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7 Signals the Bitcoin Bull Run Has Room to Run After $70,000 (Opinion)

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This bull run is cyclical in nature, and these seven signals suggest it is just getting started.

Just three weeks ago, on Feb. 12, Bitcoin’s price crossed the $50,000 threshold. Fundstrat Global Advisors Head of Digital Strategy Sean Farrell said, “This rally in the near term certainly has some room to run.”

He was right!

The spot rally on cryptocurrency exchanges surged to just past $70,000 on Friday, Mar. 5, before retracing to where it is currently. So, after crossing $50,000, the rally sure had some room to run.

But here are eight signs it has room to run yet after re-gaining its highest price ever for the first time in just under two-and-a-half years.

1. The Fed Rate Hasn’t Even Dropped

The Bitcoin price is soaring to new all-time highs, and the federal funds rate for borrowing U.S. dollars has not even started to drop. The last time Bitcoin’s price soared this high, the dollar supply was at high tide, and the Fed held rates down low. This time, it did it without low rates.

James Butterfill, head of research at digital asset management firm CoinShares, recently told ABC News “the price surge has coincided with a period of stubbornly high interest rates, suggesting that the jump in demand owes little to excess cash in search of a place to land.”

When this changes, most likely in 2024, Bitcoin’s deflationary shelter from the Federal Reserve becomes a huge source of demand for the cryptocurrency while it enjoys the same boost of investment that tech stocks get from the glut of cash and the cheap borrowing of a low-interest rate regime.

2. BTC’s First Ever $20K Monthly Candle

Bitcoin printed its first-ever $20,000 monthly candle in February, a promising milestone and a hint of the possible abruptness of the price swings ahead.

As a result, one lead on-chain analyst at Glassnode wrote, “Unreal… Feb 2024 printed a $19.84k #Bitcoin candle, the largest monthly USD increase in history. This added $390B to the #Bitcoin market cap… Up a remarkable 47%.”

3. Weekend Bitcoin Trading Has Dropped

According to cryptocurrency data analytics firm Kaiko Research in a late-February report, weekend crypto trading continues to drop as a percentage of weekly volume:

“However, this trend has been long-coming: the share of BTC traded on weekends has declined significantly over the past six years, dropping from 24% in 2018 to just 17% in 2023.”

That most likely indicates greater acceptance and use of cryptocurrencies by institutions that operate during business hours, Mondays through Fridays.

The trend has also continued in 2024:

“So far in 2024, just 13% of all BTC transactions between January 1 and February 20 were executed over the weekend. Breaking this down by region, weekend trading has declined on both offshore and U.S.-available exchanges.”

The drop from 17% to 13% shows the massive effect of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the market.

4. The Rally Overheated Coinbase (Sorry)

You know the Bitcoin price rally is going to be abrupt when the halving hasn’t happened yet, and volume melts Coinbase. The San Francisco-based cryptocurrency exchange went down at the end of February as crypto markets heated up.

The exchange experienced an outage after it was unable to handle the volume of requests. As a result, a technical glitch also told account holders they had zero balances on their accounts.

CEO Brian Armstrong posted,

“Apps are now recovering. We had modeled a ~10x surge in traffic and load tested it. This exceeded that number. It’s expensive to keep services over-provisioned, but we’ll need to keep working on auto-scaling solutions, and killing any remaining bottlenecks.”

The outage occurred soon after Bitcoin prices topped $60,000 at the exchange, the highest mark the crypto had notched since 2021. After news of the Coinbase outage began to spread on social media that Wednesday afternoon, Bitcoin lost around $2,800 of its value.

5. A Whale Pulled $1B Off Coinbase

Sorry, it’s not for sale. Not from this whale. Someone pulled $1 billion worth of Bitcoins off of Coinbase. Early on Mar. 1, a whale withdrew $1 billion worth of 16,000 BTC from Coinbase, according to Santiment.

That’s terrifically bullish for Bitcoin prices. Even as the cryptocurrency approached its previous all-time high number, this whale is not interested in selling. Furthermore, they are not alone.

In February, whales moved another more than one billion dollars worth of Bitcoin off Coinbase. They could sell for a profit now, but they seem to think the price has somewhere higher to run next.

