more information, users can visit: top.co.

About TON Foundation

The Open Network Foundation (TON Foundation) is a non-profit organization supported by community contributors to further TON’s objectives. Founded in Switzerland in 2023, TON Foundation brings together a diverse range of expertise to support protocol development, help shape the platform, and facilitate ecosystem growth. While an advocate of TON’s mission, the foundation does not exercise any authority over TON. TON operates on open-source software, welcomes input and contributions from all individuals, and remains independent of central control. To learn more, users can visit https://ton.foundation.

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