Cryptocurrency
Are Bitcoin Miners Capitulating Amid the Drop Below $60K?
The Bitcoin network is showing some signs of miner capitulation. This stage is marked by miners ceasing operations or selling part of Bitcoin reserves.
Interestingly, this process has been historically linked to a bottoming of Bitcoin prices, following which the asset is expected to resume a much-needed uptrend.
Signs of Bitcoin Miner Capitulation
Since the recent halving, the network hash rate has dropped by 7.7% from its peak on April 27. According to the latest report CryptoQuant, this decline suggests that less efficient miners have likely shut down their equipment due to negative profitability.
CryptoQuant’s miner profit/loss sustainability indicator reveals that miners have been significantly underpaid since April 20, the day after the 2024 Bitcoin halving,
Daily revenues have plummeted by 63% from $79 million on March 6th to $29 million currently, with transaction fees making up just 3.2% of the total revenue, the lowest share since April 8.
The average mining revenue per hash (hash price) is also hovering close to the all-time lows at $0.049 per EH/s, barely above the record low of $0.045 reached on May 1. Additionally, miners have been transferring Bitcoin out of their wallets at increased rates, with daily outflows spiking to their highest volume since May 21, indicating possible selling.
This current phase of miner capitulation mirrors the 7.7% hash rate drawdown observed in December 2022, a period that marked the bottom cycle following the FTX collapse. Historically, such significant declines have been linked to price-bottom conditions.
Darkest Before Dawn?
Further validating the price-bottom thesis is the fact that Bitcoin is currently trading at a significant discount on Coinbase, a sign that might indicate that the asset is setting the stage for the next upward movement.
Falcon’s head of research, David Lawant recently referenced the same in a post on X, questioning if it is “always darkest before the dawn.” The exec highlighted that the last time the Coinbase premium was this negative, it was followed by a massive rally from October 2023 to March 2024.
As a result, the current discount could be a precursor to a much-needed rally.
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Cryptocurrency
Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Enters Consolidation Phase After 16% Weekly Drop
Cardano is navigating a pivotal price range, bounded by the $0.75 and $1.3 thresholds, with its recent price action underscoring a successful pullback to the previously breached $0.75 support.
The outcome of a breakout from this range will likely set the tone for its next significant market direction.
Technical Analysis
By Shayan
The Daily Chart
Cardano has recently encountered a rejection at the $1.3 resistance level, triggering heightened volatility and a descending retracement phase. As a result, the price settled at the $0.75 support zone, which coincides with a significant prior yearly swing high and is laden with demand and buying interest. This support has halted further downside momentum, keeping ADA confined within the $0.75-$1.3 range.
This consolidation phase suggests a build-up of market pressure, with the potential for a decisive breakout on either side. A bullish breakout above $1.3 would signal the initiation of a sustained uptrend, while a bearish breakdown below $0.75 could result in a significant liquidation cascade, pushing the price toward lower support levels.
The 4-Hour Chart
On the shorter timeframe, Cardano’s price action has been shaped by a descending wedge pattern, a formation that often indicates a potential bullish breakout if the upper boundary is breached. Currently, the asset is hovering around the wedge’s lower boundary, near the $0.75 support zone, where increased buying interest is evident. This area is further reinforced by the critical 0.5 ($0.82)-0.618 ($0.7) Fibonacci retracement levels, solidifying it as a formidable barrier against further selling pressure.
In the mid-term, ADA is anticipated to continue consolidating within this wedge pattern while maintaining its position above these key Fibonacci levels. A bullish breakout from the wedge could pave the way for an advance toward the $1.3 resistance. Conversely, a bearish breakdown below the wedge’s lower boundary might trigger a deeper decline, with the $0.5 threshold emerging as the next significant support level.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
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Cryptocurrency
Binance Prevents Over $129M From Being Lost to Scams in 2024 via AI and ML
Crypto exchange giant Binance reportedly stopped more than $129 million from being lost to criminals in 2024.