Overall, Bitcoin on exchanges has been declining to a six-year low, a trend that shows no signs of stopping after the billion-dollar whopper of a withdrawal.

That shows high conviction, long time horizons, and massive global support for the Bitcoin price moving forward.

6. Bitcoin ETFs Now Own 4% of BTC

According to data from BitMEX, spot Bitcoin ETFs held 776,464 BTC as the month of March opened. That’s a whopping 4% of all the Bitcoin there is, and the Wall Street-regulated ETF market just took a bite that size out of the on-chain spot supply of literal Bitcoin in under two months.

It’s not exactly Arthur Hayes’ nightmare scenario in which the ETFs “could destroy” Bitcoin, but it is a serious bite out of it in under two months, enough to portend a violent supply and demand shock providing massive support to skyrocket prices higher.

Grayscale Investments research head Zach Pandl said,

“There is simply not enough bitcoin to accommodate all the new demand, and so natural supply/demand dynamics are driving prices higher.”

7. Congress Floats Letting Banks Custody BTC

ETFs are going to battle for Bitcoin with retail investors. Moreover, banks may soon join the competition for Bitcoin and drive scarcity and prices to new levels.

In the House Financial Services Committee, Rep. Mike Flood (R-NE) recently advanced a resolution that “will ensure consumers are protected by removing roadblocks that prevent highly regulated banks from acting as custodians of digital assets.”

First, ETF issuers and now regulated major banks will soon be able to custody Bitcoin, contributing to the global scarcity of the 21 million BTC ever issued. And the supply and demand shock continues.

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Cryptocurrency

2 Bullish and 2 Bearish Shiba Inu Signals as the SHIB Price Consolidates

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TL;DR

  • Shiba Inu’s spike in large transactions and increase of investors currently in profit suggest the meme coin could be headed for further gains in the near future.
  • On the other hand, slight drop in network growth and a 50% decline in SHIB’s burn rate indicate potential challenges ahead for price momentum.

Showing Mixed Signals

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been rallying in the past week, witnessing a price jump of around 9% for that period. However, it stalled its progress in the past few days and even flashed red on a daily scale. Currently, it trades at around $0.00001441 (per CoinGecko’s data).

SHIB Price
SHIB Price, Source: CoinGecko

There are two factors hinting that the meme coin may soon head north again. The first is the spike of large SHIB transactions volume (where each transaction exceeds $100,000). According to IntoTheBlock, the figure surpassed $20 million in the past 24 hours, representing a 170% increase compared to the amount observed on September 23.

Such large transactions often indicate the involvement of whales. Increased activity from those investors with significant holdings can be seen as a positive sign from smaller players and encourage them to enter the ecosystem, hence injecting fresh capital.

The next bullish sign is the “In the Money” metric, which is up 4.3%. The technical analysis tool measures the change in the number of SHIB investors currently sitting on paper profits. As of now, 48% of all Shiba Inu investors are in the green, while 51% are underwater. Only 1% of those exposed to the meme coin are break-even.

Conversely, two bearish elements suggest that SHIB’s valuation might be poised for a correction. For instance, Net Network Growth (a momentum signal that gives “a pulse of the true growth of the token’s underlying network”) is down 0.17%.

Shiba Inu’s burning mechanism is also on a downtrend. The burn rate has fallen by almost 50% in the past 24 hours, resulting in less than 8 million tokens sent to a null address.

The program’s ultimate goal is to reduce the huge circulating supply of SHIB and thus propel a price increase (assuming demand keeps its levels or rises). Currently, there are over 583 trillion tokens in circulation, with 410 trillion already destroyed over the past few years.

SHIB Predictions

Some analysts are quite optimistic about Shiba Inu’s future, envisioning somewhat wild targets. JAVON MARKS recently argued that the asset’s uptrend witnessed after the US Federal Reserve lowered interest rates could be the starting point for a rally to as high as $0.000081.

Another X user, using the handle pepa, was even more bullish, claiming SHIB might erase two zeroes from its valuation in the near future based on the formation of a specific triangular shape on the price chart.

