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Are crypto investments safe? The future of the crypto market and alternatives for investing in fiat assets

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best crypto investments

Over the past year, the cryptocurrency market has experienced an impressive rise. However, in recent months, from the point of view of a classic investor, cryptocurrency investments are rapidly losing their attractiveness. Looking for the best crypto investments is becoming increasingly difficult. 

Are crypto investments safe? 

Since record levels reached in November 2021, the total capitalization of the market has decreased by three times, and this is not the limit. That’s why it’s hard to choose the best crypto investments for 2022. Cryptocurrencies, unlike commodities and stocks, are not subject to business cycles and the price of key instruments in this market is much more dependent on the amount of fiat liquidity that investors can provide. 

Are crypto investments safe? The global liquidity provided to the markets by the efforts of the world’s largest central banks is now at its peak. But the tightening of regulators’ rhetoric has already begun, and liquidity will be squeezed, and no one knows when that process will end. 

The amount of money placed in high-yield and super-risky assets like cryptocurrencies is shrinking. Therefore, there is no prospect for a recovery growth of the crypto market in the foreseeable future, and short-term crypto investments are becoming too risky.

Stock market

Its dynamics in general largely repeat the situation with cryptocurrencies: in the U.S. indexes declines over the last year, only slightly less significant than in bitcoin. I am not optimistic about the US market prospects on the back of record inflation and the Fed’s intention to keep raising rates. 

The Chinese market may seem interesting to some people. But I do not recommend working there without being immersed in the context, especially if there is a real risk of a slowdown of the Chinese economy. But to buy any assets today, in the current political and economic situation, with an unclear prospect of resumption of regular payments only next year is a big risk.

Bonds

High-yield bonds, rated BBB or lower, offer higher yields: individual issuers, typically small regional developers and MFIs, trade at yields to maturity of 16 to 22% per annum. However, the risks in high-yield bonds are also much higher – avoiding serious drawdowns in the event of borrower default is only possible when building a well-balanced portfolio.

Real Estate

Risks associated with investments in square meters are incomparably lower, but few real estate objects can boast a high yield. For example, in the commercial real estate segment the yield in some areas (warehouse, retail, office) can be as high as 9-10% per annum. 

However, the pressure on prices in this market today is caused by increased vacancy rates, stagnation of rental rates, and a decrease in investment activity. As a rule, investments in apartments don’t yield more than 2-3% per annum. 

Qualitative projects with profitability up to 20% per annum exist in the segment of expensive apartments or country real estate focused on renting. These are, for example, projects that work on the Home as a Service model. 

The real sector

Despite the unimportant prospects for the global economy in the short term, at the micro-level business continues to operate, and on this you can earn good money. In contrast to real estate, here you can find objects for investment with a return of 20% per annum for several months to 2-3 years. 

You can invest or lend to real businesses operating in the real economy: cafes, dry cleaners, and rental services. It is better to do this through specialized investment companies, which act as a kind of investment guides, helping to choose an object for investment, to prepare and go to the deal.

And remember, you can also consider the best long-term crypto investments 2022 if you are willing to take risks and invest money for the long term. 

Cryptocurrency

El Salvador Buys the Dip, Adds 11 BTC to Its Holdings

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El Salvador has expanded its Bitcoin reserves by purchasing an additional 11 BTC on February 4.

The move is part of President Nayib Bukele’s ongoing strategy to accumulate the cryptocurrency, particularly during market downturns.

Bitcoin Purchases

According to the Nayib Bukele Portfolio Tracker, the latest acquisition brings El Salvador’s total holdings to 6,067.18 BTC, valued at approximately $613.7 million.

The country initially implemented a strategy of purchasing one Bitcoin per day but has recently accelerated its accumulation pace. Its National Bitcoin Office revealed via a February 4 post on X that in the past week alone, it has added over 20 BTC to its reserves.

President Bukele has made it clear that El Salvador’s goal is to continue acquiring more Bitcoin. He previously teased about getting the chance to “buy Bitcoin at a discount” after the U.S. government announced a $6.7 billion sale, an event typically associated with price volatility.

In September 2021, El Salvador became the first country to officially adopt BTC as a legal tender with the enactment of the Bitcoin Law. Since then, the government has introduced several initiatives connected to the cryptocurrency, including bonds, volcano-powered BTC mining, and a citizenship program linked to investments, while continuing to expand and maintain its holdings.

Last month, Bukele’s administration secured a $1.4 billion financing agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which included commitments to scale back certain Bitcoin initiatives.

Under the agreement, businesses are no longer required to accept cryptocurrency as payment, tax settlements in BTC have also been discontinued, and the government’s role in the state-backed Chivo wallet has been reduced.

El Salvador Remains Committed to Bitcoin Strategy

The IMF has repeatedly expressed concerns over El Salvador’s Bitcoin adoption, warning of potential financial stability risks. However, despite the recent policy adjustments, the government remains committed to its broader strategy.

In December 2024, Stacy Herbert, director of the National Bitcoin Office, hinted that El Salvador would accelerate its Bitcoin acquisitions. She recently reaffirmed this position, stating:

“El Salvador will continue buying Bitcoin (at possibly an accelerated pace AND at a discounted price) for its Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.”