In its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative end-of-year report, the company outlined how it deployed cutting-edge artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) technologies to transform digital asset security from reactive measures to proactive defense strategies.
Anti-Scam Initiative
According to the report, on average, the company processed about 80 successful fund recoveries monthly, totaling to about $9 million of stolen funds returned to victims in 2024. Additionally, it revealed that it made over 30,000 phone calls to warn potential targets of likely scams, with at least 15,000 alerts issued daily to platform users.
The initiative’s efforts resulted in no less than 47,000 malicious addresses being blacklisted and, as of November, more than $129 million in annual funds prevented from being swindled.
The key to Binance’s approach to stopping bad actors from stealing from its user base is a system that combines technological surveillance and human-centered support. In it, machine learning algorithms analyze complex transaction patterns in real-time, identifying potential criminal activities at super-fast speeds. It also employs AI-powered behavioral profiling to distinguish between legitimate user activity and potential illegal undertakings.
The firm reported that it developed more than 50 specialized models and implemented 14 major upgrades to outmaneuver the fraudsters’ increasingly sophisticated tactics.
Its Anti-Scam Refund Initiative operates through four pillars: proactive protection, 24-hour safety mechanisms, rapid response recovery, and support for silent victims. The one-day safety net allows users a cooling period for suspicious transactions, with funds moved to flagged accounts frozen to provide an opportunity for investigations and potential intervention.
Binance’s Wins Over Crypto Thieves
Since the beginning of the year, CryptoPotato has reported several incidents in which Binance’s intervention helped cryptocurrency users recover stolen funds. For instance, in October, the company aided Delhi police in taking down a digital asset scam ring in the city and recovering up to 100,000 USDT.
Earlier in September, the exchange’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) helped authorities in the same country crack a scheme in which user funds amounting to $47.6 million were stolen from an online gaming platform and siphoned into several digital wallets.
In August, the company announced that its risk management system had prevented more than $2.4 billion in losses from potential swindlers in the first half of 2024. About $1.1 billion of this was attributed to suspected criminal withdrawals, with another $73 million previously frozen due to external hacks.
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Cryptocurrency
SOL Eyes $200 After 5% Daily Surge, BTC Calms at $95K (Weekend Watch)
Bitcoin’s declining trading volumes continue over the weekend as the asset has produced little to no actual price movements over the past day.
The altcoins have recovered some ground from the Saturday correction, with ETH above $3,400 and DOGE aiming at $0.33.
BTC Stalls at $95K
Last week’s correction erased much of BTC’s price gains charted in December as the asset plummeted to $92,000 on December 21. It managed to bounce off immediately and headed toward $100,000 on a couple of occasions since then = on December 22 and 26 – but to no avail.
Each attempt was met with a vicious rejection that pushed the cryptocurrency south by several grand. The last such movement came at the end of the business week, and BTC slumped toward $93,000.
It defended that level and jumped to $94,000 yesterday and $95,000 now. This is somewhat expected given the declining trading volumes as of late, which could actually be a blessing in disguise for BTC and other assets if whales continue to make big purchases.
For now, though, BTC’s market cap remains well below $1.9 trillion on CG, and its dominance over the alts has been reduced to 54%.
SOL, SUI Recover
Most altcoins suffered badly yesterday but have produced some minor increases over the past 24 hours. ETH has climbed above $3,400, XRP is close to $2.2, while BNB continues to defy the market sentiment with a 2.5% jump to $718.
Dogecoin has added over 3% of value and stands close to $0.33, while SOL and SUI have gained 5-6%. As a result, SOL now trades above $195, while SUI is north of $4.25.
Other notable gainers include HBAR, DOT, AAVE, APT, ICP, and PEPE.
The total crypto market cap has recovered about $50 billion since yesterday and is close to $3.5 trillion on CG.
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.
Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.
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