It’s important to note that for this kind of massive surge to happen, the market capitalization of the meme coin would need to hit around $800 billion.

Currently, Bitcoin (BTC) is the only cryptocurrency that exceeds that level, making this prediction very improbable.

 

 

 

 

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This Is Why Bitcoin Surged Above $64K, Can it Go Higher? (Bitfinex)

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Last week, the Federal Reserve reduced its interest rate by 50 basic points, allowing increased cash flow in the United States. Two days after the rate reduction, bitcoin’s price surged past $64,000, reigniting confidence in the market.

According to Bitfinex’s latest weekly report, the jump in BTC price was influenced by increased activities within the futures and perpetual markets rather than the spot market.

What Triggered Bitcoin’s Latest Price Surge?

The report noted that bitcoin’s open interest drove the latest surge instead of spot trading, implying that the futures and perpetual markets saw the most investor engagement. The exchange’s analysts added that the crypto asset’s open interest “outpaced the price gains of BTC itself.”

According to on-chain data from the blockchain analytics platform Coinglass, bitcoin’s open interest recently attained $34.9 billion, the highest seen since early August.

Bitfinex analysts added that an increased engagement with the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) could drive the leading cryptocurrency to reclaim prices closer to its peak value of $73,800. Over $397.2 million flowed into the U.S.-traded spot Bitcoin ETFs in the past week, proving that BTC price may follow in the uptrend.

The market report explained that the leading crypto asset could unlock the $65,200 price resistance from late August if this trend of Bitcoin ETF inflows continues.

“Should Bitcoin breach the key resistance levels from late August, this could propel the asset towards new highs, coinciding with the end of summer’s low liquidity. However, without sustained spot buying, consolidation or a partial correction seems the most likely scenario,” the analysts said.

Altcoins See Price Increases

Aside from bitcoin, other crypto assets have seen considerable increment within the past month. Bitfinex referenced SUI and AAVE as altcoins that unlocked a 100% price increase in August and September.

On the other hand, altcoins that do not belong to the top 10 coins by market capitalization have not increased, as revealed in an index showing the data. Still, open interest in these assets has soared from $10.74 billion in August to $11.48 billion.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Eyes $64K, NEAR Protocol (NEAR) Soars 20% in 2 Days (Market Watch)

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Bitcoin’s price tumbled below $63,000 yesterday, but the bulls seem back in control as they have pushed the asset toward $64,000 once again.

Most larger-cap altcoins are sluggish on a daily scale, aside from ADA, which has jumped by over 4%, and DOT, which has added just under 4%.

BTC Aims at $64K

After the slow start to the previous week, when it dropped to $57,600, bitcoin experienced a true rollercoaster by the end of the five-day trading period that ended on Friday, especially during and after the Wednesday FOMC meeting, in which the US Fed announced a 0.5% reduction in the key interest rates.

BTC recorded several substantial price moves before it headed north decisively. In just a few days, it peaked above $64,000 before it lost some ground during the weekend and remained around $63,000.

The bulls went at it again on Monday morning and drove the asset to its highest price level in over four weeks of $64,800. However, it failed to conquer that level and the subsequent rejection pushed it south to under $63,000 yesterday.

Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency has gained around a grand since then and is now close to $64,000. Its market cap has neared $1.260 trillion on CG but its dominance over the alts is just shy of 54%.

Bitcoin/Price/Chart 24.09.2024. Source: TradingView
Bitcoin/Price/Chart 24.09.2024. Source: TradingView

NEAR Sees Double-Digit Gains

Binance Coin, Solana, and Cardano have emerged as the top performers from the larger-cap alts today. BNB has reclaimed the $600 level after a 2.6% daily increase, SOL is close to $150 after gaining 3%, while ADA has soared by 5% and stands at $0.36.

Although the rest of the larger caps are also in the green, their gains are a lot more modest. NEAR Protocol’s native token has jumped by 8% on a daily scale and 20% since Sunday and now trades above $5.2.

Other impressive gainers from the top 100 alts include AR (16%), TIA (15%), WIF (11%), LDO (9%), ICP (9%), and STX (9%).

The total crypto market cap has added another $20 billion overnight and is at $2.340 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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