The Central American nation’s crypto policies have also attracted interest from major industry players. Tether, the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin, recently relocated its headquarters to the country. The firm cited its supportive regulatory environment and long-term economic vision for the move.

Additionally, President Bukele has personally invited Rumble CEO Chris Pavlovski to consider moving his company’s operations to El Salvador, further showing the country’s commitment to its Bitcoin-centred approach.

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Dogecoin’s Price Could Hit $1.25 by May, Analyst Predicts

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The crypto market is showing signs of recovery following a rollercoaster for a few days, and thoughts are turning to how high some of the more popular assets could go in the coming days and months.

One analyst has suggested that the largest meme coin by market cap, Dogecoin (DOGE), could shatter its current all-time high price and break past the $1 level by May, drawing from historical trends and technical patterns.

Bullish Symmetry

Pseudonymous crypto analyst Master Kenobi recently highlighted DOGE’s price symmetry over the past year. He noted that the OG meme coin followed a cyclical pattern of two major pumps, the first coming in February 2024 and the second following six months later in August.

While the initial surge saw the coin’s value go up at least 3 times, the gains were all lost following a significant crash in August. However, it rallied a second time soon after, with its price multiplying six times.

This particular pump also came to an abrupt end over the weekend when the entire crypto market shed more than $400 billion, triggered by a squabble over tariffs between the United States and three of its trading partners, Mexico, Canada, and China.

Dogecoin holders saw about 57% of the profits they had gained over the last five months disappear within 24 hours as the market reacted to the tariff impasse.

Despite the setback, Kenobi sees potential for another upswing. According to the analyst, DOGE’s green trendline support, which was a key level, has now turned into resistance. Consequently, if the meme coin breaks above that level again, it could trigger a strong rally.

The analyst laid out two possible scenarios for the token’s price action: On one hand, it could repeat the rally from February last year, with a peak forming by the end of the month. The second possibility is that it could follow an extended consolidation period before hitting new highs by mid-April or early May.

Kenobi is leaning more towards the latter case, estimating that if DOGE mirrors the August 2024 pattern, then a 6x rally from the current bottom could push its price to at least $1.25.

Market Sentiment Divided

The analyst’s prediction has come only a day after reports emerged that several Dogecoin whales had offloaded 270 million tokens worth about $70 million within 24 hours. This mass sell-off increased supply and raised concerns about further price declines if demand fails to keep up.

Another well-regarded market watcher, Ali Martinez, previously flagged a bearish crossover between DOGE’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio and its 30-day Simple Moving Average. According to him, this signal could indicate further price drops in the near term.

At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency was back in the green, jumping 5.9% in the last 24 hours. However, the current price is still 21% below its seven-day peak of $0.3398, underperforming the broader crypto market, which is down 5.7%.

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US Prosecutors Charge Canadian Hacker in $65M Crypto Heist

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U.S. authorities have charged 22-year-old Canadian Andean Medjedovic for allegedly stealing approximately $65 million from two decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, Indexed Finance and KyberSwap.

The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced on February 3 that a federal court had unsealed a five-count indictment against him.

The Charges Against Medjedovic

According to court documents, Medjedovic manipulated smart contracts on the two platforms between 2021 and 2023, tricking the protocols into miscalculating key financial variables. This allowed him to withdraw funds at artificial prices, causing significant investor losses.

Prosecutors say he laundered the stolen money through digital asset swaps, bridging transactions, and crypto mixers in an attempt to hide the illicit proceeds.

U.S. Attorney John J. Durham described the alleged crimes as a “highly sophisticated scheme to exploit two decentralized finance protocols and steal tens of millions of dollars’ worth of cryptocurrency from investors.”

Authorities further allege that after the KyberSwap exploit, the accused sought to extort the protocol’s developers and investors, demanding full control of the platform and its DAO in exchange for returning half of the stolen assets.

Medjedovic is charged with wire fraud, unauthorized damage to a protected computer, attempted extortion under the Hobbs Act, and two counts of money laundering. If convicted, he could receive a maximum sentence of 10 years for the computer damage charge and up to 20 years for the other four counts.

The Suspect’s Trail

The Canadian has been on the run since stealing from Indexed Finance in 2021. He has defended his actions online by claiming they were legal under the disapproved “code-is-law” argument, which suggests that exploiting flaws in smart contracts is fair game.

In a 2023 interview with DL News, Medjedovic stated he had traveled through Europe and Latin America, eventually settling on an undisclosed island. While he dodged questions about the exploit, he insisted he had turned to ethical hacking as a “more sustainable mode of being.”

Months later, KyberSwap was drained of approximately $50 million in crypto. Blockchain investigators linked the incident to a wallet associated with the 22-year-old that later transferred $2 million to a separate one also tied to him.

After the exploit, prosecutors say he tried to move stolen crypto to Ethereum but was blocked by developers. Frustrated, he allegedly contacted support to demand they process the transaction.

Laurence Day, a co-founder of Indexed Finance, believes the suspect’s arrest will bring little relief to victims. He noted that much of the stolen crypto was later taken in a separate hack, complicating recovery efforts.

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